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Estrela vs Casa Pia Result & Analysis

Date: 08/03/2024
Time: 20:45
Final 3-1
Estrela
Estrela
Vs
50%
25%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estrela win✓ Hit
49.8%
Avg Implied 42.0% · @ 2.26
Edge
+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied 30.7% · @ 3.10
Edge
-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia win✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.48
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L11D11D03L14L01L30W02L11D03LH·ARO28/12H·VIZ06/01A·GIL14/01A·GUI21/01H·BEN29/01A·EST04/02H·POR09/02A·FC 17/02H·CHA24/02A·SC 02/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.671.271.671.001.67
vs Stronger (10)0.602.300.802.000.402.60
vs Similar (19)1.371.321.501.501.221.11
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Casa PiaCasa Pia

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-813L41W02L13L08L00D01L10W20W00DH·SC 30/12A·MOR08/01H·FAM13/01H·FAR20/01A·SPO29/01H·BOA05/02A·RIO11/02H·ARO18/02A·GUI24/02H·GIL03/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.430.601.131.131.73
vs Stronger (10)0.702.200.401.601.002.80
vs Similar (18)1.001.110.781.001.221.22
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.2%
@ 2.44+22.4%
Under 2.5
38.8%
@ 1.55-22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.9%
Under 3.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.4%
No
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-0
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-1 ✓
5.9%
0-0
5.3%
Estrela goals ↓
Casa Pia goals →
01234
05.3%4.5%3.6%1.5%0.5%
16.9%11%6.6%2.9%0.9%
27.4%9.6%6.2%2.7%0.9%
34.6%5.9%3.9%1.7%0.5%
42.1%2.8%1.8%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Estrela goals (down), columns = Casa Pia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AVS
3.00
Sporting CP
2.65
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.12
SC Braga
2.00
Guimaraes
1.85
Moreirense
1.62
Arouca
1.35
Famalicao
1.24
Casa Pia
1.12
Farense
1.09
Rio Ave
1.09
GIL Vicente
1.06
Estoril
0.97
Estrela
0.97
Boavista
0.94
Portimonense
0.89
Vizela
0.76
Chaves
0.68
Estrela is 0.15 points worse than Casa Pia in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.82
Benfica
2.26
SC Braga
2.09
AVS
2.00
FC Porto
1.85
Arouca
1.59
Guimaraes
1.53
Estoril
1.44
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.24
Boavista
1.15
Portimonense
1.14
Casa Pia
1.12
Rio Ave
1.12
Famalicao
1.09
Vizela
1.06
Moreirense
1.06
Estrela
0.97
Chaves
0.91
Estrela is 0.15 goals worse than Casa Pia in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.79
Benfica
0.82
Sporting CP
0.85
AVS
1.00
Moreirense
1.03
Guimaraes
1.12
Famalicao
1.21
Rio Ave
1.26
Casa Pia
1.47
SC Braga
1.47
Arouca
1.47
Farense
1.50
GIL Vicente
1.53
Estrela
1.56
Estoril
1.71
Boavista
1.82
Vizela
1.94
Portimonense
2.11
Chaves
2.12
Estrela is 0.09 goals worse than Casa Pia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Porto
64%
Benfica
59%
Sporting CP
59%
SC Braga
57%
Arouca
54%
Vizela
50%
GIL Vicente
49%
Rio Ave
49%
Estoril
49%
Guimaraes
48%
Boavista
48%
Famalicao
47%
Estrela
47%
Moreirense
46%
Portimonense
46%
Casa Pia
44%
Chaves
43%
Farense
42%
AVS
35%
Estrela is 3.4 percentage points better than Casa Pia in terms of average possession (47% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

For 4.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

1404576684716565857643591314117111312108A·SC H·CHAA·FC H·PORA·ESTH·BENA·GUIA·GILH·VIZH·ARO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

701222243233121421133427543614A·SC H·CHAA·FC H·PORA·ESTH·BENA·GUIA·GILH·VIZH·ARO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 13.2 · Total 23.9

⚠️ Fouls

330141114191312713101510109131014141361225332520252022242718A·SC H·CHAA·FC H·PORA·ESTH·BENA·GUIA·GILH·VIZH·ARO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Casa PiaCasa Pia

For 3.8 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

17024282635439143633423610887917975H·GILA·GUIH·AROA·RIOH·BOAA·SPOH·FARH·FAMA·MORH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

40123123131111212213424421341H·GILA·GUIH·AROA·RIOH·BOAA·SPOH·FARH·FAMA·MORH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 12.0 · Total 25.4

