This opponent (Malaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Malaga
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.20
1.12
0.69
0.57
1.79
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.84
1.21
1.33
0.78
0.40
1.60
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
1.33
0.80
0.60
1.00
2.25
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.1%
@ 2.23+5.7%
Under 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.64-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.0%
Eibar goals ↓
Malaga goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
5.0%
2.5%
0.7%
0.1%
1
12%
12%
4.5%
1.2%
0.3%
2
12%
9.6%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
3
7.0%
5.7%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
4
3.1%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eibar goals (down), columns = Malaga goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Valladolid
1.93
Almeria
1.93
Eibar
1.90
Las Palmas
1.67
Tenerife
1.64
Girona
1.62
Oviedo
1.62
Ponferradina
1.50
FC Cartagena
1.43
Zaragoza
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Leganes
1.29
Huesca
1.29
Ibiza
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Lugo
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.10
Malaga
1.07
Amorebieta
1.02
Real Sociedad II
0.95
Fuenlabrada
0.79
Alcorcon
0.69
Eibar is 0.83 points better than Malaga in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 1.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.69
Almeria
1.62
FC Cartagena
1.50
Eibar
1.45
Mirandes
1.38
Girona
1.36
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Oviedo
1.36
Ibiza
1.26
Tenerife
1.26
Leganes
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.10
Amorebieta
1.05
Real Sociedad II
1.02
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Burgos
0.98
Fuenlabrada
0.93
Zaragoza
0.93
Alcorcon
0.88
Malaga
0.86
Eibar is 0.60 goals better than Malaga in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Almeria
0.83
Tenerife
0.88
Oviedo
0.98
Burgos
0.98
Girona
1.00
Valladolid
1.02
Huesca
1.05
Eibar
1.07
Zaragoza
1.10
Las Palmas
1.12
Sporting Gijon
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Lugo
1.24
Ponferradina
1.31
Malaga
1.36
FC Cartagena
1.36
Ibiza
1.40
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Mirandes
1.48
Amorebieta
1.50
Fuenlabrada
1.55
Alcorcon
1.69
Eibar is 0.29 goals better than Malaga in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.36).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Eibar
For 4.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 12.2 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Malaga
For 5.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 15.0 · Total 29.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Eibar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.7
9.0
3.6
4.3
2.9
24.1
24.8
23.6
vs Stronger (17)
9.0
7.7
10.5
3.8
4.4
3.0
23.1
25.2
20.6
vs Similar (27)
8.7
9.0
8.4
3.5
4.6
2.7
24.8
24.7
24.9
vs Weaker (6)
9.5
10.7
8.3
3.5
3.0
4.0
24.2
23.7
24.7
% over line
32%
25%
38%
50%
71%
31%
64%
67%
62%
% under line
68%
75%
62%
50%
29%
69%
36%
33%
38%
This opponent (Malaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Malaga
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.7
8.9
5.3
4.8
5.8
28.9
29.1
28.7
vs Stronger (3)
7.7
7.5
8.0
7.0
8.0
5.0
30.0
26.5
37.0
vs Similar (28)
8.7
8.4
9.0
4.9
4.1
5.6
27.9
28.6
27.1
vs Weaker (19)
9.0
9.2
8.8
5.6
5.1
6.2
30.3
30.4
30.2
% over line
42%
35%
50%
72%
62%
83%
92%
88%
96%
% under line
58%
65%
50%
28%
38%
17%
8%
12%
4%
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Amorebieta
10.0
Ibiza
9.5
Valladolid
9.3
Lugo
9.1
Almeria
9.1
Huesca
9.1
Zaragoza
9.1
Fuenlabrada
8.9
Eibar
8.9
Malaga
8.8
Ponferradina
8.7
Mirandes
8.7
Real Sociedad II
8.7
FC Cartagena
8.6
Tenerife
8.5
Sporting Gijon
8.4
Girona
8.4
Burgos
8.2
Alcorcon
8.1
Oviedo
8.1
Las Palmas
7.9
Leganes
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.2
FC Cartagena
5.5
Girona
5.5
Tenerife
5.4
Almeria
5.3
Valladolid
5.3
Malaga
5.3
Las Palmas
5.2
Oviedo
5.2
Lugo
4.9
Zaragoza
4.8
Alcorcon
4.8
Leganes
4.6
Mirandes
4.5
Ponferradina
4.5
Huesca
4.4
Sporting Gijon
4.3
Amorebieta
4.0
Burgos
3.8
Real Sociedad II
3.8
Ibiza
3.6
Eibar
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Las Palmas
31.8
Fuenlabrada
31.0
FC Cartagena
31.0
Leganes
30.1
Tenerife
30.0
Malaga
28.9
Girona
28.6
Huesca
27.9
Alcorcon
27.8
Almeria
27.5
Zaragoza
27.2
Ibiza
27.2
Lugo
27.1
Valladolid
27.0
Oviedo
26.8
Mirandes
26.8
Ponferradina
26.2
Amorebieta
25.7
Burgos
25.3
Sporting Gijon
25.0
Eibar
24.1
Real Sociedad II
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
41.0%
Under 9.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.4%
Under 3.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.9%
Under 21.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Eibar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.79
0.57
0.44
0.88
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.25
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.75
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.44
0.57
0.43
0.33
0.44
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.83
1.67
0.67
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Malaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Malaga
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.75
0.50
0.14
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.47
0.89
0.56
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (9)
0.33
0.78
0.60
0.60
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eibar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Eibar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.71
0.36
0.50
0.94
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.88
0.75
0.50
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.75
0.71
0.29
0.78
1.11
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.17
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Malaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Malaga
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.67
0.38
0.19
0.43
1.21
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.32
0.74
0.44
0.22
0.20
1.20
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.56
0.20
0.00
1.00
1.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eibar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Eibar · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jon Bautista33%
Aleix Garrido33%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anaitz Arbilla33%
Jon Guruzeta33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Iván Gil33%
Jon Magunazelaia33%
Ander Madariaga33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jon Bautista67%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Malaga · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chupete33%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Ramón Enríquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ángel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ramón Enríquez67%
Carlos Puga33%
Juan Cruz33%
David Larrubia33%
Chupete33%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Ángel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Ramón Enríquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ángel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Chupete0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafa Rodriguez33%
Chupete33%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Ramón Enríquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ángel Recio0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
BUR (22)
€17m
EIB (24)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Eibar's squad is €26m less valuable than Malaga's (€15m vs €41m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€26m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
VAL (11)
€10m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Eibar's attack is €19m less valuable than Malaga's (€7m vs €26m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
EIB (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Eibar's midfield is €3m less valuable than Malaga's (€3m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
BUR (9)
€6m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Eibar's defence is €4m less valuable than Malaga's (€5m vs €9m).
Spain: Segunda División 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Almeria
Valladolid
Las Palmas
Tenerife
Oviedo
Girona
Ponferradina
FC Cartagena
Zaragoza
Burgos
Huesca
Leganes
Mirandes
Ibiza
Lugo
Sporting Gijon
Amorebieta
Real Sociedad II
Alcorcon