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Edinburgh City vs Cowdenbeath Result & Analysis

Date: 19/11/2016
Time: 00:00
Final 1-1
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Vs
37%
26%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Edinburgh City win✗ Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D01L11D33D12L01L11D10W10WH·BER27/08A·STI10/09H·MON17/09A·ANN24/09H·ARB01/10H·ELG08/10H·CLY15/10A·FOR29/10A·MON05/11H·ANN12/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.921.541.141.710.671.33
vs Stronger (7)0.861.861.252.000.331.67
vs Similar (5)1.201.201.501.501.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %15% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W35L21W02L00D02L22D13L11D20WH·EDI20/08A·CLY27/08A·MON10/09H·BER17/09A·ARB24/09H·STI01/10H·ANN15/10A·ELG29/10A·BER05/11H·MON12/11
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.801.001.731.271.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.951.471.001.440.901.50
vs Weaker (11)1.452.361.002.172.002.60
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.9%
Under 1.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.0%
Under 2.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.7%
No
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
0-2
5.2%
Edinburgh City goals ↓
Cowdenbeath goals →
01234
05.1%5.5%5.2%2.8%1.1%
15.5%11%8.3%4.4%1.8%
25.2%8.4%6.7%3.6%1.4%
32.8%4.5%3.6%1.9%0.8%
41.1%1.8%1.4%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Edinburgh City goals (down), columns = Cowdenbeath goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arbroath
1.83
Forfar
1.78
Annan Athletic
1.61
Montrose
1.44
Elgin
1.42
Stirling
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.19
Berwick
1.11
Clyde
1.06
Cowdenbeath
0.97
Edinburgh City is 0.22 points better than Cowdenbeath in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 0.97).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Forfar
1.92
Elgin
1.86
Arbroath
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.69
Berwick
1.39
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Montrose
1.22
Cowdenbeath
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.06
Edinburgh City is 0.06 goals worse than Cowdenbeath in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.11).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
1.00
Edinburgh City
1.25
Elgin
1.31
Forfar
1.36
Montrose
1.47
Cowdenbeath
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Stirling
1.64
Clyde
1.78
Berwick
1.81
Edinburgh City is 0.28 goals better than Cowdenbeath in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.53).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (13)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (7)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (48)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (17)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D01L11D02L00D10W00D00DH·BER27/08A·STI10/09H·MON17/09A·ANN24/09H·ARB01/10H·ELG08/10H·CLY15/10A·FOR29/10A·MON05/11H·ANN12/11
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.770.290.710.170.83
vs Stronger (7)0.141.000.250.750.001.33
vs Similar (5)0.400.600.501.000.330.33
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %54% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W23L11D02L00D01L02L02L01L10WH·EDI20/08A·CLY27/08A·MON10/09H·BER17/09A·ARB24/09H·STI01/10H·ANN15/10A·ELG29/10A·BER05/11H·MON12/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.900.470.730.531.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.420.840.440.670.401.00
vs Weaker (11)0.641.000.500.830.801.20
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D01L10W22D10W01L01L10W10WH·BER27/08A·STI10/09H·MON17/09A·ANN24/09H·ARB01/10H·ELG08/10H·CLY15/10A·FOR29/10A·MON05/11H·ANN12/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.690.770.861.000.500.50
vs Stronger (7)0.710.861.001.250.330.33
vs Similar (5)0.800.601.000.500.670.67
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %38% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L10W00D00D01L20W11D10W10WH·EDI20/08A·CLY27/08A·MON10/09H·BER17/09A·ARB24/09H·STI01/10H·ANN15/10A·ELG29/10A·BER05/11H·MON12/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.900.531.000.730.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.530.630.560.780.500.50
vs Weaker (11)0.821.360.501.331.201.40
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (15)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (5)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (7)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
EC wins
0
Draws
1
COW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Edinburgh City vs Cowdenbeath · H/A from EC
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/16ACowdenbeath Vs EC2-0

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/16HEC Vs Annan Athletic1-0
05/11/16AMontrose Vs EC0-1
29/10/16AForfar Vs EC1-1
15/10/16HEC Vs Clyde0-1
08/10/16HEC Vs Elgin1-2
01/10/16HEC Vs Arbroath3-3
24/09/16AAnnan Athletic Vs EC1-1
17/09/16HEC Vs Montrose0-1
10/09/16AStirling Vs EC1-1
27/08/16HEC Vs Berwick1-2

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/16HCOW Vs Montrose2-0
05/11/16ABerwick Vs COW1-1
29/10/16AElgin Vs COW3-1
15/10/16HCOW Vs Annan Athletic2-2
01/10/16HCOW Vs Stirling0-2
24/09/16AArbroath Vs COW0-0
17/09/16HCOW Vs Berwick0-2
10/09/16AMontrose Vs COW1-2
27/08/16AClyde Vs COW5-3
20/08/16HCOW Vs Edinburgh City2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW0.77
HomeLDLLW0.57
AwayLDDDW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%14%17%
AVG goals2.462.862.00
Over 1.5 %69%57%83%
Over 2.5 %38%57%17%
Over 3.5 %15%29%0%
Scored0.921.140.67
Conceded1.541.711.33
BTTS54%57%50%
Clean Sheet15%14%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDW1.06
HomeWLLDW1.29
AwayLWDLD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%38%21%
AVG goals3.232.833.62
Over 1.5 %79%79%79%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %40%33%46%
Scored1.291.381.21
Conceded1.941.462.42
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet25%29%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArbroathArbroath3666
50%
1.8
6336+27
2.8
72%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.0
-
2ForfarForfar3664
50%
1.8
6949+20
3.3
83%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3658
50%
1.6
6158+3
3.3
78%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
4MontroseMontrose3652
39%
1.4
4453-9
2.7
78%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
5ElginElgin3651
39%
1.4
6747+20
3.2
78%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
6StirlingStirling3647
33%
1.3
5059-9
3.0
83%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
7Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3643
31%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
67%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
8
B
Berwick		3640
28%
1.1
5065-15
3.2
83%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
9ClydeClyde3638
28%
1.1
4964-15
3.1
78%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3635
25%
1.0
4055-15
2.6
78%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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