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Eastleigh vs Aldershot Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Eastleigh
Eastleigh
Vs
40%
25%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aldershot
Aldershot
England: National League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Eastleigh’s recent 2-game winning streak fuels optimism for a home victory, while Aldershot’s fresh win suggests they can keep the pressure on. The model favours a Home win, with a 40% chance, a Draw at 25%, and an Away win at 35%. The average goal output is 3.4, pointing to a high-scoring encounter, and the most probable total is three goals, a 22% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 10.6% chance. Eastleigh, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.57 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Aldershot, on the road, averages 1.45 scored and 1.55 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6%, edge 4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.4%, edge 3%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.6%, edge 3%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.6%, edge 4%), Under 6.5 (94.2%, edge 1%), Away under 3.5 goals (91.5%, edge 1%), and Home under 3.5 goals (89.8%, edge 1%).

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, a home win for Eastleigh at 40%, failed to materialise as the match finished 1-1, a draw that kept the teams level. The model’s call was therefore wrong. The final score of 1-1 matched the expected total of 3.4 goals, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 10.6%. Eastleigh’s recent form note that they were coming off a draw, while Aldershot also ended their run with a draw. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 (97.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.4%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.9%), Under 6.5 (94.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (91.5%), and Home under 3.5 goals (89.8%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eastleigh win✗ Miss
40.1%
Avg Implied 40.9% · @ 2.24
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.32
William Hil
2.30
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Dafabet
2.26
Draw✓ Hit
24.5%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.51
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.79
Betano
3.65
Dafabet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.52
Aldershot win✗ Miss
35.4%
Avg Implied 33.0% · @ 2.78
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.00
Superbet
2.85
Dafabet
2.85
Betano
2.80
Bet365
2.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EastleighEastleigh

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L33D21W01L11D10W21W01L32W10WH·FOR28/03A·WOK03/04H·YEO06/04A·ALT11/04H·TAM18/04A·SCU25/04H·GAT08/08A·KID15/08H·SCU22/08A·HAR28/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.871.602.001.131.73
vs Stronger (2)1.001.502.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.391.891.572.001.211.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Aldershot) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AldershotAldershot

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D03L01L02L12L02L10W01L11D31WH·SUT03/04A·WEA06/04H·GAT11/04H·SOU14/04A·BRA18/04H·TRU25/04A·BOS08/08H·HAR15/08A·KID22/08H·HAR28/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.601.271.871.531.33
vs Stronger (10)1.101.200.671.501.750.75
vs Similar (20)1.551.801.672.111.451.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.3%
@ 1.19+8.3%
Under 1.5
13.7%
@ 4.21-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.46
BetVictor
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
66.1%
@ 1.64+9.4%
Under 2.5
33.9%
@ 2.15-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Bet365
1.65
Betano
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.22
Betano
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.2%
@ 2.58+8.4%
Under 3.5
55.8%
@ 1.44-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.62
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Betfair
2.60
Under
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.47
BetVictor
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.8%
@ 1.53+7.6%
No
32.2%
@ 2.31-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
William Hil
1.53
No
Betfair
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
William Hil
2.38
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.32

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.6%@ 6.44+3.9%
2-1
8.5%@ 8.19+3.2%
1-2
7.9%@ 9.21+3.2%
2-2
7.0%@ 10.53+2.8%
2-0
5.1%@ 11.55+1.4%
3-1
5.0%@ 14.54+2.0%
1-0
4.9%@ 8.99+0.1%
0-1
4.5%@ 10.04+0.2%
Eastleigh goals ↓
Aldershot goals →
01234
04.3%4.5%4.5%2.5%1.0%
14.9%11%7.9%4.3%1.8%
25.1%8.5%7.0%3.8%1.6%
33.0%5.0%4.1%2.2%0.9%
41.3%2.2%1.8%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eastleigh goals (down), columns = Aldershot goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Eastleigh is 0.09 points better than Aldershot in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Eastleigh is 0.26 goals worse than Aldershot in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Eastleigh is 0.15 goals better than Aldershot in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.89).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Eastleigh is 12.4 percentage points worse than Aldershot in terms of average possession (41% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Eastleigh or Draw✓ Hit
64.6%
Avg Implied 67.3% · @ 1.37
Edge
-2.7%
40%
25%
35%
covers Eastleigh + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
William Hil
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Eastleigh or Aldershot✗ Miss
75.5%
Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.24
Edge
+1.6%
40%
25%
35%
covers Eastleigh + Aldershot
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Draw or Aldershot✓ Hit
59.9%
Avg Implied 58.9% · @ 1.56
Edge
+1.0%
40%
25%
35%
covers Draw + Aldershot
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Eastleigh over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.8%
@ 1.19+4.7%
Under
17.2%
@ 4.22-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.20
Eastleigh over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
52.5%
@ 1.96+5.2%
Under
47.5%
@ 1.75-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.04
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
Betano
1.95
Under
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Eastleigh over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.8%
@ 3.99+2.6%
Under
74.2%
@ 1.21-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.16
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.94
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Eastleigh over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 8.88-0.4%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.05+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.40
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Aldershot over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.7%
@ 1.24+6.3%
Under
19.3%
@ 3.61-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.74
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.56
Aldershot over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.9%
@ 2.25+7.8%
Under
51.1%
@ 1.57-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Under
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Aldershot over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.8%
@ 4.94+4.1%
Under
77.2%
@ 1.14-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Aldershot over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.5%
@ 11.56+0.3%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.03-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Eastleigh, so a minus line means Eastleigh give that many goals of a start and Aldershot receive them. At -1, Eastleigh must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Eastleigh win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Eastleigh)Actual: Aldershot
Eastleigh -2
9.3%
@ 9.03-0.7%
Draw -2
12.3%
@ 6.46-1.6%
Aldershot +2
78.5%
@ 1.18+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.10
Superbet
8.00
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
Superbet
6.10
Away
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (Eastleigh)Actual: Aldershot
Eastleigh -1
21.5%
@ 3.98-0.5%
Draw -1
18.6%
@ 3.97-3.5%
Aldershot +1
59.9%
@ 1.57+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
Away
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Handicap +1 (Eastleigh)Actual: Eastleigh
Eastleigh +1
64.6%
@ 1.37+0.6%
Draw +1
17.3%
@ 4.47-2.3%
Aldershot -1
18.1%
@ 5.35+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
Unibet
1.28
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.65
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Unibet
3.80
Away
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.20
Unibet
4.80
Handicap +2 (Eastleigh)Actual: Eastleigh
Eastleigh +2
81.9%
@ 1.11+2.0%
Draw +2
10.7%
@ 7.17-1.6%
Aldershot -2
7.3%
@ 11.57-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.40
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.30

