Doncaster vs AFC Wimbledon Result & Analysis

Doncaster face a tough test as AFC Wimbledon are tipped to win the match, the model picking an away victory with a 42% chance. The encounter is expected to see around 2.5 goals, with the most likely total of two goals, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.9% probability. Doncaster’s home form shows they average 1.42 goals scored and 1.25 conceded against similarly matched opposition, while Wimbledon’s away numbers are 0.8 scored and 0.7 conceded to comparable teams. The home win probability sits at 29%, a draw at 29%, and the away win at 42%. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 85.9%, Over 19.5 fouls at 78.6%, Under 3.5 at 75.8%, Under 4.5 cards at 72.7%, Over 1.5 at 72.5% (miss), and Under 11.5 corners at 71.6%. Both sides enter with recent mixed results, Doncaster coming off a draw and Wimbledon on a win.

The pre-match favourite, AFC Wimbledon, fell short as Doncaster secured a 1-0 home win, extending their recent run of results. The model had selected an away win with a 42% probability, but that call proved wrong. The final score of 1-0 matched the home side’s expectation of a narrow victory. The model’s other selections performed largely as predicted: Under 5.5 cards hit at 85.9%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 78.6%, Under 3.5 hit at 75.8%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 72.7%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 71.6%, while Over 1.5 missed at 72.5%. The most likely total of two goals, with a 27% chance, was not reached, but the overall predictions were largely accurate.