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Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers Result & Analysis

Date: 25/07/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Vs
8%
14%
78%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dumbarton win✓ Hit
7.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers win✗ Miss
77.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W22D11D21W02L01L05L04L14L35LH·ANN21/03H·FOR28/03A·STR04/04H·STI11/04A·CLY18/04H·EAS25/04A·EDI02/05H·ST 11/07A·DUN14/07A·EAS18/07← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.102.031.331.600.872.47
vs Stronger (12)1.082.331.171.831.002.83
vs Similar (18)1.111.831.441.440.782.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D01L32W02L20W20W00D32W04L05LH·HAM21/03H·ALL04/04A·MON07/04A·QUE11/04H·STE18/04A·KEL25/04H·EAS02/05H·EAS14/07H·ST 18/07A·DUN21/07← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.331.131.131.401.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.401.481.151.311.671.67
vs Weaker (5)0.600.601.000.000.331.00
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%117%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.2%
Under 1.5
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
71.8%
Under 2.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.0%
Under 3.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
9.9%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
1-3
8.2%
0-4
6.7%
1-1
6.6%
0-1
6.3%
1-4
5.8%
Dumbarton goals ↓
Cove Rangers goals →
01234
03.0%6.3%9.9%9.4%6.7%
11.5%6.6%8.6%8.2%5.8%
20.9%2.6%3.7%3.5%2.5%
30.3%0.7%1.1%1.0%0.7%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dumbarton goals (down), columns = Cove Rangers goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Dumbarton is 0.25 points worse than Cove Rangers in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Elgin
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Dumbarton is 0.75 goals worse than Cove Rangers in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Dumbarton is 1.50 goals worse than Cove Rangers in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

For 4.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1603213106186263763104784541698913131112H·EASA·CLYH·STIA·STRH·FORH·ANNA·ELGH·STRH·SPAA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

50222123212112221314352122434H·EASA·CLYH·STIA·STRH·FORH·ANNA·ELGH·STRH·SPAA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 8.2 · Total 18.4

⚠️ Fouls

270131410611111261291589575598927162218212314121417H·EASA·CLYH·STIA·STRH·FORH·ANNA·ELGH·STRH·SPAA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Cove RangersCove Rangers

For 4.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

1402228435756882151495410712118106514H·EASA·KELH·STEA·QUEA·MONH·ALLH·HAMA·INVH·PETA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

6023151122112113220562231344H·EASA·KELH·STEA·QUEA·MONH·ALLH·HAMA·INVH·PETA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.7

⚠️ Fouls

3109111113171191113111510613952011111120242820242519143122H·EASA·KELH·STEA·QUEA·MONH·ALLH·HAMA·INVH·PETA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.39.62.93.42.520.621.120.1
vs Stronger (23)10.912.99.22.42.72.220.920.421.2
vs Similar (27)10.210.59.83.43.92.820.521.519.4
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line52%60%45%40%52%28%42%50%35%
% under line48%40%55%60%48%72%58%50%65%
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.79.72.63.22.022.122.421.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (38)9.49.19.72.42.81.922.021.922.0
vs Weaker (12)8.47.09.63.14.42.122.324.021.0
% over line43%33%53%34%50%19%51%44%58%
% under line57%67%47%66%50%81%49%56%42%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.2
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.8
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Hamilton Academical
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.1
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Dundee
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Cove Rangers
3.2
Inverness CT
3.2
Hamilton Academical
3.0
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Falkirk
24.5
Kilmarnock
24.4
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
ST Johnstone
22.4
Montrose
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Inverness CT
21.6
Dunfermline
21.3
Ross County
21.0
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Hamilton Academical
9.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
71.6%
Under 9.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
3.8%
Under 21.5
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dumbarton or Draw✓ Hit
22.3%
Avg Implied -
8%
14%
78%
covers Dumbarton + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton or Cove Rangers✓ Hit
85.5%
Avg Implied -
8%
14%
78%
covers Dumbarton + Cove Rangers
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Cove Rangers✗ Miss
92.1%
Avg Implied -
8%
14%
78%
covers Draw + Cove Rangers
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
57.9%
Under
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
21.4%
Under
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
94.3%
Under
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
77.8%
Under
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
54.4%
Under
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
32.1%
Under
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Dumbarton, so a minus line means Dumbarton give that many goals of a start and Cove Rangers receive them. At -1, Dumbarton must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dumbarton win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dumbarton)Actual: Draw
Dumbarton -2
0.6%
Draw -2
1.9%
Cove Rangers +2
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dumbarton)Actual: Dumbarton
Dumbarton -1
2.5%
Draw -1
5.4%
Cove Rangers +1
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dumbarton)Actual: Dumbarton
Dumbarton +1
22.3%
Draw +1
19.2%
Cove Rangers -1
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dumbarton)Actual: Dumbarton
Dumbarton +2
41.5%
Draw +2
21.0%
Cove Rangers -2
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L10W10W00D01L04L02L02L13LH·ANN21/03H·FOR28/03A·STR04/04H·STI11/04A·CLY18/04H·EAS25/04A·EDI02/05H·ST 11/07A·DUN14/07A·EAS18/07← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.030.530.730.201.33
vs Stronger (12)0.251.170.330.670.171.67
vs Similar (18)0.440.940.670.780.221.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D10W00D10W20W00D00D02L03LH·HAM21/03H·ALL04/04A·MON07/04A·QUE11/04H·STE18/04A·KEL25/04H·EAS02/05H·EAS14/07H·ST 18/07A·DUN21/07← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.470.600.600.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.600.640.460.690.750.58
vs Weaker (5)0.200.600.500.000.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W20W01L11D02L00D01L02L12L22DH·ANN21/03H·FOR28/03A·STR04/04H·STI11/04A·CLY18/04H·EAS25/04A·EDI02/05H·ST 11/07A·DUN14/07A·EAS18/07← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.000.800.870.671.13
vs Stronger (12)0.831.170.831.170.831.17
vs Similar (18)0.670.890.780.670.561.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L22D02L10W00D00D32W02L02LH·HAM21/03H·ALL04/04A·MON07/04A·QUE11/04H·STE18/04A·KEL25/04H·EAS02/05H·EAS14/07H·ST 18/07A·DUN21/07← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.670.530.800.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.800.840.690.620.921.08
vs Weaker (5)0.400.000.500.000.330.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls99.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals98.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls98.7%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap97.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 7.596.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls96.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards95.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals94.3%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals94.3%-------✗ Miss
Draw or Away92.1%-------✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap92.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 6.591.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 19.5 fouls90.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.589.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards87.7%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away85.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.582.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners81.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals78.6%-------✗ Miss
Away over 1.5 goals77.8%-------✗ Miss
Away win77.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.5 cards73.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.571.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners71.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Dumbarton and Cove Rangers have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Cove Rangers have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Cove Rangers have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
DUM wins
2
Draws
6
CR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers · H/A from DUM
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25HDUM Vs Cove Rangers1-3
22/02/25ACove Rangers Vs DUM2-1
02/11/24HDUM Vs Cove Rangers0-3
17/08/24ACove Rangers Vs DUM1-1
23/04/22ACove Rangers Vs DUM1-0
29/01/22HDUM Vs Cove Rangers2-2
04/12/21ACove Rangers Vs DUM2-0
21/08/21HDUM Vs Cove Rangers1-3

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/26AEast Kilbride Vs DUM5-3
14/07/26ADunfermline Vs DUM4-1
11/07/26HDUM Vs ST Mirren0-4
02/05/26AEdinburgh City Vs DUM5-0
25/04/26HDUM Vs East Kilbride0-1
18/04/26AClyde Vs DUM2-0
11/04/26HDUM Vs Stirling2-1
04/04/26AStranraer Vs DUM1-1
28/03/26HDUM Vs Forfar2-2
21/03/26HDUM Vs Annan Athletic2-1

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/07/26ADunfermline Vs CR5-0
18/07/26HCR Vs ST Mirren0-4
14/07/26HCR Vs East Kilbride3-2
02/05/26HCR Vs East Fife0-0
25/04/26AKelty Hearts Vs CR0-2
18/04/26HCR Vs Stenhousemuir2-0
11/04/26AQueen of Sth Vs CR2-0
07/04/26AMontrose Vs CR2-3
04/04/26HCR Vs Alloa0-1
21/03/26HCR Vs Hamilton2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.12
HomeWDWLL1.36
AwayDLLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals3.242.923.56
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %64%72%56%
Over 3.5 %40%32%48%
Scored1.361.321.40
Conceded1.881.602.16
BTTS62%60%64%
Clean Sheet16%24%8%
Corners10.4511.359.55
Cards3.674.203.15
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL1.16
HomeLWDWL1.21
AwayDWLWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.442.212.65
Over 1.5 %70%62%77%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored1.161.001.31
Conceded1.281.211.35
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners9.198.679.68
Cards3.464.222.74

🏆 17. League Table

Dumbarton plays in Scotland - League Two
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ElginElgin511
60%
2.2
175+12
4.4
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.41.0
-
2ClydeClyde510
60%
2.0
116+5
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3ForfarForfar58
40%
1.6
65+1
2.2
80%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City58
40%
1.6
78-1
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
5StranraerStranraer57
40%
1.4
66+0
2.4
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
6SpartansSpartans56
20%
1.2
1211+1
4.6
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.42.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic56
40%
1.2
67-1
2.6
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts56
40%
1.2
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.0
-
9StirlingStirling54
20%
0.8
612-6
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
10DumbartonDumbarton53
20%
0.6
210-8
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.0
-
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
Cove Rangers plays in Scotland - League One
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical513
80%
2.6
110+11
2.2
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.0
-
2Ross CountyRoss County412
100%
3.0
102+8
3.0
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.50.5
-
3Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic58
40%
1.6
62+4
1.6
60%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.4
-
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
5PeterheadPeterhead57
40%
1.4
46-2
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
6East FifeEast Fife56
20%
1.2
32+1
1.0
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.60.4
-
7MontroseMontrose56
40%
1.2
611-5
3.4
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
8Cove RangersCove Rangers54
20%
0.8
36-3
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.2
-
9Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United53
0%
0.6
28-6
2.0
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.41.6
-
10Queen of the SouthQueen of the South40
0%
0.0
210-8
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

← all matches