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Dubnica vs Šamorín Result & Analysis

Date: 06/05/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Dubnica
Dubnica
Vs
34%
25%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Šamorín
Šamorín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubnica win✗ Miss
34.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Šamorín win✓ Hit
40.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DubnicaDubnica

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-634L12L22D11D06L13L00D33D12L13LH·PÚC25/02A·SLO05/03H·SPA11/03A·RAČ19/03H·POV25/03A·TAT01/04H·POH08/04A·KOM15/04H·FK 22/04A·HUM29/04
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.151.781.081.621.211.93
vs Stronger (5)1.002.801.002.501.003.00
vs Similar (20)1.251.551.201.601.301.50
vs Weaker (2)0.501.500.000.001.003.00
Clean sheet %22% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D12L40W03L01L23L31W02L33D12LH·POV26/02A·TAT04/03H·POH12/03A·KOM18/03H·FK 26/03A·HUM01/04H·DOL09/04H·PET16/04A·ŽIL23/04H·SLA30/04
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.441.671.571.291.312.08
vs Stronger (8)1.252.001.251.251.252.75
vs Similar (17)1.411.471.561.331.251.62
vs Weaker (2)2.502.003.001.002.003.00
Clean sheet %26% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubnica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.1%
Under 1.5
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.9%
Under 2.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.8%
Under 3.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.1%
No
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
1-2 ✓
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
Dubnica goals ↓
Šamorín goals →
01234
04.7%5.4%5.5%3.1%1.3%
14.8%11%8.6%4.9%2.1%
24.6%7.9%6.8%3.9%1.7%
32.4%4.2%3.6%2.0%0.9%
41.0%1.6%1.4%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dubnica goals (down), columns = Šamorín goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Košice
2.20
Tatran Prešov
2.07
Komárno
1.77
Žilina II
1.67
Spartak Myjava
1.43
Slovan Bratislava II
1.43
Pohronie
1.37
Považská Bystrica
1.33
Šamorín
1.33
Púchov
1.27
Slavoj Trebišov
1.20
Petržalka
1.13
Dolný Kubín
1.13
Humenné
1.07
Rača
0.87
Dubnica
0.83
Dubnica is 0.50 points worse than Šamorín in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Žilina II
2.23
FK Košice
2.03
Považská Bystrica
1.73
Tatran Prešov
1.63
Púchov
1.57
Spartak Myjava
1.53
Šamorín
1.47
Slovan Bratislava II
1.43
Pohronie
1.40
Komárno
1.37
Petržalka
1.33
Dubnica
1.27
Dolný Kubín
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.07
Rača
0.83
Humenné
0.80
Dubnica is 0.20 goals worse than Šamorín in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Košice
0.70
Tatran Prešov
0.80
Komárno
0.87
Humenné
1.17
Spartak Myjava
1.37
Petržalka
1.43
Púchov
1.47
Slavoj Trebišov
1.47
Pohronie
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.60
Šamorín
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Rača
1.73
Dubnica
1.97
Dolný Kubín
2.00
Dubnica is 0.30 goals worse than Šamorín in terms of goals conceded per game (1.97 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DubnicaDubnica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L01L02L10W05L02L00D11D11D01LH·PÚC25/02A·SLO05/03H·SPA11/03A·RAČ19/03H·POV25/03A·TAT01/04H·POH08/04A·KOM15/04H·FK 22/04A·HUM29/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.960.541.150.570.79
vs Stronger (5)0.201.400.001.500.331.33
vs Similar (20)0.700.900.701.200.700.60
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %41% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L20W01L00D02L10W01L11D11DH·POV26/02A·TAT04/03H·POH12/03A·KOM18/03H·FK 26/03A·HUM01/04H·DOL09/04H·PET16/04A·ŽIL23/04H·SLA30/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.780.640.500.461.08
vs Stronger (8)0.500.620.500.250.501.00
vs Similar (17)0.590.820.670.670.501.00
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %48% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubnica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dubnica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubnica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubnica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DubnicaDubnica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W11D20W01L01L11D00D22D01L12LH·PÚC25/02A·SLO05/03H·SPA11/03A·RAČ19/03H·POV25/03A·TAT01/04H·POH08/04A·KOM15/04H·FK 22/04A·HUM29/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.590.810.540.460.641.14
vs Stronger (5)0.801.401.001.000.671.67
vs Similar (20)0.550.650.500.400.600.90
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %48% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W02L01L21W21W01L22D01LH·POV26/02A·TAT04/03H·POH12/03A·KOM18/03H·FK 26/03A·HUM01/04H·DOL09/04H·PET16/04A·ŽIL23/04H·SLA30/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.890.890.930.790.851.00
vs Stronger (8)0.751.380.751.000.751.75
vs Similar (17)0.820.650.890.670.750.62
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %44% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubnica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dubnica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubnica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubnica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (25)
€6m
KOM (24)
€3m
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (5)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (9)
€2m
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (11)
€2m
KOM (9)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
DUB wins
0
Draws
0
ŠAM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dubnica vs Šamorín · H/A from DUB
DateH/AGameScore
16/10/22AŠamorín Vs DUB0-2

DubnicaDubnica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/23AHumenné Vs DUB3-1
22/04/23HDUB Vs FK Košice1-2
15/04/23AKomárno Vs DUB3-3
08/04/23HDUB Vs Pohronie0-0
01/04/23ATatran Prešov Vs DUB3-1
25/03/23HDUB Vs Považská Bystrica0-6
19/03/23ARača Vs DUB1-1
11/03/23HDUB Vs Spartak Myjava2-2
05/03/23ASlovan Bratislava II Vs DUB2-1
25/02/23HDUB Vs Púchov3-4

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/23HŠAM Vs Slavoj Trebišov1-2
23/04/23AŽilina II Vs ŠAM3-3
16/04/23HŠAM Vs Petržalka0-2
09/04/23HŠAM Vs Dolný Kubín3-1
01/04/23AHumenné Vs ŠAM3-2
26/03/23HŠAM Vs FK Košice0-1
18/03/23AKomárno Vs ŠAM3-0
12/03/23HŠAM Vs Pohronie4-0
04/03/23ATatran Prešov Vs ŠAM2-1
26/02/23HŠAM Vs Považská Bystrica0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dubnica
Dubnica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLL0.81
HomeLDLDL1.00
AwayLDLDL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%23%14%
AVG goals2.932.693.14
Over 1.5 %81%69%93%
Over 2.5 %63%54%71%
Over 3.5 %30%23%36%
Scored1.151.081.21
Conceded1.781.621.93
BTTS59%31%86%
Clean Sheet22%38%7%
Corners---
Cards---
Šamorín
Šamorín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.26
HomeWLWLL1.43
AwayLLLLD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%43%31%
AVG goals3.112.863.38
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %63%57%69%
Over 3.5 %44%43%46%
Scored1.441.571.31
Conceded1.671.292.08
BTTS52%43%62%
Clean Sheet26%36%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK KošiceFK Košice3066
67%
2.2
6121+40
2.7
77%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
1222.00.7
-
2Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov3062
67%
2.1
4924+25
2.4
77%
60%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
3KomárnoKomárno3053
47%
1.8
4126+15
2.2
67%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.40.9
-
4Žilina IIŽilina II3050
50%
1.7
6750+17
3.9
80%
73%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.7
-
5Spartak MyjavaSpartak Myjava3043
40%
1.4
4641+5
2.9
80%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
6Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3043
40%
1.4
4345-2
2.9
87%
70%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
7PohroniePohronie3041
33%
1.4
4245-3
2.9
83%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.5
-
8Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3040
33%
1.3
5248+4
3.3
80%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
9ŠamorínŠamorín3040
40%
1.3
4450-6
3.1
77%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.51.7
-
10PúchovPúchov3038
37%
1.3
4744+3
3.0
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
11Slavoj TrebišovSlavoj Trebišov3036
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
67%
53%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
12PetržalkaPetržalka3034
27%
1.1
4043-3
2.8
80%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.4
-
13Dolný KubínDolný Kubín3034
33%
1.1
3660-24
3.2
87%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
14HumennéHumenné3032
23%
1.1
2435-11
2.0
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15RačaRača3026
20%
0.9
2552-27
2.6
63%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
16DubnicaDubnica3025
20%
0.8
3859-21
3.2
83%
67%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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