Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. Result & Analysis

The contest between Dundalk and St Patrick’s Athl. sits on a razor-thin edge, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities are 35% and 37% respectively, while a draw sits at 28%. The average number of goals expected is 2.7, with the most likely total being two goals, a 26% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 13.6% probability. Dundalk, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.64 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. St Patrick’s Athl., on the road against a similar side, averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 89.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 84.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 79.4%, Over 1.5 at 75.7% (miss), Under 11.5 corners at 72.5%, and Under 3.5 at 72.2%. Both sides have recently mixed results, with Dundalk coming off a win and St Patrick’s Athl. a defeat.

The pre-match favourite, St Patrick's Athl., failed to deliver, as the game finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. Dundalk, coming off a win, had a 35% chance of triumph, while the model had given the away side a 37% edge. The model’s selection for the total was 2.7, with the most likely score 1-1 at 13.6%. In the suggested picks, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 89.3%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 84.9%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 79.4%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 72.5%, Under 3.5 hit at 72.2%, but Over 1.5 missed at 75.7%. The match ended in a stalemate, leaving the model’s favourite out of the win column.