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Elgin vs Kelty Hearts Result & Analysis

Date: 30/11/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 3-2
Elgin
Elgin
Vs
41%
30%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
Scotland: FA Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elgin win✓ Hit
40.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts win✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D00D33D10W31W11D10W02L21WH·BON14/09H·SPA17/09A·CLY21/09H·EDI28/09A·PET05/10A·SPA19/10H·CLY26/10H·STR02/11A·BON09/11H·FOR16/11
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.531.471.601.071.47
vs Stronger (1)0.005.000.005.00--
vs Similar (14)1.361.571.711.141.002.00
vs Weaker (15)1.271.271.431.571.121.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D13L01L30W51W02L12L11D20W20WA·DUM31/08H·COV14/09A·ALL21/09H·ANN28/09A·QUE05/10H·MON19/10A·STE26/10A·INV02/11H·DUM09/11A·ANN16/11
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.501.001.131.531.87
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (18)1.002.000.382.001.502.00
vs Weaker (11)1.730.821.830.171.601.60
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%11%019%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.4%
No
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
Elgin goals ↓
Kelty Hearts goals →
01234
011%8.6%5.3%1.9%0.5%
111%14%7.0%2.5%0.7%
27.9%8.5%4.6%1.6%0.4%
33.4%3.7%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.1%1.2%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elgin goals (down), columns = Kelty Hearts goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Formartine United
3.00
Celtic
2.60
Musselburgh Athletic
2.40
Clydebank
2.40
Cowdenbeath
2.33
Jeanfield Swifts
2.33
ST Johnstone
2.25
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Irvine Meadow
2.25
Aberdeen
2.20
Dundee
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Hibernian
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Dunfermline
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Cove Rangers
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Ayr Utd
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Hamilton Academical
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Banks O' Dee
2.00
Lochee United
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Bo'ness United
2.00
Buckie Thistle
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Camelon Juniors
2.00
Sauchie Juniors
2.00
Turriff United
2.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
2.00
Brechin
1.75
Fraserburgh
1.75
Broxburn Athletic
1.75
Dundee North End
1.75
Rangers
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Culter
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Vale of Leithen
1.50
Dunbar United
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Dalkeith Thistle
1.50
Newtongrange Star
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Cupar Hearts
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Livingston
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Queen's Park
1.25
Ross County
1.00
Partick
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Wick Academy
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Edinburgh City
0.50
Raith Rovers
0.50
Keith
0.50
Huntly
0.50
Motherwell
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Spartans
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
Alloa Athletic
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.00
Preston Athletic
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Creetown
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0.00
Nairn County
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Tayport
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Deveronvale
0.00
Glenafton Athletic
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
East Stirlingshire
0.00
Beith
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Edinburgh University
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Dalbeattie Star
0.00
Haddington Athletic
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Albion Rovers
0.00
BSC Glasgow
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Forres Mechanics
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Dunipace
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Pollok
0.00
Fort William
0.00
Elgin is 1.33 points better than Kelty Hearts in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Girvan
5.00
Peterhead
4.00
Stirling
4.00
Threave Rovers
4.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
3.67
Camelon Juniors
3.50
Ayr Utd
3.33
Lochee United
3.33
Celtic
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Clydebank
3.00
Cupar Hearts
3.00
Tynecastle
3.00
Fraserburgh
2.75
Sauchie Juniors
2.67
Rangers
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.50
Montrose
2.50
Irvine Meadow
2.50
Culter
2.50
Aberdeen
2.40
Bo'ness United
2.33
Heart Of Midlothian
2.25
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Ross County
2.00
Partick
2.00
Dundee
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Alloa Athletic
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Berwick Rangers
2.00
Jeanfield Swifts
2.00
Formartine United
2.00
Dundee North End
2.00
Preston Athletic
2.00
Vale of Leithen
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Deveronvale
2.00
Glenafton Athletic
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
East Stirlingshire
2.00
Newtongrange Star
2.00
Rutherglen Glencairn
2.00
Huntly
2.00
Livingston
1.67
Dunfermline
1.67
Hamilton Academical
1.67
Musselburgh Athletic
1.60
Brechin
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Broxburn Athletic
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Hibernian
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.33
Buckie Thistle
1.33
Kilmarnock
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Edinburgh City
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Banks O' Dee
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.00
Whitehill Welfare
1.00
Dunbar United
1.00
Creetown
1.00
Nairn County
1.00
Tayport
1.00
Turriff United
1.00
Beith
1.00
Edinburgh University
1.00
Dalbeattie Star
1.00
Haddington Athletic
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Albion Rovers
1.00
Forres Mechanics
1.00
Dunipace
1.00
Pollok
1.00
ST Johnstone
0.75
Raith Rovers
0.50
Keith
0.50
Dalkeith Thistle
0.50
Motherwell
0.00
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
BSC Glasgow
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Fort William
0.00
Elgin is 0.67 goals worse than Kelty Hearts in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Formartine United
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.33
Celtic
0.40
Rangers
0.50
Camelon Juniors
0.50
Turriff United
0.50
Newtongrange Star
0.50
Aberdeen
0.60
Hibernian
0.67
Jeanfield Swifts
0.67
Banks O' Dee
0.67
Dundee North End
0.75
Clydebank
0.80
Motherwell
1.00
Dundee
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Stirling
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Heart Of Midlothian
1.00
Hamilton Academical
1.00
Cumnock Juniors
1.00
Clachnacuddin
1.00
Musselburgh Athletic
1.00
Culter
1.00
Auchinleck Talbot
1.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1.00
Bonnyton Thistle
1.00
Carluke Rovers
1.00
Buckie Thistle
1.00
Dundonald Bluebell
1.00
Caledonian Braves
1.00
Sauchie Juniors
1.00
Penicuik Athletic
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
BSC Glasgow
1.00
Darvel
1.00
Blackburn United
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.25
Forfar
1.33
Dunfermline
1.33
Cowdenbeath
1.33
East Kilbride
1.33
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
1.33
Stranraer
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Edinburgh City
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Fraserburgh
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Airdrie United
1.67
Bo'ness United
1.67
Brechin
1.75
Ross County
2.00
Partick
2.00
Kilmarnock
2.00
Morton
2.00
Elgin
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Annan Athletic
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Queen's Park
2.00
Gretna 2008
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Bo'ness Athletic
2.00
Irvine Meadow
2.00
Dunbar United
2.00
Kilwinning Rangers
2.00
Keith
2.00
Stirling University
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Golspie Sutherland
2.00
Dalbeattie Star
2.00
Dalkeith Thistle
2.00
Albion Rovers
2.00
Cupar Hearts
2.00
Forres Mechanics
2.00
Lothian Hutchison
2.00
Dunipace
2.00
Broxburn Athletic
2.25
Burntisland Shipyard
2.50
Huntly
2.50
Lochee United
2.67
Peterhead
3.00
Kelty Hearts
3.00
Raith Rovers
3.00
Alloa Athletic
3.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.00
Preston Athletic
3.00
Vale of Leithen
3.00
Creetown
3.00
Benburb
3.00
Nairn County
3.00
Tayport
3.00
Cumbernauld Colts
3.00
East Stirlingshire
3.00
Beith
3.00
Edinburgh University
3.00
Newton Stewart
3.00
Pollok
3.00
Dumbarton
3.50
Hawick Royal Albert
4.00
Deveronvale
4.00
Glenafton Athletic
4.00
Tranent Juniors
4.00
Invergordon
4.00
Haddington Athletic
4.00
Glasgow University
4.00
Easthouses Lily
4.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
4.00
Strathspey Thistle
6.00
Coldstream
6.00
St Andrews United
7.00
Rothes
8.00
Fort William
8.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
9.00
Elgin is 1.00 goals better than Kelty Hearts in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 3.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ElginElgin

For 3.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

120654626210565182573211108121159775H·FORA·BONH·STRA·SPAA·PETH·EDIA·CLYH·SPAH·BONA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.7

🟨 Cards

90162435235422322222237685945445H·FORA·BONH·STRA·SPAA·PETH·EDIA·CLYH·SPAH·BONA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 13.9 · Total 26.4

⚠️ Fouls

34012189199171317191510815161231116151030282630341831152725H·FORA·BONH·STRA·SPAA·PETH·EDIA·CLYH·SPAH·BONA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

For 5.2 · Against 6.7 · Total 11.9

🚩 Corners

1901410568613366582772431351514199111014616A·ANNH·DUMA·INVA·STEH·MONA·QUEH·ANNA·ALLH·COVA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

7042333214115224026552702A·ANNH·DUMA·INVA·STEH·MONA·QUEH·ANNA·ALLH·COVA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 10.9 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

320157697111413141391113711215761022151827272020321216A·ANNH·DUMA·INVA·STEH·MONA·QUEH·ANNA·ALLH·COVA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.88.78.93.73.63.925.125.025.1
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (23)8.88.39.44.04.33.726.224.727.7
vs Weaker (26)8.89.18.53.73.24.124.225.223.2
% over line40%36%43%52%44%60%71%68%74%
% under line60%64%57%48%56%40%29%32%26%
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.110.411.83.23.13.321.521.621.4
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (30)10.710.610.93.23.03.322.322.921.9
vs Weaker (19)11.710.113.43.53.63.420.320.120.6
% over line59%45%71%38%38%38%48%59%38%
% under line41%55%29%62%62%62%52%41%62%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.5
Dumbarton
11.8
Heart Of Midlothian
11.2
Kilmarnock
11.2
Kelty Hearts
11.1
Motherwell
11.0
Dundee Utd
11.0
Arbroath
11.0
Rangers
10.9
Ross County
10.9
Morton
10.8
Dundee
10.8
Dunfermline
10.7
Falkirk
10.7
ST Mirren
10.6
Aberdeen
10.6
ST Johnstone
10.5
Hibernian
10.4
Stirling
10.3
Stenhousemuir
10.2
Airdrie United
10.2
Montrose
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Cove Rangers
10.0
Stranraer
9.9
Partick
9.9
Inverness CT
9.9
Forfar
9.8
Edinburgh City
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.6
East Fife
9.6
Livingston
9.5
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Spartans
9.3
Clyde
9.3
Elgin
8.9
Peterhead
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.1
Morton
4.6
Rangers
4.5
Aberdeen
4.4
Annan Athletic
4.4
Motherwell
4.3
Heart Of Midlothian
4.3
Dundee Utd
4.3
Dundee
4.2
Hibernian
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.1
Edinburgh City
4.1
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Stirling
4.0
Falkirk
4.0
Elgin
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Ross County
3.9
Livingston
3.9
Dumbarton
3.8
Stranraer
3.8
Montrose
3.8
Forfar
3.8
ST Mirren
3.8
East Fife
3.7
Clyde
3.7
Celtic
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Partick
3.5
Airdrie United
3.4
Spartans
3.4
Inverness CT
3.1
Cove Rangers
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.9
Elgin
24.7
Forfar
24.6
Aberdeen
24.3
Livingston
23.9
Stenhousemuir
22.8
Morton
22.8
Kilmarnock
22.5
Motherwell
22.3
ST Johnstone
22.1
Edinburgh City
22.1
Rangers
22.1
Ross County
22.1
Falkirk
22.0
East Fife
22.0
Cowdenbeath
21.9
ST Mirren
21.8
Heart Of Midlothian
21.7
Spartans
21.7
Clyde
21.6
Dundee Utd
21.5
Kelty Hearts
21.4
Hibernian
21.3
Stirling
21.3
Annan Athletic
21.0
Montrose
20.7
Brechin
20.4
Arbroath
20.3
Dundee
20.0
Stranraer
19.9
Celtic
19.6
Dumbarton
19.6
Partick
19.6
Inverness CT
19.4
Dunfermline
19.3
Airdrie United
19.2
Cove Rangers
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.7%
Under 9.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.0%
Under 3.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
77.5%
Under 21.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Elgin or Draw✓ Hit
70.8%
Avg Implied -
41%
30%
29%
covers Elgin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin or Kelty Hearts✓ Hit
69.9%
Avg Implied -
41%
30%
29%
covers Elgin + Kelty Hearts
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kelty Hearts✗ Miss
59.4%
Avg Implied -
41%
30%
29%
covers Draw + Kelty Hearts
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Elgin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.0%
Under
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.6%
Under
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
14.5%
Under
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.8%
Under
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
29.2%
Under
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Elgin, so a minus line means Elgin give that many goals of a start and Kelty Hearts receive them. At -1, Elgin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Elgin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Elgin)Actual: Kelty Hearts
Elgin -2
6.8%
Draw -2
12.3%
Kelty Hearts +2
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Elgin)Actual: Draw
Elgin -1
19.1%
Draw -1
21.5%
Kelty Hearts +1
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Elgin)Actual: Elgin
Elgin +1
70.8%
Draw +1
17.4%
Kelty Hearts -1
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Elgin)Actual: Elgin
Elgin +2
88.2%
Draw +2
8.3%
Kelty Hearts -2
3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D01L10W11D01L10W01L11DH·BON14/09H·SPA17/09A·CLY21/09H·EDI28/09A·PET05/10A·SPA19/10H·CLY26/10H·STR02/11A·BON09/11H·FOR16/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.670.530.730.470.60
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (14)0.430.640.430.290.431.00
vs Weaker (15)0.600.600.711.000.500.25
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L00D20W30W00D01L11D00D20WA·DUM31/08H·COV14/09A·ALL21/09H·ANN28/09A·QUE05/10H·MON19/10A·STE26/10A·INV02/11H·DUM09/11A·ANN16/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.330.530.870.93
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (18)0.440.830.000.880.800.80
vs Weaker (11)0.910.640.830.171.001.20
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D00D32W00D20W10W00D01L10WH·BON14/09H·SPA17/09A·CLY21/09H·EDI28/09A·PET05/10A·SPA19/10H·CLY26/10H·STR02/11A·BON09/11H·FOR16/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.870.930.870.600.87
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (14)0.930.931.290.860.571.00
vs Weaker (15)0.670.670.710.570.620.75
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L01L10W21W02L11D00D20W00DA·DUM31/08H·COV14/09A·ALL21/09H·ANN28/09A·QUE05/10H·MON19/10A·STE26/10A·INV02/11H·DUM09/11A·ANN16/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.770.670.600.670.93
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (18)0.561.170.381.120.701.20
vs Weaker (11)0.820.181.000.000.600.40
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.596.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.590.6%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals90.6%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap88.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls88.1%--------
Home under 2.5 goals85.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards83.4%--------
Away +2 handicap80.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls77.5%--------
Home over 0.5 goals73.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals70.8%-------✗ Miss
Home or Draw70.8%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap70.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
ELG wins
3
Draws
1
KH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Elgin vs Kelty Hearts · H/A from ELG
DateH/AGameScore
16/07/24HELG Vs Kelty Hearts1-1
19/03/22HELG Vs Kelty Hearts0-0
05/02/22AKelty Hearts Vs ELG4-0
25/01/22HELG Vs Kelty Hearts2-0
11/09/21AKelty Hearts Vs ELG1-1