⚠️ Fouls

37012715115122114131414101113131521169819261735272424283717H·GILA·GUIH·AROA·RIOH·BOAA·SPOH·FARH·FAMA·MORH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.010.911.25.14.85.426.526.926.0
vs Stronger (10)11.511.811.24.66.03.224.327.221.4
vs Similar (33)11.110.711.54.83.95.826.126.026.1
vs Weaker (7)10.110.310.07.38.36.531.130.731.5
% over line65%64%67%72%76%68%78%73%83%
% under line35%36%33%28%24%32%22%27%17%
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Casa PiaCasa Pia

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.810.19.41.81.72.027.125.728.6
vs Stronger (17)9.510.09.01.61.81.424.924.225.5
vs Similar (30)9.710.68.92.01.52.528.126.329.9
vs Weaker (3)11.07.015.01.74.00.529.527.032.0
% over line46%42%50%26%20%32%83%75%92%
% under line54%58%50%74%80%68%17%25%8%
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
AVS
12.0
Farense
11.6
Estrela
11.1
Chaves
10.9
Guimaraes
10.7
Vizela
10.5
Portimonense
10.4
Estoril
10.3
Benfica
10.2
FC Porto
10.1
Moreirense
10.0
Rio Ave
10.0
Casa Pia
9.8
GIL Vicente
9.6
Famalicao
9.5
Boavista
9.5
SC Braga
9.4
Sporting CP
9.2
Arouca
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Boavista
6.6
Famalicao
6.6
Arouca
6.2
Guimaraes
6.1
FC Porto
6.1
Portimonense
5.9
Estoril
5.8
Farense
5.7
AVS
5.7
Chaves
5.6
Vizela
5.6
Estrela
5.6
GIL Vicente
5.6
Sporting CP
5.3
SC Braga
5.1
Moreirense
5.1
Rio Ave
5.1
Benfica
5.0
Casa Pia
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
31.2
Chaves
30.8
Rio Ave
30.7
Farense
29.6
Boavista
29.4
Arouca
28.7
Guimaraes
28.3
Vizela
28.1
FC Porto
28.0
Portimonense
28.0
AVS
27.7
Moreirense
27.6
Estoril
27.6
Casa Pia
27.1
GIL Vicente
26.6
Estrela
26.5
SC Braga
24.1
Sporting CP
23.8
Benfica
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.1%
Under 9.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
66.8%
Under 3.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.8%
Under 21.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W01L01L12L00D30W01L11D00DH·ARO28/12H·VIZ06/01A·GIL14/01A·GUI21/01H·BEN29/01A·EST04/02H·POR09/02A·FC 17/02H·CHA24/02A·SC 02/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.500.600.400.270.60
vs Stronger (10)0.100.800.201.000.000.60
vs Similar (19)0.580.320.800.100.330.56
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Casa PiaCasa Pia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D31W01L02L05L00D00D00D20W00DH·SC 30/12A·MOR08/01H·FAM13/01H·FAR20/01A·SPO29/01H·BOA05/02A·RIO11/02H·ARO18/02A·GUI24/02H·GIL03/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.530.070.270.670.80
vs Stronger (10)0.300.900.000.400.601.40
vs Similar (18)0.390.390.110.220.670.56
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L10W02L02L01L00D01L00D03LH·ARO28/12H·VIZ06/01A·GIL14/01A·GUI21/01H·BEN29/01A·EST04/02H·POR09/02A·FC 17/02H·CHA24/02A·SC 02/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.170.671.270.731.07
vs Stronger (10)0.501.500.601.000.402.00
vs Similar (19)0.791.000.701.400.890.56
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Casa PiaCasa Pia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L10W01L11D03L00D01L10W00D00DH·SC 30/12A·MOR08/01H·FAM13/01H·FAR20/01A·SPO29/01H·BOA05/02A·RIO11/02H·ARO18/02A·GUI24/02H·GIL03/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.900.530.870.470.93
vs Stronger (10)0.401.300.401.200.401.40
vs Similar (18)0.610.720.670.780.560.67
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls92.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls84.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.583.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards83.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls73.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.6%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas23%
Léo Jabá16%
André Luiz15%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronaldo Tavares12%
Léo Cordeiro9%
Leonel Bucca7%
Ronald6%
Jean Felipe4%
Regis Ndo4%
Kialonda Gaspar4%
Miguel Lopes0%
Mansur0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Rúben Lima0%
Vitó0%
Aloisio0%
Nanú0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Shinga0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kialonda Gaspar33%
Leonel Bucca27%
Regis Ndo26%
Aloisio25%
Rodrigo Pinho25%
Ronald24%
Rúben Lima21%
Mansur20%
Johnstone Omurwa20%
Nanú17%
Nilton Varela17%
João Reis16%
Léo Cordeiro16%
Erivaldo Almeida14%
Kikas13%
Miguel Lopes12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Hevertton Santos10%
Léo Jabá10%
Ronaldo Tavares8%
Pedro Mendes8%
André Luiz7%
Pedro Sá6%
Vitó0%
António Filipe0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Jean Felipe0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Shinga0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erivaldo Almeida14%
Léo Jabá13%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronald12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Jean Felipe9%
Nanú8%
Rúben Lima7%
Mansur5%
Regis Ndo4%
Aloisio4%
Hevertton Santos3%
Kikas3%
Miguel Lopes0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Vitó0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Léo Cordeiro0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Shinga0%
Leonel Bucca0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
André Luiz0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Luiz19%
Kikas13%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronaldo Tavares12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Léo Jabá10%
Leonel Bucca7%
Léo Cordeiro6%
Regis Ndo4%
Aloisio4%
Miguel Lopes0%
Mansur0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Rúben Lima0%
Vitó0%
Nanú0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Jean Felipe0%
Ronald0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Shinga0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Casa Pia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Clayton29%
Saviour Godwin25%
Yuki Soma16%
Felippe Cardoso14%
Nuno Moreira13%
Pablo10%
Fernando Andrade10%
André Lacximicant8%
Duplexe Tchamba6%
Gaizka Larrazabal6%
João Nunes5%
Tiago Dias5%
Samuel Justo5%
Nermin Zolotić3%
Neto3%
Leonardo Lelo3%
Fernando Varela0%
Lucas Paes0%
Rúben Lameiras0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Vasco Fernandes0%
Ricardo Batista0%
André Geraldes0%
Rafael Brito0%
Telasco Segovia0%
Jajá0%
Beni Mukendi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Neto42%
Beni Mukendi32%
Duplexe Tchamba31%
Lucas Paes25%
Telasco Segovia25%
Felippe Cardoso24%
Pablo21%
Rúben Lameiras20%
Vasco Fernandes20%
Clayton17%
Nuno Moreira13%
André Geraldes12%
Gaizka Larrazabal12%
Nermin Zolotić10%
Yuki Soma9%
Fernando Varela8%
Ricardo Batista6%
João Nunes5%
Tiago Dias5%
Samuel Justo5%
Fernando Andrade0%
Saviour Godwin0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Rafael Brito0%
Leonardo Lelo0%
Jajá0%
André Lacximicant0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pablo21%
Beni Mukendi12%
Rafael Brito11%
Yuki Soma9%
André Lacximicant8%
Rúben Lameiras7%
Nuno Moreira7%
Duplexe Tchamba6%
Telasco Segovia6%
Leonardo Lelo6%
Tiago Dias5%
Samuel Justo5%
Fernando Varela4%
Clayton4%
Neto3%
Gaizka Larrazabal3%
Fernando Andrade0%
Nermin Zolotić0%
Saviour Godwin0%
Lucas Paes0%
Felippe Cardoso0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
João Nunes0%
Vasco Fernandes0%
Ricardo Batista0%
André Geraldes0%
Jajá0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Saviour Godwin25%
Clayton25%
Felippe Cardoso17%
Pablo7%
Yuki Soma6%
Fernando Andrade0%
Fernando Varela0%
Nermin Zolotić0%
Lucas Paes0%
Rúben Lameiras0%
Duplexe Tchamba0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
João Nunes0%
Neto0%
Vasco Fernandes0%
Tiago Dias0%
Ricardo Batista0%
André Geraldes0%
Gaizka Larrazabal0%
Rafael Brito0%
Leonardo Lelo0%
Telasco Segovia0%
Nuno Moreira0%
Jajá0%
Beni Mukendi0%
André Lacximicant0%
Samuel Justo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
Estrela's squad is €7m less valuable than Casa Pia's (€20m vs €27m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
POR (7)
€2m
Estrela's attack is €4m less valuable than Casa Pia's (€6m vs €9m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
EST (5)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
POR (5)
€1m
Estrela's midfield is €3m less valuable than Casa Pia's (€3m vs €6m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
Estrela and Casa Pia have a similar defence value (both €11m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
EST wins
0
Draws
0
CP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Estrela vs Casa Pia · H/A from EST
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/23ACasa Pia Vs EST0-1

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/24ASC Braga Vs EST3-0
24/02/24HEST Vs Chaves1-1
17/02/24AFC Porto Vs EST2-0
09/02/24HEST Vs Portimonense3-0
04/02/24AEstoril Vs EST1-0
29/01/24HEST Vs Benfica1-4
21/01/24AGuimaraes Vs EST3-0
14/01/24AGIL Vicente Vs EST1-1
06/01/24HEST Vs Vizela1-1
28/12/23HEST Vs Arouca1-4

Casa PiaCasa Pia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/24HCP Vs GIL Vicente0-0
24/02/24AGuimaraes Vs CP0-2
18/02/24HCP Vs Arouca1-0
11/02/24ARio Ave Vs CP1-0
05/02/24HCP Vs Boavista0-0
29/01/24ASporting CP Vs CP8-0
20/01/24HCP Vs Farense1-3
13/01/24HCP Vs Famalicao0-2
08/01/24AMoreirense Vs CP1-4
30/12/23HCP Vs SC Braga1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.46
HomeLDLWD1.56
AwayDLLLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.622.762.48
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %48%52%44%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.341.481.20
Conceded1.281.281.28
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners11.0410.9111.17
Cards5.575.505.62
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWD1.02
HomeLLDWD1.04
AwayWWLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%24%28%
AVG goals2.302.002.60
Over 1.5 %62%52%72%
Over 2.5 %40%36%44%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored0.880.840.92
Conceded1.421.161.68
BTTS42%44%40%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners9.7510.089.42
Cards3.793.504.08

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3490
85%
2.6
9629+67
3.7
91%
76%
41%
9.2
44%
5.5
76%
24.3
76%
414
146911762.80.9
59%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
7728+49
3.1
82%
62%
41%
10.5
59%
5.4
73%
23.6
71%
357
172771082.30.8
59%
3FC PortoFC Porto3472
65%
2.1
6327+36
2.6
76%
56%
24%
11.2
62%
7.1
88%
30.0
91%
467
2141051481.90.8
64%
4SC BragaSC Braga3468
62%
2.0
7150+21
3.6
82%
71%
47%
9.9
56%
5.1
73%
24.0
65%
165
4156682.11.5
57%
5GuimaraesGuimaraes3463
56%
1.9
5238+14
2.6
74%
56%
26%
11.6
71%
6.0
82%
26.8
82%
46
2211121.51.1
48%
6MoreirenseMoreirense3455
47%
1.6
3635+1
2.1
47%
35%
21%
9.4
32%
5.0
69%
27.8
85%
22
5891.11.0
46%
7AroucaArouca3446
38%
1.4
5450+4
3.1
79%
65%
35%
9.0
38%
5.7
74%
25.7
76%
28
11881.61.5
54%
8FamalicaoFamalicao3442
29%
1.2
3741-4
2.3
65%
44%
24%
9.7
44%
6.2
91%
31.6
94%
57
1620221.11.2
47%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3438
29%
1.1
3850-12
2.6
65%
47%
35%
10.1
47%
4.3
59%
26.6
79%
27
96121.11.5
44%
10FarenseFarense3437
29%
1.1
4651-5
2.9
79%
56%
35%
12.3
74%
4.7
68%
26.6
79%
8
3241.41.5
42%
11Rio AveRio Ave3437
18%
1.1
3843-5
2.4
79%
35%
21%
9.8
44%
5.8
82%
29.6
94%
37
88211.11.3
49%
12GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3436
26%
1.1
4252-10
2.8
74%
50%
29%
8.9
44%
4.7
69%
26.3
74%
29
118111.21.5
49%
13EstorilEstoril3433
26%
1.0
4958-9
3.1
71%
62%
47%
10.2
53%
5.6
75%
26.1
79%
42
248101.41.7
49%
14EstrelaEstrela3433
21%
1.0
3353-20
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.7
65%
4.7
68%
25.0
76%
20
63111.01.6
47%
15BoavistaBoavista3432
21%
0.9
3962-23
3.0
85%
53%
38%
9.9
47%
5.9
85%
28.8
97%
0
0001.11.8
48%
16PortimonensePortimonense3632
22%
0.9
4176-35
3.2
83%
64%
39%
11.1
67%
5.5
80%
27.2
89%
6
2131.12.1
46%
17VizelaVizela3426
15%
0.8
3666-30
3.0
71%
56%
44%
9.9
50%
5.2
82%
29.3
100%
12
5241.11.9
50%
18ChavesChaves3423
15%
0.7
3172-41
3.0
79%
62%
38%
10.2
56%
5.9
88%
28.6
97%
9
3240.92.1
43%
19AVSAVS26
100%
3.0
42+2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
12.5
50%
8.5
100%
32.0
100%
7
3232.01.0
35%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches