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Dinamo Minsk II vs Volna Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 0-4
Dinamo Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
Vs
29%
29%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Volna
Volna
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with a 43% chance for Volna, 29% for a Dinamo Minsk II victory and 29% for a draw. Expect about 2.6 goals, most likely a 2-goal total at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.6% probability, reflecting the balanced scoring rates: Dinamo Minsk II averages 1.18 goals scored and 1.27 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Volna nets 1.64 and concedes 1.36 on the road. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 74.3% and Under 3.5 at 73.8%. The recent form narrative shows Dinamo Minsk II on a two-game winning streak after a 3-2 win over Smorgon, whereas Volna has endured three straight defeats, losing 0-2 to Ostrovets FC. These dynamics underline why the model leans toward a Volna triumph, though the 1-1 outcome remains the most likely exact score.

Results analysis

The win extends Dinamo Minsk II’s two-game winning run, but Volna’s 0-4 triumph was a decisive statement. The model’s favourite, an away win, came through with a 43% probability, and the prediction proved correct. Over 1.5 goals, at 74.3% confidence, hit as the match produced four goals. The Under 3.5 selection, at 73.8%, missed, as the total surpassed the threshold. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 (13.6%) was not reached, nor the 0-1 or 1-2 outcomes. The expected total of 2.6 goals was exceeded, confirming the model’s assessment of a high-scoring affair. Overall, the predictions largely aligned with the final result.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Minsk II win✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Volna win✓ Hit
42.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L02L11D02L01L21W03L21W12L02LA·ORS12/06H·BUM23/06A·FC 30/06H·BAT06/07A·NIV18/07A·OSI26/07A·UNI02/08A·ABF09/08A·BAR17/08A·GOM23/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.131.361.000.881.25
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (23)1.091.301.181.271.001.33
vs Weaker (5)1.600.803.000.000.671.33
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W02L50W51W13L10W21W11D11D33DA·ABF13/06H·BAR21/06A·GOM29/06H·ORS05/07H·OST19/07A·MIN25/07A·LID02/08H·LOK10/08A·SLO16/08H·BEL23/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.501.931.731.931.27
vs Stronger (4)1.751.501.331.003.003.00
vs Similar (21)1.671.711.702.101.641.36
vs Weaker (5)3.200.604.001.002.670.33
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.9%
Under 2.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.2%
Under 3.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
Dinamo Minsk II goals ↓
Volna goals →
01234
08.7%9.6%7.9%3.8%1.4%
17.3%14%9.0%4.3%1.6%
24.9%7.1%5.1%2.5%0.9%
31.9%2.7%2.0%0.9%0.3%
40.5%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Minsk II goals (down), columns = Volna goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Baranovichi
2.18
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.97
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.88
Belshina
1.85
Lida
1.74
Bumprom
1.74
Niva
1.62
BATE II
1.56
Minsk II
1.50
Ostrovets FC
1.50
Volna
1.41
ABFF U19
1.24
Dinamo Minsk II
1.18
Uni Minsk
1.06
Gomel II
0.82
Orsha
0.74
Osipovichy
0.64
Slonim
0.61
Dinamo Minsk II is 0.24 points worse than Volna in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.41).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Baranovichi
2.21
Lida
2.18
BATE II
2.06
Niva
2.00
Volna
1.91
Belshina
1.88
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.74
Ostrovets FC
1.65
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.65
Bumprom
1.65
Uni Minsk
1.59
Minsk II
1.44
ABFF U19
1.29
Orsha
1.24
Osipovichy
1.18
Gomel II
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
1.00
Slonim
0.91
Dinamo Minsk II is 0.91 goals worse than Volna in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.91).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Baranovichi
0.85
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.00
Bumprom
1.06
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.09
Dinamo Minsk II
1.18
Belshina
1.18
Lida
1.29
Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.41
ABFF U19
1.44
BATE II
1.53
Volna
1.62
Niva
1.65
Uni Minsk
2.12
Slonim
2.33
Osipovichy
2.33
Gomel II
2.44
Orsha
2.74
Dinamo Minsk II is 0.44 goals better than Volna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.62).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L11D00D01L11D01L00D11D00DA·ORS12/06H·BUM23/06A·FC 30/06H·BAT06/07A·NIV18/07A·OSI26/07A·UNI02/08A·ABF09/08A·BAR17/08A·GOM23/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.790.500.440.50
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.610.610.730.640.500.58
vs Weaker (5)0.800.201.500.000.330.33
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L20W30W11D10W11D01L10W11DA·ABF13/06H·BAR21/06A·GOM29/06H·ORS05/07H·OST19/07A·MIN25/07A·LID02/08H·LOK10/08A·SLO16/08H·BEL23/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.730.800.601.130.87
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.670.671.002.00
vs Similar (21)0.760.810.500.601.001.00
vs Weaker (5)2.000.202.500.501.670.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D02L00D10W02L21W01L02LA·ORS12/06H·BUM23/06A·FC 30/06H·BAT06/07A·NIV18/07A·OSI26/07A·UNI02/08A·ABF09/08A·BAR17/08A·GOM23/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.570.500.440.75
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.480.700.450.640.500.75
vs Weaker (5)0.800.601.500.000.331.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L30W21W02L00D10W10W01L22DA·ABF13/06H·BAR21/06A·GOM29/06H·ORS05/07H·OST19/07A·MIN25/07A·LID02/08H·LOK10/08A·SLO16/08H·BEL23/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.771.131.130.800.40
vs Stronger (4)1.000.500.670.332.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.900.901.201.500.640.36
vs Weaker (5)1.200.401.500.501.000.33
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (25)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
UM (29)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Dinamo Minsk II and Volna have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (9)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Dinamo Minsk II and Volna have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (6)
€1m
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
BAR (4)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Dinamo Minsk II and Volna have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (10)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Dinamo Minsk II and Volna have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
DMI wins
1
Draws
0
VOL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dinamo Minsk II vs Volna · H/A from DMI
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/25AVolna Vs DMI1-1
23/11/24HDMI Vs Volna4-0
01/08/24AVolna Vs DMI1-2

Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25AGomel II Vs DMI2-0
17/08/25ABaranovichi Vs DMI2-1
09/08/25AABFF U19 Vs DMI1-2
02/08/25AUni Minsk Vs DMI3-0
26/07/25AOsipovichy Vs DMI1-2
18/07/25ANiva Vs DMI1-0
06/07/25HDMI Vs BATE II0-2
30/06/25AFC Dnepr Mogilev Vs DMI1-1
23/06/25HDMI Vs Bumprom0-2
12/06/25AOrsha Vs DMI2-1

VolnaVolna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25HVOL Vs Belshina3-3
16/08/25ASlonim Vs VOL1-1
10/08/25HVOL Vs Lokomotiv Gomel1-1
02/08/25ALida Vs VOL1-2
25/07/25AMinsk II Vs VOL0-1
19/07/25HVOL Vs Ostrovets FC1-3
05/07/25HVOL Vs Orsha5-1
29/06/25AGomel II Vs VOL0-5
21/06/25HVOL Vs Baranovichi0-2
13/06/25AABFF U19 Vs VOL1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.38
HomeLLWLL1.30
AwayWLWLL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%35%41%
AVG goals2.562.572.56
Over 1.5 %74%65%81%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %24%35%15%
Scored1.381.431.33
Conceded1.181.131.22
BTTS46%35%56%
Clean Sheet30%35%26%
Corners---
Cards---
Volna
Volna
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDD1.76
HomeLWLDD1.77
AwayWWWWD1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%54%50%
AVG goals3.423.653.17
Over 1.5 %96%100%92%
Over 2.5 %68%77%58%
Over 3.5 %42%42%42%
Scored2.002.121.88
Conceded1.421.541.29
BTTS64%69%58%
Clean Sheet22%19%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BaranovichiBaranovichi3474
68%
2.2
7529+46
3.1
85%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.9
-
2FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev3467
59%
2.0
5937+22
2.8
85%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.1
-
3Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel3464
53%
1.9
5634+22
2.6
68%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
4BelshinaBelshina3463
56%
1.9
6440+24
3.1
85%
62%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.2
-
5LidaLida3459
56%
1.7
7444+30
3.5
85%
76%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.21.3
-
6BumpromBumprom3459
47%
1.7
5636+20
2.7
85%
44%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.1
-
7NivaNiva3455
44%
1.6
6856+12
3.6
85%
68%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.01.6
-
8BATE IIBATE II3453
44%
1.6
7052+18
3.6
88%
65%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.5
-
9Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC3451
47%
1.5
5648+8
3.1
82%
62%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.61.4
-
10Minsk IIMinsk II3451
44%
1.5
4947+2
2.8
68%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
11VolnaVolna3448
38%
1.4
6555+10
3.5
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.6
-
12ABFF U19ABFF U193442
32%
1.2
4449-5
2.7
76%
56%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
13Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II3440
29%
1.2
3440-6
2.2
65%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.01.2
-
14Uni MinskUni Minsk3436
29%
1.1
5472-18
3.7
94%
76%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.62.1
-
15Gomel IIGomel II3428
24%
0.8
3483-49
3.4
79%
68%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
16OrshaOrsha3425
21%
0.7
4293-51
4.0
94%
79%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.7
-
17OsipovichyOsipovichy3321
15%
0.6
3977-38
3.5
97%
70%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.3
-
18SlonimSlonim3320
18%
0.6
3077-47
3.2
91%
70%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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