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/24HELG Vs Forfar2-1
09/11/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs ELG2-0
02/11/24HELG Vs Stranraer1-0
26/10/24HELG Vs Clyde1-1
19/10/24ASpartans Vs ELG1-3
05/10/24APeterhead Vs ELG0-1
28/09/24HELG Vs Edinburgh City3-3
21/09/24AClyde Vs ELG0-0
17/09/24HELG Vs Spartans1-1
14/09/24HELG Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/24AAnnan Athletic Vs KH0-2
09/11/24HKH Vs Dumbarton2-0
02/11/24AInverness CT Vs KH1-1
26/10/24AStenhousemuir Vs KH2-1
19/10/24HKH Vs Montrose0-2
05/10/24AQueen of Sth Vs KH1-5
28/09/24HKH Vs Annan Athletic3-0
21/09/24AAlloa Vs KH1-0
14/09/24HKH Vs Cove Rangers1-3
31/08/24ADumbarton Vs KH2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: FA Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.32
HomeDDDWW1.80
AwayDDWWL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%48%20%
AVG goals2.802.722.88
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.141.400.88
Conceded1.661.322.00
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners8.828.738.91
Cards4.134.054.22
Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
Scotland: FA Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW1.28
HomeDLWLW1.42
AwayLWLDW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%27%
AVG goals2.982.253.65
Over 1.5 %78%58%96%
Over 2.5 %56%33%77%
Over 3.5 %40%25%54%
Scored1.381.041.69
Conceded1.601.211.96
BTTS54%33%73%
Clean Sheet22%33%12%
Corners11.1310.3611.83
Cards3.523.413.62

🏆 17. League Table

Elgin plays in Scotland - League Two
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3666
53%
1.8
5240+12
2.6
61%
44%
33%
8.5
36%
5.3
86%
25.0
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
2East FifeEast Fife3665
56%
1.8
6537+28
2.8
72%
47%
28%
9.7
56%
4.2
67%
23.6
58%
0
0001.81.0
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3656
47%
1.6
5447+7
2.8
75%
47%
28%
9.2
42%
4.8
81%
24.4
72%
0
0001.51.3
-
4ElginElgin3655
44%
1.5
4841+7
2.5
72%
39%
19%
9.4
53%
4.8
75%
23.4
61%
0
0001.31.1
-
5SpartansSpartans3652
42%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.8
39%
4.2
67%
22.0
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StirlingStirling3648
39%
1.3
5057-7
3.0
86%
61%
33%
10.1
64%
4.2
61%
21.5
47%
0
0001.41.6
-
7ClydeClyde3643
31%
1.2
4954-5
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.6
50%
4.6
64%
22.8
58%
0
0001.41.5
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
33%
1.2
4062-22
2.8
86%
50%
28%
9.0
39%
4.9
78%
24.4
69%
0
0001.11.7
-
9StranraerStranraer3640
31%
1.1
3442-8
2.1
67%
42%
11%
9.1
42%
4.2
56%
20.6
33%
0
0000.91.2
-
10ForfarForfar3636
22%
1.0
2942-13
2.0
61%
33%
11%
9.3
36%
4.9
78%
24.7
78%
0
0000.81.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
Kelty Hearts plays in Scotland - League One
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArbroathArbroath3664
53%
1.8
5842+16
2.8
81%
61%
25%
10.4
56%
3.4
44%
19.7
31%
1
0001.61.2
-
2Inverness CTInverness CT3658
44%
1.6
4538+7
2.3
67%
36%
19%
8.9
42%
3.5
44%
21.4
50%
1
0001.21.1
-
3Cove RangersCove Rangers3657
44%
1.6
6244+18
2.9
86%
61%
36%
9.4
47%
2.6
22%
18.6
25%
0
0001.71.2
-
4
QO
Queen of Sth
3655
44%
1.5
4641+5
2.4
72%
44%
19%
8.7
31%
4.2
67%
21.5
51%
0
0001.31.1
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3653
42%
1.5
4845+3
2.6
72%
53%
31%
9.4
39%
3.7
44%
21.1
47%
0
0001.31.2
-
6
A
Alloa
3651
36%
1.4
5547+8
2.8
75%
50%
36%
10.4
61%
4.1
58%
20.5
42%
0
0001.51.3
-
7Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3644
31%
1.2
4046-6
2.4
75%
42%
25%
10.0
50%
3.2
42%
19.3
28%
1
1001.11.3
-
8MontroseMontrose3640
25%
1.1
4049-9
2.5
72%
50%
25%
9.3
40%
3.9
61%
20.2
34%
0
0001.11.4
-
9Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3636
28%
1.0
4168-27
3.0
81%
53%
36%
9.5
56%
3.6
47%
19.4
31%
0
0001.11.9
-
10DumbartonDumbarton3635
22%
1.0
5166-15
3.2
92%
67%
47%
11.0
53%
3.7
47%
19.2
25%
0
0001.41.8
-
Scotland: League One 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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