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Dravinja vs Jesenice Prediction & Stats

Date: 17/10/2026
Time: 22:00
Dravinja
Dravinja
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Jesenice
Jesenice
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model favours a home win for Dravinja, with a 46% chance, followed by a 27% draw and a 27% away win. The expected total is 2.8 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%. Dravinja, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Jesenice, on the road against a stronger opponent, averages 0.73 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.1%), Under 6.5 (97.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.6%), Under 5.5 (93.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (91.6%), Home +2 handicap (88.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (88.0%) and Under 4.5 (84.3%). Dravinja’s recent form shows four straight defeats before a win, while Jesenice are on a two-game winning streak.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dravinja win
46.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Jesenice win
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DravinjaDravinja

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W21W11D21W10W01L13L02L14LA·RUD25/04H·KRK30/04H·ILI06/05A·GOR11/05H·KRŠ16/05A·JES23/05A·ILI09/08H·BIL16/08A·DRE22/08H·TRI29/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.531.131.601.001.47
vs Stronger (9)1.112.111.502.500.801.80
vs Similar (19)1.111.321.101.201.111.44
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Jesenice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JeseniceJesenice

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-818L03L01L21W23L01L03L11D20W31WA·BRI26/04H·TRI30/04A·SLO07/05H·RUD10/05A·KRK15/05H·DRA23/05H·TAB08/08H·KRŠ14/08A·DEK21/08H·BEL29/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.872.271.002.000.732.53
vs Stronger (28)0.862.391.002.230.732.53
vs Similar (2)1.000.501.000.50--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
Dravinja goals ↓
Jesenice goals →
01234
07.0%5.9%4.2%1.7%0.5%
18.5%13%6.9%2.8%0.8%
27.9%9.4%5.6%2.3%0.7%
34.3%5.1%3.1%1.2%0.4%
41.7%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dravinja goals (down), columns = Jesenice goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Primorje
1.70
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Brežice
1.38
Dren Vrhnika
1.38
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Jesenice
0.60
Dravinja is 0.63 points better than Jesenice in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 0.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Beltinci
1.83
Primorje
1.73
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Brežice
1.41
Dren Vrhnika
1.41
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Dravinja is 0.20 goals better than Jesenice in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 0.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Beltinci
0.83
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Primorje
1.15
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Brežice
1.41
Dren Vrhnika
1.41
Dravinja
1.47
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Ilirija
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Dravinja is 0.80 goals better than Jesenice in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 2.27).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dravinja or Draw
73.1%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Dravinja + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dravinja or Jesenice
73.2%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Dravinja + Jesenice
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Jesenice
53.6%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Draw + Jesenice
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dravinja over/under 0.5
Over
80.5%
Under
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 1.5
Over
48.6%
Under
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 2.5
Over
22.5%
Under
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 3.5
Over
8.4%
Under
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jesenice over/under 0.5
Over
69.8%
Under
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jesenice over/under 1.5
Over
33.7%
Under
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jesenice over/under 2.5
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jesenice over/under 3.5
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Dravinja, so a minus line means Dravinja give that many goals of a start and Jesenice receive them. At -1, Dravinja must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dravinja win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dravinja)
Dravinja -2
10.4%
Draw -2
14.4%
Jesenice +2
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dravinja)
Dravinja -1
24.9%
Draw -1
21.5%
Jesenice +1
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dravinja)
Dravinja +1
73.1%
Draw +1
15.5%
Jesenice -1
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dravinja)
Dravinja +2
88.6%
Draw +2
7.8%
Jesenice -2
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DravinjaDravinja

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L00D10W10W00D02L01L11DA·RUD25/04H·KRK30/04H·ILI06/05A·GOR11/05H·KRŠ16/05A·JES23/05A·ILI09/08H·BIL16/08A·DRE22/08H·TRI29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.400.800.530.67
vs Stronger (9)0.560.890.751.000.400.80
vs Similar (19)0.420.740.300.800.560.67
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Jesenice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JeseniceJesenice

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L01L01L10W21W01L02L10W10W00DA·BRI26/04H·TRI30/04A·SLO07/05H·RUD10/05A·KRK15/05H·DRA23/05H·TAB08/08H·KRŠ14/08A·DEK21/08H·BEL29/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.400.730.400.87
vs Stronger (28)0.360.860.310.850.400.87
vs Similar (2)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dravinja over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jesenice over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jesenice over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jesenice over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DravinjaDravinja

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W20W11D11D00D01L11D01L03LA·RUD25/04H·KRK30/04H·ILI06/05A·GOR11/05H·KRŠ16/05A·JES23/05A·ILI09/08H·BIL16/08A·DRE22/08H·TRI29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.730.800.470.80
vs Stronger (9)0.561.220.751.500.401.00
vs Similar (19)0.680.580.800.400.560.78
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Jesenice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JeseniceJesenice

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L02L00D11D02L00D01L01L10W31WA·BRI26/04H·TRI30/04A·SLO07/05H·RUD10/05A·KRK15/05H·DRA23/05H·TAB08/08H·KRŠ14/08A·DEK21/08H·BEL29/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.470.601.270.331.67
vs Stronger (28)0.501.540.691.380.331.67
vs Similar (2)0.000.500.000.50--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dravinja over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jesenice over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jesenice over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jesenice over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.1%-------
Under 6.597.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.6%-------
Under 5.593.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals91.6%-------
Home +2 handicap88.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals88.0%-------
Under 4.584.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals80.5%-------
Over 1.578.6%-------
Home under 2.5 goals77.5%-------
Away +2 handicap75.1%-------
Home or Away73.2%-------
Home or Draw73.1%-------
Home +1 handicap73.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Dravinja and Jesenice have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Dravinja and Jesenice have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Dravinja and Jesenice have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Dravinja and Jesenice have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
DRA wins
0
Draws
1
JES wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dravinja vs Jesenice · H/A from DRA
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26AJesenice Vs DRA0-1
15/11/25HDRA Vs Jesenice0-2

DravinjaDravinja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HDRA Vs Triglav1-4
22/08/26ADren Vrhnika Vs DRA2-0
16/08/26HDRA Vs Bilje1-3
09/08/26AIlirija Vs DRA1-0
23/05/26AJesenice Vs DRA0-1
16/05/26HDRA Vs Krško2-1
11/05/26AGorica Vs DRA1-1
06/05/26HDRA Vs Ilirija2-1
30/04/26HDRA Vs Krka1-0
25/04/26ARudar Vs DRA1-1

JeseniceJesenice

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HJES Vs Beltinci3-1
21/08/26ADekani Vs JES0-2
14/08/26HJES Vs Krško1-1
08/08/26HJES Vs Tabor Sežana0-3
23/05/26HJES Vs Dravinja0-1
15/05/26AKrka Vs JES3-2
10/05/26HJES Vs Rudar2-1
07/05/26ASlovan Ljubljana Vs JES1-0
30/04/26HJES Vs Triglav0-3
26/04/26ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs JES8-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dravinja
Dravinja
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.18
HomeWWWLL1.42
AwayDDWLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%27%
AVG goals2.642.292.96
Over 1.5 %78%67%88%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %22%17%27%
Scored1.121.001.23
Conceded1.521.291.73
BTTS46%54%38%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Jesenice
Jesenice
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW0.74
HomeWLLDW0.72
AwayLLLLW0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%17%19%
AVG goals3.092.893.31
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %56%67%44%
Over 3.5 %32%28%38%
Scored0.940.940.94
Conceded2.151.942.38
BTTS44%50%38%
Clean Sheet18%11%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana412
100%
3.0
110+11
2.8
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.80.0
-
2IlirijaIlirija49
75%
2.2
102+8
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.50.5
-
3Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana49
75%
2.2
87+1
3.8
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
4JeseniceJesenice47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.2
-
5BistricaBistrica47
50%
1.8
67-1
3.2
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
6TriglavTriglav36
67%
2.0
52+3
2.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.7
-
7BeltinciBeltinci46
50%
1.5
86+2
3.5
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.5
-
8RudarRudar46
50%
1.5
75+2
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.81.2
-
9Dren VrhnikaDren Vrhnika46
50%
1.5
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
10BiljeBilje46
50%
1.5
710-3
4.2
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.82.5
-
11PrimorjePrimorje46
50%
1.5
58-3
3.2
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
12KrškoKrško45
25%
1.2
38-5
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.0
-
13DekaniDekani44
25%
1.0
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.80.8
-
14KrkaKrka41
0%
0.2
49-5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.02.2
-
15BrežiceBrežice30
0%
0.0
25-3
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
16DravinjaDravinja40
0%
0.0
210-8
3.0
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.52.5
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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