This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arbroath
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
2.10
1.47
1.53
0.87
2.67
vs Stronger (10)
1.20
2.00
1.67
1.33
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (20)
1.15
2.15
1.33
1.67
1.00
2.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.0%
Under 1.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.9%
@ 1.45-6.4%
Under 2.5
42.1%
@ 2.61+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.5%
Under 3.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.1%
No
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-0 ✓
6.1%
0-0
5.7%
Dundee Utd goals ↓
Arbroath goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
2.6%
1.1%
0.3%
0.0%
1
11%
8.6%
2.6%
0.6%
0.1%
2
13%
9.1%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
3
10%
7.1%
2.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
6.1%
4.1%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee Utd goals (down), columns = Arbroath goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Dundee Utd
2.10
Raith Rvs
1.92
Raith Rovers
1.92
Partick
1.46
Airdrie United
1.40
Morton
1.35
Ayr
1.22
Ayr Utd
1.22
Queens Park
1.19
Queen's Park
1.19
Inverness CT
1.17
Dunfermline
1.12
Arbroath
0.65
Alloa Athletic
0.50
Montrose
0.50
Dundee Utd is 1.46 points better than Arbroath in terms of average points per game (2.10 vs 0.65).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
Partick
1.81
Raith Rvs
1.61
Raith Rovers
1.61
Ayr
1.47
Ayr Utd
1.47
Queens Park
1.39
Queen's Park
1.39
Airdrie United
1.21
Inverness CT
1.19
Morton
1.19
Dunfermline
1.12
Arbroath
0.92
Montrose
0.00
Dundee Utd is 1.08 goals better than Arbroath in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Montrose
0.50
Dundee Utd
0.62
Morton
1.10
Inverness CT
1.15
Raith Rvs
1.17
Raith Rovers
1.17
Airdrie United
1.23
Dunfermline
1.35
Partick
1.54
Queens Park
1.56
Queen's Park
1.56
Ayr
1.69
Ayr Utd
1.69
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Alloa Athletic
2.50
Arbroath
2.54
Dundee Utd is 1.92 goals better than Arbroath in terms of goals conceded per game (0.62 vs 2.54).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dundee Utd
For 7.5 · Against 3.5 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 10.9 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arbroath
For 3.4 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 9.3 · Total 18.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee Utd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
10.5
12.2
0.8
0.6
0.9
20.6
21.2
20.0
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
11.4
10.5
12.2
1.0
0.8
1.2
20.6
21.2
20.0
vs Weaker (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
67%
50%
80%
10%
8%
12%
44%
50%
40%
% under line
33%
50%
20%
90%
92%
88%
56%
50%
60%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arbroath
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
10.7
11.3
0.9
0.9
1.0
20.2
22.0
18.4
vs Stronger (15)
10.9
10.8
11.0
1.7
1.5
2.0
21.1
21.6
20.3
vs Similar (35)
11.2
10.5
11.5
0.6
0.5
0.8
19.0
23.0
17.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
57%
43%
14%
12%
16%
57%
71%
43%
% under line
50%
43%
57%
86%
88%
84%
43%
29%
57%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Arbroath
11.0
Morton
10.9
Dundee Utd
10.9
Dunfermline
10.8
Ayr
10.4
Queens Park
10.2
Raith Rvs
10.1
Airdrie United
10.0
Partick
10.0
Montrose
10.0
Inverness CT
10.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.3
Montrose
4.2
Morton
4.1
Dundee Utd
3.9
Dunfermline
3.6
Arbroath
3.6
Partick
3.4
Ayr
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Queens Park
3.3
Inverness CT
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dundee Utd
22.2
Morton
22.1
Montrose
22.0
Arbroath
21.0
Partick
20.4
Dunfermline
19.7
Raith Rvs
19.4
Inverness CT
19.4
Ayr
19.2
Queens Park
18.7
Airdrie United
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
60.1%
Under 9.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
51.5%
Under 3.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
32.6%
Under 21.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.86
0.43
0.44
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.48
0.64
0.36
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.29
1.67
0.67
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arbroath
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.87
0.47
0.73
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.90
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.85
0.33
0.78
0.45
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.30
1.14
0.43
1.06
0.19
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.09
0.30
1.09
0.36
1.08
0.25
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.29
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arbroath
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.23
1.00
0.80
0.53
1.67
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
1.10
1.00
0.67
0.50
1.75
vs Similar (20)
0.75
1.30
1.00
0.89
0.55
1.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 23.5 fouls
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
73.8%
1.14
-
-
-
-
-
-7.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dundee Utd · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Agyei33%
Jesse Randall25%
William Ferry25%
Lachlan Rose25%
Zachary Sapsford25%
Vicko Ševelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
Jack James Walton0%
Mehdi Merghem0%
Neil Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
Joshua Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
Bert Esselink0%
Daniel Bennie0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vicko Ševelj67%
Daniel Bennie50%
Dylan Tait33%
William Ferry25%
Bert Esselink25%
Lachlan Rose25%
Zachary Sapsford25%
Panutche Camará0%
Jack James Walton0%
Mehdi Merghem0%
Neil Farrugia0%
Joshua Rawlins0%
Jesse Randall0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mehdi Merghem33%
Jesse Randall25%
William Ferry25%
Vicko Ševelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
Jack James Walton0%
Neil Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
Joshua Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
Bert Esselink0%
Lachlan Rose0%
Zachary Sapsford0%
Daniel Bennie0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mehdi Merghem33%
Dylan Tait33%
Daniel Bennie25%
Vicko Ševelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
Jack James Walton0%
Neil Farrugia0%
Joshua Rawlins0%
Jesse Randall0%
William Ferry0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
Bert Esselink0%
Lachlan Rose0%
Zachary Sapsford0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (22)
€11m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd's squad is €10m more valuable than Arbroath's (€11m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (7)
€4m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd's attack is €3m more valuable than Arbroath's (€4m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (6)
€3m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Dundee Utd's midfield is €3m more valuable than Arbroath's (€3m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (9)
€4m
DUN (13)
€2m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Dundee Utd's defence is €4m more valuable than Arbroath's (€4m vs €0m).
Scotland: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Partick
Raith Rovers
Airdrie United
Morton
Inverness CT
Dunfermline
Ayr Utd
Queens Park
Queen's Park
Hamilton Academical
Alloa Athletic
Montrose