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East Fife vs Airdrie United Result & Analysis

Date: 29/04/2017
Time: 00:00
Final 0-4
East Fife
East Fife
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

East Fife win✗ Miss
45.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United win✓ Hit
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L20W10W00D12L01L00D13L12L10WA·ALL28/02H·ALB04/03A·LIV11/03H·ALL18/03A·BRE25/03A·ALB28/03H·QUE01/04A·STE08/04H·PET15/04A·ALB22/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.071.270.800.931.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.171.171.451.000.921.33
vs Weaker (7)0.860.710.750.251.001.33
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L12L43W03L10W24L11D31W12L01LA·ALL25/02H·STR04/03A·ALB11/03A·BRE14/03H·STE18/03A·LIV25/03A·PET01/04H·BRE08/04A·STR15/04H·ALL22/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.901.401.731.672.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.651.801.501.801.801.80
vs Weaker (10)1.302.101.201.601.402.60
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.0%
Under 2.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
East Fife goals ↓
Airdrie United goals →
01234
07.0%6.0%4.3%1.8%0.5%
18.3%13%7.0%2.8%0.9%
27.7%9.4%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.2%5.1%3.1%1.3%0.4%
41.7%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = East Fife goals (down), columns = Airdrie United goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Livingston
2.25
Alloa
1.72
Airdrie United
1.44
Brechin
1.39
East Fife
1.28
Queens Park
1.28
Stranraer
1.22
Albion Rvs
1.17
Peterhead
1.11
Stenhousemuir
1.08
East Fife is 0.17 points worse than Airdrie United in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.44).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Livingston
2.22
Alloa
1.92
Airdrie United
1.69
Stranraer
1.28
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Peterhead
1.22
Brechin
1.19
Albion Rvs
1.14
East Fife
1.14
Queens Park
1.03
East Fife is 0.56 goals worse than Airdrie United in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.69).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.89
Alloa
1.22
East Fife
1.22
Albion Rvs
1.33
Brechin
1.36
Stranraer
1.39
Queens Park
1.42
Peterhead
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.78
Airdrie United
1.83
East Fife is 0.61 goals better than Airdrie United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.83).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

East FifeEast Fife

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (37)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (13)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (30)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (20)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D01L00D00D01L11D00DA·ALL28/02H·ALB04/03A·LIV11/03H·ALL18/03A·BRE25/03A·ALB28/03H·QUE01/04A·STE08/04H·PET15/04A·ALB22/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.470.670.330.330.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.480.570.730.450.250.67
vs Weaker (7)0.570.140.500.000.670.33
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D10W01L00D12L11D21W01L00DA·ALL25/02H·STR04/03A·ALB11/03A·BRE14/03H·STE18/03A·LIV25/03A·PET01/04H·BRE08/04A·STR15/04H·ALL22/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.870.600.871.000.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.950.850.700.901.200.80
vs Weaker (10)0.500.900.400.800.601.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W10W00D11D01L00D12L01L10WA·ALL28/02H·ALB04/03A·LIV11/03H·ALL18/03A·BRE25/03A·ALB28/03H·QUE01/04A·STE08/04H·PET15/04A·ALB22/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.600.470.600.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.700.610.730.550.670.67
vs Weaker (7)0.290.570.250.250.331.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L33D02L10W12L00D10W11D01LA·ALL25/02H·STR04/03A·ALB11/03A·BRE14/03H·STE18/03A·LIV25/03A·PET01/04H·BRE08/04A·STR15/04H·ALL22/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.030.800.870.671.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.700.950.800.900.601.00
vs Weaker (10)0.801.200.800.800.801.60
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (25)
€4m
STE (2)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (7)
€1m
STE (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
EF (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (10)
€1m
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
EF wins
2
Draws
1
AU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

East Fife vs Airdrie United · H/A from EF
DateH/AGameScore
14/01/17AAirdrie United Vs EF2-2
29/10/16HEF Vs Airdrie United0-1
17/09/16AAirdrie United Vs EF1-1

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/17AAlbion Rvs Vs EF0-1
15/04/17HEF Vs Peterhead1-2
08/04/17AStenhousemuir Vs EF3-1
01/04/17HEF Vs Queens Park0-0
28/03/17AAlbion Rvs Vs EF1-0
25/03/17ABrechin Vs EF2-1
18/03/17HEF Vs Alloa0-0
11/03/17ALivingston Vs EF0-1
04/03/17HEF Vs Albion Rvs2-0
28/02/17AAlloa Vs EF3-0

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/17HAU Vs Alloa0-1
15/04/17AStranraer Vs AU2-1
08/04/17HAU Vs Brechin3-1
01/04/17APeterhead Vs AU1-1
25/03/17ALivingston Vs AU4-2
18/03/17HAU Vs Stenhousemuir1-0
14/03/17ABrechin Vs AU3-0
11/03/17AAlbion Rvs Vs AU3-4
04/03/17HAU Vs Stranraer1-2
25/02/17AAlloa Vs AU2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLW1.60
HomeWWDDL1.79
AwayWLLLW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%50%38%
AVG goals2.542.382.69
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %28%21%35%
Scored1.461.501.42
Conceded1.080.881.27
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet36%42%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.38
HomeLLWWL1.32
AwayWLLDL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%36%44%
AVG goals3.202.803.60
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %62%48%76%
Over 3.5 %38%32%44%
Scored1.541.321.76
Conceded1.661.481.84
BTTS62%56%68%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LivingstonLivingston3681
72%
2.2
8032+48
3.1
81%
69%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1112.20.9
-
2
A
Alloa
3662
47%
1.7
6944+25
3.1
83%
69%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.2
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3652
44%
1.4
6166-5
3.5
86%
75%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
4BrechinBrechin3650
42%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
72%
53%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
5East FifeEast Fife3646
33%
1.3
4144-3
2.4
67%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
6Queens ParkQueens Park3646
33%
1.3
3751-14
2.4
83%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
7StranraerStranraer3644
33%
1.2
4650-4
2.7
72%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs
3642
31%
1.2
4148-7
2.5
75%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
9PeterheadPeterhead3640
28%
1.1
4459-15
2.9
78%
53%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
10StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3639
31%
1.1
4564-19
3.0
75%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
Scotland: League One 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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