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Ekranas vs Babrungas Result & Analysis

Date: 01/04/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Ekranas
Ekranas
Vs
30%
27%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Babrungas
Babrungas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ekranas win✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Babrungas win✗ Miss
43.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EkranasEkranas

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L20W02L41W42W05L30W11D11D12LH·NEP01/10A·TRA07/10H·BAB17/10A·ATM21/10A·BAN30/10H·ŽAL05/11H·PAN12/11H·ŽAL12/03H·KAU20/03A·BFA26/03
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.531.331.331.871.73
vs Stronger (25)1.561.601.251.331.851.85
vs Similar (5)1.801.201.671.332.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Babrungas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BabrungasBabrungas

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W20W11D13L21W00D32W42W20WH·BE108/10H·ŽAL12/10A·EKR17/10A·MIN29/10H·NEP05/11H·BFA09/11H·TRA12/11H·GAR10/03A·PAN17/03H·ŽAL23/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.172.271.001.401.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.171.331.671.000.671.67
vs Weaker (24)2.001.122.421.001.581.25
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.6%
Under 2.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.3%
Under 3.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
Ekranas goals ↓
Babrungas goals →
01234
06.8%7.9%7.2%3.8%1.5%
16.1%13%9.2%4.9%1.9%
24.7%7.4%5.9%3.1%1.2%
32.0%3.1%2.5%1.3%0.5%
40.6%1.0%0.8%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ekranas goals (down), columns = Babrungas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.31
Be1 NFA
1.83
Babrungas
1.70
Minija
1.66
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.66
Nevėžis
1.66
Šilas
1.52
Trakai II
1.48
Garliava
1.33
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.27
FA Šiauliai II
1.10
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.07
Panevėžys II
1.03
Žalgiris II
0.93
Jonava
0.41
Ekranas is 0.40 points worse than Babrungas in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.70).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.76
Babrungas
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.66
Trakai II
1.59
FA Šiauliai II
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.53
Nevėžis
1.52
Panevėžys II
1.50
Minija
1.45
Garliava
1.43
Ekranas
1.40
BFA
1.33
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.33
Šilas
1.17
Jonava
0.86
Ekranas is 0.60 goals worse than Babrungas in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.00
Be1 NFA
1.03
Nevėžis
1.10
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.14
Trakai II
1.14
Garliava
1.23
Minija
1.28
BFA
1.37
Ekranas
1.63
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.63
Babrungas
1.63
Šilas
1.87
Panevėžys II
1.97
Žalgiris II
2.20
FA Šiauliai II
2.20
Jonava
2.62
Ekranas and Babrungas are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EkranasEkranas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D02L40W10W01L10W00D10W01LH·NEP01/10A·TRA07/10H·BAB17/10A·ATM21/10A·BAN30/10H·ŽAL05/11H·PAN12/11H·ŽAL12/03H·KAU20/03A·BFA26/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.370.600.330.870.40
vs Stronger (25)0.560.440.420.420.690.46
vs Similar (5)1.600.001.330.002.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Babrungas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BabrungasBabrungas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D20W10W12L10W00D30W22D00DH·BE108/10H·ŽAL12/10A·EKR17/10A·MIN29/10H·NEP05/11H·BFA09/11H·TRA12/11H·GAR10/03A·PAN17/03H·ŽAL23/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.501.060.380.790.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.400.200.670.330.000.00
vs Weaker (25)1.040.561.150.380.920.75
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EkranasEkranas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L20W00D01L32W04L20W11D01L11DH·NEP01/10A·TRA07/10H·BAB17/10A·ATM21/10A·BAN30/10H·ŽAL05/11H·PAN12/11H·ŽAL12/03H·KAU20/03A·BFA26/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.170.731.001.001.33
vs Stronger (25)1.001.160.830.921.151.38
vs Similar (5)0.201.200.331.330.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Babrungas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BabrungasBabrungas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D01L01L11D00D02L20W20WH·BE108/10H·ŽAL12/10A·EKR17/10A·MIN29/10H·NEP05/11H·BFA09/11H·TRA12/11H·GAR10/03A·PAN17/03H·ŽAL23/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.571.250.560.640.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.800.801.000.670.501.00
vs Weaker (25)1.000.521.310.540.670.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (24)
€5m
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (8)
€2m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (5)
€1m
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (11)
€2m
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
EKR wins
0
Draws
1
BAB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ekranas vs Babrungas · H/A from EKR
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/22HEKR Vs Babrungas0-2
10/06/22ABabrungas Vs EKR2-3

EkranasEkranas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/03/23ABFA Vs EKR2-1
20/03/23HEKR Vs Kauno Žalgiris II1-1
12/03/23HEKR Vs Žalgiris II1-1
12/11/22HEKR Vs Panevėžys II3-0
05/11/22HEKR Vs Žalgiris II0-5
30/10/22ABanga II Vs EKR2-4
21/10/22AAtmosfera Vs EKR1-4
17/10/22HEKR Vs Babrungas0-2
07/10/22ATrakai II Vs EKR0-2
01/10/22HEKR Vs Neptūną Klaipėda1-2

BabrungasBabrungas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/03/23HBAB Vs Žalgiris II2-0
17/03/23APanevėžys II Vs BAB2-4
10/03/23HBAB Vs Garliava3-2
12/11/22HBAB Vs Trakai II0-0
09/11/22HBAB Vs BFA2-1
05/11/22HBAB Vs Neptūną Klaipėda1-3
29/10/22AMinija Vs BAB1-1
17/10/22AEkranas Vs BAB0-2
12/10/22HBAB Vs Žalgiris II1-0
08/10/22HBAB Vs Be1 NFA0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ekranas
Ekranas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.30
HomeLLWDD1.35
AwayLWWWL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%35%38%
AVG goals3.212.763.69
Over 1.5 %88%82%94%
Over 2.5 %52%41%62%
Over 3.5 %36%29%44%
Scored1.551.291.81
Conceded1.671.471.88
BTTS55%41%69%
Clean Sheet24%35%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Babrungas
Babrungas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.67
HomeLWDWW1.94
AwayLLWDW1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%59%38%
AVG goals3.003.352.62
Over 1.5 %82%82%81%
Over 2.5 %55%65%44%
Over 3.5 %33%41%25%
Scored1.852.291.38
Conceded1.151.061.25
BTTS55%59%50%
Clean Sheet36%35%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius2967
72%
2.3
8029+51
3.8
90%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.81.0
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA2953
55%
1.8
4830+18
2.7
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3051
50%
1.7
6049+11
3.6
93%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda2948
45%
1.7
5433+21
3.0
76%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.1
-
5NevėžisNevėžis2948
45%
1.7
4432+12
2.6
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6MinijaMinija2948
48%
1.7
4237+5
2.7
83%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7Trakai IITrakai II2943
41%
1.5
4633+13
2.7
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
8GarliavaGarliava3040
30%
1.3
4337+6
2.7
80%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
9EkranasEkranas3039
37%
1.3
4249-7
3.0
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
10BFABFA3038
33%
1.3
4041-1
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11ŠilasŠilas2335
48%
1.5
2743-16
3.0
78%
57%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3033
30%
1.1
4766-19
3.8
90%
77%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
13Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3032
27%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
14Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3031
27%
1.0
4559-14
3.5
83%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
15Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3028
23%
0.9
4666-20
3.7
90%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.2
-
16JonavaJonava2912
10%
0.4
2576-51
3.5
93%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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