TB is the clear favourite to win, thanks to EB / Streymur II's struggles at home against stronger opponents, with an average of 1.14 goals scored and 2.71 conceded. The model predicts an away win with a 66% probability, while the home win and draw probabilities sit at 15% and 18%, respectively.
The expected total number of goals is 3.9, with the most likely score being 1-2, occurring with a 8.9% probability. TB's away form against weaker opponents is somewhat concerning, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 3.0 conceded.
The model's selection is an Away win, with suggested picks including Over 1.5 at 90.9% and Over 2.5 at 75.0%. EB / Streymur II's recent form is dire, with 5 straight defeats, while TB comes off a defeat but has shown some resilience. Home win percentage stands at 15%, draw percentage at 18%, and away win percentage at 66%.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, TB, fell short of the model’s prediction of an away win, with the game ending in a 2-2 draw. The model had given the away side a 70 % chance of triumph, but the result was a draw, so the pick was wrong. The final score of 2-2 matched the actual result, confirming the upset. Every suggested selection from the model was fulfilled: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.1 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.0 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 95.1 %, Away over 0.5 goals hit at 95.0 %, Away +2 handicap hit at 94.2 %, Over 1.5 hit at 93.6 %, Home under 1.5 HT goals hit at 92.7 %, and Under 7.5 hit at 92.5 %. The match saw both teams come off a draw, with the home side’s recent form noted as DLLLL and the away side’s as DWLWW.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
EB / Streymur II win✗ Miss
14.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
16.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
TB win✗ Miss
69.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
EB / Streymur II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
3.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
3.27
1.21
3.14
0.88
3.38
vs Stronger (26)
1.12
3.08
1.33
2.92
0.93
3.21
vs Similar (4)
0.50
4.50
0.50
4.50
0.50
4.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
3.37
1.19
3.25
1.21
3.50
vs Stronger (15)
0.73
4.60
0.75
5.00
0.71
4.14
vs Similar (9)
1.33
2.33
1.25
1.00
1.40
3.40
vs Weaker (6)
2.17
1.83
2.00
2.00
2.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.6%
Under 1.5
6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
80.9%
Under 2.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.2%
Under 3.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
71.1%
No
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
7.9%
1-3
7.9%
1-4
5.9%
1-1
5.8%
0-2
5.8%
0-3
5.8%
2-2 ✓
5.4%
2-3
5.3%
EB / Streymur II goals ↓
TB goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.8%
3.3%
5.8%
5.8%
4.3%
1
1.2%
5.8%
7.9%
7.9%
5.9%
2
1.2%
3.6%
5.4%
5.3%
4.0%
3
0.5%
1.6%
2.4%
2.4%
1.8%
4
0.2%
0.6%
0.8%
0.8%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = EB / Streymur II goals (down), columns = TB goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
EB / Streymur II is 1.43 points worse than TB in terms of average points per game (0.12 vs 1.56).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
EB / Streymur II is 1.33 goals worse than TB in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
EB / Streymur II is 1.17 goals worse than TB in terms of goals conceded per game (3.50 vs 2.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
EB / Streymur II or Draw✓ Hit
30.1%
Avg Implied -
14%
16%
70%
covers EB / Streymur II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II or TB✗ Miss
83.9%
Avg Implied -
14%
16%
70%
covers EB / Streymur II + TB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or TB✓ Hit
86.0%
Avg Implied -
14%
16%
70%
covers Draw + TB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
EB / Streymur II over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.3%
Under
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.4%
Under
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.7%
Under
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
95.0%
Under
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
79.9%
Under
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
57.5%
Under
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
35.1%
Under
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to EB / Streymur II, so a minus line means EB / Streymur II give that many goals of a start and TB receive them. At -1, EB / Streymur II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal EB / Streymur II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (EB / Streymur II)Actual: TB
EB / Streymur II -2
1.9%
Draw -2
3.9%
TB +2
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (EB / Streymur II)Actual: TB
EB / Streymur II -1
5.8%
Draw -1
8.2%
TB +1
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (EB / Streymur II)Actual: EB / Streymur II
EB / Streymur II +1
30.1%
Draw +1
18.7%
TB -1
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (EB / Streymur II)Actual: EB / Streymur II
EB / Streymur II +2
48.8%
Draw +2
18.9%
TB -2
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
EB / Streymur II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
1.80
0.29
1.93
0.44
1.69
vs Stronger (26)
0.38
1.85
0.33
1.83
0.43
1.86
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.50
0.00
2.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.60
0.50
1.75
0.50
1.43
vs Stronger (15)
0.27
2.07
0.25
2.62
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (9)
0.44
1.00
0.25
0.25
0.60
1.60
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
1.33
1.25
1.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.3%
Under 0.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.5%
Under 1.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.9%
Under 2.5
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
EB / Streymur II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
39.6%
Under
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
61.0%
Under
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
27.4%
Under
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.7%
Under
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
EB / Streymur II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.47
0.93
1.21
0.44
1.69
vs Stronger (26)
0.73
1.23
1.00
1.08
0.50
1.36
vs Similar (4)
0.25
3.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
4.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.77
0.69
1.50
0.71
2.07
vs Stronger (15)
0.47
2.53
0.50
2.38
0.43
2.71
vs Similar (9)
0.89
1.33
1.00
0.75
0.80
1.80
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
84.5%
Under 0.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
54.5%
Under 1.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
28.9%
Under 2.5
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
EB / Streymur II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
38.4%
Under
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
72.7%
Under
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
36.8%
Under
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.0%
Under
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 2H goals
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
BTTS Yes
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →