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Dinamo Batumi vs Torpedo Kutaisi Result & Analysis

Date: 21/06/2022
Time: 17:00
Final 4-0
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Vs
69%
18%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Dinamo Batumi’s recent three-game winning streak and a 3-0 triumph over Spaeri set the tone for a strong home outing, while Torpedo Kutaisi’s last match ended in a 0-2 loss. The model therefore deems a home win the clear favourite, assigning Dinamo a 69% chance of victory, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 13% chance for Torpedo to win. The expected total of 3.6 goals translates to an average of 3.6, with the most probable total being three goals at 21%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9.3% probability. Dinamo’s home form shows an impressive 3.0 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded against similar-strength opponents, whereas Torpedo’s away form is weak, conceding 2.25 and scoring only 0.25. The model’s suggested picks include Over 1.5 with an 88.3% probability and Over 2.5 with a 70.0% probability, each noted as a hit.

Results analysis

Dinamo Batumi’s recent three-game winning streak continued as they secured a 4-0 victory over Torpedo Kutaisi, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 69% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections also performed well: Over 1.5 goals, with an 88.3% chance, hit; Over 2.5 goals, at 70% probability, also hit. The expected total of 3.6 goals and the most likely scoreline of 3-1 (21%) were not reached, but the final 4-0 result still satisfied the model’s overall forecast. Dinamo’s dominant form at home and Torpedo’s poor away record made the outcome unsurprising.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Batumi win✓ Hit
69.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi win✗ Miss
12.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-752W30W11D00D30W00D72W20W44D30WH·GAG18/04A·TOR23/04A·SIO29/04A·DIN03/05H·DIL08/05A·SAB12/05H·LOK17/05A·TEL21/05H·SAM25/05A·GAG16/06
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.590.763.621.251.670.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.890.563.000.501.000.60
vs Weaker (8)3.381.004.252.002.500.00
Clean sheet %65% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L03L02L01L30W11D03L10W30WA·SIO18/04H·DIN23/04H·DIN29/04A·DIL03/05H·SAB08/05A·LOK13/05H·TEL17/05A·SAM21/05H·GAG26/05H·SIO16/06
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.941.411.111.330.751.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.561.780.801.400.252.25
vs Weaker (8)1.381.001.501.251.250.75
Clean sheet %35% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.3%
Under 1.5
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.0%
Under 2.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.8%
Under 3.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
8.0%
3-0
7.6%
1-0
6.2%
4-1
5.1%
4-0 ✓
4.9%
Dinamo Batumi goals ↓
Torpedo Kutaisi goals →
01234
03.4%2.1%1.5%0.5%0.1%
16.2%8.0%3.8%1.3%0.3%
28.9%9.3%4.9%1.7%0.4%
37.6%8.0%4.2%1.5%0.4%
44.9%5.1%2.7%0.9%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Batumi goals (down), columns = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Samtredia
3.00
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.22
Dinamo Batumi
2.14
Dila
1.64
Samgurali
1.58
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.50
Spaeri
1.50
Saburtalo
1.31
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.03
Sioni
0.95
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
0.22
Dinamo Batumi is 0.64 points better than Torpedo Kutaisi in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.42
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.03
Samgurali
1.53
Samtredia
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33
Dila
1.33
Sioni
1.00
Gagra
1.00
Spaeri
1.00
Telavi
0.81
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
0.78
Dinamo Batumi is 1.08 goals better than Torpedo Kutaisi in terms of goals scored per game (2.42 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Samtredia
0.00
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.81
Dinamo Batumi
0.94
Dila
0.97
Telavi
1.00
Spaeri
1.00
Samgurali
1.22
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33
Saburtalo
1.36
Gagra
1.55
Sioni
1.66
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
2.81
Dinamo Batumi is 0.39 goals better than Torpedo Kutaisi in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (17)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (8)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (17)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (8)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

