Dila vs Saburtalo Result & Analysis

Dila are the clear favorites, with a 49% chance of triumph, a 27% chance of a draw and a 24% chance of an away win, the model picking a home win as the most likely outcome. The match is expected to produce 2.7 goals on average, with the most probable total being two goals, a 26% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13% chance. Dila, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.5 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded, while Saburtalo, on the road, average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 with a 75.7% probability and Under 3.5 with a 72.2% probability. The home win probability is 49%, the draw 27% and the away win 24%.

The upset came early, as Dila’s home form - just a defeat before this match - did not translate into a win. The final score was 1-3, giving Saburtalo the away victory. The model had picked a home win with a 49% probability, but that call was wrong. The suggested picks were mixed: Over 1.5, at 75.7%, hit, while Under 3.5, at 72.2%, missed. Saburtalo’s win extended their streak of losses into a new win, while Dila’s single goal fell short of the model’s most likely 1-1 outcome. The prediction model’s favourite did not come through.