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Elgin vs Kelty Hearts Result & Analysis

Date: 16/07/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 1-1
Elgin
Elgin
Vs
41%
30%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elgin win✗ Miss
40.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts win✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W21W11D02L22D11D11D22D03L05LH·BON09/03A·STR16/03H·FOR23/03A·EAS30/03H·SPA06/04A·STE13/04H·PET20/04A·DUM27/04H·CLY04/05H·HIB13/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.771.121.440.792.14
vs Stronger (1)0.005.000.005.00--
vs Similar (13)0.921.851.291.140.502.67
vs Weaker (16)1.061.501.121.251.001.75
Clean sheet %13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L21W23L31W21W10W22D02L14LA·ALL09/03H·COV16/03H·ALL19/03A·ANN23/03H·EDI30/03A·QUE06/04H·STI13/04A·FAL20/04H·MON27/04A·HAM04/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.871.001.471.732.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.052.050.601.801.502.30
vs Weaker (10)2.001.501.800.802.202.20
Clean sheet %13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%11%019%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.4%
No
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.3%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
Elgin goals ↓
Kelty Hearts goals →
01234
011%8.6%5.3%1.9%0.5%
111%14%7.0%2.5%0.7%
27.9%8.5%4.6%1.6%0.4%
33.4%3.7%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.1%1.2%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elgin goals (down), columns = Kelty Hearts goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Falkirk
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
ST Johnstone
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
Queen's Park
1.80
Airdrie United
1.80
Partick
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Kilmarnock
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Dumbarton
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Elgin
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Buckie Thistle
0.00
Elgin is 0.75 points worse than Kelty Hearts in terms of average points per game (0.25 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Queen's Park
3.20
Airdrie United
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Rangers
2.50
Falkirk
2.50
Clyde
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Livingston
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Buckie Thistle
1.25
Dumbarton
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Morton
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Inverness CT
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Brechin
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Kelty Hearts
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Kilmarnock
0.00
ST Mirren
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Elgin is 0.25 goals better than Kelty Hearts in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 0.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
Dundee
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Falkirk
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Dundee Utd
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
Ayr Utd
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Morton
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Stirling
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Peterhead
2.75
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
Edinburgh City
4.00
East Kilbride
4.00
Buckie Thistle
4.25
Elgin is 1.50 goals worse than Kelty Hearts in terms of goals conceded per game (3.50 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ElginElgin

For 4.1 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

1206135484212437465254678126371111710H·CLYA·DUMH·PETA·STEH·SPAA·EASH·FORA·STRH·BONA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

902221354112122421212449223633H·CLYA·DUMH·PETA·STEH·SPAA·EASH·FORA·STRH·BONA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 13.6 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

3201316899151614910918121989151711929172430192731173220H·CLYA·DUMH·PETA·STEH·SPAA·EASH·FORA·STRH·BONA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

For 4.5 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

1203672744548536248362999119128812911A·HAMH·MONA·FALH·STIA·QUEH·EDIA·ANNH·ALLH·COVA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

90113453413121220239713332A·HAMH·MONA·FALH·STIA·QUEH·EDIA·ANNH·ALLH·COVA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 10.7 · Total 19.4

⚠️ Fouls

2606711981012111115913815815797313201823262223231610A·HAMH·MONA·FALH·STIA·QUEH·EDIA·ANNH·ALLH·COVA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.38.68.13.53.23.823.824.423.3
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (21)8.17.98.23.84.63.223.924.823.2
vs Weaker (28)8.59.18.03.42.54.323.824.123.4
% over line35%39%31%46%29%62%63%65%62%
% under line65%61%69%54%71%38%37%35%38%
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.010.611.53.63.83.421.722.021.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (37)11.111.210.93.53.63.522.222.322.1
vs Weaker (13)11.09.013.33.74.13.220.221.019.2
% over line62%52%72%38%40%36%52%60%44%
% under line38%48%28%62%60%64%48%40%56%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.9
Rangers
11.3
Heart Of Midlothian
11.2
Dundee
11.1
Dundee Utd
11.1
Ross County
11.1
Kelty Hearts
11.0
Morton
10.9
ST Mirren
10.8
Motherwell
10.8
Falkirk
10.8
Kilmarnock
10.7
Arbroath
10.7
Dunfermline
10.7
Aberdeen
10.5
Dumbarton
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.3
Hibernian
10.3
Stirling
10.3
Montrose
10.2
ST Johnstone
10.1
Cove Rangers
10.1
Forfar
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.0
Partick
10.0
Brechin
10.0
Inverness CT
10.0
Edinburgh City
10.0
Stranraer
9.9
Airdrie United
9.9
Clyde
9.8
East Fife
9.6
Livingston
9.5
Spartans
9.4
Peterhead
8.8
Elgin
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.8
Annan Athletic
4.7
Heart Of Midlothian
4.3
Morton
4.3
Rangers
4.2
Aberdeen
4.1
Kilmarnock
4.0
Dumbarton
4.0
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Dundee
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Hibernian
4.0
Falkirk
4.0
Montrose
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
ST Johnstone
3.8
Ross County
3.8
East Fife
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Elgin
3.6
Edinburgh City
3.6
Celtic
3.6
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Stranraer
3.5
Brechin
3.5
Partick
3.5
Livingston
3.5
Arbroath
3.4
Clyde
3.4
Forfar
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Spartans
3.2
ST Mirren
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Inverness CT
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.8
Aberdeen
24.2
Livingston
23.9
Elgin
23.7
Forfar
23.7
Kilmarnock
22.8
Heart Of Midlothian
22.7
Motherwell
22.4
ST Johnstone
22.3
Morton
22.3
Ross County
22.2
Dundee Utd
22.2
Rangers
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.9
Falkirk
21.8
Kelty Hearts
21.7
Hibernian
21.6
East Fife
21.5
ST Mirren
21.3
Montrose
21.1
Annan Athletic
20.9
Arbroath
20.9
Spartans
20.9
Dumbarton
20.5
Edinburgh City
20.4
Clyde
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Stirling
20.2
Stranraer
20.0
Dundee
20.0
Partick
19.9
Celtic
19.5
Inverness CT
19.3
Dunfermline
19.3
Cove Rangers
18.8
Airdrie United
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.9%
Under 9.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
56.0%
Under 3.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
77.8%
Under 21.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Elgin or Draw✓ Hit
70.8%
Avg Implied -
41%
30%
29%
covers Elgin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin or Kelty Hearts✗ Miss
69.9%
Avg Implied -
41%
30%
29%
covers Elgin + Kelty Hearts
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kelty Hearts✓ Hit
59.4%
Avg Implied -
41%
30%
29%
covers Draw + Kelty Hearts
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Elgin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.0%
Under
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.6%
Under
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.5%
Under
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.8%
Under
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.2%
Under
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Elgin, so a minus line means Elgin give that many goals of a start and Kelty Hearts receive them. At -1, Elgin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Elgin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Elgin)Actual: Kelty Hearts
Elgin -2
6.8%
Draw -2
12.3%
Kelty Hearts +2
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Elgin)Actual: Kelty Hearts
Elgin -1
19.1%
Draw -1
21.5%
Kelty Hearts +1
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Elgin)Actual: Elgin
Elgin +1
70.8%
Draw +1
17.4%
Kelty Hearts -1
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Elgin)Actual: Elgin
Elgin +2
88.2%
Draw +2
8.3%
Kelty Hearts -2
3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D01L01L01L10W21W02L02LH·BON09/03A·STR16/03H·FOR23/03A·EAS30/03H·SPA06/04A·STE13/04H·PET20/04A·DUM27/04H·CLY04/05H·HIB13/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.500.880.360.86
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (13)0.310.850.430.570.171.17
vs Weaker (16)0.560.810.621.000.500.62
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D13L11D10W10W22D01L12LA·ALL09/03H·COV16/03H·ALL19/03A·ANN23/03H·EDI30/03A·QUE06/04H·STI13/04A·FAL20/04H·MON27/04A·HAM04/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.000.400.870.731.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.401.150.201.100.601.20
vs Weaker (10)0.900.700.800.401.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W21W00D01L21W10W01L01L01L03LH·BON09/03A·STR16/03H·FOR23/03A·EAS30/03H·SPA06/04A·STE13/04H·PET20/04A·DUM27/04H·CLY04/05H·HIB13/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.900.620.560.431.29
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (13)0.621.000.860.570.331.50
vs Weaker (16)0.500.690.500.250.501.12
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L21W10W20W11D00D00D01L02LA·ALL09/03H·COV16/03H·ALL19/03A·ANN23/03H·EDI30/03A·QUE06/04H·STI13/04A·FAL20/04H·MON27/04A·HAM04/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.870.600.601.001.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.650.900.400.700.901.10
vs Weaker (10)1.100.801.000.401.201.20
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.596.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.590.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals90.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls88.3%--------
Home +2 handicap88.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals85.5%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap80.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.0%--------
Under 3.578.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls77.8%--------
Over 2.5 cards75.7%--------
Home over 0.5 goals73.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals70.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.8%--------
Home or Draw70.8%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap70.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
ELG wins
2
Draws
1
KH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Elgin vs Kelty Hearts · H/A from ELG
DateH/AGameScore
19/03/22HELG Vs Kelty Hearts0-0
05/02/22AKelty Hearts Vs ELG4-0
25/01/22HELG Vs Kelty Hearts2-0
11/09/21AKelty Hearts Vs ELG1-1

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/07/24HELG Vs Hibernian0-5
04/05/24HELG Vs Clyde0-3
27/04/24ADumbarton Vs ELG2-2
20/04/24HELG Vs Peterhead1-1
13/04/24AStenhousemuir Vs ELG1-1
06/04/24HELG Vs Spartans2-2
30/03/24AEast Fife Vs ELG2-0
23/03/24HELG Vs Forfar1-1
16/03/24AStranraer Vs ELG1-2
09/03/24HELG Vs Bonnyrigg Rose1-0

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24AHamilton Vs KH4-1
27/04/24HKH Vs Montrose0-2
20/04/24AFalkirk Vs KH2-2
13/04/24HKH Vs Stirling1-0
06/04/24AQueen of Sth Vs KH1-2
30/03/24HKH Vs Edinburgh City3-1
23/03/24AAnnan Athletic Vs KH3-2
19/03/24HKH Vs Alloa2-1
16/03/24HKH Vs Cove Rangers0-1
09/03/24AAlloa Vs KH3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLL1.00
HomeDDDLL1.54
AwayLWLDD0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%42%12%
AVG goals2.642.292.96
Over 1.5 %80%71%88%
Over 2.5 %52%38%65%
Over 3.5 %22%17%27%
Scored0.861.040.69
Conceded1.781.252.27
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet16%29%4%
Corners8.358.618.12
Cards3.553.303.77
Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.12
HomeLWWWL1.24
AwayLLWDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%20%
AVG goals3.022.403.64
Over 1.5 %76%64%88%
Over 2.5 %62%48%76%
Over 3.5 %40%20%60%
Scored1.281.041.52
Conceded1.741.362.12
BTTS60%48%72%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners11.0410.6011.48
Cards3.583.763.40

🏆 17. League Table

Elgin plays in Scotland - League Two
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3666
53%
1.8
5240+12
2.6
61%
44%
33%
8.5
36%
5.3
86%
25.0
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
2East FifeEast Fife3665
56%
1.8
6537+28
2.8
72%
47%
28%
9.7
56%
4.2
67%
23.6
58%
0
0001.81.0
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3656
47%
1.6
5447+7
2.8
75%
47%
28%
9.2
42%
4.8
81%
24.4
72%
0
0001.51.3
-
4ElginElgin3655
44%
1.5
4841+7
2.5
72%
39%
19%
9.4
53%
4.8
75%
23.4
61%
0
0001.31.1
-
5SpartansSpartans3652
42%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.8
39%
4.2
67%
22.0
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StirlingStirling3648
39%
1.3
5057-7
3.0
86%
61%
33%
10.1
64%
4.2
61%
21.5
47%
0
0001.41.6
-
7ClydeClyde3643
31%
1.2
4954-5
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.6
50%
4.6
64%
22.8
58%
0
0001.41.5
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose		3642
33%
1.2
4062-22
2.8
86%
50%
28%
9.0
39%
4.9
78%
24.4
69%
0
0001.11.7
-
9StranraerStranraer3640
31%
1.1
3442-8
2.1
67%
42%
11%
9.1
42%
4.2
56%
20.6
33%
0
0000.91.2
-
10ForfarForfar3636
22%
1.0
2942-13
2.0
61%
33%
11%
9.3
36%
4.9
78%
24.7
78%
0
0000.81.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
Kelty Hearts plays in Scotland - League One
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArbroathArbroath3664
53%
1.8
5842+16
2.8
81%
61%
25%
10.4
56%
3.4
44%
19.7
31%
1
0001.61.2
-
2Inverness CTInverness CT3658
44%
1.6
4538+7
2.3
67%
36%
19%
8.9
42%
3.5
44%
21.4
50%
1
0001.21.1
-
3Cove RangersCove Rangers3657
44%
1.6
6244+18
2.9
86%
61%
36%
9.4
47%
2.6
22%
18.6
25%
0
0001.71.2
-
4
QO
Queen of Sth		3655
44%
1.5
4641+5
2.4
72%
44%
19%
8.7
31%
4.2
67%
21.5
51%
0
0001.31.1
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3653
42%
1.5
4845+3
2.6
72%
53%
31%
9.4
39%
3.7
44%
21.1
47%
0
0001.31.2
-
6
A
Alloa		3651
36%
1.4
5547+8
2.8
75%
50%
36%
10.4
61%
4.1
58%
20.5
42%
0
0001.51.3
-
7Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3644
31%
1.2
4046-6
2.4
75%
42%
25%
10.0
50%
3.2
42%
19.3
28%
1
1001.11.3
-
8MontroseMontrose3640
25%
1.1
4049-9
2.5
72%
50%
25%
9.3
40%
3.9
61%
20.2
34%
0
0001.11.4
-
9Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3636
28%
1.0
4168-27
3.0
81%
53%
36%
9.5
56%
3.6
47%
19.4
31%
0
0001.11.9
-
10DumbartonDumbarton3635
22%
1.0
5166-15
3.2
92%
67%
47%
11.0
53%
3.7
47%
19.2
25%
0
0001.41.8
-
Scotland: League One 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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