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East Fife vs Airdrie United Result & Analysis

Date: 05/12/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
East Fife
East Fife
Vs
37%
26%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

East Fife win✓ Hit
36.8%
Avg Implied 31.3% · @ 2.93
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.50
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United win✗ Miss
37.3%
Avg Implied 42.5% · @ 2.16
Edge
-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W02L42W10W01L13L22D02L21W02LH·PET15/02A·FAL18/02H·STR22/02A·FOR29/02A·AIR07/03A·COV17/10H·MON24/10A·FAL31/10H·DUM07/11A·PAR21/11
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.431.861.431.061.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.061.671.711.710.641.64
vs Weaker (12)2.001.082.001.142.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W20W01L10W20W12L02L50W31W11DH·CLY15/02A·PET22/02A·MON29/02H·EAS07/03H·PET17/10A·PAR24/10H·DUM31/10H·CLY07/11A·FOR21/11H·COV28/11
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.871.470.761.541.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.240.941.200.801.291.14
vs Weaker (13)1.850.771.860.711.830.83
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%5%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.0%
Under 1.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.5%
@ 1.75+7.1%
Under 2.5
39.5%
@ 2.00-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.1%
Under 3.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
East Fife goals ↓
Airdrie United goals →
01234
05.5%5.8%5.4%2.8%1.1%
15.8%12%8.4%4.4%1.7%
25.3%8.3%6.6%3.4%1.3%
32.8%4.3%3.4%1.8%0.7%
41.1%1.7%1.3%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = East Fife goals (down), columns = Airdrie United goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partick
1.82
Airdrie United
1.73
Cove Rangers
1.64
East Fife
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Falkirk
1.45
Peterhead
1.32
Clyde
1.18
Dumbarton
1.14
Forfar
0.77
East Fife is 0.23 points worse than Airdrie United in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.73).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partick
1.82
Airdrie United
1.59
Montrose
1.50
East Fife
1.36
Falkirk
1.32
Cove Rangers
1.27
Clyde
1.23
Peterhead
1.09
Forfar
0.82
Dumbarton
0.64
East Fife is 0.23 goals worse than Airdrie United in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.59).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
0.82
Partick
0.82
Dumbarton
1.09
Airdrie United
1.09
Falkirk
1.18
Peterhead
1.23
East Fife
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Forfar
1.68
Clyde
1.73
East Fife is 0.41 goals worse than Airdrie United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.09).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

East FifeEast Fife

For 4.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

13037643837582334314941010111051067513A·PARH·DUMA·FALH·MONA·COVA·AIRA·FORH·STRA·FALH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6051121112413132133126323545433A·PARH·DUMA·FALH·MONA·COVA·AIRA·FORH·STRA·FALH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

3301514161216411141815111498391914101629282025332517123326A·PARH·DUMA·FALH·MONA·COVA·AIRA·FORH·STRA·FALH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

For 5.1 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

130575354817641285442621289913510968H·COVA·FORH·CLYH·DUMA·PARH·PETH·EASA·MONA·PETH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

4031211112213131231124222444343H·COVA·FORH·CLYH·DUMA·PARH·PETH·EASA·MONA·PETH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

3401816158569126517141411131416871134231121113125272418H·COVA·FORH·CLYH·DUMA·PARH·PETH·EASA·MONA·PETH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.49.73.43.23.621.921.122.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (29)10.311.49.33.53.53.523.522.424.6
vs Weaker (21)9.79.110.43.32.83.819.619.519.7
% over line58%60%56%48%48%48%54%48%60%
% under line42%40%44%52%52%52%46%52%40%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.611.010.33.33.43.220.921.520.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)11.211.610.74.03.84.222.222.821.5
vs Weaker (26)10.110.49.82.62.92.219.720.319.0
% over line62%67%57%46%44%48%48%52%43%
% under line38%33%43%54%56%52%52%48%57%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Partick
10.7
Falkirk
10.7
Airdrie United
10.6
East Fife
10.0
Cove Rangers
9.9
Dumbarton
9.8
Peterhead
9.6
Montrose
9.6
Clyde
9.5
Forfar
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.0
Montrose
3.9
Cove Rangers
3.6
Falkirk
3.5
East Fife
3.4
Clyde
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Partick
3.1
Dumbarton
3.0
Forfar
2.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Falkirk
23.7
Montrose
23.5
Cove Rangers
23.0
Peterhead
22.8
East Fife
21.9
Forfar
21.0
Airdrie United
20.9
Dumbarton
20.8
Clyde
20.3
Partick
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.7%
Under 9.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.5%
Under 3.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
53.4%
Under 21.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W10W01L01L21W01L10W01LH·PET15/02A·FAL18/02H·STR22/02A·FOR29/02A·AIR07/03A·COV17/10H·MON24/10A·FAL31/10H·DUM07/11A·PAR21/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.930.710.380.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.500.940.861.140.270.82
vs Weaker (12)0.830.421.000.290.600.60
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D01L10W10W11D01L30W31W01LH·CLY15/02A·PET22/02A·MON29/02H·EAS07/03H·PET17/10A·PAR24/10H·DUM31/10H·CLY07/11A·FOR21/11H·COV28/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.631.000.590.770.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.820.650.900.600.710.71
vs Weaker (13)1.000.621.140.570.830.67
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L22D00D00D12L01L01L11D01LH·PET15/02A·FAL18/02H·STR22/02A·FOR29/02A·AIR07/03A·COV17/10H·MON24/10A·FAL31/10H·DUM07/11A·PAR21/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.930.710.690.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.560.720.860.570.360.82
vs Weaker (12)1.170.671.000.861.400.40
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D00D10W01L01L20W00D10WH·CLY15/02A·PET22/02A·MON29/02H·EAS07/03H·PET17/10A·PAR24/10H·DUM31/10H·CLY07/11A·FOR21/11H·COV28/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.230.470.180.770.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.410.290.300.200.570.43
vs Weaker (13)0.850.150.710.141.000.17
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards88.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.583.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls77.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards75.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
PAR (20)
€3m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
PAR (8)
€1m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
EF wins
2
Draws
4
AU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

East Fife vs Airdrie United · H/A from EF
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/20AAirdrie United Vs EF1-0
11/01/20HEF Vs Airdrie United2-2
30/11/19AAirdrie United Vs EF4-0
24/08/19HEF Vs Airdrie United4-1
06/04/19AAirdrie United Vs EF0-0
05/01/19HEF Vs Airdrie United1-2
17/11/18AAirdrie United Vs EF4-2
15/09/18HEF Vs Airdrie United2-1

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/20APartick Vs EF2-0
07/11/20HEF Vs Dumbarton2-1
31/10/20AFalkirk Vs EF2-0
24/10/20HEF Vs Montrose2-2
17/10/20ACove Rangers Vs EF3-1
07/03/20AAirdrie United Vs EF1-0
29/02/20AForfar Vs EF0-1
22/02/20HEF Vs Stranraer4-2
18/02/20AFalkirk Vs EF2-0
15/02/20HEF Vs Peterhead1-0

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/11/20HAU Vs Cove Rangers1-1
21/11/20AForfar Vs AU1-3
07/11/20HAU Vs Clyde5-0
31/10/20HAU Vs Dumbarton0-2
24/10/20APartick Vs AU2-1
17/10/20HAU Vs Peterhead2-0
07/03/20HAU Vs East Fife1-0
29/02/20AMontrose Vs AU1-0
22/02/20APeterhead Vs AU0-2
15/02/20HAU Vs Clyde2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.26
HomeWWWDW1.32
AwayWLLLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%32%32%
AVG goals2.903.322.48
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %32%44%20%
Scored1.381.721.04
Conceded1.521.601.44
BTTS58%72%44%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners10.0410.369.72
Cards3.423.203.64
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWD1.54
HomeWWLWD1.63
AwayDWLLW1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%43%
AVG goals2.442.112.83
Over 1.5 %64%59%70%
Over 2.5 %44%33%57%
Over 3.5 %30%26%35%
Scored1.421.331.52
Conceded1.020.781.30
BTTS42%33%52%
Clean Sheet36%44%26%
Corners10.6410.9610.26
Cards3.283.373.17

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PartickPartick2240
50%
1.8
4018+22
2.6
68%
45%
36%
10.0
64%
3.6
41%
21.2
55%
3
1111.80.8
-
2Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United2238
55%
1.7
3524+11
2.7
77%
41%
27%
10.4
50%
3.3
45%
20.5
36%
0
0001.61.1
-
3Cove RangersCove Rangers2236
45%
1.6
2818+10
2.1
64%
27%
18%
8.9
41%
3.6
50%
23.4
55%
0
0001.30.8
-
4MontroseMontrose2233
41%
1.5
3333+0
3.0
77%
64%
45%
9.3
41%
3.2
36%
22.3
41%
0
0001.51.5
-
5East FifeEast Fife2233
45%
1.5
3033-3
2.9
91%
68%
27%
9.9
59%
3.4
41%
22.7
55%
0
0001.41.5
-
6FalkirkFalkirk2232
41%
1.5
2926+3
2.5
82%
50%
18%
10.0
59%
4.0
55%
24.5
64%
6
2131.31.2
-
7PeterheadPeterhead2229
41%
1.3
2427-3
2.3
68%
41%
14%
8.7
36%
4.4
73%
25.8
82%
0
0001.11.2
-
8ClydeClyde2226
36%
1.2
2738-11
3.0
82%
59%
32%
10.3
64%
3.2
45%
20.8
50%
0
0001.21.7
-
9DumbartonDumbarton2225
32%
1.1
1424-10
1.7
45%
27%
9%
10.2
64%
3.2
32%
23.0
73%
0
0000.61.1
-
10ForfarForfar2217
18%
0.8
1837-19
2.5
73%
50%
27%
9.1
41%
3.4
55%
22.0
64%
0
0000.81.7
-
Scotland: League One 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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