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Dolný Kubín vs Považská Bystrica Result & Analysis

Date: 30/04/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-2
Dolný Kubín
Dolný Kubín
Vs
39%
26%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dolný Kubín win✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica win✗ Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dolný KubínDolný Kubín

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-715L02L22D15L32W00D31W13L30W17LA·POH05/11A·KOM25/02H·PÚC05/03A·FK 11/03H·SLO18/03A·HUM25/03H·SPA31/03A·ŠAM09/04H·RAČ16/04A·PET23/04
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.122.081.461.540.772.62
vs Stronger (4)1.002.001.502.000.502.00
vs Similar (20)1.252.301.601.600.903.00
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %19% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W00D11D13L33D60W31W22D24L00DH·HUM12/11A·ŠAM26/02H·PET04/03A·ŽIL12/03H·SLA18/03A·DUB25/03H·PÚC01/04A·SLO07/04H·SPA15/04A·RAČ23/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.652.151.771.381.54
vs Stronger (9)1.782.002.752.001.002.00
vs Similar (15)1.801.531.881.881.711.14
vs Weaker (2)1.501.002.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %19% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Dolný Kubín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.4%
Under 2.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.0%
Under 3.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.7%
No
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-2 ✓
6.4%
1-0
6.2%
0-1
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
Dolný Kubín goals ↓
Považská Bystrica goals →
01234
05.7%5.8%5.2%2.6%1.0%
16.2%12%8.2%4.1%1.5%
25.7%8.6%6.4%3.2%1.2%
33.0%4.5%3.4%1.7%0.6%
41.2%1.8%1.3%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dolný Kubín goals (down), columns = Považská Bystrica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Košice
2.20
Tatran Prešov
2.07
Komárno
1.77
Žilina II
1.67
Spartak Myjava
1.43
Slovan Bratislava II
1.43
Pohronie
1.37
Považská Bystrica
1.33
Šamorín
1.33
Púchov
1.27
Slavoj Trebišov
1.20
Petržalka
1.13
Dolný Kubín
1.13
Humenné
1.07
Rača
0.87
Dubnica
0.83
Dolný Kubín is 0.20 points worse than Považská Bystrica in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Žilina II
2.23
FK Košice
2.03
Považská Bystrica
1.73
Tatran Prešov
1.63
Púchov
1.57
Spartak Myjava
1.53
Šamorín
1.47
Slovan Bratislava II
1.43
Pohronie
1.40
Komárno
1.37
Petržalka
1.33
Dubnica
1.27
Dolný Kubín
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.07
Rača
0.83
Humenné
0.80
Dolný Kubín is 0.53 goals worse than Považská Bystrica in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Košice
0.70
Tatran Prešov
0.80
Komárno
0.87
Humenné
1.17
Spartak Myjava
1.37
Petržalka
1.43
Púchov
1.47
Slavoj Trebišov
1.47
Pohronie
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.60
Šamorín
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Rača
1.73
Dubnica
1.97
Dolný Kubín
2.00
Dolný Kubín is 0.40 goals worse than Považská Bystrica in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dolný KubínDolný Kubín

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D10W00D21W00D11D01L10W13LA·POH05/11A·KOM25/02H·PÚC05/03A·FK 11/03H·SLO18/03A·HUM25/03H·SPA31/03A·ŠAM09/04H·RAČ16/04A·PET23/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.540.770.690.540.381.00
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.501.500.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.650.750.800.400.501.10
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %54% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W00D01L11D32W50W11D11D23L00DH·HUM12/11A·ŠAM26/02H·PET04/03A·ŽIL12/03H·SLA18/03A·DUB25/03H·PÚC01/04A·SLO07/04H·SPA15/04A·RAČ23/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.120.581.150.771.080.38
vs Stronger (9)1.000.671.501.000.600.40
vs Similar (15)1.200.601.000.751.430.43
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %58% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dolný Kubín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dolný Kubín over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dolný Kubín over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dolný Kubín over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dolný KubínDolný Kubín

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L02L12L15L11D00D20W12L20W04LA·POH05/11A·KOM25/02H·PÚC05/03A·FK 11/03H·SLO18/03A·HUM25/03H·SPA31/03A·ŠAM09/04H·RAČ16/04A·PET23/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.581.310.771.000.381.62
vs Stronger (4)0.750.751.000.500.501.00
vs Similar (20)0.601.550.801.200.401.90
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W02L01L10W20W11D01L00DH·HUM12/11A·ŠAM26/02H·PET04/03A·ŽIL12/03H·SLA18/03A·DUB25/03H·PÚC01/04A·SLO07/04H·SPA15/04A·RAČ23/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.651.081.001.000.311.15
vs Stronger (9)0.781.331.251.000.401.60
vs Similar (15)0.600.930.881.120.290.71
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %35% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dolný Kubín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dolný Kubín over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dolný Kubín over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dolný Kubín over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (25)
€6m
KOM (24)
€3m
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (5)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (9)
€2m
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (11)
€2m
KOM (9)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
DK wins
0
Draws
1
PB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dolný Kubín vs Považská Bystrica · H/A from DK
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22APovažská Bystrica Vs DK1-0

Dolný KubínDolný Kubín

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/23APetržalka Vs DK7-1
16/04/23HDK Vs Rača3-0
09/04/23AŠamorín Vs DK3-1
31/03/23HDK Vs Spartak Myjava3-1
25/03/23AHumenné Vs DK0-0
18/03/23HDK Vs Slovan Bratislava II3-2
11/03/23AFK Košice Vs DK5-1
05/03/23HDK Vs Púchov2-2
25/02/23AKomárno Vs DK2-0
05/11/22APohronie Vs DK5-1

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/23ARača Vs PB0-0
15/04/23HPB Vs Spartak Myjava2-4
07/04/23ASlovan Bratislava II Vs PB2-2
01/04/23HPB Vs Púchov3-1
25/03/23ADubnica Vs PB0-6
18/03/23HPB Vs Slavoj Trebišov3-3
12/03/23AŽilina II Vs PB3-1
04/03/23HPB Vs Petržalka1-1
26/02/23AŠamorín Vs PB0-0
12/11/22HPB Vs Humenné2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dolný Kubín
Dolný Kubín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.04
HomeWDWWW1.54
AwayLLDLL0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%46%15%
AVG goals3.193.003.38
Over 1.5 %88%92%85%
Over 2.5 %69%77%62%
Over 3.5 %35%31%38%
Scored1.121.460.77
Conceded2.081.542.62
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet19%23%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLD1.27
HomeWDDWL1.69
AwayDLWDD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%46%15%
AVG goals3.423.922.92
Over 1.5 %85%92%77%
Over 2.5 %77%77%77%
Over 3.5 %50%62%38%
Scored1.772.151.38
Conceded1.651.771.54
BTTS73%85%62%
Clean Sheet19%15%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK KošiceFK Košice3066
67%
2.2
6121+40
2.7
77%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
1222.00.7
-
2Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov3062
67%
2.1
4924+25
2.4
77%
60%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
3KomárnoKomárno3053
47%
1.8
4126+15
2.2
67%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.40.9
-
4Žilina IIŽilina II3050
50%
1.7
6750+17
3.9
80%
73%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.7
-
5Spartak MyjavaSpartak Myjava3043
40%
1.4
4641+5
2.9
80%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
6Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3043
40%
1.4
4345-2
2.9
87%
70%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
7PohroniePohronie3041
33%
1.4
4245-3
2.9
83%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.5
-
8Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3040
33%
1.3
5248+4
3.3
80%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
9ŠamorínŠamorín3040
40%
1.3
4450-6
3.1
77%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.51.7
-
10PúchovPúchov3038
37%
1.3
4744+3
3.0
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
11Slavoj TrebišovSlavoj Trebišov3036
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
67%
53%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
12PetržalkaPetržalka3034
27%
1.1
4043-3
2.8
80%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.4
-
13Dolný KubínDolný Kubín3034
33%
1.1
3660-24
3.2
87%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
14HumennéHumenné3032
23%
1.1
2435-11
2.0
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15RačaRača3026
20%
0.9
2552-27
2.6
63%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
16DubnicaDubnica3025
20%
0.8
3859-21
3.2
83%
67%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
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Slovakia: 2. liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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