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East Fife vs Inverness CT Result & Analysis

Date: 25/04/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
East Fife
East Fife
Vs
19%
29%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: League One
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives East Fife a 19% win probability against Inverness CT in the Scotland: League One on 2026-04-25, with 29% for the draw and 52% for Inverness CT. The model estimates around 2.3 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 0-1 the most likely scoreline (13.9%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (80%).

Results analysis

East Fife finished 1-1 against Inverness CT (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 19% home win, 29% draw and 52% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (80%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Fife win✗ Miss
19.2%
Avg Implied 14.7% · @ 6.13
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.0%
Avg Implied 21.0% · @ 4.28
Edge
+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT win✗ Miss
51.8%
Avg Implied 64.3% · @ 1.40
Edge
-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L02L03L11D22D22D01L21W02LA·HAM17/02A·PET21/02H·ALL28/02H·HAM07/03A·KEL14/03A·QUE21/03H·STE28/03A·MON04/04H·PET11/04A·ALL18/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.771.071.600.801.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.001.571.081.670.911.45
vs Weaker (7)0.712.431.001.330.503.25
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D31W11D31W11D11D11D20W10WH·STE21/02A·KEL28/02H·MON07/03H·COV14/03H·PET17/03A·ALL21/03H·QUE27/03A·STE11/04A·PET14/04H·KEL18/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.672.200.601.070.73
vs Stronger (20)1.600.552.090.641.000.44
vs Similar (7)2.140.863.000.331.501.25
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.001.000.501.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.5%
Under 1.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.7%
@ 1.63-16.5%
Under 2.5
60.3%
@ 2.09+16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.5%
Under 3.5
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.7%
No
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
13.9%
1-1 ✓
13.4%
0-0
11.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
East Fife goals ↓
Inverness CT goals →
01234
012%14%11%5.5%2.0%
17.0%13%8.9%4.4%1.6%
23.3%4.9%3.6%1.8%0.6%
30.9%1.3%1.0%0.5%0.2%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = East Fife goals (down), columns = Inverness CT goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Inverness CT
2.06
Stenhousemuir
1.86
Hamilton
1.53
Queen of Sth
1.50
Alloa
1.47
Clyde
1.25
Peterhead
1.19
Montrose
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.06
East Fife
1.00
Kelty Hearts
0.81
Spartans
0.50
Forfar
0.00
East Fife is 1.06 points worse than Inverness CT in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Clyde
1.75
Inverness CT
1.67
Queen of Sth
1.61
Hamilton
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Alloa
1.39
Montrose
1.33
Peterhead
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.14
Forfar
1.00
East Fife
0.94
Kelty Hearts
0.92
Spartans
0.50
East Fife is 0.72 goals worse than Inverness CT in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inverness CT
0.67
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Alloa
1.06
Hamilton
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.22
Queen of Sth
1.31
Spartans
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.50
East Fife
1.69
Kelty Hearts
1.72
Peterhead
1.78
Montrose
1.86
Forfar
2.50
East Fife is 1.03 goals worse than Inverness CT in terms of goals conceded per game (1.69 vs 0.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

East FifeEast Fife

For 4.5 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

140314541041045835256533649141491171189A·ALLH·PETA·MONH·STEA·QUEA·KELH·HAMH·ALLA·PETA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

6022411321112441224540311654A·ALLH·PETA·MONH·STEA·QUEA·KELH·HAMH·ALLA·PETA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.1

⚠️ Fouls

320711191312711101511155310129151711818321921262013213219A·ALLH·PETA·MONH·STEA·QUEA·KELH·HAMH·ALLA·PETA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Inverness CTInverness CT

For 4.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 7.2

🚩 Corners

1004522452264105154443949410106947H·KELA·PETA·STEH·QUEA·ALLH·PETH·COVH·MONA·KELH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

8011325223131122222532575413448H·KELA·PETA·STEH·QUEA·ALLH·PETH·COVH·MONA·KELH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.1

