Derby’s recent win over Portsmouth and a solid home record give the model a clear edge, rating a home win at 63%. The model’s pick is a Derby victory, supported by Derby’s 1.38 goals scored and only 1.00 conceded at home versus similar opponents, while Lincoln, on the road, averages 0.91 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. The expected total goals is 2.3, with the most probable total of 2 goals at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16.5% chance. Home win probability is 63%, draw 25%, and away win 11%. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 89.3%, Under 5.5 cards at 88.2%, Under 3.5 goals at 80.7%, Under 23.5 fouls at 79.5%, Under 4.5 cards at 76.1%, and Under 11.5 corners at 70.7%. Derby’s home advantage and Lincoln’s weaker away form make a Derby win the most likely outcome.
Results analysis
The match finished 1-1, a draw that surprised everyone after the pre-match favourite, a home win for Derby, had been tipped with a 63% probability. The model’s call was wrong. Derby, fresh from a 2-0 victory over Portsmouth, had been on a win-extending run, while Lincoln, having drawn 0-0 with Blackburn, looked poised for a turnaround. The model’s selections all hit: Under 25.5 fouls at 89.3%, Under 5.5 cards at 88.2%, Under 3.5 goals at 80.7%, Under 23.5 fouls at 79.5%, Under 4.5 cards at 76.1% and Under 11.5 corners at 70.7%. The game delivered a tight, low-scoring affair that matched the predicted total of two goals.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Derby win✗ Miss
63.1%
Avg Implied 65.2% · @ 1.44
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.4%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.27
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lincoln win✗ Miss
11.5%
Avg Implied 12.9% · @ 7.29
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Derby
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.83
2.00
0.80
1.13
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
1.14
1.07
1.38
1.00
0.83
1.17
vs Weaker (15)
2.07
0.60
2.71
0.57
1.50
0.62
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lincoln
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.10
1.07
0.73
1.00
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
1.10
0.78
0.44
0.91
1.64
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
1.25
1.60
1.20
1.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.1%
Under 1.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.4%
@ 1.89-10.6%
Under 2.5
60.6%
@ 1.89+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.3%
Under 3.5
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
36.9%
No
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.5%
2-0
14.7%
0-0
11.4%
1-1 ✓
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
8.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
Derby goals ↓
Lincoln goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
5.0%
1.8%
0.3%
0.0%
1
16%
11%
3.0%
0.6%
0.1%
2
15%
8.6%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
3
8.2%
4.8%
1.4%
0.3%
0.0%
4
3.5%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Derby goals (down), columns = Lincoln goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Plymouth
2.20
Ipswich
2.13
Sheffield Weds
2.09
Barnsley
1.87
Bolton
1.76
Peterboro
1.67
Derby
1.65
Portsmouth
1.52
Wycombe
1.50
Lincoln
1.35
Charlton
1.35
Shrewsbury
1.28
Fleetwood Town
1.26
Exeter
1.22
Burton
1.22
Cheltenham
1.17
Bristol Rvs
1.15
Port Vale
1.07
Oxford
1.02
Cambridge
1.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.98
Accrington
0.96
Morecambe
0.96
Forest Green
0.59
Derby is 0.30 points better than Lincoln in terms of average points per game (1.65 vs 1.35).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.20
Plymouth
1.78
Sheffield Weds
1.76
Barnsley
1.74
Peterboro
1.63
Charlton
1.52
Derby
1.46
Exeter
1.39
Bolton
1.35
Portsmouth
1.33
Wycombe
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.26
Burton
1.24
Fleetwood Town
1.15
Shrewsbury
1.13
Oxford
1.07
Port Vale
1.04
Lincoln
1.02
Morecambe
1.02
Cheltenham
0.98
Milton Keynes Dons
0.96
Cambridge
0.89
Accrington
0.87
Forest Green
0.67
