This opponent (Chornomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chornomorets
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
1.62
0.50
2.00
0.75
1.25
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
0.57
1.57
0.50
2.00
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
12% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.4%
Under 2.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.0%
No
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-0 ✓
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
Dnipro-1 goals ↓
Chornomorets goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
5.4%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
1
12%
12%
4.7%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.6%
4.1%
1.1%
0.2%
3
6.5%
5.5%
2.3%
0.7%
0.1%
4
2.8%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dnipro-1 goals (down), columns = Chornomorets goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Dnipro-1 is 1.07 points better than Chornomorets in terms of average points per game (2.23 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Dnipro-1 is 0.87 goals better than Chornomorets in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Dnipro-1 is 0.43 goals better than Chornomorets in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Dnipro-1 is 7.2 percentage points better than Chornomorets in terms of average possession (56% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dnipro-1
For 4.0 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 12.8 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chornomorets
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Dnipro-1
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (15)
8.6
7.3
10.5
1.3
1.1
1.6
22.6
22.3
23.0
vs Stronger (2)
6.0
6.0
-
0.5
1.0
0.0
17.0
17.0
-
vs Similar (9)
9.2
8.0
10.5
2.1
1.3
3.7
24.0
25.0
23.0
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
33%
100%
20%
12%
29%
60%
67%
50%
% under line
40%
67%
0%
80%
88%
71%
40%
33%
50%
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chornomorets
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
11.2
Zorya Luhansk
10.0
Dynamo Kyiv
9.8
Dnipro-1
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Dynamo Kyiv
5.8
Zorya Luhansk
5.0
Dnipro-1
4.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dynamo Kyiv
26.6
Dnipro-1
22.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
17.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dnipro-1
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.47
0.62
0.38
1.14
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.67
0.67
0.50
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chornomorets
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.25
0.62
0.00
1.25
0.50
0.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (7)
0.14
0.71
0.00
1.25
0.33
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
62% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dnipro-1
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.47
1.12
0.50
1.00
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (9)
1.00
0.56
1.33
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chornomorets
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.25
1.25
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.86
0.50
0.75
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
38% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dnipro-1
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Artem Dovbyk57%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok25%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Artem Gromov0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Busanello0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artem Gromov33%
Volodymyr Tanchyk29%
Domingo Blanco25%
Ruslan Babenko25%
Busanello20%
Volodymyr Adamyuk17%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak17%
Max Walef12%
Oleksandr Svatok12%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Eduard Sarapiy12%
Artem Dovbyk0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Busanello40%
Artem Dovbyk29%
Volodymyr Adamyuk17%
Volodymyr Tanchyk14%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Artem Gromov0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Artem Dovbyk43%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok25%
Oleksandr Nazarenko17%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Artem Gromov0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Igor Kogut0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Yanis Hamache0%
Busanello0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Chornomorets · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oleksiy Khoblenko25%
Moses Jarju14%
Yevgeniy Skyba12%
Denis Yanakov9%
Bogdan Butko8%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi0%
Artem Habelok0%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Jon Šporn0%
Illia Shevtsov0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Kiril Popov0%
Ryan0%
Emil Mustafaiev0%
Danylo Udod0%
Kyrylo Sigeev0%
Luka Latsabidze0%
Yaroslav Kysyl0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jon Šporn40%
Yaroslav Kysyl40%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi38%
Ivan Petriak33%
Oleksiy Khoblenko25%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi25%
Danylo Udod25%
Ryan17%
Luka Latsabidze17%
Artem Habelok15%
Emil Mustafaiev14%
Moses Jarju14%
Kyrylo Sigeev14%
Yevgeniy Skyba12%
Denis Yanakov9%
Bogdan Butko8%
Kiril Popov8%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Illia Shevtsov0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Petriak33%
Illia Shevtsov20%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi12%
Yevgeniy Skyba12%
Bogdan Butko8%
Kiril Popov8%
Artem Habelok0%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksiy Khoblenko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Denis Yanakov0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Jon Šporn0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Ryan0%
Emil Mustafaiev0%
Danylo Udod0%
Moses Jarju0%
Kyrylo Sigeev0%
Luka Latsabidze0%
Yaroslav Kysyl0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Denis Yanakov18%
Emil Mustafaiev14%
Bogdan Butko0%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi0%
Artem Habelok0%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksiy Khoblenko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Jon Šporn0%
Illia Shevtsov0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Kiril Popov0%
Ryan0%
Danylo Udod0%
Moses Jarju0%
Kyrylo Sigeev0%
Luka Latsabidze0%
Yaroslav Kysyl0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →