This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RS
Red Star
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.10
1.27
1.20
1.47
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
1.12
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.20
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.45
0.77
1.33
1.00
1.60
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.1%
@ 2.00+5.6%
Under 2.5
47.9%
@ 1.74-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.0%
Under 3.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
Dunkerque goals ↓
Red Star goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
7.5%
6.0%
2.7%
0.9%
1
7.5%
13%
8.3%
3.8%
1.3%
2
6.1%
8.3%
5.7%
2.6%
0.9%
3
2.8%
3.9%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.0%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dunkerque goals (down), columns = Red Star goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Dunkerque is 0.39 points worse than Red Star in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Dunkerque is 0.19 goals better than Red Star in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Dunkerque is 0.16 goals worse than Red Star in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dunkerque
For 4.6 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 15.7 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RS
Red Star
For 4.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 14.8 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dunkerque
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
10.3
7.2
3.4
3.5
3.3
25.7
24.5
27.0
vs Stronger (3)
12.0
12.0
-
1.3
2.0
0.0
16.0
16.0
-
vs Similar (40)
8.4
10.2
6.9
3.5
3.6
3.4
26.4
25.4
27.3
vs Weaker (7)
9.5
10.0
9.0
3.7
4.0
3.5
25.0
25.0
25.0
% over line
45%
71%
19%
56%
55%
57%
79%
76%
81%
% under line
55%
29%
81%
44%
45%
43%
21%
24%
19%
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RS
Red Star
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.6
9.5
3.4
3.6
3.2
26.2
27.7
24.9
vs Stronger (17)
9.6
9.9
9.2
3.7
3.8
3.6
25.6
27.3
23.8
vs Similar (33)
9.5
9.4
9.7
3.2
3.5
3.0
26.5
27.9
25.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
58%
58%
42%
46%
38%
78%
79%
77%
% under line
42%
42%
42%
58%
54%
62%
22%
21%
23%
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.3
Grenoble
10.2
Rodez
10.1
Amiens
9.9
Saint Etienne
9.9
PAU
9.8
Nancy
9.7
Clermont Foot
9.6
Reims
9.6
Bastia
9.6
Red Star
9.6
Montpellier
9.5
RED Star FC 93
9.4
Guingamp
9.3
Dunkerque
8.9
Rouen
8.9
Annecy
8.8
Estac Troyes
8.7
Le Mans
8.7
Boulogne
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
5.7
Montpellier
4.8
PAU
4.6
Le Mans
4.4
Annecy
4.2
Boulogne
4.2
Saint Etienne
4.0
Clermont Foot
4.0
Nancy
4.0
Guingamp
4.0
Amiens
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Rodez
3.9
Estac Troyes
3.9
Reims
3.9
Laval
3.8
RED Star FC 93
3.5
Red Star
3.4
Rouen
3.4
Grenoble
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Le Mans
29.2
Nancy
28.8
Boulogne
28.4
Annecy
28.3
Bastia
27.9
Guingamp
27.3
Rouen
27.2
Laval
27.1
Montpellier
27.1
Amiens
26.3
Red Star
26.2
Saint Etienne
25.7
Estac Troyes
25.6
Dunkerque
25.4
RED Star FC 93
25.3
Clermont Foot
25.3
PAU
25.1
Grenoble
24.3
Rodez
24.0
Reims
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.1%
Under 9.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.0%
Under 3.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.2%
Under 21.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dunkerque
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.79
0.50
0.56
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.60
0.75
0.50
0.54
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RS
Red Star
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
0.73
0.60
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.12
0.67
1.33
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.32
0.75
0.42
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dunkerque
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
1.14
0.79
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.84
0.68
1.25
0.67
0.46
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RS
Red Star
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.53
0.60
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.88
0.33
0.67
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.45
0.58
0.58
0.80
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dunkerque
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thomas Robinet45%
Enzo Bardeli24%
Anto Sekongo21%
Marco Essimi15%
Gessime Yassine14%
Théna Massock14%
Maedine Makhloufi12%
Vincent Sasso12%
Aristide Zossou9%
Morgan Bokele Mputu8%
Geoffrey Kondo5%
Aboubakary Kanté4%
Abner0%
Opa Sangante0%
Allan Linguet0%
Íñigo Eguaras0%
Marcos Lavín0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Alec Georgen0%
Kay Tejan0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Alex Daho0%
Mathys Niflore0%
Pape Diong0%
Lenny Dziki0%
Zaid Seha0%
Malick Diop0%
Mathys Niflore0%
Marco Decherf0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kay Tejan33%
Lenny Dziki33%
Allan Linguet26%
Anto Sekongo24%
Íñigo Eguaras20%
Marcos Lavín20%
Geoffrey Kondo19%
Opa Sangante17%
Mathys Niflore16%
Mathys Niflore14%
Malick Diop14%
Théna Massock14%
Aristide Zossou12%
Vincent Sasso12%
Eddy Sylvestre11%
Aboubakary Kanté11%
Victor Mayela9%
Alex Daho9%
Abner8%
Lohann Doucet8%
Zaid Seha8%
Pape Diong8%
Gessime Yassine7%
Thomas Robinet6%
Alec Georgen6%
Marco Essimi5%
Enzo Bardeli3%
Morgan Bokele Mputu0%
Bram Lagae0%
Maedine Makhloufi0%
Marco Decherf0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gessime Yassine43%
Enzo Bardeli18%
Marco Essimi15%
Geoffrey Kondo14%
Théna Massock14%
Opa Sangante12%
Anto Sekongo12%
Eddy Sylvestre11%
Zaid Seha8%
Thomas Robinet6%
Alec Georgen6%
Aristide Zossou6%
Alex Daho5%
Allan Linguet4%
Vincent Sasso4%
Pape Diong4%
Abner0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Íñigo Eguaras0%
Marcos Lavín0%
Kay Tejan0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Morgan Bokele Mputu0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Maedine Makhloufi0%
Mathys Niflore0%
Lenny Dziki0%
Malick Diop0%
Mathys Niflore0%
Marco Decherf0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kay Tejan33%
Thomas Robinet19%
Enzo Bardeli15%
Marco Essimi10%
Anto Sekongo9%
Gessime Yassine7%
Aristide Zossou6%
Abner0%
Opa Sangante0%
Allan Linguet0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Vincent Sasso0%
Íñigo Eguaras0%
Marcos Lavín0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Alec Georgen0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Morgan Bokele Mputu0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Geoffrey Kondo0%
Alex Daho0%
Maedine Makhloufi0%
Mathys Niflore0%
Pape Diong0%
Lenny Dziki0%
Zaid Seha0%
Malick Diop0%
Théna Massock0%
Mathys Niflore0%
Marco Decherf0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →