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Dunfermline vs FC Edinburgh Result & Analysis

Date: 15/10/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Vs
31%
26%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FE
FC Edinburgh
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dunfermline win✓ Hit
31.5%
Avg Implied 60.4% · @ 1.52
Edge
-29.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 23.1% · @ 3.97
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh win✗ Miss
42.6%
Avg Implied 16.4% · @ 5.60
Edge
+26.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W30W10W00D11D20W11D22D30WH·QUE29/04H·ALL30/07A·FC 06/08H·MON13/08A·KEL20/08H·AIR27/08A·QUE03/09H·FAL17/09H·PET01/10A·ALL08/10← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.101.401.070.931.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.211.071.431.071.001.07
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FE
FC Edinburgh

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W03L42W03L20W60W14L21W20W20WA·KEL30/07H·DUN06/08A·ALL13/08H·FAL20/08H·CLY27/08A·AIR03/09A·QUE17/09A·MON01/10H·PET05/10H·KEL08/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.301.201.203.001.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)2.111.441.001.503.001.40
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.4%
Under 1.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.6%
@ 1.77+6.9%
Under 2.5
40.4%
@ 1.97-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.2%
Under 3.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
5.7%
1-0 ✓
5.4%
Dunfermline goals ↓
FC Edinburgh goals →
01234
05.7%6.6%6.4%3.6%1.5%
15.4%12%9.0%5.0%2.1%
24.6%7.6%6.4%3.6%1.5%
32.2%3.6%3.0%1.7%0.7%
40.8%1.3%1.1%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dunfermline goals (down), columns = FC Edinburgh goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunfermline
2.25
Falkirk
1.86
Airdrie United
1.67
Alloa
1.58
Queen of Sth
1.50
FC Edinburgh
1.42
Montrose
1.33
Kelty Hearts
1.11
Clyde
0.67
Peterhead
0.44
Dunfermline is 0.83 points better than FC Edinburgh in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 1.42).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Airdrie United
2.28
Falkirk
1.94
Dunfermline
1.75
FC Edinburgh
1.67
Queen of Sth
1.64
Alloa
1.56
Montrose
1.39
Kelty Hearts
1.08
Clyde
0.97
Peterhead
0.53
Dunfermline is 0.08 goals better than FC Edinburgh in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.67).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunfermline
0.58
Falkirk
1.08
Alloa
1.31
Airdrie United
1.42
Kelty Hearts
1.50
Montrose
1.53
FC Edinburgh
1.53
Queen of Sth
1.64
Clyde
1.89
Peterhead
2.33
Dunfermline is 0.94 goals better than FC Edinburgh in terms of goals conceded per game (0.58 vs 1.53).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

DunfermlineDunfermline

For 6.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1602561844454413516648477128958161012A·ALLH·PETH·FALA·QUEH·AIRA·KELH·MONA·FC H·ALLH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8023422441211221211122748324323A·ALLH·PETH·FALA·QUEH·AIRA·KELH·MONA·FC H·ALLH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

280869910161411610141412910998101014182625162821191720A·ALLH·PETH·FALA·QUEH·AIRA·KELH·MONA·FC H·ALLH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FE
FC Edinburgh

For 3.1 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1601462911336281857163658104910912169H·KELH·PETA·MONA·QUEA·AIRH·CLYH·FALA·ALLH·DUNA·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6012131121214223321123143354633H·KELH·PETA·MONA·QUEA·AIRH·CLYH·FALA·ALLH·DUNA·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 9.3 · Total 19.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

290711105141177631013161310891010121815251492329181922H·KELH·PETA·MONA·QUEA·AIRH·CLYH·FALA·ALLH·DUNA·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DunfermlineDunfermline

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.09.93.23.33.121.020.521.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (46)10.110.39.93.13.13.020.919.922.0
vs Weaker (4)8.26.510.04.55.53.522.028.515.5
% over line52%50%54%38%42%33%44%42%46%
% under line48%50%46%62%58%67%56%58%54%
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FE
FC Edinburgh

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (10)9.29.68.83.53.23.819.220.817.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)9.19.58.83.32.83.818.820.217.6
vs Weaker (1)10.010.0-5.05.0-23.023.0-
% over line40%40%40%40%40%40%40%40%40%
% under line60%60%60%60%60%60%60%60%60%
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Peterhead
10.0
Dunfermline
10.0
Queen of Sth
10.0
Falkirk
9.9
Montrose
9.8
Airdrie United
9.7
Alloa
9.7
Clyde
9.4
FC Edinburgh
9.2
Kelty Hearts
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Falkirk
4.3
Peterhead
4.1
Clyde
4.0
Montrose
3.6
FC Edinburgh
3.5
Kelty Hearts
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Alloa
3.2
Dunfermline
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.9
Montrose
22.7
Clyde
22.3
Falkirk
22.1
Dunfermline
21.0
Kelty Hearts
20.9
Alloa
20.7
Queen of Sth
20.3
Airdrie United
19.2
FC Edinburgh
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
43.9%
Under 9.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.3%
Under 3.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
33.1%
Under 21.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DunfermlineDunfermline

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W00D00D00D20W01L00D20WH·QUE29/04H·ALL30/07A·FC 06/08H·MON13/08A·KEL20/08H·AIR27/08A·QUE03/09H·FAL17/09H·PET01/10A·ALL08/10← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.470.530.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.610.540.500.500.710.57
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FE
FC Edinburgh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L21W01L10W20W01L11D00D10WA·KEL30/07H·DUN06/08A·ALL13/08H·FAL20/08H·CLY27/08A·AIR03/09A·QUE17/09A·MON01/10H·PET05/10H·KEL08/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.600.400.601.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.670.250.751.200.60
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DunfermlineDunfermline

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W10W10W00D11D00D10W22D10WH·QUE29/04H·ALL30/07A·FC 06/08H·MON13/08A·KEL20/08H·AIR27/08A·QUE03/09H·FAL17/09H·PET01/10A·ALL08/10← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.930.530.270.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.610.540.930.570.290.50
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FE
FC Edinburgh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L21W02L10W40W13L10W20W10WA·KEL30/07H·DUN06/08A·ALL13/08H·FAL20/08H·CLY27/08A·AIR03/09A·QUE17/09A·MON01/10H·PET05/10H·KEL08/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.700.800.601.800.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.330.780.750.751.800.80
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls90.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards81.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls80.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners78.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (26)
€4m
KH (4)
€1m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
KH (3)
€1m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
KH (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
DUN wins
0
Draws
0
FE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dunfermline vs FC Edinburgh · H/A from DUN
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/22AFC Edinburgh Vs DUN0-3

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22AAlloa Vs DUN0-3
01/10/22HDUN Vs Peterhead2-2
17/09/22HDUN Vs Falkirk1-1
03/09/22AQueen of Sth Vs DUN0-2
27/08/22HDUN Vs Airdrie United1-1
20/08/22AKelty Hearts Vs DUN0-0
13/08/22HDUN Vs Montrose1-0
06/08/22AFC Edinburgh Vs DUN0-3
30/07/22HDUN Vs Alloa1-0
29/04/22HDUN Vs Queen of Sth1-2

FE
FC Edinburgh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22HFE Vs Kelty Hearts2-0
05/10/22HFE Vs Peterhead2-0
01/10/22AMontrose Vs FE1-2
17/09/22AQueen of Sth Vs FE4-1
03/09/22AAirdrie United Vs FE0-6
27/08/22HFE Vs Clyde2-0
20/08/22HFE Vs Falkirk0-3
13/08/22AAlloa Vs FE2-4
06/08/22HFE Vs Dunfermline0-3
30/07/22AKelty Hearts Vs FE0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Scotland: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDW1.24
HomeWWDDD1.50
AwayLWDWW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%35%21%
AVG goals2.422.582.25
Over 1.5 %70%73%67%
Over 2.5 %44%50%38%
Over 3.5 %24%27%21%
Scored1.161.350.96
Conceded1.261.231.29
BTTS46%54%38%
Clean Sheet32%35%29%
Corners9.9610.009.92
Cards3.183.273.08
FE
FC Edinburgh
Scotland: League One
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.10
HomeLLWWW1.80
AwayWWWLW2.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%60%80%
AVG goals3.402.404.40
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %60%40%80%
Over 3.5 %30%0%60%
Scored2.101.203.00
Conceded1.301.201.40
BTTS30%0%60%
Clean Sheet50%60%40%
Corners9.209.608.80
Cards3.503.203.80

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DunfermlineDunfermline3681
64%
2.2
6321+42
2.3
78%
33%
19%
10.6
47%
3.8
44%
19.6
36%
4
2021.80.6
-
2FalkirkFalkirk3667
53%
1.9
7039+31
3.0
83%
61%
44%
10.1
61%
3.9
64%
21.9
56%
6
2131.91.1
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3660
47%
1.7
8251+31
3.7
86%
58%
53%
10.4
56%
3.2
36%
18.0
19%
0
0002.31.4
-
4
A
Alloa
3657
47%
1.6
5647+9
2.9
78%
50%
33%
9.7
53%
2.8
39%
18.0
22%
0
0001.61.3
-
5
QO
Queen of Sth
3654
44%
1.5
5959+0
3.3
83%
64%
44%
9.9
53%
3.7
50%
20.0
39%
0
0001.61.6
-
6
FE
FC Edinburgh
3651
42%
1.4
6055+5
3.2
86%
61%
33%
9.6
50%
3.3
39%
19.2
31%
0
0001.71.5
-
7MontroseMontrose3648
36%
1.3
5055-5
2.9
81%
64%
33%
10.3
56%
4.1
64%
23.4
64%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3640
28%
1.1
3954-15
2.6
75%
58%
19%
10.7
67%
3.6
44%
22.6
53%
1
1001.11.5
-
9ClydeClyde3624
14%
0.7
3568-33
2.9
81%
58%
31%
10.5
53%
3.7
44%
21.2
47%
0
0001.01.9
-
10PeterheadPeterhead3616
8%
0.4
1984-65
2.9
86%
53%
33%
9.9
56%
4.1
58%
22.1
61%
0
0000.52.3
-
Scotland: League One 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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