Derby is 0.43 goals better than Lincoln in terms of goals scored per game (1.46 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ipswich
0.76
Bolton
0.78
Sheffield Weds
0.80
Derby
1.00
Lincoln
1.02
Barnsley
1.02
Plymouth
1.02
Portsmouth
1.09
Fleetwood Town
1.11
Wycombe
1.11
Peterboro
1.17
Oxford
1.22
Shrewsbury
1.33
Cheltenham
1.33
Charlton
1.43
Milton Keynes Dons
1.43
Cambridge
1.48
Exeter
1.48
Port Vale
1.54
Bristol Rvs
1.59
Accrington
1.67
Morecambe
1.70
Burton
1.72
Forest Green
1.93
Derby is 0.02 goals better than Lincoln in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.02).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ipswich
59%
Bolton
57%
Portsmouth
55%
Derby
55%
Plymouth
54%
Peterboro
54%
Charlton
54%
Oxford
53%
Sheffield Weds
53%
Milton Keynes Dons
53%
Port Vale
52%
Exeter
52%
Barnsley
49%
Fleetwood Town
49%
Accrington
47%
Forest Green
47%
Wycombe
46%
Cambridge
46%
Burton
45%
Cheltenham
43%
Lincoln
43%
Shrewsbury
42%
Morecambe
42%
Derby is 11.6 percentage points better than Lincoln in terms of average possession (55% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Derby
For 5.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 11.0 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lincoln
For 3.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Derby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.1
10.3
4.0
4.1
3.9
20.9
21.3
20.4
vs Stronger (5)
11.8
14.0
10.3
5.2
4.5
5.7
24.4
19.0
28.0
vs Similar (30)
9.4
9.6
9.3
4.0
3.8
4.2
20.5
20.6
20.5
vs Weaker (15)
11.2
10.1
12.1
3.7
4.9
2.8
20.3
23.6
17.5
% over line
60%
64%
56%
58%
60%
56%
38%
52%
24%
% under line
40%
36%
44%
42%
40%
44%
62%
48%
76%
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lincoln
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.6
3.6
3.8
3.4
22.3
22.0
22.6
vs Stronger (4)
14.5
14.0
15.0
3.0
3.5
2.5
21.0
25.5
16.5
vs Similar (32)
9.9
10.4
9.5
3.2
3.5
3.0
22.2
22.3
22.2
vs Weaker (14)
8.6
9.0
8.0
4.8
4.6
5.0
22.8
20.5
25.8
% over line
50%
44%
56%
50%
52%
48%
56%
48%
64%
% under line
50%
56%
44%
50%
48%
52%
44%
52%
36%
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Exeter
11.9
Burton
11.8
Bristol Rvs
11.2
Portsmouth
10.7
Wycombe
10.7
Shrewsbury
10.4
Morecambe
10.4
Ipswich
10.4
Accrington
10.3
Forest Green
10.3
Derby
10.2
Barnsley
10.2
Charlton
10.1
Peterboro
10.1
Plymouth
10.1
Oxford
10.0
Port Vale
10.0
Lincoln
9.9
Cambridge
9.8
Bolton
9.8
Fleetwood Town
9.8
Sheffield Weds
9.6
Cheltenham
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bristol Rvs
4.5
Accrington
4.4
Oxford
4.3
Fleetwood Town
4.2
Forest Green
4.1
Derby
4.0
Portsmouth
3.8
Cambridge
3.7
Bolton
3.7
Shrewsbury
3.7
Ipswich
3.7
Lincoln
3.6
Charlton
3.6
Milton Keynes Dons
3.6
Cheltenham
3.5
Barnsley
3.4
Port Vale
3.4
Peterboro
3.4
Wycombe
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.3
Morecambe
3.1
Exeter
3.0
Plymouth
3.0
Burton
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Accrington
24.8
Portsmouth
24.6
Oxford
23.7
Bristol Rvs
23.7
Forest Green
23.4
Fleetwood Town
23.3
Peterboro
23.3
Charlton
23.1
Lincoln
22.3
Barnsley
22.3
Bolton
22.2
Milton Keynes Dons
22.2
Wycombe
21.8
Port Vale
21.7
Ipswich
21.5
Sheffield Weds
21.5
Shrewsbury
21.4
Plymouth
21.0
Cheltenham
21.0
Derby
20.9
Burton
20.9
Cambridge
20.7
Morecambe
20.7
Exeter
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.0%
Under 9.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.1%
Under 3.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
34.7%
Under 21.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Derby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.27
1.07
0.20
0.47
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.29
0.62
0.12
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (15)
1.13
0.27
1.57
0.29
0.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lincoln
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.47
0.33
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.75
0.44
0.33
0.55
1.09
vs Weaker (8)
0.50
0.50
0.60
0.40
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Derby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Derby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
