This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
1.00
0.62
0.79
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.63
1.08
0.75
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.44
0.75
0.25
1.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (30%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.3%
Under 1.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
21.3%
@ 2.66-14.0%
Under 2.5
78.7%
@ 1.45+14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
7.7%
Under 3.5
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
30.8%
No
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
21.8%
0-1
17.1%
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
Eibar goals ↓
Sporting Gijon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
22%
17%
8.2%
2.4%
0.5%
1
13%
14%
5.7%
1.7%
0.4%
2
4.9%
4.4%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
3
1.1%
1.0%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eibar goals (down), columns = Sporting Gijon goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Valladolid
1.93
Almeria
1.93
Eibar
1.90
Las Palmas
1.67
Tenerife
1.64
Girona
1.62
Oviedo
1.62
Ponferradina
1.50
FC Cartagena
1.43
Zaragoza
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Leganes
1.29
Huesca
1.29
Ibiza
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Lugo
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.10
Malaga
1.07
Amorebieta
1.02
Real Sociedad II
0.95
Fuenlabrada
0.79
Alcorcon
0.69
Eibar is 0.81 points better than Sporting Gijon in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 1.10).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.69
Almeria
1.62
FC Cartagena
1.50
Eibar
1.45
Mirandes
1.38
Girona
1.36
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Oviedo
1.36
Ibiza
1.26
Tenerife
1.26
Leganes
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.10
Amorebieta
1.05
Real Sociedad II
1.02
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Burgos
0.98
Fuenlabrada
0.93
Zaragoza
0.93
Alcorcon
0.88
Malaga
0.86
Eibar is 0.43 goals better than Sporting Gijon in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Almeria
0.83
Tenerife
0.88
Oviedo
0.98
Burgos
0.98
Girona
1.00
Valladolid
1.02
Huesca
1.05
Eibar
1.07
Zaragoza
1.10
Las Palmas
1.12
Sporting Gijon
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Lugo
1.24
Ponferradina
1.31
Malaga
1.36
FC Cartagena
1.36
Ibiza
1.40
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Mirandes
1.48
Amorebieta
1.50
Fuenlabrada
1.55
Alcorcon
1.69
Eibar is 0.07 goals better than Sporting Gijon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Eibar
For 5.5 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.4 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
For 3.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 7.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 11.4 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Eibar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.8
9.8
3.6
4.4
2.8
24.2
25.7
22.7
vs Stronger (22)
9.6
7.7
11.2
3.5
4.5
2.7
22.5
25.0
20.4
vs Similar (28)
9.1
9.6
8.6
3.6
4.4
2.9
25.5
26.2
24.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
34%
25%
42%
48%
71%
27%
62%
71%
54%
% under line
66%
75%
58%
52%
29%
73%
38%
29%
46%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
7.8
8.2
3.9
4.0
3.8
25.4
24.8
26.1
vs Stronger (3)
11.7
16.0
9.5
3.7
6.0
2.5
21.0
16.0
23.5
vs Similar (32)
7.9
7.7
8.3
3.9
3.7
4.2
25.2
24.7
25.9
vs Weaker (15)
7.4
6.9
7.9
4.0
4.6
3.5
26.8
26.3
27.2
% over line
20%
19%
21%
66%
65%
67%
70%
65%
75%
% under line
80%
81%
79%
34%
35%
33%
30%
35%
25%
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ibiza
9.8
Eibar
9.3
Almeria
9.3
Zaragoza
9.0
Fuenlabrada
9.0
Tenerife
8.9
Lugo
8.9
Mirandes
8.9
Valladolid
8.6
Amorebieta
8.5
FC Cartagena
8.4
Ponferradina
8.4
Girona
8.3
Huesca
8.2
Oviedo
8.0
Leganes
8.0
Sporting Gijon
8.0
Real Sociedad II
8.0
Alcorcon
7.8
Malaga
7.7
Las Palmas
7.7
Burgos
6.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.0
FC Cartagena
5.6
Oviedo
5.6
Almeria
5.6
Girona
5.5
Las Palmas
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Malaga
5.1
Valladolid
5.0
Lugo
4.9
Ponferradina
4.8
Leganes
4.7
Zaragoza
4.6
Alcorcon
4.6
Mirandes
4.4
Real Sociedad II
4.3
Sporting Gijon
3.9
Huesca
3.7
Eibar
3.6
Burgos
3.0
Amorebieta
2.8
Ibiza
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Fuenlabrada
32.1
FC Cartagena
31.9
Las Palmas
31.8
Tenerife
30.8
Malaga
29.9
Leganes
29.8
Girona
29.6
Almeria
29.1
Oviedo
28.7
Huesca
28.2
Ibiza
28.2
Alcorcon
28.2
Valladolid
27.7
Zaragoza
27.5
Ponferradina
27.5
Lugo
27.3
Mirandes
27.2
Sporting Gijon
25.4
Amorebieta
24.7
Eibar
24.2
Real Sociedad II
23.2
Burgos
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Eibar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.90
0.36
0.79
0.31
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.23
0.29
1.14
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.65
0.43
0.43
0.30
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.17
0.31
0.12
0.43
0.21
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.32
0.16
0.33
0.17
0.29
0.14
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
0.11
0.25
0.00
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
83% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eibar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Eibar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
0.85
0.29
0.71
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.59
0.71
0.29
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.43
0.69
0.50
0.36
0.36
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.47
0.75
0.58
0.00
0.29
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.25
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eibar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5
78.7%
1.45
-
-
-
-
-
+14.0%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Eibar · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jon Bautista33%
Aleix Garrido33%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anaitz Arbilla33%
Jon Guruzeta33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Iván Gil33%
Jon Magunazelaia33%
Ander Madariaga33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jon Bautista67%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Sporting Gijon · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Otero33%
Alejo Sarco33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pablo Vázquez33%
Guille Rosas33%
Nacho Martín33%
Aimar Duñabeitia33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Iosifov33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Otero33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
BUR (22)
€17m
EIB (24)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Eibar's squad is €12m less valuable than Sporting Gijon's (€15m vs €28m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€26m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
VAL (11)
€10m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Eibar's attack is €7m less valuable than Sporting Gijon's (€7m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
EIB (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Eibar's midfield is €2m less valuable than Sporting Gijon's (€3m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
BUR (9)
€6m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Eibar's defence is €4m less valuable than Sporting Gijon's (€5m vs €9m).
Spain: Segunda División 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →