This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cowdenbeath
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.23
1.43
1.21
1.12
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.31
1.06
1.29
0.86
1.33
1.22
vs Weaker (14)
1.21
1.43
1.57
1.57
0.86
1.29
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.3%
Under 1.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.2%
@ 1.63-7.8%
Under 2.5
50.8%
@ 2.16+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.3%
Under 3.5
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.9%
No
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.7%
Elgin goals ↓
Cowdenbeath goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
7.8%
5.7%
2.4%
0.8%
1
8.6%
14%
7.9%
3.3%
1.0%
2
6.7%
8.5%
5.4%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.1%
3.9%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elgin goals (down), columns = Cowdenbeath goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.43
Edinburgh City
2.04
Elgin
1.54
Cowdenbeath
1.52
Queens Park
1.43
Stirling
1.29
Annan Athletic
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.04
Albion Rvs
0.92
Brechin
0.63
Elgin is 0.02 points better than Cowdenbeath in terms of average points per game (1.54 vs 1.52).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.71
Edinburgh City
1.81
Elgin
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.42
Cowdenbeath
1.37
Queens Park
1.32
Annan Athletic
1.22
Stirling
1.21
Brechin
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Elgin is 0.34 goals better than Cowdenbeath in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.37).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Edinburgh City
1.04
Elgin
1.21
Cove Rangers
1.21
Queens Park
1.25
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.30
Stenhousemuir
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.96
Annan Athletic
2.00
Brechin
2.22
Elgin is 0.08 goals better than Cowdenbeath in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.30).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Elgin
For 4.6 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.2
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.4 · Against 10.5 · Total 18.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cowdenbeath
For 3.2 · Against 5.7 · Total 8.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 8.8 · Total 19.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Elgin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.0
10.4
2.9
3.0
2.8
21.3
21.5
21.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
10.0
10.4
9.5
3.1
3.2
3.0
22.1
22.0
22.2
vs Weaker (24)
10.5
9.7
11.2
2.8
2.8
2.7
20.4
21.0
19.8
% over line
54%
52%
56%
32%
32%
32%
50%
48%
52%
% under line
46%
48%
44%
68%
68%
68%
50%
52%
48%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cowdenbeath
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
7.8
10.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
22.8
23.3
22.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
8.5
7.8
9.3
3.6
3.5
3.7
22.5
23.6
21.3
vs Weaker (25)
9.2
7.8
10.6
4.3
4.4
4.2
23.0
22.9
23.2
% over line
44%
35%
54%
54%
50%
58%
60%
73%
46%
% under line
56%
65%
46%
46%
50%
42%
40%
27%
54%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
11.0
Stirling
10.4
Albion Rvs
10.3
Elgin
10.2
Brechin
10.1
Queens Park
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.8
Edinburgh City
9.2
Cowdenbeath
8.8
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.0
Edinburgh City
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Brechin
3.6
Queens Park
3.5
Stenhousemuir
3.5
Stirling
3.4
Elgin
2.9
Albion Rvs
2.8
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Edinburgh City
24.2
Annan Athletic
23.3
Cowdenbeath
22.8
Stirling
22.3
Brechin
22.2
Elgin
21.3
Albion Rvs
21.0
Stenhousemuir
20.3
Queens Park
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.5%
Under 9.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.3%
Under 3.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
42.5%
Under 21.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Elgin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.03
0.50
1.19
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.94
0.40
1.30
0.62
0.50
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
1.17
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.33
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cowdenbeath
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.64
0.50
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.56
0.43
0.43
0.89
0.67
vs Weaker (14)
0.50
0.71
0.86
0.57
0.14
0.86
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Elgin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.93
1.12
0.81
0.79
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.22
0.83
1.30
0.80
1.12
0.88
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
1.08
0.83
0.83
0.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cowdenbeath
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
0.79
0.71
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.50
0.86
0.43
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (14)
0.71
0.71
0.71
1.00
0.71
0.43
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 1.5
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 4.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 3.5
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Cove Rangers
Edinburgh City
Queens Park
Stirling
Annan Athletic
Stenhousemuir
Brechin