PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Dila vs Torpedo Kutaisi Result & Analysis

Date: 03/05/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Dila
Dila
Vs
54%
28%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Dila are tipped to lift the match, with a 54% chance of victory, a 28% chance of a draw, and only an 18% chance of Torpedo Kutaisi winning. The model favours a 1-0 scoreline, a 14% probability, and expects a modest 2.3 goals overall, with the most likely total of two goals at 28%. Dila, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, while Torpedo Kutaisi, on the road, average only 0.33 scored and 2.33 conceded. The model’s selection list contains only one pick: Under 3.5, a 79.8% probability. The match is expected to be a tight affair, with Dila’s recent form showing a win-winning streak after a defeat, and Torpedo Kutaisi struggling to score after two losses.

Results analysis

The win extends Dila’s recent run, turning a narrow loss into a decisive victory. The model’s favourite, Home win, with a 54% probability, proved correct as Dila edged Torpedo Kutaisi 2-0. The predicted 2-goal total materialised, and the most likely scoreline of 1-0 was close to the actual 2-0 result. The model’s single selection, Under 3.5 goals at 79.8%, hit as well, keeping the match under the expected 2.3-goal threshold. Both the favoured outcome and the suggested pick performed as forecast, confirming the model’s accuracy for this Erovnuli Liga encounter.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dila win✓ Hit
53.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi win✗ Miss
18.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DilaDila

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L21W21W10W12L30W21W00D01LH·GAG26/02A·TOR04/03H·DIN08/03H·SIO19/03H·SAB02/04A·DIN06/04A·LOK11/04H·TEL18/04A·SAM23/04A·GAG29/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.801.800.800.800.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.201.001.670.670.501.50
vs Weaker (5)1.400.602.001.001.000.33
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L10W02L02L42W20W00D11D03L03LA·DIN25/02H·DIL04/03A·SAB08/03H·SAM02/04H·LOK06/04A·GAG10/04A·TEL14/04A·SIO18/04H·DIN23/04H·DIN29/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.701.002.000.601.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.332.170.332.000.332.33
vs Weaker (4)1.501.002.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.2%
Under 1.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.5%
Under 2.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.7%
No
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.1%
2-0 ✓
11.5%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
Dila goals ↓
Torpedo Kutaisi goals →
01234
011%6.6%3.1%0.8%0.2%
114%13%4.7%1.2%0.2%
212%9.0%3.6%0.9%0.2%
35.8%4.6%1.8%0.5%0.1%
42.2%1.7%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dila goals (down), columns = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Samtredia
3.00
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.22
Dinamo Batumi
2.14
Dila
1.64
Samgurali
1.58
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.50
Spaeri
1.50
Saburtalo
1.31
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.03
Sioni
0.95
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
0.22
Dila is 0.14 points better than Torpedo Kutaisi in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.42
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.03
Samgurali
1.53
Samtredia
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33
Dila
1.33
Sioni
1.00
Gagra
1.00
Spaeri
1.00
Telavi
0.81
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
0.78
Dila and Torpedo Kutaisi are level in goals scored per game (both 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Samtredia
0.00
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.81
Dinamo Batumi
0.94
Dila
0.97
Telavi
1.00
Spaeri
1.00
Samgurali
1.22
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33
Saburtalo
1.36
Gagra
1.55
Sioni
1.66
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
2.81
Dila is 0.36 goals better than Torpedo Kutaisi in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

DilaDila

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

DilaDila

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (5)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

🟨 Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠️ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DilaDila

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00D00D00D02L00D00D00D00DH·GAG26/02A·TOR04/03H·DIN08/03H·SIO19/03H·SAB02/04A·DIN06/04A·LOK11/04H·TEL18/04A·SAM23/04A·GAG29/04
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.200.300.400.000.000.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.000.600.000.000.001.50
vs Weaker (5)0.400.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %80% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W02L02L20W10W00D11D02LA·DIN25/02H·DIL04/03A·SAB08/03H·SAM02/04H·LOK06/04A·GAG10/04A·TEL14/04A·SIO18/04H·DIN23/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.561.000.751.000.401.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.401.400.501.000.331.67
vs Weaker (4)0.750.501.001.000.500.00
Clean sheet %44% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dila over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DilaDila

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D21W21W10W10W30W21W00D01LH·GAG26/02A·TOR04/03H·DIN08/03H·SIO19/03H·SAB02/04A·DIN06/04A·LOK11/04H·TEL18/04A·SAM23/04A·GAG29/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.501.400.800.800.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.200.401.670.670.500.00
vs Weaker (5)1.000.601.001.001.000.33
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D22D10W00D00D01LA·DIN25/02H·DIL04/03A·SAB08/03H·SAM02/04H·LOK06/04A·GAG10/04A·TEL14/04A·SIO18/04H·DIN23/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.560.500.750.200.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.000.600.000.500.000.67
vs Weaker (4)0.750.501.001.000.500.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dila over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
Dila's squad is €3m less valuable than Torpedo Kutaisi's (€4m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
Dila and Torpedo Kutaisi have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
Dila's midfield is €2m less valuable than Torpedo Kutaisi's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
Dila and Torpedo Kutaisi have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
DIL wins
0
Draws
1
TK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dila vs Torpedo Kutaisi · H/A from DIL
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs DIL1-0

DilaDila

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/22AGagra Vs DIL1-0
23/04/22ASamgurali Vs DIL0-0
18/04/22HDIL Vs Telavi2-1
11/04/22ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs DIL0-3
06/04/22ADinamo Tbilisi Vs DIL2-1
02/04/22HDIL Vs Saburtalo1-0
19/03/22HDIL Vs Sioni2-1
08/03/22HDIL Vs Dinamo Batumi2-1
04/03/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs DIL1-0
26/02/22HDIL Vs Gagra2-1

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/22HTK Vs Dinamo Tbilisi0-3
23/04/22HTK Vs Dinamo Batumi0-3
18/04/22ASioni Vs TK1-1
14/04/22ATelavi Vs TK0-0
10/04/22AGagra Vs TK0-2
06/04/22HTK Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi4-2
02/04/22HTK Vs Samgurali0-2
08/03/22ASaburtalo Vs TK2-0
04/03/22HTK Vs Dila1-0
25/02/22ADinamo Tbilisi Vs TK4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dila
Dila
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.90
HomeWWWWW3.00
AwayLLWDL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%100%20%
AVG goals2.102.601.60
Over 1.5 %60%80%40%
Over 2.5 %60%80%40%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored1.301.800.80
Conceded0.800.800.80
BTTS50%80%20%
Clean Sheet30%20%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLL1.10
HomeWLWLL1.20
AwayLLWDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.503.002.00
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %40%60%20%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored0.801.000.60
Conceded1.702.001.40
BTTS20%20%20%
Clean Sheet30%20%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3680
67%
2.2
7329+44
2.8
75%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3677
64%
2.1
8734+53
3.4
83%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.40.9
-
3DilaDila3659
47%
1.6
4835+13
2.3
67%
53%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.0
-
4SamguraliSamgurali3657
42%
1.6
5544+11
2.8
86%
58%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.2
-
5Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3654
42%
1.5
4848+0
2.7
75%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.31.3
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3647
36%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
72%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.41.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3639
22%
1.1
2936-7
1.8
61%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
8GagraGagra3839
26%
1.0
3859-21
2.6
74%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.6
-
9SioniSioni3836
21%
0.9
3863-25
2.7
76%
50%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
10Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi368
3%
0.2
28101-73
3.6
86%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.8
-
11SamtrediaSamtredia26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.0
-
12SpaeriSpaeri23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

← all matches