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EastleighEastleigh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D10W01L11D10W10W00D10W00DH·FOR28/03A·WOK03/04H·YEO06/04A·ALT11/04H·TAM18/04A·SCU25/04H·GAT08/08A·KID15/08H·SCU22/08A·HAR28/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.730.670.600.470.87
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.570.710.640.500.500.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Aldershot) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AldershotAldershot

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L01L02L01L01L00D00D01L30WH·SUT03/04A·WEA06/04H·GAT11/04H·SOU14/04A·BRA18/04H·TRU25/04A·BOS08/08H·HAR15/08A·KID22/08H·HAR28/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.801.130.400.60
vs Stronger (10)0.500.900.671.000.250.75
vs Similar (20)0.650.850.891.220.450.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
74.7%
@ 1.29+3.1%
Under 0.5
25.3%
@ 3.26-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.8%
@ 2.38+1.1%
Under 1.5
60.2%
@ 1.51-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
2.46
William Hil
2.45
Betfair
2.40
Unibet
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.5%
@ 5.67-2.9%
Under 2.5
86.5%
@ 1.11+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.10

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eastleigh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
50.4%
@ 1.82-0.1%
Under
49.6%
@ 1.86+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.85
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Eastleigh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.1%
@ 5.10+0.0%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.13-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Betano
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Eastleigh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 13.38-3.3%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Aldershot over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.2%
@ 2.00+0.0%
Under
53.8%
@ 1.71-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Aldershot over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.1%
@ 5.97-3.3%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.09+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.05
Marathonbet
6.05
Superbet
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Aldershot over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 15.88-3.6%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EastleighEastleigh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L22D11D00D00D00D11D01L22D10WH·FOR28/03A·WOK03/04H·YEO06/04A·ALT11/04H·TAM18/04A·SCU25/04H·GAT08/08A·KID15/08H·SCU22/08A·HAR28/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.130.931.400.670.87
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.821.180.931.500.710.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Aldershot) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AldershotAldershot

