Dunfermline vs Queen's Park Result & Analysis

The clash between Dunfermline and Queen’s Park is a true toss-up, with the model favouring an away win at 40%. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a fairly open game, but the most likely total is two goals, and the single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.9% chance. Dunfermline, at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.71 conceded, while Queen’s Park, on the road, averages 1.38 scored and 1.92 conceded. The suggested picks are: Under 25.5 fouls 90.3%, Under 5.5 cards 84.5%, Under 23.5 fouls 81.1%, Over 1.5 (miss) 79.0%, and Under 4.5 cards 70.8%. The probabilities for the match outcome are 32% for a home win, 27% for a draw, and 40% for an away win.

The unexpected 0-0 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, Queen's Park, who had been tipped to win with a 40% chance. The model’s prediction of an away win was wrong, and the final result was a stalemate. Dunfermline, coming off a win, had a 32% chance of triumph, while the draw was only 27%. The model also selected Over 1.5 goals with a 79% probability, but that pick missed, as no goals were scored. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 carried a 13% probability, yet the match settled at 0-0, leaving the model’s choices off target.