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Dumbarton vs Clyde Result & Analysis

Date: 25/02/2020
Time: 19:45
Final 1-0
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Vs
53%
28%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dumbarton win✓ Hit
53.0%
Avg Implied 31.9% · @ 2.88
Edge
+21.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.66
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
19.0%
Avg Implied 43.0% · @ 2.14
Edge
-24.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W02L43W20W11D03L01L24L00D12LA·CLY30/11H·MON07/12A·FOR14/12A·RAI21/12H·STR28/12A·FAL04/01A·PET25/01A·EAS01/02H·AIR08/02A·MON15/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.601.471.271.331.93
vs Stronger (21)1.241.811.201.301.272.27
vs Similar (9)1.781.112.001.201.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L00D04L31W02L33D21W12L02L01LH·DUM30/11H·FOR07/12A·MON14/12H·AIR21/12A·PET28/12H·STR04/01H·EAS25/01A·FOR01/02A·AIR15/02A·RAI22/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.502.211.290.751.69
vs Stronger (25)1.241.401.911.090.711.64
vs Similar (5)2.402.003.332.001.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%11%020%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.7%
Under 1.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.2%
@ 1.60-15.9%
Under 2.5
57.8%
@ 2.22+15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.5%
Under 3.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.4%
No
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
13.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
Dumbarton goals ↓
Clyde goals →
01234
011%6.6%3.2%0.9%0.2%
113%13%4.9%1.4%0.3%
211%9.2%3.8%1.1%0.2%
35.7%4.7%2.0%0.5%0.1%
42.2%1.8%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dumbarton goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Raith Rvs
1.89
Falkirk
1.86
Airdrie United
1.71
Montrose
1.68
East Fife
1.61
Dumbarton
1.36
Clyde
1.21
Peterhead
0.96
Forfar
0.86
Stranraer
0.59
Dumbarton is 0.14 points better than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.21).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Falkirk
1.93
Raith Rvs
1.75
Montrose
1.71
East Fife
1.57
Airdrie United
1.36
Dumbarton
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Peterhead
1.11
Stranraer
1.04
Forfar
0.93
Dumbarton and Clyde are level in goals scored per game (both 1.25).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Falkirk
0.64
Airdrie United
0.96
Raith Rvs
1.18
East Fife
1.29
Montrose
1.36
Clyde
1.54
Dumbarton
1.57
Peterhead
1.63
Forfar
1.68
Stranraer
2.11
Dumbarton is 0.04 goals worse than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.54).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

For 2.9 · Against 7.0 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

160333132656310174104331012616811138147133A·MONH·AIRA·EASA·PETA·FALH·STRA·RAIA·FORH·MONA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 0.9 · Total 3.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5034141124141413551240155A·MONH·AIRA·EASA·PETA·FALH·STRA·RAIA·FORH·MONA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 9.4 · Total 22.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

31017787139138101281789201117815624152221222517312521A·MONH·AIRA·EASA·PETA·FALH·STRA·RAIA·FORH·MONA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

For 4.9 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

130222662856463677245214881310913993A·RAIA·AIRA·FORH·EASH·STRA·PETH·AIRA·MONH·FORH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

9012111113451112141312491135A·RAIA·AIRA·FORH·EASH·STRA·PETH·AIRA·MONH·FORH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 10.6 · Total 19.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

26015111171377148104118109891361526182021181518172221A·RAIA·AIRA·FORH·EASH·STRA·PETH·AIRA·MONH·FORH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.59.52.93.12.820.620.420.8
vs Stronger (34)10.110.59.73.13.22.920.219.520.8
vs Similar (16)9.910.69.12.62.82.421.421.920.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%56%60%34%36%32%44%36%52%
% under line42%44%40%66%64%68%56%64%48%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.78.43.43.53.320.020.419.7
vs Stronger (45)8.910.08.03.33.43.320.020.419.6
vs Similar (5)9.87.313.54.24.73.520.620.720.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line36%46%27%44%46%42%36%46%27%
% under line64%54%73%56%54%58%64%54%73%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Airdrie United
10.8
Falkirk
10.3
Stranraer
10.3
East Fife
10.1
Dumbarton
10.0
Peterhead
9.6
Montrose
9.5
Raith Rvs
9.4
Forfar
9.1
Clyde
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Montrose
3.9
Raith Rvs
3.8
Peterhead
3.8
Falkirk
3.6
Clyde
3.4
East Fife
3.3
Airdrie United
3.2
Stranraer
3.0
Forfar
3.0
Dumbarton
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Montrose
23.5
Falkirk
23.2
Peterhead
22.5
Forfar
21.3
Raith Rvs
21.3
East Fife
21.2
Dumbarton
20.6
Airdrie United
20.6
Stranraer
20.1
Clyde
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.5%
Under 9.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.6%
Under 3.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
38.5%
Under 21.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L23L20W00D01L00D12L00D01LA·CLY30/11H·MON07/12A·FOR14/12A·RAI21/12H·STR28/12A·FAL04/01A·PET25/01A·EAS01/02H·AIR08/02A·MON15/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.871.000.530.731.20
vs Stronger (21)0.761.000.800.700.731.27
vs Similar (9)1.110.561.400.200.751.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L21W01L02L00D01L02L00DH·DUM30/11H·FOR07/12A·MON14/12H·AIR21/12A·PET28/12H·STR04/01H·EAS25/01A·FOR01/02A·AIR15/02A·RAI22/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.710.860.120.75
vs Stronger (25)0.320.720.550.820.140.64
vs Similar (5)0.801.201.331.000.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L20W00D11D02L01L12L00D11DA·CLY30/11H·MON07/12A·FOR14/12A·RAI21/12H·STR28/12A·FAL04/01A·PET25/01A·EAS01/02H·AIR08/02A·MON15/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.470.730.600.73
vs Stronger (21)0.480.810.400.600.551.00
vs Similar (9)0.670.560.601.000.750.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D03L10W01L31W21W11D00D01LH·DUM30/11H·FOR07/12A·MON14/12H·AIR21/12A·PET28/12H·STR04/01H·EAS25/01A·FOR01/02A·AIR15/02A·RAI22/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.701.500.430.620.94
vs Stronger (25)0.920.681.360.270.571.00
vs Similar (5)1.600.802.001.001.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards87.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls87.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls76.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards75.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
DUM wins
0
Draws
1
CLY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dumbarton vs Clyde · H/A from DUM
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/19AClyde Vs DUM1-2
28/09/19HDUM Vs Clyde1-2

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/20AMontrose Vs DUM2-1
08/02/20HDUM Vs Airdrie United0-0
01/02/20AEast Fife Vs DUM4-2
25/01/20APeterhead Vs DUM1-0
04/01/20AFalkirk Vs DUM3-0
28/12/19HDUM Vs Stranraer1-1
21/12/19ARaith Rvs Vs DUM0-2
14/12/19AForfar Vs DUM3-4
07/12/19HDUM Vs Montrose0-2
30/11/19AClyde Vs DUM1-2

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/20ARaith Rvs Vs CLY1-0
15/02/20AAirdrie United Vs CLY2-0
01/02/20AForfar Vs CLY2-1
25/01/20HCLY Vs East Fife2-1
04/01/20HCLY Vs Stranraer3-3
28/12/19APeterhead Vs CLY2-0
21/12/19HCLY Vs Airdrie United3-1
14/12/19AMontrose Vs CLY4-0
07/12/19HCLY Vs Forfar0-0
30/11/19HCLY Vs Dumbarton1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.34
HomeLDLDD1.48
AwayWLLLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals3.182.883.48
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %64%56%72%
Over 3.5 %40%32%48%
Scored1.561.641.48
Conceded1.621.242.00
BTTS62%64%60%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners10.0210.529.52
Cards2.923.082.76
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League One
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.70
HomeLDWDW2.04
AwayLLLLL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%58%38%
AVG goals2.703.002.42
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %24%33%15%
Scored1.542.001.12
Conceded1.161.001.31
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet36%42%31%
Corners9.009.678.38
Cards3.423.543.31

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1
RR
Raith Rvs
2853
54%
1.9
4933+16
2.9
71%
46%
32%
9.5
46%
3.7
61%
21.5
36%
0
0001.81.2
-
2FalkirkFalkirk2852
50%
1.9
5418+36
2.6
75%
50%
25%
10.3
50%
3.4
46%
25.4
86%
6
2131.90.6
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United2848
50%
1.7
3827+11
2.3
61%
43%
32%
11.3
64%
3.5
50%
20.9
50%
0
0001.41.0
-
4MontroseMontrose2847
54%
1.7
4838+10
3.1
71%
61%
36%
10.3
61%
4.1
61%
24.0
71%
0
0001.71.4
-
5East FifeEast Fife2845
43%
1.6
4436+8
2.9
68%
46%
36%
9.8
46%
3.9
57%
23.0
64%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DumbartonDumbarton2838
39%
1.4
3544-9
2.8
71%
50%
32%
10.0
54%
3.1
36%
21.0
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
7ClydeClyde2834
32%
1.2
3543-8
2.8
75%
54%
29%
9.8
39%
3.5
39%
21.4
43%
0
0001.21.5
-
8PeterheadPeterhead2726
26%
1.0
3044-14
2.7
78%
56%
22%
9.1
37%
4.0
59%
22.1
56%
0
0001.11.6
-
9ForfarForfar2824
21%
0.9
2647-21
2.6
71%
46%
21%
8.2
21%
2.8
21%
21.5
36%
0
0000.91.7
-
10StranraerStranraer2716
7%
0.6
2857-29
3.1
85%
59%
37%
9.6
48%
3.1
44%
21.0
48%
0
0001.02.1
-
Scotland: League One 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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