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Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 11:30
Final 3-2
Eastleigh
Eastleigh
Vs
31%
25%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe
England: National League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Eastleigh host Scunthorpe in the England National League on August 22nd. Recent form suggests both teams are coming off defeats, with Eastleigh losing 0-1 to Kidderminster and Scunthorpe also losing 0-1 to Southend. This storyline sets the stage for a high-scoring match, as the expected total goals average 3.3.

The model predicts a 45% chance of an away win, with Scunthorpe emerging as the favourite. The most likely match result is an away win, as per the model's pick. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 11%.

Eastleigh's home form is characterised by scoring 1.25 goals per match and conceding 2.17 goals, while Scunthorpe's away form shows they score 2 goals and concede 1.75 goals per match against similar opponents. The model suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection with 85% probability.

The probabilities for the match result are 31% for a home win, 25% for a draw, and 45% for an away win. The suggested picks are an Over 1.5 goals selection with 85% probability, and no other selections are mentioned.

Results analysis

The upset came as Eastleigh edged Scunthorpe 3-2, overturning the model’s pre-match favourite of an away win, which had a 44 % probability. The home side, coming off a win, capitalised on a strong recent run, while Scunthorpe, after two straight defeats, failed to convert their edge. The model’s selection of an away win was therefore wrong. All of the model’s suggested picks hit: Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2 %, Under 7.5 at 98.1 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.3 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.0 %, Under 6.5 at 95.0 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 93.5 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.0 %, and Away under 3.5 goals at 89.2 %. The final score of 3-2 confirmed the home win, leaving the model’s favourite out of the picture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eastleigh win✓ Hit
31.3%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.32
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.54
BetVictor
3.50
Superbet
3.45
1xBet
3.41
Betano
3.40
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.54
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.93
Betano
3.65
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Scunthorpe win✗ Miss
43.9%
Avg Implied 46.6% · @ 1.96
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.08
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.00
SBO
2.00
Superbet
2.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EastleighEastleigh

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L24L33D21W01L11D10W21W01LA·HAR21/03H·SUT24/03H·FOR28/03A·WOK03/04H·YEO06/04A·ALT11/04H·TAM18/04A·SCU25/04H·GAT08/08A·KID15/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.901.402.001.131.80
vs Stronger (2)1.001.502.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.291.931.362.001.211.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ScunthorpeScunthorpe

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D02L10W11D01L10W12L11D01LA·HAL28/03H·HAR03/04A·GAT06/04H·BRA11/04A·WEA18/04H·EAS25/04H·SOU28/04A·ROC03/05H·YEO08/08A·SOU15/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.471.531.471.671.47
vs Stronger (4)2.001.252.501.001.501.50
vs Similar (26)1.541.501.381.541.691.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.0%
@ 1.21+8.4%
Under 1.5
15.0%
@ 3.94-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.8%
@ 1.70+9.2%
Under 2.5
36.2%
@ 2.05-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Unibet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.08
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.7%
@ 2.74+8.0%
Under 3.5
58.3%
@ 1.39-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.41
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.7%
@ 1.61+8.4%
No
34.3%
@ 2.15-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.62
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Betfair
1.60
No
William Hil
2.20
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Superbet
2.17
BetVictor
2.15

