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Elgin vs Edinburgh City Result & Analysis

Date: 20/03/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Elgin
Elgin
Vs
42%
25%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Elgin win✗ Miss
42.4%
Avg Implied 38.7% · @ 2.38
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.52
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City win✓ Hit
32.6%
Avg Implied 35.1% · @ 2.62
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W41W30W01L01L21W52W10W13L20WH·COW10/03A·STR17/10H·BRE24/10A·EDI31/10H·QUE07/11A·STI21/11H·COW28/11H·ANN05/12A·ALB12/12H·STE19/12
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.172.331.071.601.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.941.312.751.121.121.50
vs Weaker (14)2.001.001.861.002.141.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W51W01L10W02L01L40W52W33D23LH·ALB07/03A·BRE17/10H·COW24/10H·ELG31/10A·STE07/11H·STR21/11A·ANN28/11H·ALB05/12A·QUE12/12H·STI19/12
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.031.810.941.931.14
vs Stronger (20)1.901.151.820.912.001.44
vs Similar (9)2.000.782.251.001.800.60
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.0%
Under 1.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.9%
@ 1.77+11.2%
Under 2.5
36.1%
@ 1.97-11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.7%
Under 3.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.9%
No
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-2 ✓
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
4.7%
Elgin goals ↓
Edinburgh City goals →
01234
04.7%4.7%4.4%2.2%0.8%
15.6%11%7.7%3.9%1.5%
25.8%8.8%6.8%3.4%1.3%
33.4%5.2%4.0%2.0%0.8%
41.5%2.3%1.7%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elgin goals (down), columns = Edinburgh City goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Queens Park
2.45
Stranraer
1.73
Edinburgh City
1.73
Elgin
1.73
Stirling
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.18
Albion Rvs
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.00
Cowdenbeath
0.95
Brechin
0.45
Elgin and Edinburgh City are level in average points per game (both 1.73).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Queens Park
1.95
Edinburgh City
1.82
Elgin
1.77
Stranraer
1.64
Stirling
1.45
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.14
Cowdenbeath
0.68
Brechin
0.59
Elgin is 0.05 goals worse than Edinburgh City in terms of goals scored per game (1.77 vs 1.82).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.59
Stirling
1.00
Stranraer
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.23
Edinburgh City
1.23
Elgin
1.27
Cowdenbeath
1.45
Stenhousemuir
1.59
Albion Rvs
1.73
Brechin
2.09
Elgin is 0.05 goals worse than Edinburgh City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.23).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ElginElgin

For 5.0 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

16052585238298847435109271371111161171511H·STEA·ALBH·ANNH·COWA·STIH·QUEA·EDIH·BREA·STRH·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

802426222223422211156842474226H·STEA·ALBH·ANNH·COWA·STIH·QUEA·EDIH·BREA·STRH·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.2 · Total 21.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

34079151913895148121413125813107916342114222625132316H·STEA·ALBH·ANNH·COWA·STIH·QUEA·EDIH·BREA·STRH·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

For 5.9 · Against 3.5 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

160332385634444741244596513988111699H·STIA·QUEH·ALBA·ANNH·STRA·STEH·ELGH·COWA·BREH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8035222132621422131228435854432H·STIA·QUEH·ALBA·ANNH·STRA·STEH·ELGH·COWA·BREH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 13.5 · Total 24.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

320151181514147189121517121310116159926232825213225212118H·STIA·QUEH·ALBA·ANNH·STRA·STEH·ELGH·COWA·BREH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.910.34.04.43.621.721.022.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)10.510.410.64.24.53.822.222.022.5
vs Weaker (23)9.69.29.93.84.33.321.119.822.3
% over line50%44%56%62%76%48%56%44%68%
% under line50%56%44%38%24%52%44%56%32%
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.88.98.73.94.03.723.125.021.1
vs Stronger (33)8.79.18.33.73.73.724.126.421.2
vs Similar (14)9.28.39.93.94.33.622.122.721.8
vs Weaker (3)8.09.06.05.36.53.017.719.514.0
% over line30%35%25%58%62%54%60%69%50%
% under line70%65%75%42%38%46%40%31%50%
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Brechin
10.7
Albion Rvs
10.6
Stenhousemuir
10.3
Elgin
10.1
Queens Park
10.0
Stranraer
10.0
Cowdenbeath
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.8
Edinburgh City
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.4
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Elgin
4.0
Edinburgh City
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Queens Park
3.8
Stirling
3.7
Brechin
3.4
Albion Rvs
3.2
Stranraer
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.8
Cowdenbeath
23.9
Edinburgh City
23.1
Albion Rvs
22.9
Queens Park
22.7
Stirling
22.2
Elgin
21.7
Stenhousemuir
21.4
Stranraer
21.3
Brechin
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.4%
Under 9.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.0%
Under 3.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
56.2%
Under 21.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W01L01L10W20W00D10W20WH·COW10/03A·STR17/10H·BRE24/10A·EDI31/10H·QUE07/11A·STI21/11H·COW28/11H·ANN05/12A·ALB12/12H·STE19/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.501.130.600.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.880.501.120.500.620.50
vs Weaker (14)1.070.501.140.711.000.29
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W00D10W00D01L20W41W10W03LH·ALB07/03A·BRE17/10H·COW24/10H·ELG31/10A·STE07/11H·STR21/11A·ANN28/11H·ALB05/12A·QUE12/12H·STI19/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.400.750.500.570.29
vs Stronger (20)0.750.350.820.360.670.33
vs Similar (9)0.560.440.750.750.400.20
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W31W20W00D00D11D32W10W03L00DH·COW10/03A·STR17/10H·BRE24/10A·EDI31/10H·QUE07/11A·STI21/11H·COW28/11H·ANN05/12A·ALB12/12H·STE19/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.671.200.470.800.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.060.811.620.620.501.00
vs Weaker (14)0.930.500.710.291.140.71
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W41W01L00D02L00D20W11D23L20WH·ALB07/03A·BRE17/10H·COW24/10H·ELG31/10A·STE07/11H·STR21/11A·ANN28/11H·ALB05/12A·QUE12/12H·STI19/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.631.060.441.360.86
vs Stronger (20)1.150.801.000.551.331.11
vs Similar (9)1.440.331.500.251.400.40
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls75.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners74.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls72.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
ELG wins
4
Draws
3
EC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Elgin vs Edinburgh City · H/A from ELG
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/20AEdinburgh City Vs ELG1-0
04/01/20HELG Vs Edinburgh City0-1
09/11/19AEdinburgh City Vs ELG1-1
31/08/19HELG Vs Edinburgh City3-3
27/04/19AEdinburgh City Vs ELG1-1
26/01/19HELG Vs Edinburgh City3-3
15/12/18AEdinburgh City Vs ELG4-1
11/08/18HELG Vs Edinburgh City1-0

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/12/20HELG Vs Stenhousemuir2-0
12/12/20AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG3-1
05/12/20HELG Vs Annan Athletic1-0
28/11/20HELG Vs Cowdenbeath5-2
21/11/20AStirling Vs ELG1-2
07/11/20HELG Vs Queens Park0-1
31/10/20AEdinburgh City Vs ELG1-0
24/10/20HELG Vs Brechin3-0
17/10/20AStranraer Vs ELG1-4
10/03/20HELG Vs Cowdenbeath3-2

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/12/20HEC Vs Stirling2-3
12/12/20AQueens Park Vs EC3-3
05/12/20HEC Vs Albion Rvs5-2
28/11/20AAnnan Athletic Vs EC0-4
21/11/20HEC Vs Stranraer0-1
07/11/20AStenhousemuir Vs EC2-0
31/10/20HEC Vs Elgin1-0
24/10/20HEC Vs Cowdenbeath0-1
17/10/20ABrechin Vs EC1-5
07/03/20HEC Vs Albion Rvs3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.44
HomeWLWWW1.68
AwayWWLWL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%52%32%
AVG goals2.863.122.60
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %60%64%56%
Over 3.5 %32%40%24%
Scored1.601.921.28
Conceded1.261.201.32
BTTS54%48%60%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners10.089.8810.28
Cards4.004.403.60
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.74
HomeLWLWL2.00
AwayDWLWD1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%62%42%
AVG goals2.822.543.12
Over 1.5 %72%69%75%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %34%23%46%
Scored1.701.771.62
Conceded1.120.771.50
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet38%46%29%
Corners8.828.928.71
Cards3.864.043.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Queens ParkQueens Park2254
77%
2.5
4313+30
2.5
68%
55%
23%
9.9
41%
3.7
55%
21.8
41%
0
0002.00.6
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2238
55%
1.7
4027+13
3.0
73%
55%
36%
9.2
29%
3.7
50%
21.7
48%
0
0001.81.2
-
3ElginElgin2238
55%
1.7
3928+11
3.0
77%
59%
32%
10.5
55%
4.0
55%
21.7
50%
0
0001.81.3
-
4StranraerStranraer2238
50%
1.7
3625+11
2.8
77%
50%
36%
9.6
45%
3.7
50%
23.5
59%
0
0001.61.1
-
5StirlingStirling2236
45%
1.6
3222+10
2.5
55%
45%
32%
10.2
59%
4.2
64%
24.2
64%
0
0001.51.0
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2226
32%
1.2
2535-10
2.7
82%
45%
36%
9.3
36%
4.0
73%
23.0
55%
0
0001.11.6
-
7
AR
Albion Rvs		2225
32%
1.1
2538-13
2.9
77%
41%
32%
9.9
48%
3.3
45%
23.8
71%
0
0001.11.7
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2222
23%
1.0
2527-2
2.4
73%
45%
14%
9.9
50%
3.7
59%
23.5
59%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2221
23%
1.0
1532-17
2.1
64%
27%
14%
10.9
64%
3.8
59%
23.2
50%
0
0000.71.5
-
10BrechinBrechin2210
9%
0.5
1346-33
2.7
82%
50%
18%
9.1
41%
3.0
55%
19.5
27%
0
0000.62.1
-
Scotland: League Two 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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