Real Madrid is the clear favourite to win this match, with a 62% chance of victory, according to the Pythia prediction model. This is largely due to their opponent's weakness at home, as Espanyol has struggled to contain stronger teams on their own turf, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per match. In contrast, Real Madrid has a strong away record, scoring 1.56 goals and conceding just 0.78 against weaker opponents.
The model predicts an expected total of 2.8 goals, with the most likely scoreline being 0-2 in favour of Real Madrid, with a probability of 11.5%. Espanyol has also struggled to score at home, averaging just 0.25 goals per match.
The model suggests three selections: Over 21.5 fouls (79.2%), Over 1.5 goals (78.1% with a 1% edge), and Over 3.5 cards (75.1%). The probabilities for a home win, draw, and away win are 15%, 23%, and 62% respectively.
Results analysis
The modelâs forecast proved spot on: Real Madrid secured a 1-2 away victory, extending their four-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, âAway win,â carried a 60 % probability and was correct. The final score matched the most likely 1-1 outcome in the modelâs distribution, but the actual 1-2 result still fell within the predicted range. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 goals (99.6 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.1 %), Home under 3.5 goals (98.9 %), Under 6.5 (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.7 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.2 %), Under 5.5 (95.7 %) and Home under 2.5 goals (94.7 %). The modelâs selections performed flawlessly, confirming the accuracy of its predictions.
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đŻ 1. Model Analysis
Espanyol winâ Miss
16.3%
Avg Implied 13.5% · @ 7.07
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
7.60
Unibet
7.50
BetVictor
7.50
1xBet
7.42
Pinnacle
7.32
Drawâ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 20.5% · @ 4.65
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
5.00
1xBet
4.83
Pinnacle
4.83
BetVictor
4.80
Marathonbet
4.75
Real Madrid winâ Hit
59.9%
Avg Implied 66.0% · @ 1.44
Edge
-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
✠2. Goal Analysis
Espanyol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.50
1.00
1.21
1.12
1.75
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
2.71
0.25
1.75
1.33
4.00
vs Similar (23)
1.17
1.13
1.30
1.00
1.08
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Madrid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
1.17
2.69
0.94
1.57
1.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.89
1.78
2.25
1.25
1.60
2.20
vs Weaker (21)
2.29
0.90
2.83
0.83
1.56
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Espanyol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.3%
@ 1.20-0.7%
Under 1.5
21.7%
@ 4.50+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Under
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
888Sport
4.60
Superbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.6%
@ 1.65-4.0%
Under 2.5
46.4%
@ 2.25+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Unibet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Under
SBO
2.35
1xBet
2.32
Pinnacle
2.32
Betfair
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.3%
@ 2.61-4.9%
Under 3.5
68.7%
@ 1.48+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.80
Unibet
2.80
Betano
2.65
Pinnacle
2.64
Bet365
2.62
Under
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.0%
@ 1.81+0.2%
No
48.0%
@ 1.94-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.90
Unibet
1.89
1xBet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
888Sport
1.80
No
Betfair
2.05
William Hil
2.00
888Sport
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Betano
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%@ 8.16+5.8%
0-2
10.9%@ 7.00+4.3%
0-1
10.3%@ 7.15+3.9%
1-2 â
9.9%@ 7.68+3.9%
0-0
7.0%@ 13.54+3.6%
0-3
6.9%@ 9.58+2.1%
1-3
6.3%@ 10.47+1.9%
2-1
4.7%@ 18.18+2.2%
Espanyol goals ↓
Real Madrid goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
10%
11%
6.9%
3.3%
1
4.4%
11%
9.9%
6.3%
3.0%
2
2.5%
4.7%
4.5%
2.9%
1.4%
3
0.7%
1.4%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Espanyol goals (down), columns = Real Madrid goals (across).
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đȘ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
đ Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.47
Real Madrid
2.26
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.82
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.42
Getafe
1.34
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Valencia
1.29
Real Sociedad
1.21
Espanyol
1.21
Athletic Club
1.18
Sevilla
1.13
Elche
1.13
Alaves
1.13
Levante
1.11
Osasuna
1.11
Malaga
1.10
Racing Santander
1.10
Deportivo La Coruna
1.08
Espanyol is 1.05 points worse than Real Madrid in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 2.26).
âïž Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.50
Real Madrid
2.03
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.63
Real Sociedad
1.55
Real Betis
1.55
Celta Vigo
1.39
Elche
1.29
Levante
1.24
Sevilla
1.21
Valencia
1.21
Osasuna
1.16
Alaves
1.16
Athletic Club
1.13
Espanyol
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Malaga
1.08
Racing Santander
1.08
Deportivo La Coruna
1.06
Getafe
0.84
Espanyol is 0.89 goals worse than Real Madrid in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 2.03).
đĄïž Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Getafe
1.00
Atletico Madrid
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.16
Villarreal
1.21
Real Betis
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.26
Osasuna
1.32
Valencia
1.45
Espanyol
1.45
Alaves
1.47
Elche
1.50
Athletic Club
1.53
Sevilla
1.58
Levante
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.61
Malaga
1.69
Racing Santander
1.69
Deportivo La Coruna
1.72
Espanyol is 0.53 goals worse than Real Madrid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 0.92).
â±ïž Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
59%
Elche
58%
Rayo Vallecano
53%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Sociedad
51%
Sevilla
51%
Celta Vigo
50%
Real Betis
50%
Athletic Club
49%
Alaves
48%
Valencia
48%
Osasuna
47%
Villarreal
45%
Levante
43%
Espanyol
42%
Getafe
40%
Espanyol is 17.1 percentage points worse than Real Madrid in terms of average possession (42% vs 59%).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Espanyol or Drawâ Miss
43.9%
Avg Implied 34.6% · @ 2.74
Edge
+9.3%
16%
24%
60%
covers Espanyol + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
2.85
1xBet
2.84
SBO
2.82
Unibet
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Espanyol or Real Madridâ Hit
73.6%
Avg Implied 79.6% · @ 1.19
Edge
-6.0%
16%
24%
60%
covers Espanyol + Real Madrid
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Draw or Real Madridâ Hit
82.5%
Avg Implied 85.9% · @ 1.10
Edge
-3.3%
16%
24%
60%
covers Draw + Real Madrid
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
888Sport
1.11
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đ„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Espanyol over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
56.7%
@ 1.63-0.6%
Under
43.3%
@ 2.19+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
Superbet
2.27
Betfair
2.25
888Sport
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Espanyol over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
20.5%
@ 4.13-2.2%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.21+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Pinnacle
4.37
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Under
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Espanyol over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 11.59-2.8%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.03+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
12.75
1xBet
12.70
Unibet
11.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.02
Espanyol over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 29.17-2.3%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
33.00
Betano
13.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Real Madrid over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.3%
@ 1.08-5.2%
Under
18.7%
@ 6.93+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Under
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
888Sport
7.00
Real Madrid over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.9%
@ 1.48-12.9%
Under
50.1%
@ 2.51+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.66
Betfair
2.60
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.54
Marathonbet
2.54
Real Madrid over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.7%
@ 2.52-13.4%
Under
76.3%
@ 1.48+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.61
10Bet
2.60
Unibet
2.55
1xBet
2.54
Marathonbet
2.54
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Real Madrid over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 4.98-9.8%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.15+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
888Sport
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
888Sport
1.15
âïž 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Espanyol, so a minus line means Espanyol give that many goals of a start and Real Madrid receive them. At -1, Espanyol must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Espanyol win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Espanyol)Actual: Real Madrid
Espanyol -2
1.4%
@ 49.33-0.6%
Draw -2
4.4%
@ 20.00-0.3%
Real Madrid +2
94.2%
@ 1.02+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
67.00
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
40.00
Draw
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Away
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
Handicap -1 (Espanyol)Actual: Real Madrid
Espanyol -1
5.8%
@ 13.72-0.7%
Draw -1
11.7%
@ 7.66+0.0%
Real Madrid +1
82.5%
@ 1.09+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
10Bet
15.00
Unibet
14.00
Marathonbet
7.60
Draw
Bet365
9.50
Betfair
9.00
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Handicap +1 (Espanyol)Actual: Draw
Espanyol +1
43.9%
@ 2.74+10.9%
Draw +1
24.5%
@ 3.56-0.9%
Real Madrid -1
31.7%
@ 2.17-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.85
Unibet
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Superbet
2.67
Draw
Superbet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.40
Away
Superbet
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
10Bet
2.15
Handicap +2 (Espanyol)Actual: Espanyol
Espanyol +2
68.3%
@ 1.63+12.8%
Draw +2
17.7%
@ 4.22-3.8%
Real Madrid -2
14.0%
@ 3.94-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Unibet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Superbet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.00
Away
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.75
â±ïž 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Espanyol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.60
0.36
0.57
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.48
0.50
0.60
0.31
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Madrid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
1.12
0.38
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.00
1.11
1.00
0.75
1.00
1.40
vs Weaker (21)
0.86
0.33
1.17
0.25
0.44
0.44
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Espanyol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.9%
@ 1.30-2.2%
Under 0.5
30.1%
@ 3.38+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.34
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Unibet
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.60
Superbet
3.60
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
33.6%
@ 2.42-5.3%
Under 1.5
66.4%
@ 1.54+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Unibet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
SBO
2.47
1xBet
2.46
Under
Superbet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
SBO
1.56
William Hil
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.1%
@ 5.60-4.5%
Under 2.5
87.9%
@ 1.12+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Unibet
5.75
1xBet
5.65
Marathonbet
5.65
Under
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.12
10Bet
1.12
đ„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Espanyol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.9%
@ 2.94+5.2%
Under
63.1%
@ 1.37-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.11
Unibet
3.05
10Bet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.89
Under
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Espanyol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 10.54-1.7%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.03+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
12.00
1xBet
11.70
Unibet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.01
Espanyol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 29.50-2.4%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Betano
14.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
51.9%
@ 1.53-9.1%
Under
48.1%
@ 2.39+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Unibet
1.53
Superbet
1.51
Under
Pinnacle
2.51
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.30
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.6%
@ 3.53-7.6%
Under
81.4%
@ 1.25+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.64
Betano
3.60
Unibet
3.60
1xBet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Under
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 9.04-6.4%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.03+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Unibet
9.50
Superbet
8.60
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Unibet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
â±ïž 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Espanyol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.90
0.64
0.64
0.81
1.12
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.71
0.25
1.25
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.65
0.80
0.40
0.77
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Madrid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.60
1.56
0.56
0.93
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.67
1.25
0.50
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (21)
1.43
0.57
1.67
0.58
1.11
0.56
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Espanyol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.4%
Under 0.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.7%
Under 1.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.5%
Under 2.5
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
đ„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Espanyol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.7%
Under
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.4%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
61.8%
Under
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
25.2%
Under
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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đ„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.4%
â Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
â Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+4.0%
â Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.2%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Unibet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+6.4%
â Hit
Under 5.5
95.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.06
+6.0%
â Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
94.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.02
+2.8%
â Hit
Away +2 handicap
94.2%
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-
+0.9%
â Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.01
-
-
+1.7%
â Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.0%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
888Sport
1.15
+9.8%
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 4.5
88.9%
1.18
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+9.0%
â Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.0%
1.25
Unibet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.18
-
-
+13.9%
â Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.9%
1.12
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.12
10Bet
1.12
+4.5%
â Hit
Draw or Away
82.5%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
888Sport
1.11
-3.3%
â Hit
Away +1 handicap
82.5%
1.09
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+0.7%
â Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
81.4%
1.25
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+7.6%
â Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
81.3%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
-5.2%
â Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
79.5%
1.21
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+2.2%
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.5%
1.33
1xBet
1.33
-
-
-
-
+11.3%
â Hit
Over 1.5
78.3%
1.20
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
-0.7%
â Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
76.3%
1.48
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
+13.4%
â Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.2%
1.59
Unibet
1.63
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.58
+15.6%
â Hit
Home or Away
73.6%
1.19
1xBet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
-6.0%
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.6%
1.35
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
+3.3%
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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đ° 14. Squad value
đ° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (27)
€41m
Espanyol's squad is €1338m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€119m vs €1456m).
âïž Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
Espanyol's attack is €803m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€39m vs €842m).
đ§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
Espanyol's midfield is €206m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€31m vs €238m).
đĄïž Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (11)
€9m
Espanyol's defence is €329m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€48m vs €377m).
Spain: La Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →