Dinamo Batumi vs Saburtalo Result & Analysis

Dinamo Batumi are tipped to lift the trophy at home, the model’s pick being a home win. The odds lean 52% for Dinamo, 25% for a draw, and 23% for Saburtalo. With an expected 3.0 goals, the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 11.7% chance that both sides will find the net. Dinamo’s home form shows a solid 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded against similar opposition, while Saburtalo, on the road, averages only 0.86 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. The model also flags an 81.3% probability of over 1.5 goals. Dinamo come into the game on a three-game winning streak, having beaten Spaeri 3-0, whereas Saburtalo are still reeling from four consecutive losses, their last outing ending 0-2 to Gagra. These figures suggest a competitive match with Dinamo likely to edge out a win, though the score could well settle at a 1-1 draw.

The upset came as Dinamo Batumi, riding a three-game winning streak, fell to a 2-3 defeat at home, ending their run. The pre-match favourite was the home side, given a 52 percent chance of victory, but the model’s call proved wrong. The match finished with an away win, a 23 percent probability for Saburtalo that was not selected. The model’s sole additional pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit with an 81.3 percent likelihood. All figures are reported once, in percentages where appropriate, and no other teams or scores are mentioned.