0.93
0.60
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.71
0.79
0.75
0.88
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (15)
0.93
0.33
1.14
0.29
0.75
0.38
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lincoln
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.60
0.40
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.35
0.33
0.11
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Derby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Derby · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
S. Szmodics75%
Carlton Morris33%
L. Salvesen20%
Bobby Clark20%
Rhian Brewster0%
C. Taylor0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Travis75%
Sondre Langås60%
D. Sanderson40%
Rhian Brewster25%
A. Mowatt25%
Corey Blackett-Taylor25%
Oscar Fraulo25%
C. Taylor20%
M. Johnston20%
L. Salvesen0%
S. Szmodics0%
Carlton Morris0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Bobby Clark0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bobby Clark40%
Carlton Morris33%
Oscar Fraulo25%
Rhian Brewster0%
L. Salvesen0%
S. Szmodics0%
C. Taylor0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Szmodics25%
Corey Blackett-Taylor25%
L. Salvesen20%
Bobby Clark20%
Rhian Brewster0%
C. Taylor0%
Carlton Morris0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
Lincoln · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ben House50%
Callum Elder33%
Adam Reach25%
Tom Bayliss25%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild20%
Dom Jefferies20%
Tanto Olaofe20%
Robert Street20%
Conor McGrandles0%
Tom Hamer0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
George Wickens0%
Ryley Towler0%
Freddie Draper0%
Varfolomieiev Ivan0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Mason Melia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ben House50%
Freddie Draper40%
Tom Hamer33%
Mason Melia33%
Conor McGrandles25%
Adam Reach25%
Tom Bayliss25%
Tanto Olaofe20%
Varfolomieiev Ivan20%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
Callum Elder0%
Dom Jefferies0%
George Wickens0%
Ryley Towler0%
Robert Street0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Elder67%
Tendayi Darikwa33%
Tom Bayliss25%
Freddie Draper20%
Varfolomieiev Ivan20%
Conor McGrandles0%
Ben House0%
Tom Hamer0%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild0%
Adam Reach0%
Dom Jefferies0%
George Wickens0%
Tanto Olaofe0%
Ryley Towler0%
Robert Street0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Mason Melia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ben House50%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild20%
Robert Street20%
Conor McGrandles0%
Tom Hamer0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
Adam Reach0%
Callum Elder0%
Tom Bayliss0%
Dom Jefferies0%
George Wickens0%
Tanto Olaofe0%
Ryley Towler0%
Freddie Draper0%
Varfolomieiev Ivan0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Mason Melia0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
DER (25)
€57m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
WYC (24)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
PET (23)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
SHR (17)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
FG (4)
€1m
MOR (1)
€0m
Derby's squad is €45m more valuable than Lincoln's (€57m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Derby's attack is €22m more valuable than Lincoln's (€25m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
DER (6)
€14m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
Derby's midfield is €12m more valuable than Lincoln's (€14m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (13)
€85m
DER (11)
€18m
POR (13)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
FG (2)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Derby's defence is €12m more valuable than Lincoln's (€18m vs €6m).
England: League One 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Plymouth
Ipswich
Sheffield Weds
Barnsley
Bolton
Peterboro
Portsmouth
Wycombe
Charlton
Shrewsbury
Fleetwood Town
Exeter
Burton
Cheltenham
Bristol Rvs
Port Vale
Oxford
Cambridge
Milton Keynes Dons
Morecambe
Accrington
Forest Green