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Derby vs Lincoln Result & Analysis

Date: 21/12/2023
Time: 19:45
Final 3-1
Derby
Derby
Vs
53%
29%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lincoln
Lincoln
England: League One
Referee: P Wright

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Derby win✓ Hit
53.3%
Avg Implied 63.2% · @ 1.48
Edge
-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied 23.0% · @ 4.06
Edge
+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lincoln win✗ Miss
17.5%
Avg Implied 13.8% · @ 6.79
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DerbyDerby

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L20W13L40W30W21W10W30W11DA·CHE07/10A·SHR21/10H·EXE24/10A·STE28/10H·NOR31/10H·BAR11/11H·BRI25/11A·POR28/11A·LEY09/12H·WYC16/12
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.931.270.871.601.00
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (13)1.541.231.291.141.831.33
vs Weaker (16)1.440.621.430.431.440.78
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LincolnLincoln

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W11D02L11D01L10W22D30W00D11DH·CHA24/10A·EXE28/10H·OXF31/10H·POR11/11A·STE18/11A·LEY21/11H·BAR25/11A·CAM28/11A·WIG09/12H·REA16/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.901.470.801.131.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.261.001.451.001.081.00
vs Weaker (7)1.430.571.500.251.331.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.0%
Under 1.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.9%
@ 2.05-9.0%
Under 2.5
63.1%
@ 1.74+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.5%
Under 3.5
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.6%
No
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.3%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
12.0%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
Derby goals ↓
Lincoln goals →
01234
013%7.1%3.0%0.7%0.1%
115%13%4.3%1.0%0.2%
212%8.6%3.1%0.8%0.1%
35.8%4.2%1.5%0.4%0.1%
42.1%1.5%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Derby goals (down), columns = Lincoln goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Portsmouth
2.11
Derby
2.00
Bolton
1.89
Peterboro
1.83
Oxford
1.67
Barnsley
1.65
Lincoln
1.61
Blackpool
1.59
Stevenage
1.54
Wigan
1.52
Leyton Orient
1.41
Wycombe
1.41
Exeter
1.33
Northampton
1.30
Reading
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.24
Charlton
1.15
Cambridge
1.04
Shrewsbury
1.04
Burton
1.00
Cheltenham
0.96
Fleetwood Town
0.93
Port Vale
0.89
Carlisle
0.65
Derby is 0.39 points better than Lincoln in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterboro
1.93
Bolton
1.87
Barnsley
1.78
Oxford
1.72
Derby
1.70
Portsmouth
1.70
Reading
1.48
Lincoln
1.41
Blackpool
1.41
Charlton
1.39
Wigan
1.37
Wycombe
1.30
Northampton
1.24
Stevenage
1.24
Leyton Orient
1.15
Bristol Rvs
1.13
Fleetwood Town
1.07
Exeter
1.00
Port Vale
0.89
Carlisle
0.89
Cheltenham
0.89
Cambridge
0.85
Burton
0.85
Shrewsbury
0.76
Derby is 0.28 goals better than Lincoln in terms of goals scored per game (1.70 vs 1.41).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Derby
0.80
Lincoln
0.87
Portsmouth
0.89
Stevenage
1.00
Blackpool
1.04
Bolton
1.11
Leyton Orient
1.20
Wycombe
1.20
Oxford
1.22
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Peterboro
1.33
Barnsley
1.39
Charlton
1.41
Cheltenham
1.41
Northampton
1.43
Shrewsbury
1.46
Burton
1.46
Bristol Rvs
1.48
Reading
1.52
Fleetwood Town
1.57
Port Vale
1.61
Carlisle
1.76
Derby is 0.07 goals better than Lincoln in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 0.87).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Peterboro
62%
Bolton
60%
Portsmouth
59%
Exeter
54%
Barnsley
54%
Wigan
53%
Blackpool
53%
Reading
53%
Oxford
52%
Leyton Orient
52%
Charlton
52%
Derby
51%
Port Vale
49%
Northampton
49%
Fleetwood Town
47%
Wycombe
46%
Carlisle
46%
Stevenage
45%
Cambridge
44%
Cheltenham
44%
Lincoln
43%
Shrewsbury
41%
Burton
41%
Derby is 8.5 percentage points better than Lincoln in terms of average possession (51% vs 43%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

DerbyDerby

For 6.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

170524869817882734389817121591510107179H·WYCA·LEYA·PORH·BRIH·BARH·NORA·STEH·EXEA·SHRA·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

8053122211222212118320334331H·WYCA·LEYA·PORH·BRIH·BARH·NORA·STEH·EXEA·SHRA·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.1 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

27088158912512131459141191112981716232117271425202125H·WYCA·LEYA·PORH·BRIH·BARH·NORA·STEH·EXEA·SHRA·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LincolnLincoln

For 5.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

160155642364346916997656116971010151611H·REAA·WIGA·CAMH·BARA·LEYA·STEH·PORH·OXFA·EXEH·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

8033442211211122446842223280H·REAA·WIGA·CAMH·BARA·LEYA·STEH·PORH·OXFA·EXEH·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.8

⚠️ Fouls

310141413151813997131211556812108628283118202310142214H·REAA·WIGA·CAMH·BARA·LEYA·STEH·PORH·OXFA·EXEH·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DerbyDerby

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.311.13.84.13.420.720.820.5
vs Stronger (1)8.08.0-7.07.0-16.016.0-
vs Similar (24)11.211.511.04.04.04.020.820.920.7
vs Weaker (25)10.39.511.23.44.02.820.721.120.3
% over line62%56%68%50%60%40%44%48%40%
% under line38%44%32%50%40%60%56%52%60%
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LincolnLincoln

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.49.14.03.84.121.720.422.8
vs Stronger (1)12.012.0-4.04.0-21.021.0-
vs Similar (37)8.98.79.13.73.73.721.420.122.7
vs Weaker (12)8.05.89.14.74.05.022.721.523.2
% over line46%29%62%56%54%58%52%42%62%
% under line54%71%38%44%46%42%48%58%38%
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Charlton
11.3
Exeter
11.2
Oxford
11.0
Portsmouth
10.9
Bristol Rvs
10.8
Derby
10.7
Peterboro
10.7
Port Vale
10.6
Fleetwood Town
10.6
Wycombe
10.5
Bolton
10.2
Carlisle
10.1
Reading
10.1
Barnsley
10.1
Shrewsbury
10.0
Cambridge
9.9
Burton
9.8
Blackpool
9.6
Stevenage
9.5
Cheltenham
9.5
Leyton Orient
9.5
Wigan
9.3
Northampton
9.1
Lincoln
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Wigan
4.6
Fleetwood Town
4.6
Bristol Rvs
4.5
Portsmouth
4.4
Shrewsbury
4.2
Oxford
4.2
Port Vale
4.2
Bolton
4.1
Barnsley
4.1
Stevenage
4.0
Cambridge
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Leyton Orient
4.0
Reading
3.9
Charlton
3.8
Exeter
3.8
Blackpool
3.8
Derby
3.8
Northampton
3.7
Cheltenham
3.7
Carlisle
3.7
Peterboro
3.7
Wycombe
3.6
Burton
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stevenage
24.5
Portsmouth
24.0
Bristol Rvs
23.4
Wigan
23.4
Oxford
23.0
Fleetwood Town
22.7
Bolton
22.6
Cambridge
22.3
Blackpool
22.2
Port Vale
22.0
Lincoln
21.7
Barnsley
21.6
Wycombe
21.6
Reading
21.5
Northampton
21.4
Charlton
21.4
Leyton Orient
21.4
Cheltenham
21.3
Peterboro
21.1
Shrewsbury
20.9
Derby
20.7
Carlisle
20.6
Exeter
20.6
Burton
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.0%
Under 9.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.8%
Under 3.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
45.3%
Under 21.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DerbyDerby

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D10W12L30W10W00D00D10W00DA·CHE07/10A·SHR21/10H·EXE24/10A·STE28/10H·NOR31/10H·BAR11/11H·BRI25/11A·POR28/11A·LEY09/12H·WYC16/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.400.470.400.800.40
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (13)0.620.460.290.431.000.50
vs Weaker (16)0.690.310.710.290.670.33
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LincolnLincoln

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W01L01L00D00D10W20W00D10WH·CHA24/10A·EXE28/10H·OXF31/10H·POR11/11A·STE18/11A·LEY21/11H·BAR25/11A·CAM28/11A·WIG09/12H·REA16/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.300.670.400.600.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.610.350.640.450.580.25
vs Weaker (7)0.710.140.750.250.670.00
Clean sheet %77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Derby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DerbyDerby

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W01L10W20W21W10W20W11DA·CHE07/10A·SHR21/10H·EXE24/10A·STE28/10H·NOR31/10H·BAR11/11H·BRI25/11A·POR28/11A·LEY09/12H·WYC16/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.530.800.470.800.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (13)0.920.771.000.710.830.83
vs Weaker (16)0.750.310.710.140.780.44
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LincolnLincoln

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L01L10W01L10W12L10W00D01LH·CHA24/10A·EXE28/10H·OXF31/10H·POR11/11A·STE18/11A·LEY21/11H·BAR25/11A·CAM28/11A·WIG09/12H·REA16/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.800.400.530.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.650.650.820.550.500.75
vs Weaker (7)0.710.430.750.000.671.00
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Derby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls83.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.582.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards77.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls70.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Derby · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
S. Szmodics75%
Carlton Morris33%
L. Salvesen20%
Bobby Clark20%
Rhian Brewster0%
C. Taylor0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Travis75%
Sondre Langås60%
D. Sanderson40%
Rhian Brewster25%
A. Mowatt25%
Corey Blackett-Taylor25%
Oscar Fraulo25%
C. Taylor20%
M. Johnston20%
L. Salvesen0%
S. Szmodics0%
Carlton Morris0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Bobby Clark0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bobby Clark40%
Carlton Morris33%
Oscar Fraulo25%
Rhian Brewster0%
L. Salvesen0%
S. Szmodics0%
C. Taylor0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Szmodics25%
Corey Blackett-Taylor25%
L. Salvesen20%
Bobby Clark20%
Rhian Brewster0%
C. Taylor0%
Carlton Morris0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
Lincoln · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ben House50%
Callum Elder33%
Adam Reach25%
Tom Bayliss25%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild20%
Dom Jefferies20%
Tanto Olaofe20%
Robert Street20%
Conor McGrandles0%
Tom Hamer0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
George Wickens0%
Ryley Towler0%
Freddie Draper0%
Varfolomieiev Ivan0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Mason Melia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ben House50%
Freddie Draper40%
Tom Hamer33%
Mason Melia33%
Conor McGrandles25%
Adam Reach25%
Tom Bayliss25%
Tanto Olaofe20%
Varfolomieiev Ivan20%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
Callum Elder0%
Dom Jefferies0%
George Wickens0%
Ryley Towler0%
Robert Street0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Elder67%
Tendayi Darikwa33%
Tom Bayliss25%
Freddie Draper20%
Varfolomieiev Ivan20%
Conor McGrandles0%
Ben House0%
Tom Hamer0%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild0%
Adam Reach0%
Dom Jefferies0%
George Wickens0%
Tanto Olaofe0%
Ryley Towler0%
Robert Street0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Mason Melia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ben House50%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild20%
Robert Street20%
Conor McGrandles0%
Tom Hamer0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
Adam Reach0%
Callum Elder0%
Tom Bayliss0%
Dom Jefferies0%
George Wickens0%
Tanto Olaofe0%
Ryley Towler0%
Freddie Draper0%
Varfolomieiev Ivan0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Mason Melia0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (25)
€57m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
SHR (17)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
CAR (1)
€0m
Derby's squad is €45m more valuable than Lincoln's (€57m vs €12m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
POR (12)
€13m
OXF (8)
€6m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Derby's attack is €22m more valuable than Lincoln's (€25m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (6)
€14m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Derby's midfield is €12m more valuable than Lincoln's (€14m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (11)
€18m
POR (13)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
Derby's defence is €12m more valuable than Lincoln's (€18m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
DER wins
1
Draws
1
LIN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Derby vs Lincoln · H/A from DER
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/23HDER Vs Lincoln1-1
13/09/22ALincoln Vs DER2-0

DerbyDerby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/12/23HDER Vs Wycombe1-1
09/12/23ALeyton Orient Vs DER0-3
28/11/23APort Vale Vs DER0-1
25/11/23HDER Vs Bristol Rvs2-1
11/11/23HDER Vs Barnsley3-0
31/10/23HDER Vs Northampton4-0
28/10/23AStevenage Vs DER3-1
24/10/23HDER Vs Exeter2-0
21/10/23AShrewsbury Vs DER1-0
07/10/23ACheltenham Vs DER1-1

LincolnLincoln

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/12/23HLIN Vs Reading1-1
09/12/23AWigan Vs LIN0-0
28/11/23ACambridge Vs LIN0-3
25/11/23HLIN Vs Barnsley2-2
21/11/23ALeyton Orient Vs LIN0-1
18/11/23AStevenage Vs LIN1-0
11/11/23HLIN Vs Port Vale1-1
31/10/23HLIN Vs Oxford0-2
28/10/23AExeter Vs LIN1-1
24/10/23HLIN Vs Charlton3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Derby
Derby
England: League One
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.76
HomeWWWWD1.88
AwayDLLWW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%52%48%
AVG goals2.602.362.84
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %48%40%56%
Over 3.5 %26%20%32%
Scored1.641.681.60
Conceded0.960.681.24
BTTS50%40%60%
Clean Sheet40%52%28%
Corners10.7010.2811.12
Cards3.764.123.40
Lincoln
Lincoln
England: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDD1.36
HomeWLDDD1.58
AwayDLWWD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%27%
AVG goals2.001.882.12
Over 1.5 %68%62%73%
Over 2.5 %32%25%38%
Over 3.5 %10%12%8%
Scored1.061.121.00
Conceded0.940.751.12
BTTS40%38%42%
Clean Sheet42%46%38%
Corners8.748.389.08
Cards3.963.794.12

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PortsmouthPortsmouth4697
61%
2.1
7841+37
2.6
74%
57%
30%
9.8
50%
5.0
70%
24.6
76%
32
135141.70.9
59%
2DerbyDerby4692
61%
2.0
7837+41
2.5
70%
54%
22%
11.3
67%
3.7
50%
21.4
50%
57
2514181.70.8
51%
3BoltonBolton4687
54%
1.9
8651+35
3.0
78%
52%
35%
10.7
61%
4.4
63%
23.3
67%
17
4491.91.1
60%
4PeterboroPeterboro4684
54%
1.8
8961+28
3.3
83%
67%
43%
11.2
52%
3.5
41%
19.8
41%
7
3131.91.3
62%
5OxfordOxford4677
48%
1.7
7956+23
2.9
89%
65%
30%
10.5
54%
4.4
63%
21.8
54%
20
6681.71.2
52%
6BarnsleyBarnsley4676
46%
1.7
8264+18
3.2
89%
65%
39%
10.6
57%
4.1
67%
19.8
33%
8
2331.81.4
54%
7LincolnLincoln4674
43%
1.6
6540+25
2.3
70%
39%
17%
9.6
54%
4.8
70%
22.5
59%
12
3261.40.9
43%
8BlackpoolBlackpool4673
46%
1.6
6548+17
2.5
65%
46%
26%
9.5
57%
4.2
61%
22.2
61%
11
4341.41.0
53%
9StevenageStevenage4671
41%
1.5
5746+11
2.2
61%
48%
22%
10.2
50%
4.5
59%
25.1
76%
7
2231.21.0
45%
10WiganWigan4670
43%
1.5
6356+7
2.6
76%
46%
22%
9.2
41%
5.4
74%
24.7
70%
7
2231.41.2
53%
11WycombeWycombe4665
37%
1.4
6055+5
2.5
67%
46%
28%
10.6
59%
3.9
59%
21.1
50%
10
3251.31.2
46%
12Leyton OrientLeyton Orient4665
39%
1.4
5355-2
2.3
61%
46%
22%
10.4
59%
3.8
57%
20.1
39%
10
4331.21.2
52%
13ExeterExeter4661
37%
1.3
4661-15
2.3
67%
46%
13%
11.8
70%
4.3
65%
21.5
54%
3
1111.01.3
54%
14NorthamptonNorthampton4660
37%
1.3
5766-9
2.7
78%
50%
24%
8.8
39%
3.5
50%
20.1
37%
3
1121.21.4
49%
15ReadingReading4659
35%
1.3
6870-2
3.0
80%
54%
39%
10.5
54%
3.7
50%
21.3
43%
10
3341.51.5
53%
16Bristol RvsBristol Rvs4657
35%
1.2
5268-16
2.6
85%
50%
20%
10.4
61%
4.5
63%
22.7
61%
5
2031.11.5
-
17CharltonCharlton4653
24%
1.2
6465-1
2.8
83%
52%
33%
10.8
61%
4.3
59%
20.8
43%
31
183101.41.4
52%
18CambridgeCambridge4648
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.2
67%
39%
17%
9.7
52%
4.1
65%
22.9
63%
5
2120.81.3
44%
19ShrewsburyShrewsbury4648
28%
1.0
3567-32
2.2
70%
39%
15%
10.6
59%
3.9
57%
21.5
46%
3
0120.81.5
41%
20BurtonBurton4646
26%
1.0
3967-28
2.3
70%
46%
17%
8.6
35%
3.9
59%
21.9
52%
5
1120.81.5
41%
21CheltenhamCheltenham4644
26%
1.0
4165-24
2.3
72%
46%
15%
10.1
57%
4.2
61%
23.8
70%
3
1110.91.4
44%
22Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town4643
22%
0.9
4972-23
2.6
78%
52%
24%
11.7
67%
4.1
63%
22.0
52%
3
1111.11.6
47%
23Port ValePort Vale4641
22%
0.9
4174-33
2.5
67%
46%
22%
11.1
63%
4.0
63%
20.5
50%
7
2230.91.6
49%
24CarlisleCarlisle4630
15%
0.7
4181-40
2.7
74%
46%
33%
9.9
57%
3.3
43%
19.8
43%
0
0000.91.8
46%
England: League One 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →

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