Dunkerque's recent form has been inconsistent, but they're coming off a win against Grenoble. However, their home form has been relatively strong, averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per match against similar opponents. In contrast, Montpellier's away form has been solid, with an average of 1.09 goals scored and 0.36 conceded per match against similar opponents.
The model predicts a low-scoring match, with an expected total of 2 goals and a most likely score of 0-0, occurring 15.4% of the time. The model's selection is an away win, with a probability of 37%. The home win percentage is 29%, while the draw percentage is 34%, and the away win percentage is 37%.
The model's suggested picks include an under 3.5 goal total, occurring 86.4% of the time, and an over 21.5 fouls total, occurring 85.8% of the time.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction was spot on, as Montpellier secured a 0-1 away win, extending their two-game winning streak while Dunkerque slipped after a defeat. The favourite, “Away win,” came through with a 37 % pre-match probability, and the result matched the model’s call. Every suggested pick also proved accurate: Under 7.5 (99.9 %), Under 6.5 (99.7 %), Home under 3.5 goals (98.8 %), Under 5.5 (98.7 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.0 %) and Under 4.5 (95.6 %). All selections hit, confirming the model’s comprehensive accuracy.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dunkerque win✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 41.3% · @ 2.25
Edge
-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
2.50
10Bet
2.50
SBO
2.34
Dafabet
2.25
Betano
2.25
Draw✗ Miss
34.4%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.38
Edge
+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.54
Superbet
3.50
1xBet
3.45
Montpellier win✓ Hit
36.7%
Avg Implied 31.3% · @ 2.97
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.26
1xBet
3.13
Marathonbet
3.12
Superbet
3.10
Dafabet
3.10
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dunkerque
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.33
1.38
0.85
2.00
1.71
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
1.75
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.57
1.29
1.30
0.90
1.82
1.64
vs Weaker (5)
2.40
1.20
2.00
0.50
2.67
1.67
Clean sheet %
17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Montpellier) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Montpellier
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.80
1.58
1.08
1.22
0.61
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
3.00
-
-
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.32
0.82
1.60
1.20
1.08
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.43
1.50
0.50
1.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
58.0%
@ 1.23-18.0%
Under 1.5
42.0%
@ 3.89+18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Under
Pinnacle
4.21
Superbet
4.15
Betfair
4.10
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.7%
@ 1.78-23.3%
Under 2.5
70.3%
@ 2.01+23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.95
Unibet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.82
Pinnacle
1.79
Under
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Pinnacle
2.09
Bet365
2.08
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.6%
@ 2.89-19.8%
Under 3.5
87.4%
@ 1.38+19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Unibet
3.10
Pinnacle
2.94
888Sport
2.90
Under
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.8%
@ 1.62-18.7%
No
61.2%
@ 2.18+18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Unibet
1.66
BetVictor
1.65
10Bet
1.62
888Sport
1.62
No
Betfair
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Betano
2.27
Marathonbet
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.3%@ 10.81+12.1%
1-1
14.8%@ 6.21+7.5%
0-1 ✓
14.0%@ 9.50+9.2%
1-0
11.8%@ 8.37+6.4%
0-2
7.8%@ 14.37+4.7%
1-2
6.9%@ 9.69+2.2%
2-1
5.9%@ 8.59+0.6%
2-0
5.8%@ 11.44+1.8%
Dunkerque goals ↓
Montpellier goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
14%
7.8%
2.7%
0.7%
1
12%
15%
6.9%
2.3%
0.6%
2
5.8%
5.9%
3.0%
1.0%
0.3%
3
1.7%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dunkerque goals (down), columns = Montpellier goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nantes
1.93
Saint Etienne
1.75
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Metz
1.66
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Sochaux
1.13
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Dijon
1.04
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Dunkerque is 0.19 points worse than Montpellier in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nantes
1.82
Saint Etienne
1.72
Metz
1.56
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Clermont Foot
1.11
Sochaux
1.06
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Dijon
0.98
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Dunkerque is 0.36 goals better than Montpellier in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nantes
0.85
Montpellier
0.92
Metz
0.99
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Sochaux
1.45
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
Dijon
1.57
PAU
1.81
