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Dubrava Zagreb vs Rudes Result & Analysis

Date: 03/11/2024
Time: 11:50
Final 1-0
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Vs
41%
31%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudes
Rudes
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dubrava Zagreb win✓ Hit
40.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudes win✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W13L12L02L00D10W20W21W01L00DH·BSK31/08A·JAR07/09H·VUK13/09A·ORI18/09H·SES21/09A·ZRI28/09H·DUG05/10A·HNK11/10H·CRO19/10A·OPA25/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.101.471.000.801.20
vs Stronger (3)1.002.331.002.001.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.150.961.540.850.791.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudesRudes

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W10W21W01L11D20W11D12L10WA·OPA30/08H·CRO07/09H·BSK15/09A·JAR19/09H·VUK23/09A·ORI28/09H·SES05/10A·ZRI11/10H·DUG19/10H·HNK26/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.902.001.061.810.712.21
vs Stronger (9)0.672.780.402.401.003.25
vs Similar (21)1.001.671.361.550.601.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.2%
Under 1.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.1%
Under 2.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.4%
Under 3.5
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.6%
No
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.2%
1-0 ✓
12.2%
0-1
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.2%
Dubrava Zagreb goals ↓
Rudes goals →
01234
012%9.4%5.2%1.7%0.4%
112%15%6.5%2.1%0.5%
28.3%8.2%4.0%1.3%0.3%
33.4%3.4%1.6%0.5%0.1%
41.1%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dubrava Zagreb goals (down), columns = Rudes goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
2.18
Opatija
2.06
Orijent 1919
1.70
Sesvete
1.48
HNK Cibalia
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.21
Rudes
1.18
Jarun
1.12
Dugopolje
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.27
Dubrava Zagreb is 0.21 points better than Rudes in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.18).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.67
Opatija
1.45
HNK Cibalia
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.21
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.06
Croatia Zmijavci
1.00
Jarun
1.00
Dugopolje
1.00
Rudes
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.45
Dubrava Zagreb is 0.12 goals better than Rudes in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 0.94).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.42
Opatija
0.61
Orijent 1919
0.94
Sesvete
0.97
Rudes
1.00
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
HNK Cibalia
1.18
Jarun
1.18
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Dugopolje
1.58
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.15
Dubrava Zagreb is 0.09 goals worse than Rudes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W10W02L00D10W20W10W00D00DH·BSK31/08A·JAR07/09H·VUK13/09A·ORI18/09H·SES21/09A·ZRI28/09H·DUG05/10A·HNK11/10H·CRO19/10A·OPA25/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.870.400.400.53
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.480.920.380.430.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudesRudes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D11D01L01L20W11D10W00DA·OPA30/08H·CRO07/09H·BSK15/09A·JAR19/09H·VUK23/09A·ORI28/09H·SES05/10A·ZRI11/10H·DUG19/10H·HNK26/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.560.620.430.93
vs Stronger (9)0.331.110.200.600.501.75
vs Similar (21)0.570.620.730.640.400.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L02L00D00D00D00D11D01L00DH·BSK31/08A·JAR07/09H·VUK13/09A·ORI18/09H·SES21/09A·ZRI28/09H·DUG05/10A·HNK11/10H·CRO19/10A·OPA25/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.600.600.400.67
vs Stronger (3)0.672.000.501.501.003.00
vs Similar (27)0.480.480.620.460.360.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudesRudes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D10W10W00D10W00D00D02L10WA·OPA30/08H·CRO07/09H·BSK15/09A·JAR19/09H·VUK23/09A·ORI28/09H·SES05/10A·ZRI11/10H·DUG19/10H·HNK26/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.230.501.190.291.29
vs Stronger (9)0.331.670.201.800.501.50
vs Similar (21)0.431.050.640.910.201.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.6%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Rudes · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stefan Vukić33%
Noa Skoko25%
Xavier Fernandes25%
Ivan Đorić25%
Lenny Ilečić20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Jurica Poldrugač0%
Diego Å―ivulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Bruno UnuÅĄić0%
Ante SuÅĄak0%
Josip Pejić0%
Vid Seitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Xavier Fernandes50%
Vid Seitz50%
Diego Å―ivulić33%
Stefan Vukić33%
Ante SuÅĄak25%
Jurica Poldrugač20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Bruno UnuÅĄić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Josip Pejić0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lenny Ilečić40%
Josip Pejić33%
Jurica Poldrugač20%
Vedran Celjak20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Diego Å―ivulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Stefan Vukić0%
Bruno UnuÅĄić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Ante SuÅĄak0%
Xavier Fernandes0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Vid Seitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Jurica Poldrugač0%
Diego Å―ivulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Stefan Vukić0%
Bruno UnuÅĄić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Ante SuÅĄak0%
Josip Pejić0%
Xavier Fernandes0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Vid Seitz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Dubrava Zagreb's squad is €3m less valuable than Rudes's (€2m vs €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Dubrava Zagreb's attack is €2m less valuable than Rudes's (€0m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
Dubrava Zagreb and Rudes have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Dubrava Zagreb and Rudes have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
DZ wins
2
Draws
1
RUD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dubrava Zagreb vs Rudes · H/A from DZ
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/24ARudes Vs DZ1-2
13/05/23HDZ Vs Rudes0-4
18/03/23HDZ Vs Rudes1-1
22/10/22ARudes Vs DZ1-1

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/24AOpatija Vs DZ0-0
19/10/24HDZ Vs Croatia Zmijavci0-1
11/10/24AHNK Cibalia Vs DZ1-2
05/10/24HDZ Vs Dugopolje2-0
28/09/24AZrinski Jurjevac Vs DZ0-1
21/09/24HDZ Vs Sesvete0-0
18/09/24AOrijent 1919 Vs DZ2-0
13/09/24HDZ Vs Vukovar1-2
07/09/24AJarun Vs DZ3-1
31/08/24HDZ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo3-0

RudesRudes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/24HRUD Vs HNK Cibalia1-0
19/10/24HRUD Vs Dugopolje1-2
11/10/24AZrinski Jurjevac Vs RUD1-1
05/10/24HRUD Vs Sesvete2-0
28/09/24AOrijent 1919 Vs RUD1-1
23/09/24HRUD Vs Vukovar0-1
19/09/24AJarun Vs RUD1-2
15/09/24HRUD Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-0
07/09/24HRUD Vs Croatia Zmijavci2-1
30/08/24AOpatija Vs RUD1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.30
HomeWLDWL1.29
AwayLLWWD1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%35%
AVG goals2.282.462.12
Over 1.5 %68%75%62%
Over 2.5 %44%54%35%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored1.061.210.92
Conceded1.221.251.19
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Rudes
Rudes
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW0.54
HomeWLWLW0.73
AwayLLWDD0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%19%4%
AVG goals2.722.812.62
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %24%27%21%
Scored0.720.880.54
Conceded2.001.922.08
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet14%23%4%
Corners9.7710.289.24
Cards3.764.183.35

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3372
64%
2.2
5514+41
2.1
58%
30%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.4
-
2OpatijaOpatija3368
58%
2.1
4820+28
2.1
64%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.50.6
-
3Orijent 1919Orijent 19193356
42%
1.7
4631+15
2.3
76%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.9
-
4SesveteSesvete3349
42%
1.5
3632+4
2.1
52%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.0
-
5HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3346
36%
1.4
4739+8
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.2
-
6Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3346
42%
1.4
3536-1
2.2
61%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.1
-
7Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3346
39%
1.4
4042-2
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3340
30%
1.2
3343-10
2.3
58%
45%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
9RudesRudes3339
30%
1.2
3133-2
1.9
61%
30%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3110.91.0
-
10JarunJarun3337
27%
1.1
3339-6
2.2
70%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
11DugopoljeDugopolje3331
18%
0.9
3352-19
2.6
79%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.6
-
12Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac339
3%
0.3
1571-56
2.6
67%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.2
-
Croatia: First NL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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