The model projects a high-scoring affair, with an expected 3.6 goals and a 21% chance that the total will be exactly three. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.7% probability. The favoured outcome is an away win, with the model assigning 49% to Hoyvík, 28% to EB / Streymur II and 23% to a draw. EB / Streymur II, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.23 goals for and 3.0 against, while Hoyvík, on the road to a weaker side, averages 1.33 for and 1.5 against. Recent form suggests a shaky start for the home side after a 1-3 loss, whereas Hoyvík has rebounded from three straight defeats to a 0-3 win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (97.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.3%), Under 6.5 (93.0%), Over 1.5 (87.9%), Away over 0.5 goals (87.0%), Away +2 handicap (86.8%), Under 5.5 (85.0%) and Away under 3.5 goals (85.0%).
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
EB / Streymur II win
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík win
49.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
EB / Streymur II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
3.33
1.13
3.20
0.87
3.47
vs Stronger (26)
1.08
3.15
1.23
3.00
0.92
3.31
vs Similar (4)
0.50
4.50
0.50
4.50
0.50
4.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hoyvík
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.83
0.88
2.00
1.07
1.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (10)
0.80
2.20
0.75
2.75
0.83
1.83
vs Weaker (16)
1.12
1.62
1.00
1.70
1.33
1.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.9%
Under 1.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68.9%
Under 2.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
47.5%
Under 3.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
68.8%
No
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
1-3
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
0-1
4.9%
2-3
4.6%
EB / Streymur II goals ↓
Hoyvík goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.7%
4.9%
6.0%
4.0%
2.1%
1
3.4%
9.7%
9.0%
6.1%
3.1%
2
3.3%
6.7%
6.8%
4.6%
2.4%
3
1.7%
3.4%
3.4%
2.3%
1.2%
4
0.6%
1.3%
1.3%
0.9%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = EB / Streymur II goals (down), columns = Hoyvík goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
EB / Streymur II is 1.00 points worse than Hoyvík in terms of average points per game (0.12 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
EB / Streymur II is 0.25 goals better than Hoyvík in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
EB / Streymur II is 1.50 goals worse than Hoyvík in terms of goals conceded per game (3.50 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
EB / Streymur II or Draw
51.0%
Avg Implied -
28%
23%
49%
covers EB / Streymur II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II or Hoyvík
76.9%
Avg Implied -
28%
23%
49%
covers EB / Streymur II + Hoyvík
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Hoyvík
72.2%
Avg Implied -
28%
23%
49%
covers Draw + Hoyvík
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
EB / Streymur II over/under 0.5
Over
78.0%
Under
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 1.5
Over
44.7%
Under
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 2.5
Over
19.5%
Under
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 3.5
Over
6.7%
Under
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5
Over
87.0%
Under
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5
Over
60.5%
Under
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5
Over
33.4%
Under
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 3.5
Over
15.0%
Under
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to EB / Streymur II, so a minus line means EB / Streymur II give that many goals of a start and Hoyvík receive them. At -1, EB / Streymur II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal EB / Streymur II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (EB / Streymur II)
EB / Streymur II -2
4.9%
Draw -2
8.3%
Hoyvík +2
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (EB / Streymur II)
EB / Streymur II -1
13.2%
Draw -1
14.6%
Hoyvík +1
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (EB / Streymur II)
EB / Streymur II +1
51.0%
Draw +1
20.0%
Hoyvík -1
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (EB / Streymur II)
EB / Streymur II +2
71.0%
Draw +2
15.0%
Hoyvík -2
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
EB / Streymur II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
1.83
0.20
1.87
0.40
1.80
vs Stronger (26)
0.31
1.88
0.23
1.77
0.38
2.00
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.50
0.00
2.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hoyvík
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.38
0.88
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (10)
0.40
1.20
0.25
1.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
0.69
0.56
0.40
0.70
1.17
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
EB / Streymur II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
EB / Streymur II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.50
0.93
1.33
0.47
1.67
vs Stronger (26)
0.77
1.27
1.00
1.23
0.54
1.31
vs Similar (4)
0.25
3.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
4.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hoyvík
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.07
0.50
1.12
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.40
1.00
0.50
1.25
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (16)
0.44
1.06
0.60
1.00
0.17
1.17
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
EB / Streymur II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →