This opponent (Zorya Luhansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zorya Luhansk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.86
1.86
2.25
1.25
1.33
2.67
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
2.00
3.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.00
1.67
1.50
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
2.00
3.00
1.00
2.00
2.50
Clean sheet %
14% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.4%
Under 2.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.0%
Under 3.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.5%
No
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
3-0 ✓
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
Dnipro-1 goals ↓
Zorya Luhansk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
4.6%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
1
8.9%
12%
5.6%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.3%
9.9%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
5.8%
6.2%
3.3%
1.2%
0.3%
4
2.7%
2.9%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dnipro-1 goals (down), columns = Zorya Luhansk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Dnipro-1 and Zorya Luhansk are level in average points per game (both 2.23).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Dnipro-1 is 0.10 goals worse than Zorya Luhansk in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 2.13).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Dnipro-1 is 0.13 goals better than Zorya Luhansk in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Dnipro-1 is 2.3 percentage points better than Zorya Luhansk in terms of average possession (56% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dnipro-1
For 4.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zorya Luhansk
For 6.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Dnipro-1
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (9)
9.7
9.5
10.0
1.2
1.2
1.2
21.0
21.0
21.0
vs Stronger (2)
6.0
6.0
-
0.5
1.0
0.0
17.0
17.0
-
vs Similar (5)
11.5
13.0
10.0
2.0
1.7
2.5
23.0
25.0
21.0
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
67%
50%
100%
22%
20%
25%
33%
50%
0%
% under line
33%
50%
0%
78%
80%
75%
67%
50%
100%
This opponent (Zorya Luhansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zorya Luhansk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (7)
10.0
11.0
9.0
1.4
1.2
1.7
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
10.0
11.0
9.0
3.3
2.5
5.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
29%
25%
33%
-
-
-
% under line
50%
0%
100%
71%
75%
67%
-
-
-
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Zorya Luhansk
10.0
Dynamo Kyiv
9.7
Dnipro-1
9.7
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Dynamo Kyiv
6.0
Zorya Luhansk
5.0
Dnipro-1
3.7
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dynamo Kyiv
25.1
Dnipro-1
21.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.1%
Under 9.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.5%
Under 3.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dnipro-1
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.89
0.56
0.40
0.60
1.50
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (5)
0.80
1.00
0.33
1.00
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Zorya Luhansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zorya Luhansk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.57
1.50
0.25
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dnipro-1
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.44
1.20
0.40
0.75
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.60
1.67
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
56% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Zorya Luhansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zorya Luhansk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
1.29
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.67
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
14% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dnipro-1
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Artem Dovbyk57%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok25%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Artem Gromov0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Busanello0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artem Gromov33%
Volodymyr Tanchyk29%
Domingo Blanco25%
Ruslan Babenko25%
Busanello20%
Volodymyr Adamyuk17%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak17%
Max Walef12%
Oleksandr Svatok12%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Eduard Sarapiy12%
Artem Dovbyk0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Busanello40%
Artem Dovbyk29%
Volodymyr Adamyuk17%
Volodymyr Tanchyk14%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Artem Gromov0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Artem Dovbyk43%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok25%
Oleksandr Nazarenko17%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Artem Gromov0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Igor Kogut0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Yanis Hamache0%
Busanello0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Zorya Luhansk · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Roman Vantukh36%
Pylyp Budkivskyi36%
Nemanja Anđušić27%
Igor Perduta20%
Petar Mićin12%
Artem Slesar12%
Roman Salenko11%
Andrija Janjić9%
Bohdan Kushnirenko8%
Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior7%
Anderson Jordan6%
Jakov Bašić0%
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk0%
Mykyta Turbaievskyi0%
Dejan Popara0%
Ruan Oliveira0%
Gabriel Eskinja0%
Domagoj Jelavić0%
Igor Gorbach0%
Oleksandr Saputin0%
Navin Malysh0%
Andrii Matkevych0%
Sallieu Bah0%
Fedir Zadorozhyi0%
Reynaldiño Verley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrija Janjić36%
Bohdan Kushnirenko33%
Sallieu Bah33%
Dejan Popara23%
Jakov Bašić22%
Pylyp Budkivskyi21%
Gabriel Eskinja14%
Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior13%
Anderson Jordan12%
Igor Perduta10%
Roman Vantukh9%
Nemanja Anđušić9%
Artem Slesar6%
Petar Mićin0%
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk0%
Mykyta Turbaievskyi0%
Ruan Oliveira0%
Domagoj Jelavić0%
Roman Salenko0%
Igor Gorbach0%
Oleksandr Saputin0%
Navin Malysh0%
Andrii Matkevych0%
Fedir Zadorozhyi0%
Reynaldiño Verley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior20%
Dejan Popara15%
Gabriel Eskinja14%
Igor Gorbach12%
Jakov Bašić11%
Roman Vantukh9%
Nemanja Anđušić9%
Pylyp Budkivskyi7%
Anderson Jordan6%
Artem Slesar6%
Igor Perduta0%
Petar Mićin0%
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk0%
Bohdan Kushnirenko0%
Mykyta Turbaievskyi0%
Ruan Oliveira0%
Domagoj Jelavić0%
Roman Salenko0%
Oleksandr Saputin0%
Andrija Janjić0%
Navin Malysh0%
Andrii Matkevych0%
Sallieu Bah0%
Fedir Zadorozhyi0%
Reynaldiño Verley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pylyp Budkivskyi29%
Artem Slesar25%
Domagoj Jelavić20%
Nemanja Anđušić18%
Bohdan Kushnirenko17%
Jakov Bašić11%
Igor Perduta0%
Petar Mićin0%
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk0%
Roman Vantukh0%
Anderson Jordan0%
Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior0%
Mykyta Turbaievskyi0%
Dejan Popara0%
Ruan Oliveira0%
Gabriel Eskinja0%
Roman Salenko0%
Igor Gorbach0%
Oleksandr Saputin0%
Andrija Janjić0%
Navin Malysh0%
Andrii Matkevych0%
Sallieu Bah0%
Fedir Zadorozhyi0%
Reynaldiño Verley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
Vorskla Poltava
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
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