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D00D11D01L10W01L10W01LH·SUT03/04A·WEA06/04H·GAT11/04H·SOU14/04A·BRA18/04H·TRU25/04A·BOS08/08H·HAR15/08A·KID22/08H·HAR28/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.470.731.130.73
vs Stronger (10)0.600.300.000.501.500.00
vs Similar (20)0.900.950.780.891.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.1%
@ 1.17+1.9%
Under 0.5
18.9%
@ 4.43-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Under
Betano
4.60
Bet365
4.50
William Hil
4.40
Superbet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
49.1%
@ 1.85-0.7%
Under 1.5
50.9%
@ 1.84+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.9%
@ 3.59-1.9%
Under 2.5
76.1%
@ 1.25+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eastleigh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.7%
@ 1.58-2.9%
Under
44.3%
@ 2.24+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Eastleigh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.2%
@ 3.76-2.4%
Under
77.8%
@ 1.23+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Eastleigh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 9.12-5.1%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.04+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Aldershot over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.1%
@ 1.67-0.1%
Under
44.9%
@ 2.06+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.64
Under
1xBet
2.12
Betano
2.10
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Aldershot over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.3%
@ 4.26-2.4%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.18+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Betano
4.15
1xBet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Aldershot over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 11.25-3.8%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.03+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.597.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.6%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+3.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.2%1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
---+3.3%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals95.4%1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
---+3.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.9%1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
---+5.1%✓ Hit
Under 6.594.2%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-+0.1%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals91.5%1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
--0.3%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals89.8%1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-+0.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals87.9%1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-+3.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.587.0%1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-2.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.5%1.11
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
+2.9%✓ Hit
Over 1.586.3%1.19
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
+8.3%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals82.8%1.19
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
+4.7%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap81.9%1.11
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
-+2.0%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals81.9%1.13
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
--0.0%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals81.1%1.17
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
+1.9%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals80.7%1.18
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-+2.4%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals80.7%1.24
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.25
+6.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.7%--------
Away +2 handicap78.5%1.18
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
-+2.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals77.8%1.23
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
-+2.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals77.2%1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
-4.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals76.1%1.25
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
+1.9%✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.1%--------
Home or Away75.5%1.24
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+1.6%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals74.7%1.29
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
+3.1%✗ Miss
Under 4.574.4%1.16
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
-5.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals74.2%1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
-2.6%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Eastleigh and Aldershot have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Eastleigh and Aldershot have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Eastleigh and Aldershot have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Eastleigh and Aldershot have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
EAS wins
2
Draws
2
ALD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Eastleigh vs Aldershot · H/A from EAS
DateH/AGameScore
17/01/26HEAS Vs Aldershot1-4
20/08/25AAldershot Vs EAS2-3
15/02/25HEAS Vs Aldershot2-0
19/10/24AAldershot Vs EAS2-1
16/12/23AAldershot Vs EAS3-5
28/08/23HEAS Vs Aldershot3-0
10/04/23HEAS Vs Aldershot3-3
04/10/22AAldershot Vs EAS0-0

EastleighEastleigh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AHartlepool Vs EAS0-1
22/08/26HEAS Vs Scunthorpe3-2
15/08/26AKidderminster Vs EAS1-0
08/08/26HEAS Vs Gateshead2-1
25/04/26AScunthorpe Vs EAS0-1
18/04/26HEAS Vs Tamworth1-1
11/04/26AAltrincham Vs EAS1-0
06/04/26HEAS Vs Yeovil2-1
03/04/26AWoking Vs EAS3-3
28/03/26HEAS Vs Forest Green2-4

AldershotAldershot

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HALD Vs Harrogate3-1
22/08/26AKidderminster Vs ALD1-1
15/08/26HALD Vs Hartlepool0-1
08/08/26ABoston Utd Vs ALD0-1
25/04/26HALD Vs Truro0-2
18/04/26ABrackley Town Vs ALD2-1
14/04/26HALD Vs Southend0-2
11/04/26HALD Vs Gateshead0-1
06/04/26AWealdstone Vs ALD3-0
03/04/26HALD Vs Sutton2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Eastleigh
Eastleigh
England: National League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.24
HomeLWDWW1.32
AwayDLWLW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.983.362.60
Over 1.5 %84%100%68%
Over 2.5 %58%72%44%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.301.481.12
Conceded1.681.881.48
BTTS66%84%48%
Clean Sheet12%4%20%
Corners11.0011.00-
Cards4.244.004.50
Aldershot
Aldershot
England: National League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDW1.14
HomeLLLLW1.00
AwayWLLWD1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%29%35%
AVG goals3.223.293.15
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %64%67%62%
Over 3.5 %38%46%31%
Scored1.481.421.54
Conceded1.741.881.62
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet14%8%19%
Corners---
Cards4.575.273.86

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SuttonSutton512
80%
2.4
73+4
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.6
54%
2YeovilYeovil511
60%
2.2
105+5
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
47%
3Boreham WoodBoreham Wood410
75%
2.5
115+6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.2
58%
4HarrogateHarrogate510
60%
2.0
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.61.8
-
5
F
Fylde		510
60%
2.0
117+4
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
6SouthendSouthend510
60%
2.0
96+3
3.0
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.2
52%
7EastleighEastleigh510
60%
2.0
75+2
2.4
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.0
41%
8
K
Kidderminster		48
50%
2.0
63+3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
9AldershotAldershot58
40%
1.6
64+2
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
54%
10Boston UtdBoston Utd46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.00.8
-
11HalifaxHalifax56
40%
1.2
99+0
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
48%
12HartlepoolHartlepool56
40%
1.2
44+0
1.6
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
47%
13AltrinchamAltrincham56
40%
1.2
57-2
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
52%
14CarlisleCarlisle35
33%
1.7
64+2
3.3
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.3
49%
15WealdstoneWealdstone45
25%
1.2
66+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
57%
16ScunthorpeScunthorpe54
20%
0.8
810-2
3.6
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
49%
17WokingWoking44
25%
1.0
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
50%
18GatesheadGateshead53
20%
0.6
48-4
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
50%
19Forest GreenForest Green43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
53%
20BarrowBarrow42
0%
0.5
47-3
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.8
-
21TamworthTamworth41
0%
0.2
712-5
4.8
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.83.0
38%
22SolihullSolihull50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
48%
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

← all matches