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Diagoras vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou Result & Analysis

Date: 23/02/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 1-0
Diagoras
Diagoras
Vs
35%
39%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Greece: Super League 2
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diagoras win✓ Hit
34.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
39.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou win✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DiagorasDiagoras

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D13L01L01L00D10W04L00D10W00DH·KAV16/11A·MAK24/11H·LAR30/11A·KAM06/12H·ETH15/12H·PAO20/12H·IRA12/01H·PAS18/01A·NIK25/01A·KAV01/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.470.670.600.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.570.860.500.710.641.00
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ethnikos Neou KeramidiouEthnikos Neou Keramidiou

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W01L00D01L01L22D12L03L23LA·PAS22/11A·PAO27/11A·LAR07/12A·DIA15/12H·IRA20/12H·KAV05/01A·NIK13/01H·MAK19/01A·KAM25/01H·PAO01/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.200.441.440.551.00
vs Stronger (12)0.671.170.601.800.710.71
vs Similar (8)0.251.250.251.000.251.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Diagoras) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

8%16%23%31%24%031%126%212%34%41%50%6+
The model estimates around 1.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (31%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.5%
Under 1.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.4%
Under 2.5
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
6.2%
Under 3.5
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
28.1%
No
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
24.2%
1-0 ✓
17.4%
0-1
13.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-0
7.6%
0-2
5.0%
2-1
5.0%
1-2
4.1%
Diagoras goals ↓
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou goals →
01234
024%14%5.0%1.1%0.2%
117%14%4.1%0.9%0.1%
27.6%5.0%1.6%0.4%0.1%
32.0%1.4%0.4%0.1%0.0%
40.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Diagoras goals (down), columns = Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larisa
2.54
Kifisia
2.50
Kalamata
2.38
Iraklis 1908
2.08
Panionios
1.81
PAS Giannina
1.54
PAOK II
1.27
Niki Volos
1.23
Kissamikos
1.19
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.19
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.19
Panachaiki FC
1.12
Kavala
1.08
Diagoras
1.04
Egaleo
1.00
AEK Athens II
0.96
Asteras Tripolis II
0.96
Panargiakos
0.92
Ilioupoli
0.88
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
0.35
Diagoras is 0.69 points better than Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou in terms of average points per game (1.04 vs 0.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Larisa
2.23
Iraklis 1908
1.88
Kifisia
1.88
Kalamata
1.58
Panionios
1.50
PAS Giannina
1.35
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.31
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.23
Kissamikos
1.12
PAOK II
1.08
Niki Volos
1.04
Asteras Tripolis II
1.00
AEK Athens II
0.92
Panargiakos
0.80
Kavala
0.77
Panachaiki FC
0.76
Ilioupoli
0.73
Egaleo
0.65
Diagoras
0.62
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
0.38
Diagoras is 0.23 goals better than Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou in terms of goals scored per game (0.62 vs 0.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kifisia
0.50
Kalamata
0.54
Larisa
0.58
Panionios
0.69
Iraklis 1908
0.81
Diagoras
0.96
Panachaiki FC
1.00
Kissamikos
1.08
PAOK II
1.12
Niki Volos
1.12
Kavala
1.23
AEK Athens II
1.31
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
1.31
Egaleo
1.35
Panargiakos
1.36
Asteras Tripolis II
1.42
PAS Giannina
1.46
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.50
Ilioupoli
1.73
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.81
Diagoras is 0.35 goals better than Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DiagorasDiagoras

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L00D00D00D00D01L00D10W00DH·KAV16/11A·MAK24/11H·LAR30/11A·KAM06/12H·ETH15/12H·PAO20/12H·IRA12/01H·PAS18/01A·NIK25/01A·KAV01/02
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.200.170.200.130.200.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.210.180.210.140.210.21
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %87% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ethnikos Neou KeramidiouEthnikos Neou Keramidiou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D00D01L11D10W00D02LA·PAS22/11A·PAO27/11A·LAR07/12A·DIA15/12H·IRA20/12H·KAV05/01A·NIK13/01H·MAK19/01A·KAM25/01H·PAO01/02
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.200.300.220.440.180.18
vs Stronger (12)0.250.420.200.600.290.29
vs Similar (8)0.120.120.250.250.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Diagoras) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Diagoras over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diagoras over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diagoras over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DiagorasDiagoras

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L01L01L00D10W03L00D00D00DH·KAV16/11A·MAK24/11H·LAR30/11A·KAM06/12H·ETH15/12H·PAO20/12H·IRA12/01H·PAS18/01A·NIK25/01A·KAV01/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.630.270.530.400.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.360.680.290.570.430.79
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ethnikos Neou KeramidiouEthnikos Neou Keramidiou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W01L00D01L00D11D02L03L21WA·PAS22/11A·PAO27/11A·LAR07/12A·DIA15/12H·IRA20/12H·KAV05/01A·NIK13/01H·MAK19/01A·KAM25/01H·PAO01/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.900.221.000.360.82
vs Stronger (12)0.420.750.401.200.430.43
vs Similar (8)0.121.120.000.750.251.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Diagoras) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Diagoras over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diagoras over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diagoras over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.593.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.581.6%-------✓ Hit
BTTS No71.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (28)
€11m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
ILI (31)
€4m
PG (36)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
KAV (28)
€3m
MN (29)
€3m
KC (26)
€2m
PAN (32)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
PAN (13)
€3m
EGA (19)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
PAN (12)
€1m
KC (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
I1 (7)
€3m
KAL (6)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
KC (7)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
PAN (7)
€0m
KAV (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
LAR (13)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
ATI (10)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
MN (15)
€1m
KC (11)
€1m
PAN (13)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
DIA wins
2
Draws
0
ENK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Diagoras vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou · H/A from DIA
DateH/AGameScore
15/12/24HDIA Vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou0-0
13/10/24AEthnikos Neou Keramidiou Vs DIA0-0

DiagorasDiagoras

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/02/25AKavala Vs DIA0-0
25/01/25ANiki Volos Vs DIA0-1
18/01/25HDIA Vs PAS Giannina0-0
12/01/25HDIA Vs Iraklis 19080-4
20/12/24HDIA Vs PAOK II1-0
15/12/24HDIA Vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou0-0
06/12/24AKampaniakos Chalastra Vs DIA1-0
30/11/24HDIA Vs Larisa0-1
24/11/24AMakedonikos Neapolis Vs DIA3-1
16/11/24HDIA Vs Kavala1-1

Ethnikos Neou KeramidiouEthnikos Neou Keramidiou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/02/25HENK Vs PAOK II2-3
25/01/25AKampaniakos Chalastra Vs ENK3-0
19/01/25HENK Vs Makedonikos Neapolis1-2
13/01/25ANiki Volos Vs ENK2-2
05/01/25HENK Vs Kavala0-1
20/12/24HENK Vs Iraklis 19080-1
15/12/24ADiagoras Vs ENK0-0
07/12/24ALarisa Vs ENK1-0
27/11/24APAOK II Vs ENK0-1
22/11/24APAS Giannina Vs ENK1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Diagoras
Diagoras
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWD1.14
HomeLDWLD1.38
AwayLLLWD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals1.661.461.85
Over 1.5 %46%42%50%
Over 2.5 %26%21%31%
Over 3.5 %12%8%15%
Scored0.660.670.65
Conceded1.000.791.19
BTTS32%25%38%
Clean Sheet38%50%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.55
HomeDLLLL0.22
AwayWLDDL0.82
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %10%0%18%
AVG goals1.701.891.55
Over 1.5 %40%44%36%
Over 2.5 %30%33%27%
Over 3.5 %15%22%9%
Scored0.500.440.55
Conceded1.201.441.00
BTTS25%33%18%
Clean Sheet30%22%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LarisaLarisa2666
77%
2.5
5815+43
2.8
85%
62%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.20.6
-
2KifisiaKifisia2665
77%
2.5
4913+36
2.4
65%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.90.5
-
3KalamataKalamata2662
73%
2.4
4114+27
2.1
62%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
4251.60.5
-
4Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19082654
62%
2.1
4921+28
2.7
77%
62%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.90.8
-
5PanioniosPanionios2647
50%
1.8
3918+21
2.2
77%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.50.7
-
6PAS GianninaPAS Giannina2640
38%
1.5
3538-3
2.8
77%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.5
-
7PAOK IIPAOK II2633
35%
1.3
2829-1
2.2
62%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
8Niki VolosNiki Volos2632
23%
1.2
2729-2
2.2
73%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.01.1
-
9KissamikosKissamikos2631
31%
1.2
2928+1
2.2
62%
46%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
10Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
81%
62%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.5
-
11Kampaniakos ChalastraKampaniakos Chalastra2631
31%
1.2
3447-13
3.1
85%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.8
-
12Panachaiki FCPanachaiki FC2528
28%
1.1
1925-6
1.8
48%
28%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
13KavalaKavala2628
23%
1.1
2032-12
2.0
58%
31%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.81.2
-
14DiagorasDiagoras2627
23%
1.0
1625-9
1.6
38%
35%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.0
-
15EgaleoEgaleo2626
27%
1.0
1735-18
2.0
54%
35%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3120.71.3
-
16AEK Athens IIAEK Athens II2625
19%
1.0
2434-10
2.2
58%
38%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
17Asteras Tripolis IIAsteras Tripolis II2625
23%
1.0
2637-11
2.4
69%
46%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.4
-
18PanargiakosPanargiakos2523
24%
0.9
2034-14
2.2
60%
36%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.4
-
19IlioupoliIlioupoli2623
23%
0.9
1945-26
2.5
73%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.71.7
-
20Ethnikos Neou KeramidiouEthnikos Neou Keramidiou269
4%
0.3
1034-24
1.7
42%
27%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.41.3
-
Greece: Super League 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →

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