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Dumbarton vs Clyde Result & Analysis

Date: 03/11/2020
Time: 19:00
Final 1-0
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Vs
51%
28%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dumbarton win✓ Hit
50.7%
Avg Implied 32.8% · @ 2.81
Edge
+17.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.47
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied 40.7% · @ 2.26
Edge
-19.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L24L00D12L10W10W20W02L00D20WA·PET25/01A·EAS01/02H·AIR08/02A·MON15/02H·CLY25/02H·RAI29/02H·FOR03/03A·CLY07/03A·FOR17/10A·AIR31/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.471.141.001.311.88
vs Stronger (19)1.051.740.621.121.362.18
vs Similar (11)1.551.001.830.831.201.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W12L02L01L01L32W21W20W10W02LH·EAS25/01A·FOR01/02A·AIR15/02A·RAI22/02A·DUM25/02H·FAL29/02H·MON03/03H·DUM07/03H·PAR17/10H·PET31/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.501.751.250.571.79
vs Stronger (23)0.961.481.331.170.551.82
vs Similar (7)2.001.573.001.500.671.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.5%
Under 1.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.2%
@ 1.75-10.1%
Under 2.5
56.8%
@ 2.00+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.3%
Under 3.5
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0 ✓
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
Dumbarton goals ↓
Clyde goals →
01234
010%6.8%3.6%1.1%0.2%
112%13%5.4%1.6%0.4%
210%9.2%4.1%1.2%0.3%
35.2%4.7%2.1%0.6%0.1%
42.0%1.8%0.8%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dumbarton goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partick
1.82
Airdrie United
1.73
Cove Rangers
1.64
East Fife
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Falkirk
1.45
Peterhead
1.32
Clyde
1.18
Dumbarton
1.14
Forfar
0.77
Dumbarton is 0.05 points worse than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.18).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partick
1.82
Airdrie United
1.59
Montrose
1.50
East Fife
1.36
Falkirk
1.32
Cove Rangers
1.27
Clyde
1.23
Peterhead
1.09
Forfar
0.82
Dumbarton
0.64
Dumbarton is 0.59 goals worse than Clyde in terms of goals scored per game (0.64 vs 1.23).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
0.82
Partick
0.82
Dumbarton
1.09
Airdrie United
1.09
Falkirk
1.18
Peterhead
1.23
East Fife
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Forfar
1.68
Clyde
1.73
Dumbarton is 0.64 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.73).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

For 3.2 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

1601825342574453331326569777119616811A·AIRA·FORA·CLYH·FORH·RAIH·CLYA·MONH·AIRA·EASA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 0.6 · Total 2.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50111214133414112135033551A·AIRA·FORA·CLYH·FORH·RAIH·CLYA·MONH·AIRA·EASA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 8.4 · Total 20.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

28012915131681077611101778713913821282417132124152221A·AIRA·FORA·CLYH·FORH·RAIH·CLYA·MONH·AIRA·EASA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

For 5.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

200656443796145422266285111071620948813H·PETH·PARH·DUMH·MONH·FALA·DUMA·RAIA·AIRA·FORH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5023111231231211115233331312H·PETH·PARH·DUMH·MONH·FALA·DUMA·RAIA·AIRA·FORH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

2601212910816131212121011151111713771424192425242126182021H·PETH·PARH·DUMH·MONH·FALA·DUMA·RAIA·AIRA·FORH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.79.32.83.02.720.519.821.2
vs Stronger (32)10.411.19.93.13.32.919.918.920.8
vs Similar (18)9.310.28.12.42.72.121.621.122.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line56%58%54%32%38%27%44%33%54%
% under line44%42%46%68%62%73%56%67%46%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.310.28.53.33.53.220.220.519.8
vs Stronger (43)9.310.78.03.33.43.120.020.419.6
vs Similar (7)9.37.212.03.94.23.321.121.520.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line38%50%25%40%42%38%36%50%21%
% under line62%50%75%60%58%62%64%50%79%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Partick
10.8
Airdrie United
10.6
Falkirk
10.6
East Fife
10.1
Dumbarton
10.0
Cove Rangers
9.9
Montrose
9.5
Peterhead
9.5
Clyde
9.3
Forfar
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Montrose
3.8
Peterhead
3.8
Cove Rangers
3.7
Falkirk
3.6
East Fife
3.4
Clyde
3.3
Airdrie United
3.3
Partick
2.9
Dumbarton
2.8
Forfar
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Falkirk
23.9
Montrose
23.6
Cove Rangers
22.9
Peterhead
22.6
East Fife
21.5
Forfar
21.0
Airdrie United
20.9
Dumbarton
20.5
Clyde
20.2
Partick
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.0%
Under 9.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.6%
Under 3.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
42.4%
Under 21.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L00D01L00D00D10W00D00D10WA·PET25/01A·EAS01/02H·AIR08/02A·MON15/02H·CLY25/02H·RAI29/02H·FOR03/03A·CLY07/03A·FOR17/10A·AIR31/10
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.640.360.751.12
vs Stronger (19)0.630.950.380.500.821.27
vs Similar (11)0.820.451.000.170.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L02L00D00D21W10W00D00D00DH·EAS25/01A·FOR01/02A·AIR15/02A·RAI22/02A·DUM25/02H·FAL29/02H·MON03/03H·DUM07/03H·PAR17/10H·PET31/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.730.690.690.140.79
vs Stronger (23)0.390.700.580.670.180.73
vs Similar (7)0.570.861.000.750.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L00D11D10W10W10W02L00D10WA·PET25/01A·EAS01/02H·AIR08/02A·MON15/02H·CLY25/02H·RAI29/02H·FOR03/03A·CLY07/03A·FOR17/10A·AIR31/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.500.640.560.75
vs Stronger (19)0.420.790.250.620.550.91
vs Similar (11)0.730.550.830.670.600.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D00D01L01L11D11D20W10W02LH·EAS25/01A·FOR01/02A·AIR15/02A·RAI22/02A·DUM25/02H·FAL29/02H·MON03/03H·DUM07/03H·PAR17/10H·PET31/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.771.060.560.431.00
vs Stronger (23)0.570.780.750.500.361.09
vs Similar (7)1.430.712.000.750.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards88.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls84.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.577.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards76.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls73.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
PAR (20)
€3m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
PAR (8)
€1m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
DUM wins
0
Draws
2
CLY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dumbarton vs Clyde · H/A from DUM
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/20AClyde Vs DUM2-0
25/02/20HDUM Vs Clyde1-0
30/11/19AClyde Vs DUM1-2
28/09/19HDUM Vs Clyde1-2

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/20AAirdrie United Vs DUM0-2
17/10/20AForfar Vs DUM0-0
07/03/20AClyde Vs DUM2-0
03/03/20HDUM Vs Forfar2-0
29/02/20HDUM Vs Raith Rvs1-0
25/02/20HDUM Vs Clyde1-0
15/02/20AMontrose Vs DUM2-1
08/02/20HDUM Vs Airdrie United0-0
01/02/20AEast Fife Vs DUM4-2
25/01/20APeterhead Vs DUM1-0

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/20HCLY Vs Peterhead0-2
17/10/20HCLY Vs Partick1-0
07/03/20HCLY Vs Dumbarton2-0
03/03/20HCLY Vs Montrose2-1
29/02/20HCLY Vs Falkirk3-2
25/02/20ADumbarton Vs CLY1-0
22/02/20ARaith Rvs Vs CLY1-0
15/02/20AAirdrie United Vs CLY2-0
01/02/20AForfar Vs CLY2-1
25/01/20HCLY Vs East Fife2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.40
HomeDDWWW1.50
AwayLLLDW1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%35%
AVG goals2.982.583.35
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %56%46%65%
Over 3.5 %36%25%46%
Scored1.461.421.50
Conceded1.521.171.85
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners10.0010.719.35
Cards2.843.042.65
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.70
HomeWWWWL2.15
AwayLLLLL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%65%33%
AVG goals2.662.922.38
Over 1.5 %74%77%71%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %22%31%12%
Scored1.501.961.00
Conceded1.160.961.38
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet36%42%29%
Corners9.3410.158.46
Cards3.343.503.17

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PartickPartick2240
50%
1.8
4018+22
2.6
68%
45%
36%
10.0
64%
3.6
41%
21.2
55%
3
1111.80.8
-
2Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United2238
55%
1.7
3524+11
2.7
77%
41%
27%
10.4
50%
3.3
45%
20.5
36%
0
0001.61.1
-
3Cove RangersCove Rangers2236
45%
1.6
2818+10
2.1
64%
27%
18%
8.9
41%
3.6
50%
23.4
55%
0
0001.30.8
-
4MontroseMontrose2233
41%
1.5
3333+0
3.0
77%
64%
45%
9.3
41%
3.2
36%
22.3
41%
0
0001.51.5
-
5East FifeEast Fife2233
45%
1.5
3033-3
2.9
91%
68%
27%
9.9
59%
3.4
41%
22.7
55%
0
0001.41.5
-
6FalkirkFalkirk2232
41%
1.5
2926+3
2.5
82%
50%
18%
10.0
59%
4.0
55%
24.5
64%
6
2131.31.2
-
7PeterheadPeterhead2229
41%
1.3
2427-3
2.3
68%
41%
14%
8.7
36%
4.4
73%
25.8
82%
0
0001.11.2
-
8ClydeClyde2226
36%
1.2
2738-11
3.0
82%
59%
32%
10.3
64%
3.2
45%
20.8
50%
0
0001.21.7
-
9DumbartonDumbarton2225
32%
1.1
1424-10
1.7
45%
27%
9%
10.2
64%
3.2
32%
23.0
73%
0
0000.61.1
-
10ForfarForfar2217
18%
0.8
1837-19
2.5
73%
50%
27%
9.1
41%
3.4
55%
22.0
64%
0
0000.81.7
-
Scotland: League One 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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