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Dubnica vs FK Košice Result & Analysis

Date: 22/04/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
Dubnica
Dubnica
Vs
21%
26%
53%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Košice
FK Košice
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubnica win✗ Miss
20.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Košice win✓ Hit
53.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DubnicaDubnica

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-613L12L34L12L22D11D06L13L00D33DA·ŽIL29/10A·SLA05/11H·PÚC25/02A·SLO05/03H·SPA11/03A·RAČ19/03H·POV25/03A·TAT01/04H·POH08/04A·KOM15/04
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.161.721.081.581.231.85
vs Stronger (5)1.002.801.002.501.003.00
vs Similar (19)1.261.531.221.561.301.50
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %24% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Košice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK KošiceFK Košice

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W12L20W00D51W11D10W50W22D20WH·POV05/11A·TAT12/11H·POH25/02A·KOM05/03H·DOL11/03H·HUM18/03A·ŠAM26/03H·PET01/04A·ŽIL08/04H·SLA15/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.960.802.540.621.331.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)2.060.882.440.671.621.12
vs Weaker (8)1.750.622.750.500.750.75
Clean sheet %52% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubnica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.9%
Under 1.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.1%
Under 2.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.1%
Under 3.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-2 ✓
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
Dubnica goals ↓
FK Košice goals →
01234
08.0%11%9.9%5.6%2.4%
15.6%13%9.7%5.5%2.3%
23.3%5.6%4.8%2.7%1.1%
31.1%1.8%1.6%0.9%0.4%
40.3%0.4%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dubnica goals (down), columns = FK Košice goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Košice
2.20
Tatran Prešov
2.07
Komárno
1.77
Žilina II
1.67
Spartak Myjava
1.43
Slovan Bratislava II
1.43
Pohronie
1.37
Považská Bystrica
1.33
Šamorín
1.33
Púchov
1.27
Slavoj Trebišov
1.20
Petržalka
1.13
Dolný Kubín
1.13
Humenné
1.07
Rača
0.87
Dubnica
0.83
Dubnica is 1.37 points worse than FK Košice in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 2.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Žilina II
2.23
FK Košice
2.03
Považská Bystrica
1.73
Tatran Prešov
1.63
Púchov
1.57
Spartak Myjava
1.53
Šamorín
1.47
Slovan Bratislava II
1.43
Pohronie
1.40
Komárno
1.37
Petržalka
1.33
Dubnica
1.27
Dolný Kubín
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.07
Rača
0.83
Humenné
0.80
Dubnica is 0.77 goals worse than FK Košice in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 2.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Košice
0.70
Tatran Prešov
0.80
Komárno
0.87
Humenné
1.17
Spartak Myjava
1.37
Petržalka
1.43
Púchov
1.47
Slavoj Trebišov
1.47
Pohronie
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.60
Šamorín
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Rača
1.73
Dubnica
1.97
Dolný Kubín
2.00
Dubnica is 1.27 goals worse than FK Košice in terms of goals conceded per game (1.97 vs 0.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DubnicaDubnica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W00D02L01L02L10W05L02L00D11DA·ŽIL29/10A·SLA05/11H·PÚC25/02A·SLO05/03H·SPA11/03A·RAČ19/03H·POV25/03A·TAT01/04H·POH08/04A·KOM15/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.960.501.170.620.77
vs Stronger (5)0.201.400.001.500.331.33
vs Similar (19)0.680.890.671.220.700.60
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %44% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Košice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK KošiceFK Košice

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W00D00D00D00D20W11D10WH·POV05/11A·TAT12/11H·POH25/02A·KOM05/03H·DOL11/03H·HUM18/03A·ŠAM26/03H·PET01/04A·ŽIL08/04H·SLA15/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.320.460.230.670.42
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.650.290.440.220.880.38
vs Weaker (8)0.380.380.500.250.250.50
Clean sheet %72% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubnica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dubnica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubnica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubnica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Košice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Košice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Košice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DubnicaDubnica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L12L32W11D20W01L01L11D00D22DA·ŽIL29/10A·SLA05/11H·PÚC25/02A·SLO05/03H·SPA11/03A·RAČ19/03H·POV25/03A·TAT01/04H·POH08/04A·KOM15/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.760.580.420.621.08
vs Stronger (5)0.801.401.001.000.671.67
vs Similar (19)0.580.630.560.330.600.90
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %52% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Košice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK KošiceFK Košice

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W01L10W00D51W11D10W30W11D10WH·POV05/11A·TAT12/11H·POH25/02A·KOM05/03H·DOL11/03H·HUM18/03A·ŠAM26/03H·PET01/04A·ŽIL08/04H·SLA15/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.482.080.380.670.58
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.410.592.000.440.750.75
vs Weaker (8)1.380.252.250.250.500.25
Clean sheet %64% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubnica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dubnica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubnica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubnica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Košice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Košice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Košice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FK Košice · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vladimir Perišić29%
Roman Čerepkai28%
Milan Rehuš27%
Mátyás Kovács21%
Filip Lichý20%
Matej Jakúbek18%
Ján Krivák17%
Miroslav Sovič13%
David Gallovic11%
Karlo Miljanić8%
Matej Madleňák6%
Edin Julardžija0%
Osman Kakay0%
Milan Dimun0%
Kevin Dąbrowski0%
Dominik Kružliak0%
Marek Zsigmund0%
Matúš Kira0%
Daniel Magda0%
Zyen Jones0%
Leonardo Lukačević0%
Adam Goljan0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Emilian Metu0%
Juraj Teplan0%
Tomas Durko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Magda30%
Filip Lichý30%
Dominik Kružliak22%
Sebastian Kóša22%
Vladimir Perišić21%
Juraj Teplan20%
Ján Krivák17%
Emilian Metu14%
Edin Julardžija12%
Milan Dimun11%
Tomas Durko11%
Mátyás Kovács11%
Kevin Dąbrowski9%
Karlo Miljanić8%
Marek Zsigmund7%
Miroslav Sovič7%
Osman Kakay6%
Matej Madleňák6%
Roman Čerepkai6%
David Gallovic6%
Matúš Kira0%
Zyen Jones0%
Matej Jakúbek0%
Leonardo Lukačević0%
Adam Goljan0%
Milan Rehuš0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mátyás Kovács21%
Milan Rehuš20%
Roman Čerepkai17%
Karlo Miljanić15%
Miroslav Sovič13%
Milan Dimun11%
Leonardo Lukačević11%
David Gallovic11%
Daniel Magda10%
Filip Lichý10%
Osman Kakay6%
Matej Madleňák6%
Edin Julardžija0%
Kevin Dąbrowski0%
Dominik Kružliak0%
Marek Zsigmund0%
Matúš Kira0%
Ján Krivák0%
Zyen Jones0%
Matej Jakúbek0%
Adam Goljan0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Emilian Metu0%
Vladimir Perišić0%
Juraj Teplan0%
Tomas Durko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Čerepkai33%
Karlo Miljanić31%
Vladimir Perišić29%
Matej Jakúbek27%
Adam Goljan25%
Edin Julardžija12%
Milan Dimun11%
Milan Rehuš7%
Osman Kakay6%
Dominik Kružliak6%
Matej Madleňák6%
Kevin Dąbrowski0%
Marek Zsigmund0%
Matúš Kira0%
Ján Krivák0%
Daniel Magda0%
Zyen Jones0%
Leonardo Lukačević0%
Filip Lichý0%
David Gallovic0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Emilian Metu0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Miroslav Sovič0%
Juraj Teplan0%
Tomas Durko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (25)
€6m
KOM (24)
€3m
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (5)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (9)
€2m
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (11)
€2m
KOM (9)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
DUB wins
0
Draws
1
FK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dubnica vs FK Košice · H/A from DUB
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22AFK Košice Vs DUB1-0

DubnicaDubnica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/23AKomárno Vs DUB3-3
08/04/23HDUB Vs Pohronie0-0
01/04/23ATatran Prešov Vs DUB3-1
25/03/23HDUB Vs Považská Bystrica0-6
19/03/23ARača Vs DUB1-1
11/03/23HDUB Vs Spartak Myjava2-2
05/03/23ASlovan Bratislava II Vs DUB2-1
25/02/23HDUB Vs Púchov3-4
05/11/22ASlavoj Trebišov Vs DUB2-1
29/10/22AŽilina II Vs DUB3-1

FK KošiceFK Košice

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/23HFK Vs Slavoj Trebišov2-0
08/04/23AŽilina II Vs FK2-2
01/04/23HFK Vs Petržalka5-0
26/03/23AŠamorín Vs FK0-1
18/03/23HFK Vs Humenné1-1
11/03/23HFK Vs Dolný Kubín5-1
05/03/23AKomárno Vs FK0-0
25/02/23HFK Vs Pohronie2-0
12/11/22ATatran Prešov Vs FK2-1
05/11/22HFK Vs Považská Bystrica3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dubnica
Dubnica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD0.88
HomeWLDLD1.08
AwayLLDLD0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%25%15%
AVG goals2.882.673.08
Over 1.5 %80%67%92%
Over 2.5 %60%50%69%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored1.161.081.23
Conceded1.721.581.85
BTTS56%25%85%
Clean Sheet24%42%8%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Košice
FK Košice
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDW2.04
HomeWWDWW2.46
AwayWLDWD1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%77%42%
AVG goals2.763.152.33
Over 1.5 %72%85%58%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %36%31%42%
Scored1.962.541.33
Conceded0.800.621.00
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet52%46%58%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK KošiceFK Košice3066
67%
2.2
6121+40
2.7
77%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
1222.00.7
-
2Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov3062
67%
2.1
4924+25
2.4
77%
60%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
3KomárnoKomárno3053
47%
1.8
4126+15
2.2
67%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.40.9
-
4Žilina IIŽilina II3050
50%
1.7
6750+17
3.9
80%
73%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.7
-
5Spartak MyjavaSpartak Myjava3043
40%
1.4
4641+5
2.9
80%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
6Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3043
40%
1.4
4345-2
2.9
87%
70%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
7PohroniePohronie3041
33%
1.4
4245-3
2.9
83%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.5
-
8Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3040
33%
1.3
5248+4
3.3
80%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
9ŠamorínŠamorín3040
40%
1.3
4450-6
3.1
77%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.51.7
-
10PúchovPúchov3038
37%
1.3
4744+3
3.0
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
11Slavoj TrebišovSlavoj Trebišov3036
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
67%
53%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
12PetržalkaPetržalka3034
27%
1.1
4043-3
2.8
80%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.4
-
13Dolný KubínDolný Kubín3034
33%
1.1
3660-24
3.2
87%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
14HumennéHumenné3032
23%
1.1
2435-11
2.0
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15RačaRača3026
20%
0.9
2552-27
2.6
63%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
16DubnicaDubnica3025
20%
0.8
3859-21
3.2
83%
67%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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