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Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers Result & Analysis

Date: 12/12/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Vs
33%
31%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dumbarton win✓ Hit
33.0%
Avg Implied 20.2% · @ 4.55
Edge
+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied 22.4% · @ 4.09
Edge
+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers win✗ Miss
35.5%
Avg Implied 57.4% · @ 1.60
Edge
-21.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W02L00D20W10W12L01L03L00DH·RAI29/02H·FOR03/03A·CLY07/03A·FOR17/10A·AIR31/10H·CLY03/11A·EAS07/11A·PET21/11H·FAL24/11A·PAR05/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.301.001.071.061.50
vs Stronger (19)0.841.530.621.381.001.64
vs Similar (11)1.360.911.500.671.201.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-730W32W71W31W20W10W30W01L11D12LA·STE29/02H·BRE07/03A·STI10/03H·EAS17/10A·PET24/10H·PAR31/10H·FOR07/11A·FAL21/11A·AIR28/11H·MON05/12← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.331.072.270.532.401.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.870.872.140.571.621.12
vs Weaker (15)2.801.272.380.503.292.14
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.9%
Under 1.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.8%
@ 1.61-19.0%
Under 2.5
61.2%
@ 2.21+19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.9%
Under 3.5
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.7%
No
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
10.8%
1-0 ✓
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
Dumbarton goals ↓
Cove Rangers goals →
01234
012%11%7.0%2.7%0.8%
110%15%7.6%2.9%0.8%
26.4%7.3%4.2%1.6%0.5%
32.3%2.7%1.5%0.6%0.2%
40.6%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dumbarton goals (down), columns = Cove Rangers goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partick
1.82
Airdrie United
1.73
Cove Rangers
1.64
East Fife
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Falkirk
1.45
Peterhead
1.32
Clyde
1.18
Dumbarton
1.14
Forfar
0.77
Dumbarton is 0.50 points worse than Cove Rangers in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.64).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partick
1.82
Airdrie United
1.59
Montrose
1.50
East Fife
1.36
Falkirk
1.32
Cove Rangers
1.27
Clyde
1.23
Peterhead
1.09
Forfar
0.82
Dumbarton
0.64
Dumbarton is 0.64 goals worse than Cove Rangers in terms of goals scored per game (0.64 vs 1.27).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
0.82
Partick
0.82
Dumbarton
1.09
Airdrie United
1.09
Falkirk
1.18
Peterhead
1.23
East Fife
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Forfar
1.68
Clyde
1.73
Dumbarton is 0.27 goals worse than Cove Rangers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 0.82).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

For 3.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

1301115874464718253425741213111011977711A·PARH·FALA·PETA·EASH·CLYA·AIRA·FORA·CLYH·FORH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50123123212111121413453321350A·PARH·FALA·PETA·EASH·CLYA·AIRA·FORA·CLYH·FORH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 9.9 · Total 22.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

2801485101414121616812915131681077622152828242128241713A·PARH·FALA·PETA·EASH·CLYA·AIRA·FORA·CLYH·FORH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Cove RangersCove Rangers

For 5.0 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

130857537422576545556131210671359511H·MONA·AIRA·FALH·FORH·PARA·PETH·EASA·STIH·BREA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 2.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

501213122221414123430245143H·MONA·AIRA·FALH·FORH·PARA·PETH·EASA·STIH·BREA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 13.5 · Total 23.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

340101416181110106610824151814156116924342116163233291715H·MONA·AIRA·FALH·FORH·PARA·PETH·EASA·STIH·BREA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.59.32.93.22.720.719.521.8
vs Stronger (34)10.511.29.93.13.32.820.118.621.4
vs Similar (16)8.59.27.62.62.92.121.921.123.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line56%58%54%34%42%27%48%33%62%
% under line44%42%46%66%58%73%52%67%38%
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (35)9.910.49.53.53.83.323.022.423.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)10.110.49.73.84.23.424.123.624.6
vs Weaker (17)9.810.39.23.23.33.121.921.222.6
% over line49%44%53%46%50%41%60%61%59%
% under line51%56%47%54%50%59%40%39%41%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Partick
10.8
Falkirk
10.8
Airdrie United
10.6
East Fife
10.0
Cove Rangers
9.9
Dumbarton
9.9
Montrose
9.7
Peterhead
9.6
Clyde
9.5
Forfar
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
3.9
Montrose
3.8
Cove Rangers
3.5
East Fife
3.4
Falkirk
3.4
Clyde
3.4
Airdrie United
3.2
Partick
3.1
Dumbarton
2.9
Forfar
2.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Falkirk
23.8
Montrose
23.6
Cove Rangers
23.0
Peterhead
22.9
East Fife
21.9
Forfar
21.0
Airdrie United
20.9
Dumbarton
20.7
Clyde
20.3
Partick
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.1%
Under 9.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.2%
Under 3.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.8%
Under 21.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D00D10W10W01L01L02L00DH·RAI29/02H·FOR03/03A·CLY07/03A·FOR17/10A·AIR31/10H·CLY03/11A·EAS07/11A·PET21/11H·FAL24/11A·PAR05/12
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.640.430.560.81
vs Stronger (19)0.470.790.380.750.550.82
vs Similar (11)0.820.361.000.000.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W10W50W10W10W00D20W00D10W10WA·STE29/02H·BRE07/03A·STI10/03H·EAS17/10A·PET24/10H·PAR31/10H·FOR07/11A·FAL21/11A·AIR28/11H·MON05/12← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.430.870.001.530.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.070.201.140.001.000.38
vs Weaker (15)1.330.670.620.002.141.43
Clean sheet %80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W02L00D10W00D11D00D01L00DH·RAI29/02H·FOR03/03A·CLY07/03A·FOR17/10A·AIR31/10H·CLY03/11A·EAS07/11A·PET21/11H·FAL24/11A·PAR05/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.360.640.500.69
vs Stronger (19)0.370.740.250.620.450.82
vs Similar (11)0.550.550.500.670.600.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W22D21W21W10W10W10W01L01L02LA·STE29/02H·BRE07/03A·STI10/03H·EAS17/10A·PET24/10H·PAR31/10H·FOR07/11A·FAL21/11A·AIR28/11H·MON05/12← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.631.400.530.870.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.800.671.000.570.620.75
vs Weaker (15)1.470.601.750.501.140.71
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards87.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards75.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
PAR (20)
€3m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Dumbarton and Cove Rangers have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Cove Rangers have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
PAR (8)
€1m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Cove Rangers have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
DUM wins
0
Draws
0
CR wins

Head-to-head

Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers · H/A from DUM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/12/20APartick Vs DUM0-0
24/11/20HDUM Vs Falkirk0-3
21/11/20APeterhead Vs DUM1-0
07/11/20AEast Fife Vs DUM2-1
03/11/20HDUM Vs Clyde1-0
31/10/20AAirdrie United Vs DUM0-2
17/10/20AForfar Vs DUM0-0
07/03/20AClyde Vs DUM2-0
03/03/20HDUM Vs Forfar2-0
29/02/20HDUM Vs Raith Rvs1-0

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/12/20HCR Vs Montrose1-2
28/11/20AAirdrie United Vs CR1-1
21/11/20AFalkirk Vs CR1-0
07/11/20HCR Vs Forfar3-0
31/10/20HCR Vs Partick1-0
24/10/20APeterhead Vs CR0-2
17/10/20HCR Vs East Fife3-1
10/03/20AStirling Vs CR1-7
07/03/20HCR Vs Brechin3-2
29/02/20AStenhousemuir Vs CR0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD1.46
HomeWWWWL1.62
AwayDWLLD1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%35%
AVG goals2.802.503.08
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %54%46%62%
Over 3.5 %30%21%38%
Scored1.381.381.38
Conceded1.421.121.69
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet30%33%27%
Corners9.8610.469.31
Cards2.903.172.65
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League One
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL2.31
HomeWWWWL2.83
AwayWWWLD1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %74%94%53%
AVG goals3.603.064.18
Over 1.5 %91%89%94%
Over 2.5 %74%72%76%
Over 3.5 %40%28%53%
Scored2.492.502.47
Conceded1.110.561.71
BTTS54%39%71%
Clean Sheet40%61%18%
Corners9.9410.399.47
Cards3.543.783.29

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PartickPartick2240
50%
1.8
4018+22
2.6
68%
45%
36%
10.0
64%
3.6
41%
21.2
55%
3
1111.80.8
-
2Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United2238
55%
1.7
3524+11
2.7
77%
41%
27%
10.4
50%
3.3
45%
20.5
36%
0
0001.61.1
-
3Cove RangersCove Rangers2236
45%
1.6
2818+10
2.1
64%
27%
18%
8.9
41%
3.6
50%
23.4
55%
0
0001.30.8
-
4MontroseMontrose2233
41%
1.5
3333+0
3.0
77%
64%
45%
9.3
41%
3.2
36%
22.3
41%
0
0001.51.5
-
5East FifeEast Fife2233
45%
1.5
3033-3
2.9
91%
68%
27%
9.9
59%
3.4
41%
22.7
55%
0
0001.41.5
-
6FalkirkFalkirk2232
41%
1.5
2926+3
2.5
82%
50%
18%
10.0
59%
4.0
55%
24.5
64%
6
2131.31.2
-
7PeterheadPeterhead2229
41%
1.3
2427-3
2.3
68%
41%
14%
8.7
36%
4.4
73%
25.8
82%
0
0001.11.2
-
8ClydeClyde2226
36%
1.2
2738-11
3.0
82%
59%
32%
10.3
64%
3.2
45%
20.8
50%
0
0001.21.7
-
9DumbartonDumbarton2225
32%
1.1
1424-10
1.7
45%
27%
9%
10.2
64%
3.2
32%
23.0
73%
0
0000.61.1
-
10ForfarForfar2217
18%
0.8
1837-19
2.5
73%
50%
27%
9.1
41%
3.4
55%
22.0
64%
0
0000.81.7
-
Scotland: League One 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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