Dunkerque is 0.36 goals worse than Montpellier in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 0.92).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Dunkerque is 4.8 percentage points better than Montpellier in terms of average possession (57% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dunkerque
For 5.2 · Against 2.9 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Montpellier
For 5.1 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.8 · Against 13.6 · Total 30.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dunkerque
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
9.0
7.6
3.6
3.9
3.4
25.9
25.1
26.7
vs Stronger (4)
6.8
8.0
6.3
4.2
4.0
4.3
26.0
25.0
26.3
vs Similar (40)
8.7
9.1
8.3
3.6
3.8
3.5
25.8
24.5
27.1
vs Weaker (6)
6.2
8.0
5.0
3.2
5.0
2.2
27.0
30.5
24.7
% over line
33%
45%
21%
52%
70%
37%
83%
82%
83%
% under line
67%
55%
79%
48%
30%
63%
17%
18%
17%
This opponent (Montpellier) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Montpellier
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.0
9.8
4.0
4.3
3.8
29.7
31.3
28.4
vs Stronger (3)
9.7
9.0
10.0
3.3
2.0
4.0
25.3
25.0
25.5
vs Similar (36)
9.7
9.6
9.7
4.1
4.7
3.5
29.5
31.2
27.9
vs Weaker (11)
8.6
6.8
10.4
4.0
3.6
4.3
31.9
32.6
31.2
% over line
48%
45%
50%
62%
59%
64%
96%
100%
92%
% under line
52%
55%
50%
38%
41%
36%
4%
0%
8%
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.4
Rodez
9.9
Grenoble
9.7
Montpellier
9.6
Nancy
9.5
Saint Etienne
9.5
PAU
9.4
Metz
9.4
Nantes
9.3
Dijon
9.3
Clermont Foot
9.1
Sochaux
9.1
Guingamp
9.0
Reims
8.7
Boulogne
8.7
Dunkerque
8.5
Annecy
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Guingamp
4.6
PAU
4.5
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.3
Annecy
4.2
Sochaux
4.2
Montpellier
4.2
Rodez
4.1
Reims
4.1
Clermont Foot
4.0
Laval
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Nancy
4.0
Dijon
3.8
Metz
3.8
RED Star FC 93
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
Grenoble
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Montpellier
29.3
Nancy
28.9
Annecy
28.7
Boulogne
28.2
Laval
28.1
Guingamp
27.8
Dijon
27.5
Clermont Foot
26.8
Nantes
26.6
RED Star FC 93
26.5
Saint Etienne
26.2
Sochaux
26.0
Dunkerque
25.8
Rodez
25.7
PAU
25.7
Grenoble
25.6
Reims
24.8
Metz
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.2%
@ 2.03-0.4%
Under 9.5
54.8%
@ 1.70+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.10
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
10Bet
2.00
Under
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Unibet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.70
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.7%
@ 1.90+11.6%
Under 3.5
40.3%
@ 1.76-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
Under
Superbet
1.76
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.3%
Under 21.5
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dunkerque or Draw✗ Miss
63.3%
Avg Implied 68.4% · @ 1.37
Edge
-5.1%
29%
34%
37%
covers Dunkerque + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.45
BetVictor
1.40
Betano
1.39
SBO
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Dunkerque or Montpellier✓ Hit
65.6%
Avg Implied 72.6% · @ 1.29
Edge
-7.0%
29%
34%
37%
covers Dunkerque + Montpellier
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Draw or Montpellier✓ Hit
71.1%
Avg Implied 59.0% · @ 1.58
Edge
+12.1%
29%
34%
37%
covers Draw + Montpellier
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
William Hil
1.62
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
58.4%
@ 1.21-18.2%
Under
41.6%
@ 3.97+18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
4.51
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.05
Betano
4.05
Dunkerque over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.9%
@ 2.10-22.7%
Under
78.1%
@ 1.69+22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Bet365
2.20
Unibet
2.16
Betfair
2.10
Under
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.73
Dunkerque over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 4.45-15.1%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.19+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.30
Under
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Dunkerque over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 9.99-8.2%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.04+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
888Sport
11.00
1xBet
9.60
Marathonbet
9.60
Betfair
9.50
Under
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Montpellier over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.1%
@ 1.30-7.4%
Under
35.9%
@ 3.26+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
888Sport
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.38
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Betano
3.30
Montpellier over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.3%
@ 2.48-10.1%
Under
72.7%
@ 1.49+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.68
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.50
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.46
Under
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Montpellier over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.5%
@ 5.83-7.5%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.11+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
