This opponent (Racing Santander) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Santander
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.18
1.24
1.33
1.11
1.00
1.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.75
1.62
0.60
1.60
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (9)
1.56
0.89
2.25
0.50
1.00
1.20
Clean sheet %
24% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.9%
Under 1.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.9%
@ 2.38-0.7%
Under 2.5
61.1%
@ 1.56+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.0%
Under 3.5
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.9%
2-0 ✓
8.8%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.8%
Elche goals ↓
Racing Santander goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.8%
4.8%
1.5%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.2%
2.0%
0.5%
2
8.8%
8.4%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
3
3.8%
3.6%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elche goals (down), columns = Racing Santander goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Huesca
1.67
Cadiz
1.64
Zaragoza
1.55
Almeria
1.52
Girona
1.50
Elche
1.45
Fuenlabrada
1.43
Rayo Vallecano
1.43
Alcorcon
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Mirandes
1.33
Tenerife
1.31
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Oviedo
1.26
Lugo
1.24
Albacete
1.24
Deportivo La Coruna
1.21
Ponferradina
1.21
Numancia
1.19
Extremadura UD
1.02
Racing Santander
0.79
Elche is 0.67 points better than Racing Santander in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 0.79).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almeria
1.48
Rayo Vallecano
1.43
Zaragoza
1.40
Huesca
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Alcorcon
1.24
Elche
1.24
Tenerife
1.19
Cadiz
1.19
Las Palmas
1.17
Oviedo
1.17
Girona
1.14
Fuenlabrada
1.12
Numancia
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Deportivo La Coruna
1.02
Extremadura UD
1.02
Lugo
1.02
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Albacete
0.86
Malaga
0.83
Elche is 0.31 goals better than Racing Santander in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 0.93).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Malaga
0.79
Sporting Gijon
0.90
Cadiz
0.93
Fuenlabrada
0.95
Huesca
1.00
Girona
1.02
Almeria
1.02
Elche
1.05
Tenerife
1.10
Las Palmas
1.10
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.19
Alcorcon
1.19
Ponferradina
1.19
Numancia
1.26
Oviedo
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Lugo
1.29
Racing Santander
1.33
Extremadura UD
1.40
Mirandes
1.40
Deportivo La Coruna
1.43
Elche is 0.29 goals better than Racing Santander in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Elche
For 4.5 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 18.2 · Total 33.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Racing Santander
For 3.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 16.7 · Total 33.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Elche
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.2
9.8
6.1
5.6
6.5
33.9
33.3
34.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
9.8
9.9
9.8
6.2
5.3
7.1
32.5
30.9
34.1
vs Weaker (24)
9.1
8.3
9.9
6.0
6.0
5.9
35.4
35.8
34.9
% over line
47%
40%
54%
92%
88%
96%
98%
100%
96%
% under line
53%
60%
46%
8%
12%
4%
2%
0%
4%
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Santander
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
9.0
8.0
10.1
6.2
5.9
6.5
34.2
34.8
33.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
8.4
6.2
12.0
6.8
6.0
8.0
36.2
35.2
38.0
vs Weaker (9)
9.6
10.2
9.0
5.7
5.8
5.6
32.3
34.2
30.8
% over line
41%
33%
50%
94%
100%
88%
94%
100%
88%
% under line
59%
67%
50%
6%
0%
12%
6%
0%
12%
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lugo
10.9
Numancia
10.1
Huesca
10.0
Rayo Vallecano
9.9
Extremadura UD
9.9
Sporting Gijon
9.9
Mirandes
9.8
Oviedo
9.8
Zaragoza
9.7
Cadiz
9.6
Alcorcon
9.6
Las Palmas
9.5
Almeria
9.4
Elche
9.4
Malaga
9.3
Tenerife
9.2
Deportivo La Coruna
9.2
Albacete
9.2
Racing Santander
9.0
Fuenlabrada
8.8
Girona
8.8
Ponferradina
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Las Palmas
6.7
Sporting Gijon
6.5
Tenerife
6.4
Alcorcon
6.3
Racing Santander
6.2
Elche
6.1
Fuenlabrada
6.1
Extremadura UD
6.0
Almeria
5.9
Malaga
5.9
Albacete
5.9
Oviedo
5.7
Cadiz
5.7
Numancia
5.7
Girona
5.7
Lugo
5.7
Huesca
5.7
Ponferradina
5.6
Rayo Vallecano
5.5
Deportivo La Coruna
5.1
Mirandes
4.9
Zaragoza
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
34.2
Elche
33.5
Albacete
33.0
Sporting Gijon
32.9
Almeria
32.9
Oviedo
32.7
Alcorcon
32.5
Las Palmas
32.4
Fuenlabrada
32.2
Ponferradina
32.1
Tenerife
30.8
Deportivo La Coruna
30.6
Extremadura UD
30.2
Lugo
30.2
Malaga
29.9
Numancia
29.7
Cadiz
29.3
Mirandes
29.2
Rayo Vallecano
29.2
Huesca
29.0
Girona
28.7
Zaragoza
27.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.9%
Under 9.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
84.3%
Under 3.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
98.4%
Under 21.5
1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Elche
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.71
0.36
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.62
0.50
0.33
0.70
0.80
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.43
0.88
0.38
0.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Santander
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.41
0.56
0.22
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.50
0.40
0.40
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.33
0.75
0.00
0.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
65% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elche over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Elche
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.64
0.57
0.81
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.75
0.67
0.83
0.80
0.70
vs Weaker (14)
0.71
0.71
0.62
0.38
0.83
1.17
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Santander
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
0.82
0.78
0.89
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.38
1.12
0.20
1.20
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.56
1.50
0.50
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
35% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elche over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Elche · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fernando Niño33%
Marc Aguado33%
Buba Sangaré33%
Matías Dituro0%
Gonzalo Villar0%
Tete Morente0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Lucas Cepeda0%
Ali Houary0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gonzalo Villar33%
Ali Houary33%
Matías Dituro0%
Tete Morente0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Fernando Niño0%
Marc Aguado0%
Lucas Cepeda0%
Buba Sangaré0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gonzalo Villar33%
Tete Morente33%
Lucas Cepeda33%
Matías Dituro0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Fernando Niño0%
Marc Aguado0%
Buba Sangaré0%
Ali Houary0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fernando Niño33%
Matías Dituro0%
Gonzalo Villar0%
Tete Morente0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Marc Aguado0%
Lucas Cepeda0%
Buba Sangaré0%
Ali Houary0%
Racing Santander · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrés Martín33%
Yassir Zabiri33%
Sergio Canales0%
Iñigo Vicente0%
Asier Villalibre0%
Manu Hernando0%
Alvaro Mantilla0%
Julen Agirrezabala0%
Facundo González0%
Gustavo Puerta0%
Maguette Gueye0%
Jorge Salinas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alvaro Mantilla67%
Manu Hernando33%
Facundo González33%
Gustavo Puerta33%
Jorge Salinas33%
Sergio Canales0%
Andrés Martín0%
Iñigo Vicente0%
Asier Villalibre0%
Julen Agirrezabala0%
Maguette Gueye0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Iñigo Vicente33%
Sergio Canales0%
Andrés Martín0%
Asier Villalibre0%
Manu Hernando0%
Alvaro Mantilla0%
Julen Agirrezabala0%
Facundo González0%
Gustavo Puerta0%
Maguette Gueye0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Jorge Salinas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrés Martín67%
Sergio Canales33%
Yassir Zabiri33%
Iñigo Vicente0%
Asier Villalibre0%
Manu Hernando0%
Alvaro Mantilla0%
Julen Agirrezabala0%
Facundo González0%
Gustavo Puerta0%
Maguette Gueye0%
Jorge Salinas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
ALB (27)
€18m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Elche's squad is €10m less valuable than Racing Santander's (€79m vs €89m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
DLC (9)
€49m
ALM (11)
€38m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
ALB (10)
€8m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Elche and Racing Santander have a similar attack value (both €34m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
DLC (7)
€13m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Elche's midfield is €16m less valuable than Racing Santander's (€12m vs €28m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (9)
€36m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GIR (9)
€22m
DLC (13)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
ALB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Elche's defence is €5m more valuable than Racing Santander's (€33m vs €28m).
Spain: Segunda División 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Huesca
Cadiz
Zaragoza
Almeria
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
Las Palmas
Alcorcon
Mirandes
Tenerife
Sporting Gijon
Malaga
Oviedo
Albacete
Lugo
Ponferradina
Deportivo La Coruna
Numancia