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%@ 6.38+4.2%
1-2
9.0%@ 7.68+3.3%
2-1
7.5%@ 10.09+3.2%
2-2
6.7%@ 11.38+2.9%
0-2
6.0%@ 9.57+1.5%
0-1
5.7%@ 7.81+0.1%
1-3
5.4%@ 13.19+2.1%
0-0
4.7%@ 11.23+0.9%
Eastleigh goals ↓
Scunthorpe goals →
01234
04.7%5.7%6.0%3.6%1.6%
14.6%11%9.0%5.4%2.4%
24.2%7.5%6.7%4.0%1.8%
32.1%3.7%3.3%2.0%0.9%
40.8%1.4%1.2%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eastleigh goals (down), columns = Scunthorpe goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Eastleigh is 0.68 points worse than Scunthorpe in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.77).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Eastleigh is 0.45 goals worse than Scunthorpe in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.69).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Eastleigh is 0.38 goals worse than Scunthorpe in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.35).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Eastleigh is 7.5 percentage points worse than Scunthorpe in terms of average possession (41% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Eastleigh or Draw✓ Hit
56.1%
Avg Implied 53.6% · @ 1.72
Edge
+2.5%
31%
25%
44%
covers Eastleigh + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.83
Betfair
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Superbet
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
Eastleigh or Scunthorpe✓ Hit
75.2%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.24
Edge
+0.6%
31%
25%
44%
covers Eastleigh + Scunthorpe
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Draw or Scunthorpe✗ Miss
68.7%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.28
Edge
-3.1%
31%
25%
44%
covers Draw + Scunthorpe
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Eastleigh over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.6%
@ 1.34+8.3%
Under
22.4%
@ 3.01-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.15
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Eastleigh over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
44.1%
@ 2.64+9.0%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.43-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.77
BetVictor
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Superbet
2.65
1xBet
2.64
Under
Pinnacle
1.45
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Eastleigh over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
19.0%
@ 6.26+4.2%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.09-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
6.40
Superbet
6.20
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Eastleigh over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 15.25+0.2%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.02-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Scunthorpe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.4%
@ 1.16+3.8%
Under
16.6%
@ 4.54-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Scunthorpe over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.5%
@ 1.85+3.8%
Under
46.5%
@ 1.83-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.87
Superbet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Scunthorpe over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.8%
@ 3.69+1.6%
Under
73.2%
@ 1.24-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.80
Pinnacle
3.76
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Under
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Scunthorpe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.8%
@ 8.04-0.9%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.06+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
7.80
Betano
7.20
1xBet
6.70
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Eastleigh, so a minus line means Eastleigh give that many goals of a start and Scunthorpe receive them. At -1, Eastleigh must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Eastleigh win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Eastleigh)Actual: Scunthorpe
Eastleigh -2
5.7%
@ 18.67+0.8%
Draw -2
9.4%
@ 9.93+0.2%
Scunthorpe +2
84.9%
@ 1.07-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
16.00
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
8.80
Away
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Handicap -1 (Eastleigh)Actual: Draw
Eastleigh -1
15.1%
@ 6.74+2.0%
Draw -1
16.3%
@ 4.89-1.7%
Scunthorpe +1
68.7%
@ 1.27-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Superbet
6.70
10Bet
6.25
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Away
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Handicap +1 (Eastleigh)Actual: Eastleigh
Eastleigh +1
56.1%
@ 1.71+5.2%
Draw +1
19.7%
@ 3.66-4.1%
Scunthorpe -1
24.2%
@ 3.43-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.67
Unibet
1.63
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
Unibet
3.10
Away
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.34
Unibet
3.10
Handicap +2 (Eastleigh)Actual: Eastleigh
Eastleigh +2
75.8%
@ 1.25+4.2%
Draw +2
13.5%
@ 5.65-2.4%
Scunthorpe -2
10.6%
@ 7.19-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Away
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
6.95
Superbet
6.80

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EastleighEastleigh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L21W11D10W01L11D10W10W00DA·HAR21/03H·SUT24/03H·FOR28/03A·WOK03/04H·YEO06/04A·ALT11/04H·TAM18/04A·SCU25/04H·GAT08/08A·KID15/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.600.600.470.87
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.540.710.570.500.500.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ScunthorpeScunthorpe

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D01L10W00D01L10W01L00D01LA·HAL28/03H·HAR03/04A·GAT06/04H·BRA11/04A·WEA18/04H·EAS25/04H·SOU28/04A·ROC03/05H·YEO08/08A·SOU15/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.530.870.670.80
vs Stronger (4)1.250.501.000.501.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.500.880.460.920.540.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.9%
@ 1.31+2.2%
Under 0.5
27.1%
@ 3.17-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.12
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.1%
@ 2.48-3.1%
Under 1.5
65.9%
@ 1.47+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.60
Pinnacle
2.57
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.47
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
BetVictor
1.49
Superbet
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.2%
@ 6.04-2.1%
Under 2.5
86.8%
@ 1.09+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eastleigh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
45.9%
@ 2.20+3.9%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.59-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Betano
2.27
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
Under
1xBet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
Eastleigh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.1%
@ 7.22-0.7%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.06+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.20
Superbet
7.10
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Eastleigh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 19.25-3.2%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Scunthorpe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.6%
@ 1.76-2.9%
Under
50.4%
@ 1.95+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Betano
1.91
Scunthorpe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.7%
@ 4.78-3.6%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.15+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.95
Betano
4.80
Superbet
4.75
1xBet
4.60
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
Scunthorpe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 12.25-5.0%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EastleighEastleigh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L03L22D11D00D00D00D11D01LA·HAR21/03H·SUT24/03H·FOR28/03A·WOK03/04H·YEO06/04A·ALT11/04H·TAM18/04A·SCU25/04H·GAT08/08A·KID15/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.170.801.400.670.93
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.751.210.791.500.710.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ScunthorpeScunthorpe

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D01L00D11D00D00D11D11D00DA·HAL28/03H·HAR03/04A·GAT06/04H·BRA11/04A·WEA18/04H·EAS25/04H·SOU28/04A·ROC03/05H·YEO08/08A·SOU15/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.631.000.601.000.67
vs Stronger (4)0.750.751.500.500.001.00
vs Similar (26)1.040.620.920.621.150.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.7%
Under 0.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.1%
Under 1.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
26.2%
Under 2.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eastleigh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
51.9%
Under
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eastleigh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
16.5%
Under
83.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eastleigh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
58.4%
Under
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
23.3%
Under
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.2%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+3.2%✓ Hit
Under 7.598.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.3%1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
---+5.0%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.595.0%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-+0.1%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.5%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
---0.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals93.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals89.2%1.06
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
+0.9%✓ Hit
Under 5.588.4%1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.02
-1.9%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.9%1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-+0.7%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.8%1.09
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
+2.1%✓ Hit
Over 1.585.0%1.21
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
+8.4%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap84.9%1.07
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
---0.9%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals84.3%1.15
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
-+3.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals83.5%-------✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals83.4%1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
+3.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals81.0%1.09
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
-4.2%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals79.7%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals77.6%1.34
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Bet365
1.33
+8.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals76.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.576.5%1.14
Pinnacle
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
-5.3%✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap75.8%1.25
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
-+4.2%✓ Hit
Home or Away75.2%1.24
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+0.6%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals73.8%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals73.2%1.24
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
-1.6%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals72.9%1.31
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
+2.2%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Eastleigh and Scunthorpe have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Eastleigh and Scunthorpe have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Eastleigh and Scunthorpe have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Eastleigh and Scunthorpe have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
EAS wins
1
Draws
0
SCU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe · H/A from EAS
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26AScunthorpe Vs EAS0-1
21/10/25HEAS Vs Scunthorpe1-1
04/03/23AScunthorpe Vs EAS0-1
01/11/22HEAS Vs Scunthorpe2-0

EastleighEastleigh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26AKidderminster Vs EAS1-0
08/08/26HEAS Vs Gateshead2-1
25/04/26AScunthorpe Vs EAS0-1
18/04/26HEAS Vs Tamworth1-1
11/04/26AAltrincham Vs EAS1-0
06/04/26HEAS Vs Yeovil2-1
03/04/26AWoking Vs EAS3-3
28/03/26HEAS Vs Forest Green2-4
24/03/26HEAS Vs Sutton0-2
21/03/26AHartlepool Vs EAS1-0

ScunthorpeScunthorpe

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26ASouthend Vs SCU1-0
08/08/26HSCU Vs Yeovil1-1
03/05/26ARochdale Vs SCU2-1
28/04/26HSCU Vs Southend1-0
25/04/26HSCU Vs Eastleigh0-1
18/04/26AWealdstone Vs SCU1-1
11/04/26HSCU Vs Brackley Town1-0
06/04/26AGateshead Vs SCU2-0
03/04/26HSCU Vs Hartlepool0-0
28/03/26AHalifax Vs SCU1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Eastleigh
Eastleigh
England: National League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.12
HomeLLWDW1.20
AwayLDLWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%32%28%
AVG goals2.923.242.60
Over 1.5 %84%100%68%
Over 2.5 %56%68%44%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.221.361.08
Conceded1.701.881.52
BTTS64%80%48%
Clean Sheet10%4%16%
Corners11.0011.00-
Cards4.193.964.43
Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe
England: National League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.66
HomeDWLWD1.84
AwayWLDLL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%40%
AVG goals2.982.923.04
Over 1.5 %82%72%92%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.621.681.56
Conceded1.361.241.48
BTTS68%60%76%
Clean Sheet18%28%8%
Corners---
Cards4.074.054.09

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SuttonSutton512
80%
2.4
73+4
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.6
54%
2YeovilYeovil511
60%
2.2
105+5
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
47%
3Boreham WoodBoreham Wood410
75%
2.5
115+6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.2
58%
4HarrogateHarrogate510
60%
2.0
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.61.8
-
5
F
Fylde		510
60%
2.0
117+4
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
6SouthendSouthend510
60%
2.0
96+3
3.0
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.2
52%
7EastleighEastleigh510
60%
2.0
75+2
2.4
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.0
41%
8
K
Kidderminster		48
50%
2.0
63+3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
9AldershotAldershot58
40%
1.6
64+2
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
54%
10Boston UtdBoston Utd46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.00.8
-
11HalifaxHalifax56
40%
1.2
99+0
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
48%
12HartlepoolHartlepool56
40%
1.2
44+0
1.6
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
47%
13AltrinchamAltrincham56
40%
1.2
57-2
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
52%
14CarlisleCarlisle35
33%
1.7
64+2
3.3
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.3
49%
15WealdstoneWealdstone45
25%
1.2
66+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
57%
16ScunthorpeScunthorpe54
20%
0.8
810-2
3.6
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
49%
17WokingWoking44
25%
1.0
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
50%
18GatesheadGateshead53
20%
0.6
48-4
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
50%
19Forest GreenForest Green43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
53%
20BarrowBarrow42
0%
0.5
47-3
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.8
-
21TamworthTamworth41
0%
0.2
712-5
4.8
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.83.0
38%
22SolihullSolihull50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
48%
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

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