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Estoril vs Moreirense Prediction & Stats

Date: 25/10/2026
Time: 15:30
Estoril
Estoril
Vs
43%
29%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Moreirense
Moreirense
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Estoril are the clear favourites, with a 43% chance of victory, a 29% draw probability and a 28% chance of Moreirense winning. The model expects 2.6 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 13.7% chance. Estoril, playing at home against a similarly-rated opponent, average 1.67 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Moreirense, on the road, average 1.0 goal scored and 1.23 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Under 6.5 (97.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.7%), Under 5.5 (93.4%), Over 19.5 fouls (92.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (91.8%), Home +2 handicap (88.7%) and Away under 2.5 goals (88.2%). Estoril’s recent form shows a 5-match record of LLDLD after two straight defeats, last losing 0-2 to Rio Ave, while Moreirense comes off a win, 1-0 over Casa Pia, with a 5-match record of WLDDL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estoril win
42.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Moreirense win
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EstorilEstoril

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L01L01L11D11D13L11D02L02L12LH·FC 12/04A·MOR20/04H·FAM26/04A·SC 03/05A·ALV10/05H·BEN16/05H·FAM07/08A·NAC16/08H·RIO22/08A·BEN31/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.731.731.731.331.73
vs Stronger (9)1.112.001.752.000.602.00
vs Similar (21)1.711.621.731.641.701.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoreirenseMoreirense

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D10W14L32W02L00D22D04L10WH·SC 04/04A·FAM10/04H·EST20/04A·BEN25/04H·EST02/05A·TON11/05H·AVS16/05H·SC 09/08A·ARO16/08A·CAS30/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.500.931.430.941.56
vs Stronger (8)0.622.620.602.400.673.00
vs Similar (22)1.051.091.110.891.001.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Estoril) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.2%
Under 2.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.5%
Under 3.5
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.0%
Estoril goals ↓
Moreirense goals →
01234
09.0%7.5%4.9%1.8%0.5%
19.8%14%7.0%2.6%0.7%
27.9%9.0%5.0%1.9%0.5%
33.8%4.3%2.4%0.9%0.3%
41.4%1.5%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Estoril goals (down), columns = Moreirense goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Arouca
1.24
Guimaraes
1.24
Estoril
1.15
Alverca
1.15
Maritimo
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.10
Rio Ave
1.06
Santa Clara
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Estoril is 0.12 points worse than Moreirense in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
Arouca
1.38
GIL Vicente
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Maritimo
1.08
Academico Viseu
1.06
Rio Ave
1.03
Alverca
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
Estoril is 0.50 goals better than Moreirense in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Maritimo
1.55
Academico Viseu
1.58
Casa Pia
1.58
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
Estoril is 0.24 goals worse than Moreirense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Casa Pia
41%
Estoril is 3.1 percentage points better than Moreirense in terms of average possession (53% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

EstorilEstoril

For 3.8 · Against 6.0 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

130963477629444594151899111311891369A·BENH·RIOA·NACH·FAMH·BENA·ALVA·SC H·FAMA·MORH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

70111521232233322311273556224A·BENH·RIOA·NACH·FAMH·BENA·ALVA·SC H·FAMA·MORH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 14.1 · Total 26.7

⚠️ Fouls

35012141114131312139121520101519111214131526252625213525302628A·BENH·RIOA·NACH·FAMH·BENA·ALVA·SC H·FAMA·MORH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MoreirenseMoreirense

For 3.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

130143542538114295113495868951161313A·CASA·AROH·SC H·AVSA·TONH·ESTA·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

11031434123414422265347555842113A·CASA·AROH·SC H·AVSA·TONH·ESTA·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 14.2 · Total 27.2

⚠️ Fouls

360171491015201012914181814131412151591431193522233627263023A·CASA·AROH·SC H·AVSA·TONH·ESTA·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstorilEstoril

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.58.84.13.64.526.525.227.9
vs Stronger (14)8.48.78.04.14.63.626.125.127.2
vs Similar (35)9.59.99.14.23.25.226.725.228.2
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line39%45%32%70%64%76%86%82%91%
% under line61%55%68%30%36%24%14%18%9%
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoreirenseMoreirense

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.18.67.64.64.24.929.329.129.5
vs Stronger (13)8.79.08.53.12.73.428.629.228.2
vs Similar (37)7.88.57.25.14.75.429.529.130.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line30%33%26%64%54%73%93%90%96%
% under line70%67%74%36%46%27%7%10%4%
This opponent (Estoril) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.5
Rio Ave
10.4
Nacional
10.2
Benfica
10.1
Sporting CP
9.8
Casa Pia
9.6
Academico Viseu
9.5
GIL Vicente
9.1
Estoril
9.0
Santa Clara
9.0
Estrela
9.0
Alverca
8.9
FC Porto
8.9
Arouca
8.9
Guimaraes
8.5
Maritimo
8.1
SC Braga
8.1
Moreirense
7.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
5.9
Maritimo
5.8
Academico Viseu
5.8
Casa Pia
5.6
Arouca
5.6
Estrela
5.5
Famalicao
5.4
Nacional
5.4
Guimaraes
5.2
Moreirense
5.2
FC Porto
5.2
Sporting CP
5.1
Benfica
5.0
Rio Ave
5.0
GIL Vicente
4.9
SC Braga
4.9
Alverca
4.8
Estoril
4.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
32.0
Santa Clara
30.1
Estrela
29.9
Moreirense
29.5
Casa Pia
29.2
Guimaraes
28.9
GIL Vicente
27.9
Rio Ave
27.0
Nacional
26.9
Estoril
26.7
Sporting CP
26.2
FC Porto
26.1
Arouca
26.0
Benfica
25.8
Academico Viseu
25.3
SC Braga
24.7
Maritimo
24.6
Alverca
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.8%
Under 9.5
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.3%
Under 3.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.5%
Under 21.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Estoril or Draw
74.3%
Avg Implied -
43%
29%
28%
covers Estoril + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Estoril or Moreirense
73.4%
Avg Implied -
43%
29%
28%
covers Estoril + Moreirense
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Moreirense
52.2%
Avg Implied -
43%
29%
28%
covers Draw + Moreirense
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Estoril over/under 0.5
Over
81.0%
Under
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 1.5
Over
49.5%
Under
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 2.5
Over
23.3%
Under
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 3.5
Over
8.8%
Under
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 0.5
Over
68.9%
Under
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5
Over
32.5%
Under
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5
Over
11.3%
Under
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Estoril, so a minus line means Estoril give that many goals of a start and Moreirense receive them. At -1, Estoril must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Estoril win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Estoril)
Estoril -2
11.1%
Draw -2
14.9%
Moreirense +2
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Estoril)
Estoril -1
26.0%
Draw -1
21.8%
Moreirense +1
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Estoril)
Estoril +1
74.3%
Draw +1
15.0%
Moreirense -1
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Estoril)
Estoril +2
89.3%
Draw +2
7.3%
Moreirense -2
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EstorilEstoril

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L00D01L01L03L01L00D01L01LH·FC 12/04A·MOR20/04H·FAM26/04A·SC 03/05A·ALV10/05H·BEN16/05H·FAM07/08A·NAC16/08H·RIO22/08A·BEN31/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.970.731.070.600.87
vs Stronger (9)0.331.560.501.750.201.40
vs Similar (21)0.810.710.820.820.800.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoreirenseMoreirense

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W12L12L01L00D11D03L10WH·SC 04/04A·FAM10/04H·EST20/04A·BEN25/04H·EST02/05A·TON11/05H·AVS16/05H·SC 09/08A·ARO16/08A·CAS30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.360.570.500.75
vs Stronger (8)0.381.120.400.800.331.67
vs Similar (22)0.450.500.330.440.540.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Estoril) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Estoril over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EstorilEstoril

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L10W10W10W10W02L01L11DH·FC 12/04A·MOR20/04H·FAM26/04A·SC 03/05A·ALV10/05H·BEN16/05H·FAM07/08A·NAC16/08H·RIO22/08A·BEN31/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.771.000.670.730.87
vs Stronger (9)0.780.441.250.250.400.60
vs Similar (21)0.900.900.910.820.901.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoreirenseMoreirense

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D02L20W01L00D11D01L00DH·SC 04/04A·FAM10/04H·EST20/04A·BEN25/04H·EST02/05A·TON11/05H·AVS16/05H·SC 09/08A·ARO16/08A·CAS30/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.570.860.440.81
vs Stronger (8)0.251.500.201.600.331.33
vs Similar (22)0.590.590.780.440.460.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Estoril) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Estoril over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.1%-------
Under 6.597.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.9%-------
Under 5.593.2%-------
Over 19.5 fouls92.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals91.2%-------
Home +2 handicap89.3%-------
Away under 2.5 goals88.7%-------
Over 21.5 fouls84.5%-------
Under 4.584.3%-------
Over 2.5 cards83.6%-------
Under 11.5 corners81.4%-------
Home over 0.5 goals81.0%-------
Home under 2.5 goals76.7%-------
Under 3.574.5%-------
Home or Draw74.3%-------
Home +1 handicap74.3%-------
Away +2 handicap74.0%-------
Over 1.573.7%-------
Home or Away73.4%-------
Over 23.5 fouls72.8%-------
Under 10.5 corners71.9%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Estoril
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yanis Begraoui50%
Ferro0%
Joel Robles0%
Rafik Guitane0%
João Carvalho0%
Xeka0%
Antef Tsoungui0%
Fernando Medrano0%
Ricard Sánchez0%
André Lacximicant0%
Ismael Sierra Arnal0%
Pedro Carvalho0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Tiago Brito0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ismael Sierra Arnal50%
Xeka33%
Ferro25%
Fernando Medrano25%
Ricard Sánchez25%
Joel Robles0%
Rafik Guitane0%
João Carvalho0%
Yanis Begraoui0%
Antef Tsoungui0%
André Lacximicant0%
Pedro Carvalho0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Tiago Brito0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fernando Medrano25%
Pedro Carvalho25%
Ferro0%
Joel Robles0%
Rafik Guitane0%
João Carvalho0%
Yanis Begraoui0%
Xeka0%
Antef Tsoungui0%
Ricard Sánchez0%
André Lacximicant0%
Ismael Sierra Arnal0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Tiago Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Carvalho25%
Yanis Begraoui25%
André Lacximicant25%
Ferro0%
Joel Robles0%
Rafik Guitane0%
Xeka0%
Antef Tsoungui0%
Fernando Medrano0%
Ricard Sánchez0%
Ismael Sierra Arnal0%
Pedro Carvalho0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Tiago Brito0%
Moreirense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nile John33%
João Veloso33%
Kiko33%
André Ferreira0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Alexandre Parsemain0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Mateja Stjepanović0%
Landerson0%
Leandro Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nile John67%
Kiko67%
Guilherme Liberato33%
Gilberto Batista33%
Rodrigo Alonso33%
Leandro Santos33%
André Ferreira0%
Alexandre Parsemain0%
João Veloso0%
Mateja Stjepanović0%
Landerson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexandre Parsemain33%
João Veloso33%
André Ferreira0%
Nile John0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Kiko0%
Mateja Stjepanović0%
Landerson0%
Leandro Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Ferreira0%
Nile John0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Alexandre Parsemain0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
João Veloso0%
Kiko0%
Mateja Stjepanović0%
Landerson0%
Leandro Santos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
Estoril's squad is €20m more valuable than Moreirense's (€42m vs €22m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
Estoril's attack is €19m more valuable than Moreirense's (€24m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
Estoril and Moreirense have a similar midfield value (both €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
Estoril's defence is €1m more valuable than Moreirense's (€10m vs €9m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
EST wins
3
Draws
4
MOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Estoril vs Moreirense · H/A from EST
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/26AMoreirense Vs EST1-0
07/12/25HEST Vs Moreirense3-3
11/05/25AMoreirense Vs EST2-2
28/12/24HEST Vs Moreirense2-2
18/05/24AMoreirense Vs EST2-1
13/01/24HEST Vs Moreirense1-3
07/05/22HEST Vs Moreirense1-0
28/12/21AMoreirense Vs EST1-0

EstorilEstoril

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26ABenfica Vs EST2-1
22/08/26HEST Vs Rio Ave0-2
16/08/26ANacional Vs EST2-0
07/08/26HEST Vs Famalicao1-1
16/05/26HEST Vs Benfica1-3
10/05/26AAlverca Vs EST1-1
03/05/26ASC Braga Vs EST1-1
26/04/26HEST Vs Famalicao0-1
20/04/26AMoreirense Vs EST1-0
12/04/26HEST Vs FC Porto1-3

MoreirenseMoreirense

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ACasa Pia Vs MOR0-1
16/08/26AArouca Vs MOR4-0
09/08/26HMOR Vs SC Braga2-2
16/05/26HMOR Vs AVS0-0
11/05/26ATondela Vs MOR2-0
02/05/26HMOR Vs Estrela3-2
25/04/26ABenfica Vs MOR4-1
20/04/26HMOR Vs Estoril1-0
10/04/26AFamalicao Vs MOR1-1
04/04/26HMOR Vs SC Braga0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Estoril
Estoril
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.10
HomeLLLDL1.12
AwayLDDLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals3.163.123.20
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %64%60%68%
Over 3.5 %44%44%44%
Scored1.521.561.48
Conceded1.641.561.72
BTTS60%68%52%
Clean Sheet14%12%16%
Corners9.069.508.62
Cards4.624.304.92
Moreirense
Moreirense
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLW1.22
HomeLWWDD1.46
AwayDLLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%27%
AVG goals2.542.502.58
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %26%29%23%
Scored1.081.210.96
Conceded1.461.291.62
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners7.868.337.40
Cards5.245.085.40

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto412
100%
3.0
90+9
2.2
100%
25%
0%
11.0
75%
1.7
33%
22.5
75%
467
2141051482.20.0
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP410
75%
2.5
125+7
4.2
100%
100%
100%
5.2
0%
4.2
50%
24.0
50%
414
146911763.01.2
62%
3AroucaArouca49
75%
2.2
73+4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
8.5
25%
4.8
50%
19.0
25%
28
11881.80.8
50%
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara48
50%
2.0
53+2
2.0
50%
25%
25%
9.5
50%
3.8
75%
27.5
100%
27
96121.20.8
48%
5BenficaBenfica37
67%
2.3
113+8
4.7
100%
100%
67%
8.3
33%
3.7
67%
25.3
100%
357
172771083.71.0
58%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente37
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
7.7
0%
4.3
67%
24.7
100%
29
118111.00.0
50%
7MaritimoMaritimo47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
75%
25%
7.0
0%
4.5
50%
26.2
75%
16
7361.51.2
-
8EstrelaEstrela35
33%
1.7
76+1
4.3
100%
100%
100%
6.0
0%
4.7
67%
23.3
67%
20
63112.32.0
47%
9SC BragaSC Braga24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
32.0
100%
165
4156681.51.0
63%
10NacionalNacional44
25%
1.0
66+0
3.0
75%
50%
50%
8.2
25%
4.2
50%
25.5
75%
20
6591.51.5
46%
11MoreirenseMoreirense34
33%
1.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
6.3
0%
5.3
100%
28.3
67%
22
5891.02.0
50%
12GuimaraesGuimaraes43
25%
0.8
35-2
2.0
25%
25%
25%
6.0
0%
6.0
75%
26.0
75%
46
2211120.81.2
51%
13Rio AveRio Ave43
25%
0.8
27-5
2.2
75%
25%
25%
8.2
25%
3.0
33%
19.8
50%
37
88210.51.8
47%
14FamalicaoFamalicao42
0%
0.5
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.5
50%
4.0
50%
28.2
100%
57
1620220.51.0
51%
15Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu42
0%
0.5
48-4
3.0
75%
75%
50%
7.2
25%
4.5
75%
28.8
100%
16
8361.02.0
-
16AlvercaAlverca42
0%
0.5
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
8.2
50%
4.2
50%
20.8
75%
39
156181.02.0
45%
17EstorilEstoril41
0%
0.2
27-5
2.2
100%
25%
0%
10.5
50%
3.2
25%
25.5
100%
42
248100.51.8
53%
18Casa PiaCasa Pia40
0%
0.0
011-11
2.8
50%
25%
25%
6.0
0%
3.5
75%
27.0
100%
27
96120.02.8
41%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

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