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Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Rustavi Result & Analysis

Date: 05/03/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Dinamo Tbilisi II
Dinamo Tbilisi II
Vs
55%
23%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rustavi
Rustavi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi II win✓ Hit
54.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rustavi win✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-642W23L13L01L00D02L30W12L60W22DH·MER22/09H·SPA30/09A·LOK06/10H·GAR20/10A·WIT27/10H·KOL03/11A·MER09/11H·SIO23/11H·KOL28/11A·MER02/12
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.632.201.471.871.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)2.031.632.201.471.871.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Rustavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RustaviRustavi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L12L21W15L01L21W23L12L01L01LH·SHU08/10H·MER16/10A·MER22/10H·SPA01/11A·SAM06/11H·WIT13/11H·GAR27/11A·SHU02/12A·KOL06/12H·KOL10/12
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.831.401.670.872.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.151.891.361.710.922.08
vs Weaker (3)1.001.332.001.000.501.50
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.7%
Under 1.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.0%
Under 2.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.0%
Under 3.5
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.9%
No
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1 ✓
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
Dinamo Tbilisi II goals ↓
Rustavi goals →
01234
04.4%3.5%2.8%1.2%0.4%
16.4%10%5.9%2.5%0.8%
27.6%9.6%6.1%2.6%0.8%
35.2%6.7%4.2%1.8%0.6%
42.7%3.5%2.2%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Tbilisi II goals (down), columns = Rustavi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saburtalo II
2.00
Gareji
1.86
Rustavi
1.81
Sioni
1.69
Merani Martvili
1.50
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.42
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.42
Spaeri
1.42
Aragvi Dusheti
1.32
Shturmi
1.26
WIT Georgia
1.14
Kolkheti Khobi
0.56
Dinamo Tbilisi II is 0.39 points worse than Rustavi in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.81).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Gareji
2.14
Sioni
1.83
Rustavi
1.72
Saburtalo II
1.50
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.42
Aragvi Dusheti
1.39
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.39
Spaeri
1.39
WIT Georgia
1.36
Shturmi
1.13
Kolkheti Khobi
0.83
Merani Martvili
0.50
Dinamo Tbilisi II is 0.31 goals worse than Rustavi in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.72).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Merani Martvili
0.50
Saburtalo II
1.00
Rustavi
1.14
Sioni
1.17
Gareji
1.22
Spaeri
1.31
Shturmi
1.32
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.36
Aragvi Dusheti
1.39
WIT Georgia
1.64
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.72
Kolkheti Khobi
2.36
Dinamo Tbilisi II is 0.58 goals worse than Rustavi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.14).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D02L02L00D00D02L10W01L30W01LH·MER22/09H·SPA30/09A·LOK06/10H·GAR20/10A·WIT27/10H·KOL03/11A·MER09/11H·SIO23/11H·KOL28/11A·MER02/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.770.870.800.600.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.730.770.870.800.600.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Rustavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RustaviRustavi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W12L01L10W22D10W01L00DH·SHU08/10H·MER16/10A·MER22/10H·SPA01/11A·SAM06/11H·WIT13/11H·GAR27/11A·SHU02/12A·KOL06/12H·KOL10/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.800.470.470.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.670.520.860.430.460.62
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rustavi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rustavi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rustavi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W11D01L00D00D20W11D30W21WH·MER22/09H·SPA30/09A·LOK06/10H·GAR20/10A·WIT27/10H·KOL03/11A·MER09/11H·SIO23/11H·KOL28/11A·MER02/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.871.330.671.271.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.300.871.330.671.271.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Rustavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RustaviRustavi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D11D03L00D11D01L02L00D01LH·SHU08/10H·MER16/10A·MER22/10H·SPA01/11A·SAM06/11H·WIT13/11H·GAR27/11A·SHU02/12A·KOL06/12H·KOL10/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.300.601.200.401.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.481.370.501.290.461.46
vs Weaker (3)0.670.672.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rustavi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rustavi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rustavi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (22)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (4)
€0m
SPA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (10)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
DTI wins
0
Draws
0
RUS wins

Head-to-head

Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Rustavi · H/A from DTI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/12/23AMerani Martvili Vs DTI2-2
28/11/23HDTI Vs Kolkheti Khobi6-0
23/11/23HDTI Vs Sioni1-2
09/11/23AMerani Tbilisi Vs DTI0-3
03/11/23HDTI Vs Kolkheti Poti0-2
27/10/23AWIT Georgia Vs DTI0-0
20/10/23HDTI Vs Gareji0-1
06/10/23ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs DTI3-1
30/09/23HDTI Vs Spaeri2-3
22/09/23HDTI Vs Merani Martvili4-2

RustaviRustavi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/22HRUS Vs Kolkheti Khobi0-1
06/12/22AKolkheti Khobi Vs RUS1-0
02/12/22AShukura Vs RUS2-1
27/11/22HRUS Vs Gareji2-3
13/11/22HRUS Vs WIT Georgia2-1
06/11/22ASamtredia Vs RUS1-0
01/11/22HRUS Vs Spaeri1-5
22/10/22AMerani Tbilisi Vs RUS1-2
16/10/22HRUS Vs Merani Martvili1-2
08/10/22HRUS Vs Shukura1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Tbilisi II
Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.44
HomeLLLLW1.61
AwayLLDWD1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%50%39%
AVG goals3.583.723.44
Over 1.5 %86%89%83%
Over 2.5 %72%72%72%
Over 3.5 %47%56%39%
Scored1.972.281.67
Conceded1.611.441.78
BTTS58%61%56%
Clean Sheet25%17%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Rustavi
Rustavi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.81
HomeLLWLL1.19
AwayLWLLL0.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%31%12%
AVG goals3.003.003.00
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %66%62%69%
Over 3.5 %31%38%25%
Scored1.161.380.94
Conceded1.841.622.06
BTTS66%69%62%
Clean Sheet9%19%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GarejiGareji3667
53%
1.9
7744+33
3.4
86%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.2
-
2RustaviRustavi3665
56%
1.8
6241+21
2.9
72%
53%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
3SioniSioni3661
53%
1.7
6642+24
3.0
72%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
4SpaeriSpaeri3651
39%
1.4
5047+3
2.7
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.3
-
5Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi3651
36%
1.4
5049+1
2.8
78%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
6Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II3651
42%
1.4
5162-11
3.1
81%
67%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
7Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti3850
37%
1.3
5353+0
2.8
76%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8ShturmiShturmi3848
34%
1.3
4350-7
2.4
66%
42%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
9WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia3641
31%
1.1
4959-10
3.0
83%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
10Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi3620
11%
0.6
3085-55
3.2
72%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
11Saburtalo IISaburtalo II24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
12Merani MartviliMerani Martvili23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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