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Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra Result & Analysis

Date: 03/12/2022
Time: 09:30
Final 2-1
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Vs
72%
20%
8%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gagra
Gagra
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi win✓ Hit
71.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gagra win✗ Miss
8.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W00D10W20W32W31W20W11D11DH·SAM10/09A·GAG18/09A·TOR02/10H·DIN07/10A·SIO16/10A·DIL22/10H·SAB29/10A·LOK06/11H·TEL10/11A·SAM26/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.100.802.430.641.810.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)2.180.942.120.752.221.11
vs Weaker (13)2.000.622.830.501.290.71
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GagraGagra

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L00D12L20W01L11D21W10W14LA·DIN10/09H·DIN18/09H·DIL01/10A·SAB08/10H·LOK15/10A·TEL23/10H·SAM30/10H·SIO04/11A·TOR11/11H·DIN26/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.631.121.560.711.71
vs Stronger (20)0.701.850.821.640.562.11
vs Similar (10)1.401.201.801.401.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%017%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.3%
Under 2.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.3%
Under 3.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.1%
No
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.9%
1-0
13.4%
3-0
10.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-1 ✓
8.9%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
5.5%
Dinamo Tbilisi goals ↓
Gagra goals →
01234
07.7%3.2%1.2%0.2%0.0%
113%9.3%2.5%0.5%0.1%
215%8.9%2.6%0.5%0.1%
310%6.2%1.8%0.4%0.1%
45.5%3.2%1.0%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Tbilisi goals (down), columns = Gagra goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Samtredia
3.00
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.22
Dinamo Batumi
2.14
Dila
1.64
Samgurali
1.58
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.50
Spaeri
1.50
Saburtalo
1.31
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.03
Sioni
0.95
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
0.22
Dinamo Tbilisi is 1.20 points better than Gagra in terms of average points per game (2.22 vs 1.03).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.42
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.03
Samgurali
1.53
Samtredia
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33
Dila
1.33
Sioni
1.00
Gagra
1.00
Spaeri
1.00
Telavi
0.81
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
0.78
Dinamo Tbilisi is 1.03 goals better than Gagra in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Samtredia
0.00
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.81
Dinamo Batumi
0.94
Dila
0.97
Telavi
1.00
Spaeri
1.00
Samgurali
1.22
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33
Saburtalo
1.36
Gagra
1.55
Sioni
1.66
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
2.81
Dinamo Tbilisi is 0.75 goals better than Gagra in terms of goals conceded per game (0.81 vs 1.55).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

For 3.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1004624106A·PAIH·PAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

40224A·PAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

GagraGagra

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (37)8.06.010.00.10.00.2---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)8.06.010.00.20.00.4---
vs Weaker (15)---0.00.00.0---
% over line50%0%100%3%0%5%---
% under line50%100%0%97%100%95%---
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GagraGagra

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (35)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (12)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Saburtalo
10.2
Dinamo Tbilisi
8.0
Dinamo Batumi
7.5
Dila
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dila
5.5
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.7
Dinamo Tbilisi
4.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Batumi
27.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D00D00D11D11D10W10W01LH·SAM10/09A·GAG18/09A·TOR02/10H·DIN07/10A·SIO16/10A·DIL22/10H·SAB29/10A·LOK06/11H·TEL10/11A·SAM26/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.431.000.140.750.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.710.530.500.120.890.89
vs Weaker (13)1.080.311.670.170.570.43
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GagraGagra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D01L20W01L00D10W00D02LA·DIN10/09H·DIN18/09H·DIL01/10A·SAB08/10H·LOK15/10A·TEL23/10H·SAM30/10H·SIO04/11A·TOR11/11H·DIN26/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.700.380.620.290.79
vs Stronger (20)0.150.700.180.640.110.78
vs Similar (10)0.700.700.800.600.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D10W20W21W20W10W01L10WH·SAM10/09A·GAG18/09A·TOR02/10H·DIN07/10A·SIO16/10A·DIL22/10H·SAB29/10A·LOK06/11H·TEL10/11A·SAM26/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.401.430.500.940.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.350.471.620.621.110.33
vs Weaker (13)0.920.311.170.330.710.29
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GagraGagra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D11D00D00D11D11D10W12LA·DIN10/09H·DIN18/09H·DIL01/10A·SAB08/10H·LOK15/10A·TEL23/10H·SAM30/10H·SIO04/11A·TOR11/11H·DIN26/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.930.750.940.430.93
vs Stronger (20)0.551.150.641.000.441.33
vs Similar (10)0.700.501.000.800.400.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.7%-------✓ Hit
Home win71.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
Dinamo Tbilisi's squad is €4m more valuable than Gagra's (€7m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
Dinamo Tbilisi's attack is €2m more valuable than Gagra's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
Dinamo Tbilisi and Gagra have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
Dinamo Tbilisi's defence is €2m more valuable than Gagra's (€3m vs €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
DT wins
0
Draws
1
GAG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra · H/A from DT
DateH/AGameScore
18/09/22AGagra Vs DT0-1
20/06/22HDT Vs Gagra5-0
23/04/22AGagra Vs DT1-0

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/11/22ASamgurali Vs DT1-1
10/11/22HDT Vs Telavi1-1
06/11/22ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs DT0-2
29/10/22HDT Vs Saburtalo3-1
22/10/22ADila Vs DT2-3
16/10/22ASioni Vs DT0-2
07/10/22HDT Vs Dinamo Batumi1-0
02/10/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs DT0-0
18/09/22AGagra Vs DT0-1
10/09/22HDT Vs Samgurali3-0

GagraGagra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/11/22HGAG Vs Dinamo Batumi1-4
11/11/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs GAG0-1
04/11/22HGAG Vs Sioni2-1
30/10/22HGAG Vs Samgurali1-1
23/10/22ATelavi Vs GAG1-0
15/10/22HGAG Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi2-0
08/10/22ASaburtalo Vs GAG2-1
01/10/22HGAG Vs Dila0-0
18/09/22HGAG Vs Dinamo Tbilisi0-1
10/09/22ADinamo Batumi Vs GAG2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD2.16
HomeWWWWD2.39
AwayDWWWD1.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %65%72%58%
AVG goals2.843.002.68
Over 1.5 %73%72%74%
Over 2.5 %54%67%42%
Over 3.5 %30%44%16%
Scored2.002.391.63
Conceded0.840.611.05
BTTS46%44%47%
Clean Sheet49%56%42%
Corners8.006.0010.00
Cards4.00-4.00
Gagra
Gagra
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.03
HomeDWDWL1.28
AwayDLLLW0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%18%
AVG goals2.572.672.47
Over 1.5 %71%72%71%
Over 2.5 %40%39%41%
Over 3.5 %20%22%18%
Scored1.001.170.82
Conceded1.571.501.65
BTTS43%44%41%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3680
67%
2.2
7329+44
2.8
75%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3677
64%
2.1
8734+53
3.4
83%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.40.9
-
3DilaDila3659
47%
1.6
4835+13
2.3
67%
53%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.0
-
4SamguraliSamgurali3657
42%
1.6
5544+11
2.8
86%
58%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.2
-
5Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3654
42%
1.5
4848+0
2.7
75%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.31.3
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3647
36%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
72%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.41.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3639
22%
1.1
2936-7
1.8
61%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
8GagraGagra3839
26%
1.0
3859-21
2.6
74%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.6
-
9SioniSioni3836
21%
0.9
3863-25
2.7
76%
50%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
10Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi368
3%
0.2
28101-73
3.6
86%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.8
-
11SamtrediaSamtredia26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.0
-
12SpaeriSpaeri23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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