🟨 Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠️ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W20W10W00D10W00D42W20W32W10WH·GAG18/04A·TOR23/04A·SIO29/04A·DIN03/05H·DIL08/05A·SAB12/05H·LOK17/05A·TEL21/05H·SAM25/05A·GAG16/06
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.410.352.000.750.890.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.111.250.250.600.00
vs Weaker (8)2.000.622.751.251.250.00
Clean sheet %76% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D02L01L00D20W00D00D00D20WA·TEL14/04A·SIO18/04H·DIN23/04A·DIL03/05H·SAB08/05A·LOK13/05H·TEL17/05A·SAM21/05H·GAG26/05H·SIO16/06
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.620.620.500.500.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.501.000.750.500.251.50
vs Weaker (8)0.620.250.500.500.750.00
Clean sheet %62% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W01L00D20W00D30W00D12L20WH·GAG18/04A·TOR23/04A·SIO29/04A·DIN03/05H·DIL08/05A·SAB12/05H·LOK17/05A·TEL21/05H·SAM25/05A·GAG16/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.180.411.620.500.780.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.000.441.750.250.400.60
vs Weaker (8)1.380.381.500.751.250.00
Clean sheet %71% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L01L01L10W11D03L10W10WA·TEL14/04A·SIO18/04H·DIN23/04A·DIL03/05H·SAB08/05A·LOK13/05H·TEL17/05A·SAM21/05H·GAG26/05H·SIO16/06
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.440.690.620.620.250.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.120.620.250.500.000.75
vs Weaker (8)0.750.751.000.750.500.75
Clean sheet %56% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.570.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
Dinamo Batumi and Torpedo Kutaisi have a similar squad value (both €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
Dinamo Batumi and Torpedo Kutaisi have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
Dinamo Batumi and Torpedo Kutaisi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
Dinamo Batumi and Torpedo Kutaisi have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
DB wins
0
Draws
0
TK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dinamo Batumi vs Torpedo Kutaisi · H/A from DB
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs DB0-3

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/06/22AGagra Vs DB0-3
25/05/22HDB Vs Samgurali4-4
21/05/22ATelavi Vs DB0-2
17/05/22HDB Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi7-2
12/05/22ASaburtalo Vs DB0-0
08/05/22HDB Vs Dila3-0
03/05/22ADinamo Tbilisi Vs DB0-0
29/04/22ASioni Vs DB1-1
23/04/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs DB0-3
18/04/22HDB Vs Gagra5-2

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/06/22HTK Vs Sioni3-0
26/05/22HTK Vs Gagra1-0
21/05/22ASamgurali Vs TK3-0
17/05/22HTK Vs Telavi1-1
13/05/22ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs TK0-3
08/05/22HTK Vs Saburtalo0-1
03/05/22ADila Vs TK2-0
29/04/22HTK Vs Dinamo Tbilisi0-3
23/04/22HTK Vs Dinamo Batumi0-3
18/04/22ASioni Vs TK1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDW2.24
HomeWWWWD2.50
AwayDDDWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %65%75%56%
AVG goals3.354.882.00
Over 1.5 %82%88%78%
Over 2.5 %65%88%44%
Over 3.5 %29%62%0%
Scored2.593.621.67
Conceded0.761.250.33
BTTS35%50%22%
Clean Sheet65%50%78%
Corners---
Cards---
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.24
HomeLLDWW1.44
AwayDDLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%44%25%
AVG goals2.352.442.25
Over 1.5 %76%67%88%
Over 2.5 %41%44%38%
Over 3.5 %12%11%12%
Scored0.941.110.75
Conceded1.411.331.50
BTTS18%22%12%
Clean Sheet35%33%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3680
67%
2.2
7329+44
2.8
75%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3677
64%
2.1
8734+53
3.4
83%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.40.9
-
3DilaDila3659
47%
1.6
4835+13
2.3
67%
53%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.0
-
4SamguraliSamgurali3657
42%
1.6
5544+11
2.8
86%
58%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.2
-
5Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3654
42%
1.5
4848+0
2.7
75%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.31.3
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3647
36%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
72%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.41.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3639
22%
1.1
2936-7
1.8
61%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
8GagraGagra3839
26%
1.0
3859-21
2.6
74%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.6
-
9SioniSioni3836
21%
0.9
3863-25
2.7
76%
50%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
10Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi368
3%
0.2
28101-73
3.6
86%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.8
-
11SamtrediaSamtredia26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.0
-
12SpaeriSpaeri23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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