888Sport
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.95
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Montpellier over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 15.00-4.3%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
888Sport
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dunkerque, so a minus line means Dunkerque give that many goals of a start and Montpellier receive them. At -1, Dunkerque must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dunkerque win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dunkerque)Actual: Montpellier
Dunkerque -2
2.6%
@ 9.10-7.2%
Draw -2
7.7%
@ 6.31-6.5%
Montpellier +2
89.7%
@ 1.18+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.50
Superbet
8.00
Draw
Marathonbet
6.55
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.10
Superbet
5.90
Away
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Handicap -1 (Dunkerque)Actual: Montpellier
Dunkerque -1
10.3%
@ 4.31-10.4%
Draw -1
18.6%
@ 3.96-4.0%
Montpellier +1
71.1%
@ 1.57+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Away
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Bet365
1.53
Handicap +1 (Dunkerque)Actual: Draw
Dunkerque +1
63.3%
@ 1.37-2.4%
Draw +1
21.9%
@ 4.67+2.7%
Montpellier -1
14.8%
@ 5.94-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.45
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
Draw
Marathonbet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.75
Unibet
4.30
Away
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.75
Unibet
5.75
Handicap +2 (Dunkerque)Actual: Dunkerque
Dunkerque +2
85.2%
@ 1.09+2.4%
Draw +2
10.5%
@ 8.35-0.4%
Montpellier -2
4.3%
@ 14.25-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
8.50
Superbet
7.90
Unibet
7.50
Away
Betfair
17.00
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Unibet
12.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dunkerque
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
0.54
0.38
0.94
0.82
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.57
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.64
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.60
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Montpellier) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Montpellier
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.33
0.58
0.58
0.39
0.17
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.41
0.70
0.70
0.42
0.17
vs Weaker (7)
0.14
0.14
0.00
0.00
0.20
0.20
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.1%
@ 1.33-2.7%
Under 0.5
32.9%
@ 3.08+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.24
Superbet
3.20
Betano
3.20
William Hil
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
27.7%
@ 2.56-8.5%
Under 1.5
72.3%
@ 1.46+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.64
Betfair
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Under
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.3%
@ 6.05-6.1%
Under 2.5
90.7%
@ 1.10+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
6.00
Superbet
6.00
Marathonbet
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.6%
@ 1.88-8.9%
Under
59.4%
@ 1.84+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.91
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Dunkerque over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 5.46-7.0%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.12+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.55
Superbet
5.15
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Dunkerque over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 16.83-4.0%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.02+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Montpellier over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.4%
@ 2.11-4.5%
Under
60.6%
@ 1.65+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.22
Unibet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Under
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.64
Montpellier over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 6.82-3.4%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.07+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
Superbet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Montpellier over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 20.00-3.4%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dunkerque
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.70
0.85
0.46
1.06
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
1.33
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.71
0.80
0.40
0.82
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
0.60
1.50
0.50
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Montpellier) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Montpellier
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.47
1.00
0.50
0.83
0.44
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.41
0.90
0.50
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.29
1.50
0.50
1.20
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montpellier over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montpellier over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montpellier over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.7%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.04
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.02
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
95.6%
1.13
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Pinnacle
1.16
888Sport
1.14
+12.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
94.1%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
+15.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.5%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.7%
1.10
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.07
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
89.7%
1.18
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.17
+13.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
87.4%
1.38
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
+19.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.2%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.5%
1.37
Superbet
1.37
-
-
-
-
+13.0%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.3%
1.24
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
+3.5%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
72.7%
1.49
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
72.3%
1.46
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
71.1%
1.58
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
William Hil
1.62
+12.1%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
71.1%
1.57
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Bet365
1.53
+14.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dunkerque
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Mayela33%
Souleymane Keita33%
Thomas Robinet25%
Adrien Lebeau25%
Egor Prutsev25%
Marco Decherf25%
Opa Sangante0%
Allan Linguet0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Bram Lagae0%
Alex Daho0%
Enzo Mayilla0%
Théna Massock0%
Khalil Ayari0%
Jordan Morel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Souleymane Keita67%
Khalil Ayari50%
Opa Sangante25%
Allan Linguet25%
Thomas Robinet25%
Adrien Lebeau25%
Alex Daho25%
Enzo Mayilla25%
Marco Decherf25%
Maxence Prévot0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Egor Prutsev0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Théna Massock0%
Jordan Morel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thomas Robinet50%
Marco Decherf50%
Egor Prutsev25%
Alex Daho25%
Opa Sangante0%
Allan Linguet0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Adrien Lebeau0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Enzo Mayilla0%
Souleymane Keita0%
Théna Massock0%
Khalil Ayari0%
Jordan Morel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thomas Robinet25%
Egor Prutsev25%
Opa Sangante0%
Allan Linguet0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Adrien Lebeau0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Alex Daho0%
Enzo Mayilla0%
Souleymane Keita0%
Théna Massock0%
Khalil Ayari0%
Jordan Morel0%
Marco Decherf0%
Montpellier
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yael Mouanga33%
Nicolas Pays25%
Yanis Issoufou25%
Julien Laporte0%
Théo Sainte-Luce0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Simon Ngapandouetnbu0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Naoufel El Hannach0%
Noah Vidal0%
Hichem Abderrebi0%
Laciné Megnan-Pave0%
Daryll Benlahlou0%
Gregory Ayem0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daylam Meddah67%
Yael Mouanga67%
Naoufel El Hannach33%
Gregory Ayem33%
Théo Sainte-Luce25%
Nordan Mukiele25%
Laciné Megnan-Pave25%
Julien Laporte0%
Simon Ngapandouetnbu0%
Nicolas Pays0%
Yanis Issoufou0%
Noah Vidal0%
Hichem Abderrebi0%
Daryll Benlahlou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Théo Sainte-Luce25%
Laciné Megnan-Pave25%
Julien Laporte0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Simon Ngapandouetnbu0%
Nicolas Pays0%
Yael Mouanga0%
Yanis Issoufou0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Naoufel El Hannach0%
Noah Vidal0%
Hichem Abderrebi0%
Daryll Benlahlou0%
Gregory Ayem0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Laciné Megnan-Pave50%
Julien Laporte0%
Théo Sainte-Luce0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Simon Ngapandouetnbu0%
Nicolas Pays0%
Yael Mouanga0%
Yanis Issoufou0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Naoufel El Hannach0%
Noah Vidal0%
Hichem Abderrebi0%
Daryll Benlahlou0%
Gregory Ayem0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
REI (30)
€72m
MET (26)
€43m
MON (24)
€29m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BOU (23)
€8m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
Dunkerque's squad is €18m less valuable than Montpellier's (€11m vs €29m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
Dunkerque's attack is €7m less valuable than Montpellier's (€4m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
Dunkerque's midfield is €4m less valuable than Montpellier's (€1m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (10)
€34m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Dunkerque's defence is €7m less valuable than Montpellier's (€5m vs €12m).
France: Ligue 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Saint Etienne
Reims
Rodez
Nancy
Annecy
Metz
RED Star FC 93
Sochaux
Guingamp
PAU
Grenoble
Laval
Boulogne
Clermont Foot
Dijon
Nantes