⚠️ Fouls

290146151415137111012137591610108161020292818222014261826H·KELA·PETA·STEH·QUEA·ALLH·PETH·COVH·MONA·KELH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.89.73.74.13.423.023.422.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (35)9.59.49.53.94.23.522.723.721.5
vs Weaker (15)10.311.09.93.53.73.323.722.524.4
% over line52%50%54%54%58%50%58%67%50%
% under line48%50%46%46%42%50%42%33%50%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.88.53.63.33.821.621.521.7
vs Stronger (30)9.310.58.13.22.73.721.021.021.0
vs Similar (12)7.77.08.13.73.83.623.324.822.3
vs Weaker (8)10.410.210.54.84.84.821.419.523.2
% over line40%46%35%50%46%54%50%54%46%
% under line60%54%65%50%54%46%50%46%54%
This opponent (East Fife) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Hamilton
10.5
Alloa
9.8
East Fife
9.7
Clyde
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.4
Spartans
9.1
Inverness CT
9.1
Kelty Hearts
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Peterhead
8.8
Queen of Sth
8.6
Montrose
8.6
Stenhousemuir
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.1
Queen of Sth
4.9
Stenhousemuir
4.8
Forfar
4.5
Alloa
4.4
Clyde
4.4
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Spartans
4.2
East Fife
3.7
Montrose
3.7
Inverness CT
3.6
Hamilton
3.4
Cove Rangers
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
Stenhousemuir
25.1
Forfar
24.3
Queen of Sth
23.6
East Fife
23.0
Alloa
22.5
Clyde
22.3
Montrose
22.0
Kelty Hearts
22.0
Inverness CT
21.6
Hamilton
21.1
Cove Rangers
20.8
Spartans
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
43.1%
Under 9.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.6%
Under 3.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.9%
Under 21.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
QOS (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
HAM (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
ALL (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
MON (1)
€0m
ALL (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
HAM (0)
€0m
QOS (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
HAM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
QOS (0)
€0m
ALL (0)
€0m
MON (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QOS (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
HAM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
ALL (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

East Fife vs Inverness CT · H/A from EF
DateH/AGameScore
07/02/26AInverness CT Vs EF3-0
20/01/26HEF Vs Inverness CT0-2
27/09/25AInverness CT Vs EF4-1

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26AAlloa Vs EF2-0
11/04/26HEF Vs Peterhead2-1
04/04/26AMontrose Vs EF1-0
28/03/26HEF Vs Stenhousemuir2-2
21/03/26AQueen of Sth Vs EF2-2
14/03/26AKelty Hearts Vs EF1-1
07/03/26HEF Vs Hamilton0-3
28/02/26HEF Vs Alloa0-2
21/02/26APeterhead Vs EF3-1
17/02/26AHamilton Vs EF1-0

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26HIC Vs Kelty Hearts1-0
14/04/26APeterhead Vs IC0-2
11/04/26AStenhousemuir Vs IC1-1
27/03/26HIC Vs Queen of Sth1-1
21/03/26AAlloa Vs IC1-1
17/03/26HIC Vs Peterhead3-1
14/03/26HIC Vs Cove Rangers1-1
07/03/26HIC Vs Montrose3-1
28/02/26AKelty Hearts Vs IC0-0
21/02/26HIC Vs Stenhousemuir1-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League One
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWL1.20
HomeWLLDW1.46
AwayLDDLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%27%
AVG goals2.642.672.62
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %46%46%46%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored1.101.290.92
Conceded1.541.381.69
BTTS46%50%42%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners9.749.839.65
Cards3.744.083.42
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWW1.94
HomeWDWDW2.12
AwayWDDDW1.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%62%50%
AVG goals2.402.622.19
Over 1.5 %72%75%69%
Over 2.5 %40%46%35%
Over 3.5 %24%33%15%
Scored1.601.921.31
Conceded0.800.710.88
BTTS44%50%38%
Clean Sheet48%42%54%
Corners9.109.758.50
Cards3.583.293.85

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inverness CTInverness CT3674
58%
2.1
6024+36
2.3
72%
39%
25%
9.1
39%
3.5
47%
22.2
53%
0
0001.70.7
-
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3667
50%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
64%
33%
22%
8.6
39%
5.2
81%
27.0
81%
0
0001.40.8
-
3
H
Hamilton		3655
44%
1.5
5442+12
2.7
75%
58%
33%
9.7
44%
3.2
42%
20.4
39%
0
0001.51.2
-
4
QO
Queen of Sth		3654
39%
1.5
5847+11
2.9
92%
53%
33%
8.9
33%
5.2
75%
24.3
67%
0
0001.61.3
-
5
A
Alloa		3653
42%
1.5
5038+12
2.4
67%
44%
22%
9.4
42%
4.5
61%
23.4
64%
0
0001.41.1
-
6PeterheadPeterhead3643
33%
1.2
4864-16
3.1
92%
67%
42%
9.5
44%
5.0
78%
27.9
86%
0
0001.31.8
-
7MontroseMontrose3642
31%
1.2
4867-19
3.2
89%
61%
39%
8.6
31%
3.7
61%
23.7
69%
0
0001.31.9
-
8Cove RangersCove Rangers3638
25%
1.1
4144-3
2.4
69%
39%
22%
9.4
44%
3.5
47%
22.3
53%
0
0001.11.2
-
9East FifeEast Fife3636
25%
1.0
3461-27
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.6
47%
3.4
50%
22.8
56%
0
0000.91.7
-
10Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3629
17%
0.8
3362-29
2.6
86%
50%
22%
9.4
42%
4.7
75%
23.8
61%
1
1000.91.7
-
11Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical410
75%
2.5
106+4
4.0
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.51.5
-
12ClydeClyde45
25%
1.2
76+1
3.2
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
13SpartansSpartans21
0%
0.5
13-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
14ForfarForfar20
0%
0.0
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
Scotland: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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