This opponent (Dynamo Kyiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dynamo Kyiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.11
1.18
0.94
0.88
1.33
1.58
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.67
0.00
1.33
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (5)
0.60
1.40
0.50
0.50
0.67
2.00
vs Weaker (17)
1.53
0.94
1.27
0.82
2.00
1.17
Clean sheet %
36% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.7%
Under 2.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-2
8.7%
0-1 ✓
8.6%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
Dnipro-1 goals ↓
Dynamo Kyiv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
8.6%
6.9%
3.2%
1.1%
1
7.5%
14%
8.7%
4.1%
1.4%
2
5.5%
7.7%
5.4%
2.5%
0.9%
3
2.3%
3.2%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dnipro-1 goals (down), columns = Dynamo Kyiv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Dnipro-1 is 0.23 points better than Dynamo Kyiv in terms of average points per game (2.23 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Dnipro-1 is 0.33 goals better than Dynamo Kyiv in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.70).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Dnipro-1 is 0.07 goals worse than Dynamo Kyiv in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Dnipro-1 is 0.0 percentage points better than Dynamo Kyiv in terms of average possession (56% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dnipro-1
For 4.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 6.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dynamo Kyiv
For 6.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dnipro-1
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
7.6
9.2
6.4
1.9
1.6
2.2
21.5
23.2
20.1
vs Stronger (4)
7.7
9.0
5.0
1.8
2.5
1.0
21.3
22.0
20.0
vs Similar (15)
8.2
9.3
7.7
2.5
1.8
3.4
22.6
27.3
20.2
vs Weaker (6)
4.5
9.0
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.5
13.0
13.0
-
% over line
43%
50%
38%
24%
25%
23%
54%
67%
43%
% under line
57%
50%
62%
76%
75%
77%
46%
33%
57%
This opponent (Dynamo Kyiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dynamo Kyiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
9.5
9.8
9.1
3.8
3.4
4.3
24.6
25.0
24.1
vs Stronger (6)
9.0
7.7
10.3
6.0
4.7
7.3
26.4
28.0
25.3
vs Similar (5)
11.5
13.0
10.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
28.2
26.0
30.5
vs Weaker (17)
9.0
9.8
7.8
2.7
2.8
2.5
22.0
23.7
18.7
% over line
50%
45%
56%
50%
50%
50%
61%
60%
62%
% under line
50%
55%
44%
50%
50%
50%
39%
40%
38%
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
11.8
Oleksandria
11.6
Ruh Lviv
11.2
Zorya Luhansk
10.9
Metal Kharkiv
10.7
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10.1
Inhulets
9.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.6
Dynamo Kyiv
9.5
Kolos Kovalivka
9.3
Minai
8.4
Kryvbas KR
8.0
Chornomorets
7.8
Dnipro-1
7.6
Vorskla Poltava
6.5
Lviv
5.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ruh Lviv
8.6
Kolos Kovalivka
5.7
Lviv
5.7
Dynamo Kyiv
5.3
Vorskla Poltava
5.2
Oleksandria
5.0
Inhulets
4.8
Zorya Luhansk
4.7
Metal Kharkiv
4.5
Veres Rivne
4.0
Chornomorets
4.0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.9
Minai
3.6
Dnipro-1
3.4
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.2
Kryvbas KR
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lviv
29.8
Inhulets
28.0
Vorskla Poltava
28.0
Ruh Lviv
26.0
Metal Kharkiv
25.2
Dynamo Kyiv
24.6
Veres Rivne
24.5
Kolos Kovalivka
24.1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
23.6
Chornomorets
23.0
Zorya Luhansk
23.0
Minai
22.8
Dnipro-1
21.5
Oleksandria
20.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
20.2
Kryvbas KR
17.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.6%
Under 9.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.9%
Under 3.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.7%
Under 21.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dnipro-1
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.84
0.48
0.58
0.33
1.08
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.60
0.62
0.38
1.14
0.86
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.17
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo Kyiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dynamo Kyiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.54
0.71
0.56
0.62
0.50
0.83
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.00
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
0.76
0.53
0.73
0.55
0.83
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dnipro-1
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
0.52
1.08
0.42
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.53
1.00
0.38
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.50
2.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
52% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo Kyiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dynamo Kyiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.46
0.38
0.25
0.83
0.75
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.80
0.00
0.50
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
0.76
0.41
0.55
0.27
1.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
64% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo Kyiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dnipro-1
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Artem Dovbyk57%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok25%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Artem Gromov0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Busanello0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artem Gromov33%
Volodymyr Tanchyk29%
Domingo Blanco25%
Ruslan Babenko25%
Busanello20%
Volodymyr Adamyuk17%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak17%
Max Walef12%
Oleksandr Svatok12%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Eduard Sarapiy12%
Artem Dovbyk0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Busanello40%
Artem Dovbyk29%
Volodymyr Adamyuk17%
Volodymyr Tanchyk14%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Artem Gromov0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Artem Dovbyk43%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok25%
Oleksandr Nazarenko17%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Artem Gromov0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Igor Kogut0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Yanis Hamache0%
Busanello0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Dynamo Kyiv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Tsygankov38%
Denys Garmash14%
Oleksandr Karavaev12%
Vladyslav Vanat11%
Kostiantyn Vivcharenko11%
Georgiy Bushchan0%
Tomasz Kędziora0%
Denys Popov0%
Oleksandr Andriyevskiy0%
Vitaliy Buyalskyi0%
Mykola Shaparenko0%
Volodymyr Shepeliev0%
Sergiy Sydorchuk0%
Artem Besedin0%
Oleksandr Tymchyk0%
Vladyslav Kabaev0%
Vladyslav Dubinchak0%
Ilya Zabarnyi0%
Oleksandr Syrota0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oleksandr Andriyevskiy50%
Denys Garmash43%
Georgiy Bushchan33%
Sergiy Sydorchuk33%
Ilya Zabarnyi33%
Denys Popov25%
Viktor Tsygankov25%
Oleksandr Tymchyk25%
Vladyslav Vanat22%
Mykola Shaparenko20%
Volodymyr Shepeliev20%
Oleksandr Karavaev12%
Oleksandr Syrota12%
Artem Besedin11%
Tomasz Kędziora0%
Vitaliy Buyalskyi0%
Vladyslav Kabaev0%
Vladyslav Dubinchak0%
Kostiantyn Vivcharenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vitaliy Buyalskyi30%
Oleksandr Tymchyk25%
Viktor Tsygankov12%
Artem Besedin11%
Georgiy Bushchan0%
Tomasz Kędziora0%
Denys Popov0%
Oleksandr Andriyevskiy0%
Denys Garmash0%
Mykola Shaparenko0%
Volodymyr Shepeliev0%
Sergiy Sydorchuk0%
Oleksandr Karavaev0%
Vladyslav Kabaev0%
Vladyslav Dubinchak0%
Vladyslav Vanat0%
Ilya Zabarnyi0%
Oleksandr Syrota0%
Kostiantyn Vivcharenko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Tsygankov12%
Oleksandr Syrota12%
Sergiy Sydorchuk11%
Vitaliy Buyalskyi10%
Georgiy Bushchan0%
Tomasz Kędziora0%
Denys Popov0%
Oleksandr Andriyevskiy0%
Denys Garmash0%
Mykola Shaparenko0%
Volodymyr Shepeliev0%
Artem Besedin0%
Oleksandr Karavaev0%
Oleksandr Tymchyk0%
Vladyslav Kabaev0%
Vladyslav Dubinchak0%
Vladyslav Vanat0%
Ilya Zabarnyi0%
Kostiantyn Vivcharenko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
Vorskla Poltava
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
Kolos Kovalivka
Chornomorets
Veres Rivne
Minai
Ruh Lviv
Inhulets
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Metal Kharkiv
Lviv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalurh Zaporizhya