This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.60
1.40
1.53
0.87
1.67
vs Stronger (21)
1.14
1.62
1.42
1.25
0.78
2.11
vs Similar (9)
1.11
1.56
1.33
2.67
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.3%
@ 2.34+16.2%
Under 2.5
43.7%
@ 1.57-16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0 ✓
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
3-0
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
Eibar goals ↓
Amorebieta goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
4.3%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
1
9.2%
11%
5.2%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.8%
9.9%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
3
6.3%
6.4%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
4
3.0%
3.1%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eibar goals (down), columns = Amorebieta goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Valladolid
1.93
Almeria
1.93
Eibar
1.90
Las Palmas
1.67
Tenerife
1.64
Girona
1.62
Oviedo
1.62
Ponferradina
1.50
FC Cartagena
1.43
Zaragoza
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Leganes
1.29
Huesca
1.29
Ibiza
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Lugo
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.10
Malaga
1.07
Amorebieta
1.02
Real Sociedad II
0.95
Fuenlabrada
0.79
Alcorcon
0.69
Eibar is 0.88 points better than Amorebieta in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 1.02).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.69
Almeria
1.62
FC Cartagena
1.50
Eibar
1.45
Mirandes
1.38
Girona
1.36
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Oviedo
1.36
Ibiza
1.26
Tenerife
1.26
Leganes
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.10
Amorebieta
1.05
Real Sociedad II
1.02
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Burgos
0.98
Fuenlabrada
0.93
Zaragoza
0.93
Alcorcon
0.88
Malaga
0.86
Eibar is 0.40 goals better than Amorebieta in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.05).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Almeria
0.83
Tenerife
0.88
Oviedo
0.98
Burgos
0.98
Girona
1.00
Valladolid
1.02
Huesca
1.05
Eibar
1.07
Zaragoza
1.10
Las Palmas
1.12
Sporting Gijon
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Lugo
1.24
Ponferradina
1.31
Malaga
1.36
FC Cartagena
1.36
Ibiza
1.40
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Mirandes
1.48
Amorebieta
1.50
Fuenlabrada
1.55
Alcorcon
1.69
Eibar is 0.43 goals better than Amorebieta in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Eibar
For 3.3 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amorebieta
For 3.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 11.1 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Eibar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.9
9.0
4.0
4.4
3.6
23.7
24.6
22.9
vs Stronger (13)
8.7
7.6
10.0
4.2
4.9
3.3
23.3
26.3
19.8
vs Similar (29)
8.9
9.1
8.7
3.9
4.6
3.3
23.4
24.1
22.9
vs Weaker (8)
9.6
10.8
8.5
4.0
2.8
5.2
25.2
23.2
27.2
% over line
36%
33%
38%
60%
75%
46%
66%
71%
62%
% under line
64%
67%
62%
40%
25%
54%
34%
29%
38%
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (30)
9.3
8.7
9.9
4.0
4.6
3.5
25.6
25.5
25.7
vs Stronger (21)
8.8
8.7
8.9
4.1
4.6
3.4
25.2
26.1
24.1
vs Similar (9)
10.6
8.7
11.5
3.9
4.7
3.5
26.3
23.0
28.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
33%
47%
53%
60%
47%
83%
80%
87%
% under line
60%
67%
53%
47%
40%
53%
17%
20%
13%
This opponent (Eibar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fuenlabrada
9.9
Huesca
9.7
Ibiza
9.7
Valladolid
9.5
Lugo
9.3
Amorebieta
9.3
Zaragoza
9.3
Malaga
9.2
Mirandes
9.1
Real Sociedad II
9.0
Almeria
9.0
Eibar
8.9
Burgos
8.9
Ponferradina
8.8
Sporting Gijon
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.7
Tenerife
8.7
Oviedo
8.5
Leganes
8.2
Girona
8.2
Alcorcon
8.1
Las Palmas
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.1
Girona
5.8
Las Palmas
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Almeria
5.2
FC Cartagena
5.2
Oviedo
5.2
Malaga
5.1
Zaragoza
5.1
Valladolid
5.1
Lugo
5.0
Sporting Gijon
4.8
Huesca
4.7
Ponferradina
4.6
Alcorcon
4.5
Mirandes
4.5
Leganes
4.4
Burgos
4.1
Amorebieta
4.0
Ibiza
4.0
Eibar
4.0
Real Sociedad II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Las Palmas
31.7
Fuenlabrada
30.5
FC Cartagena
30.0
Leganes
29.8
Tenerife
28.9
Girona
28.2
Ibiza
28.2
Huesca
27.8
Malaga
27.5
Zaragoza
27.4
Alcorcon
27.4
Oviedo
27.2
Lugo
27.2
Valladolid
27.0
Almeria
26.5
Mirandes
26.0
Ponferradina
25.6
Amorebieta
25.6
Burgos
24.5
Sporting Gijon
24.5
Eibar
23.7
Real Sociedad II
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.7%
Under 9.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.6%
Under 21.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Eibar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.43
1.07
0.43
0.62
0.44
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.30
0.89
0.33
0.55
0.27
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.75
1.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.93
0.93
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (21)
0.76
0.86
1.00
0.83
0.44
0.89
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.67
0.67
1.33
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eibar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Eibar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.79
0.57
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.70
0.78
0.67
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (8)
0.38
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.80
0.47
0.60
0.40
1.00
vs Stronger (21)
0.38
0.76
0.42
0.42
0.33
1.22
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.89
0.67
1.33
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eibar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Eibar · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jon Bautista33%
Aleix Garrido33%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anaitz Arbilla33%
Jon Guruzeta33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Iván Gil33%
Jon Magunazelaia33%
Ander Madariaga33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jon Bautista67%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Amorebieta · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iker Unzueta Arregui25%
Eneko Jauregi16%
Félix Garreta13%
Manu Hernando9%
Javier Eraso9%
Ryan Edwards8%
Jon Morcillo8%
Josué Dorrio7%
Javier Avilés7%
Unai Bustinza6%
Álvaro Núñez5%
Josep Gayá5%
Rayco Rodriguez3%
Kwasi Sibo3%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Erik Morán0%
Jorge Mier0%
Daniel Lasure0%
Àlex Carbonell0%
Xabier Etxeita0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Luis Quintero0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josep Gayá33%
Unai Bustinza29%
Manu Hernando23%
Kwasi Sibo21%
Álvaro Núñez21%
Iker Seguin20%
Félix Garreta19%
Xabier Etxeita19%
Erik Morán19%
Daniel Lasure17%
Àlex Carbonell16%
Jorge Mier10%
Javier Eraso9%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca8%
Eneko Jauregi8%
Josué Dorrio7%
Javier Avilés7%
Jorge Yriarte7%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia6%
Ryan Edwards6%
Luis Quintero6%
Jon Morcillo5%
Pablo Cunat4%
Rayco Rodriguez3%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Iker Unzueta Arregui0%
Angel Troncho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erik Morán12%
Josué Dorrio12%
Daniel Lasure7%
Rayco Rodriguez7%
Luis Quintero6%
Eneko Jauregi5%
Jon Morcillo5%
Álvaro Núñez5%
Xabier Etxeita4%
Félix Garreta3%
Kwasi Sibo0%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Jorge Mier0%
Àlex Carbonell0%
Unai Bustinza0%
Javier Eraso0%
Javier Avilés0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Iker Unzueta Arregui0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Manu Hernando0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Josep Gayá0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jürgen Locadia25%
Jon Morcillo14%
Eneko Jauregi11%
Josué Dorrio7%
Iker Unzueta Arregui5%
Javier Eraso4%
Daniel Lasure3%
Àlex Carbonell3%
Álvaro Núñez3%
Kwasi Sibo0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Erik Morán0%
Jorge Mier0%
Rayco Rodriguez0%
Unai Bustinza0%
Javier Avilés0%
Xabier Etxeita0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Manu Hernando0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Josep Gayá0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Félix Garreta0%
Luis Quintero0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →