PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Dumbarton vs Clyde Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2019
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Vs
52%
25%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dumbarton win✗ Miss
52.0%
Avg Implied 38.3% · @ 2.39
Edge
+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.32
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✓ Hit
23.1%
Avg Implied 34.1% · @ 2.69
Edge
-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-630W21W11D01L06L32W31W21W01L22DH·EAS20/04H·STR27/04A·ARB04/05H·RAI03/08A·FAL10/08A·PET17/08H·STR24/08A·MON31/08H·AIR14/09A·EAS21/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.701.731.271.672.13
vs Stronger (21)1.811.811.801.101.822.45
vs Similar (9)1.441.441.601.601.251.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-650W30W12L11D25L13L10W00D61W11DH·BER20/04H·QUE27/04A·COW04/05H·EAS03/08A·RAI10/08A·AIR17/08H·FAL24/08A·FOR31/08H·STR14/09A·PET21/09← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.932.330.671.401.20
vs Stronger (29)1.720.932.070.641.401.20
vs Similar (1)6.001.006.001.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.3%
@ 1.85+7.8%
Under 2.5
41.7%
@ 1.89-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
1-2 ✓
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
Dumbarton goals ↓
Clyde goals →
01234
05.9%4.7%3.4%1.3%0.4%
17.9%12%6.2%2.4%0.7%
28.3%9.8%5.7%2.3%0.7%
35.1%6.0%3.5%1.4%0.4%
42.4%2.8%1.6%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dumbarton goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Raith Rvs
1.89
Falkirk
1.86
Airdrie United
1.71
Montrose
1.68
East Fife
1.61
Dumbarton
1.36
Clyde
1.21
Peterhead
0.96
Forfar
0.86
Stranraer
0.59
Dumbarton is 0.14 points better than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.21).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Falkirk
1.93
Raith Rvs
1.75
Montrose
1.71
East Fife
1.57
Airdrie United
1.36
Dumbarton
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Peterhead
1.11
Stranraer
1.04
Forfar
0.93
Dumbarton and Clyde are level in goals scored per game (both 1.25).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Falkirk
0.64
Airdrie United
0.96
Raith Rvs
1.18
East Fife
1.29
Montrose
1.36
Clyde
1.54
Dumbarton
1.57
Peterhead
1.63
Forfar
1.68
Stranraer
2.11
Dumbarton is 0.04 goals worse than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.54).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

For 4.4 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

16037610583555495534357410161381013107811A·EASH·AIRA·MONH·STRA·PETA·FALH·RAIA·ARBH·STRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

502212132131121314135423400A·EASH·AIRA·MONH·STRA·PETA·FALH·RAIA·ARBH·STRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 9.9 · Total 20.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

280115771711121310121510101191311126516142825222521222311A·EASH·AIRA·MONH·STRA·PETA·FALH·RAIA·ARBH·STRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

For 5.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

14033819411355535464455269131410891097A·PETH·STRA·FORH·FALA·AIRA·RAIH·EASA·COWH·QUEH·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6012141212122233143113533346532A·PETH·STRA·FORH·FALA·AIRA·RAIH·EASA·COWH·QUEH·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 11.8 · Total 21.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

280513101371411121071113131591212781218232123172428211920A·PETH·STRA·FORH·FALA·AIRA·RAIH·EASA·COWH·QUEH·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.49.93.03.03.020.020.020.1
vs Stronger (37)10.010.29.83.23.23.219.519.119.9
vs Similar (13)10.510.910.22.52.62.321.522.021.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%58%62%38%38%38%38%25%50%
% under line40%42%38%62%62%62%62%75%50%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.010.08.23.53.53.620.219.421.0
vs Stronger (49)9.010.08.23.53.43.620.119.221.0
vs Similar (1)9.09.0-5.05.0-23.023.0-
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line36%46%27%48%46%50%44%46%42%
% under line64%54%73%52%54%50%56%54%58%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Airdrie United
10.9
East Fife
10.6
Stranraer
10.6
Falkirk
10.2
Dumbarton
10.1
Peterhead
10.0
Forfar
9.8
Montrose
9.6
Raith Rvs
9.2
Clyde
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Montrose
3.7
Raith Rvs
3.6
Clyde
3.5
Peterhead
3.5
Falkirk
3.4
Airdrie United
3.1
Forfar
3.1
East Fife
3.0
Dumbarton
3.0
Stranraer
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.5
Montrose
23.0
Falkirk
21.6
Airdrie United
21.1
Raith Rvs
20.9
Forfar
20.2
Clyde
20.2
Stranraer
20.1
Dumbarton
20.0
East Fife
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.4%
Under 9.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.3%
Under 3.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
33.5%
Under 21.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W20W00D00D05L12L11D20W01L10WH·EAS20/04H·STR27/04A·ARB04/05H·RAI03/08A·FAL10/08A·PET17/08H·STR24/08A·MON31/08H·AIR14/09A·EAS21/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.800.800.730.870.87
vs Stronger (21)0.950.860.800.601.091.09
vs Similar (9)0.560.670.801.000.250.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W01L10W02L10W10W00D30W11DH·BER20/04H·QUE27/04A·COW04/05H·EAS03/08A·RAI10/08A·AIR17/08H·FAL24/08A·FOR31/08H·STR14/09A·PET21/09← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.370.800.330.670.40
vs Stronger (29)0.660.380.640.360.670.40
vs Similar (1)3.000.003.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L11D01L01L20W20W01L00D12LH·EAS20/04H·STR27/04A·ARB04/05H·RAI03/08A·FAL10/08A·PET17/08H·STR24/08A·MON31/08H·AIR14/09A·EAS21/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.900.930.530.801.27
vs Stronger (21)0.860.951.000.500.731.36
vs Similar (9)0.890.780.800.601.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W20W11D01L23L03L00D00D31W00DH·BER20/04H·QUE27/04A·COW04/05H·EAS03/08A·RAI10/08A·AIR17/08H·FAL24/08A·FOR31/08H·STR14/09A·PET21/09← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.571.530.330.730.80
vs Stronger (29)1.070.551.430.290.730.80
vs Similar (1)3.001.003.001.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards90.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls89.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls80.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards80.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
DUM wins
0
Draws
0
CLY wins

Head-to-head

Dumbarton vs Clyde · H/A from DUM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/19AEast Fife Vs DUM2-2
14/09/19HDUM Vs Airdrie United0-1
31/08/19AMontrose Vs DUM1-2
24/08/19HDUM Vs Stranraer3-1
17/08/19APeterhead Vs DUM2-3
10/08/19AFalkirk Vs DUM6-0
03/08/19HDUM Vs Raith Rvs0-1
04/05/19AArbroath Vs DUM1-1
27/04/19HDUM Vs Stranraer2-1
20/04/19HDUM Vs East Fife3-0

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/19APeterhead Vs CLY1-1
14/09/19HCLY Vs Stranraer6-1
31/08/19AForfar Vs CLY0-0
24/08/19HCLY Vs Falkirk1-0
17/08/19AAirdrie United Vs CLY3-1
10/08/19ARaith Rvs Vs CLY5-2
03/08/19HCLY Vs East Fife1-1
04/05/19ACowdenbeath Vs CLY2-1
27/04/19HCLY Vs Queens Park3-0
20/04/19HCLY Vs Berwick5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.18
HomeWWLWL1.46
AwayDLWWD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%23%
AVG goals3.483.253.69
Over 1.5 %86%83%88%
Over 2.5 %68%62%73%
Over 3.5 %48%38%58%
Scored1.561.711.42
Conceded1.921.542.27
BTTS66%67%65%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners10.1410.429.88
Cards3.003.003.00
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWD1.98
HomeWWDWW2.29
AwayLLLDD1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%71%50%
AVG goals2.762.922.62
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %24%29%19%
Scored1.782.081.50
Conceded0.980.831.12
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet40%50%31%
Corners9.0410.008.15
Cards3.543.463.62

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1
RR
Raith Rvs
2853
54%
1.9
4933+16
2.9
71%
46%
32%
9.5
46%
3.7
61%
21.5
36%
0
0001.81.2
-
2FalkirkFalkirk2852
50%
1.9
5418+36
2.6
75%
50%
25%
10.3
50%
3.4
46%
25.4
86%
6
2131.90.6
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United2848
50%
1.7
3827+11
2.3
61%
43%
32%
11.3
64%
3.5
50%
20.9
50%
0
0001.41.0
-
4MontroseMontrose2847
54%
1.7
4838+10
3.1
71%
61%
36%
10.3
61%
4.1
61%
24.0
71%
0
0001.71.4
-
5East FifeEast Fife2845
43%
1.6
4436+8
2.9
68%
46%
36%
9.8
46%
3.9
57%
23.0
64%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DumbartonDumbarton2838
39%
1.4
3544-9
2.8
71%
50%
32%
10.0
54%
3.1
36%
21.0
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
7ClydeClyde2834
32%
1.2
3543-8
2.8
75%
54%
29%
9.8
39%
3.5
39%
21.4
43%
0
0001.21.5
-
8PeterheadPeterhead2726
26%
1.0
3044-14
2.7
78%
56%
22%
9.1
37%
4.0
59%
22.1
56%
0
0001.11.6
-
9ForfarForfar2824
21%
0.9
2647-21
2.6
71%
46%
21%
8.2
21%
2.8
21%
21.5
36%
0
0000.91.7
-
10StranraerStranraer2716
7%
0.6
2857-29
3.1
85%
59%
37%
9.6
48%
3.1
44%
21.0
48%
0
0001.02.1
-
Scotland: League One 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

← all matches